jkcarew
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Everything posted by jkcarew
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We’re bad offensively, but we’re not missing Gio Urshella and his 86 OPS+.
- 52 replies
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- louis varland
- kyle garlick
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The Twins lead the league…or close…with 12 blown saves. Duran has ONE of those. That speaks for itself…as does the fact that almost every regular member of the bullpen has pitched more than Duran.
- 31 replies
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- joe ryan
- edouard julien
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Blue Jays were 2-8 in their last ten…not exactly rolling. The pinch hitting for Kirilloff (while he’s been hitting fine and showing power, no less) with the likes of Solano and now Castro…and early in games as well…Is this not inexcusable? Or just embarrassing? Or is it just me?
- 52 replies
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- louis varland
- kyle garlick
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If the plan isn’t working…and repeatedly doesn’t work…try a different plan.
- 31 replies
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- joe ryan
- edouard julien
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I nominate Cedar Rapids’ entire infield….Salas, Miller, Schobel, Cavaco.
- 13 replies
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- emmanuel rodriguez
- simeon woods richardson
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Duran not pitching much this month is the problem. Rocco was going to pitch him today no matter what…he needs the work. So…in this series Duran pitched once overall…and zero times in leverage. Meanwhile, there were huge leverage opportunities late yesterday where he DIDN’T pitch so that he could be ready for a save opportunity…that didn’t come yesterday…and didn’t come today.
- 31 replies
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- joe ryan
- edouard julien
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And……..Rocco basically ends up HAVING to pitch Duran in low leverage. If I was someone who said ‘I told you so’, here is where I would say ‘I told you so’. But I’m not someone who says ‘I told you so’,…I mean, rarely…so I’m not going to say I told you so.
- 31 replies
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- joe ryan
- edouard julien
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Ryan had NOTHING…what, zero K’s first two times through the lineup…a ton of hits. He had to know he had nothing, and he still challenged hitters, kept the ball in the park, and trusted that more balls would be caught by someone behind him, than not. Manages to get through 5 with 100+ pitches (because he was giving up hits and couldn’t finish, not because he was nibbling…big difference, IMO.) And gives up 1 run. Sigh. I love you, Joe Ryan.
- 31 replies
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- joe ryan
- edouard julien
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Is Royce Lewis Going to be Here to Stay?
jkcarew replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
How many innings is that? Asking for a depressed friend.- 42 replies
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- royce lewis
- carlos correa
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Is Royce Lewis Going to be Here to Stay?
jkcarew replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Other than catastrophic offensive struggles and knee issues... He's 1000% a regular in the lineup from day one...I can't think of a decent argument where he wouldn't be. He's a right handed bat. He'll play practically any position on the field. He figures to be good on the bases. He's (practically) 24 years old and a former number 1 draft pick, the team is offensively challenged as is, I could go on. There's no good reason not to be playing him (nearly) every day all around the field. Against righties, at a minimum, he should be taking at-bats from Solano and MAT, and against lefties from any left-handed bat Rocco want's to sit on a given day. And then resting Correa. This is neither the quality of club, nor is Lewis in the typical situation...where the young guy needs to "prove himself" to crack the lineup. If he struggles, then you're failing with a 24 year old with a ton of potential, instead of the guys you're failing with now.- 42 replies
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- royce lewis
- carlos correa
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Giants 4, Twins 3: As Bad As It Gets?
jkcarew replied to Steven Trefz's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I’m sure at this point Rocco would love to have Arraez back. He could platoon him with Solano. -
Giants 4, Twins 3: As Bad As It Gets?
jkcarew replied to Steven Trefz's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Agreed. But if I were to TRY…I wouldn’t do it by hiding my good guy 😉 -
Giants 4, Twins 3: As Bad As It Gets?
jkcarew replied to Steven Trefz's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The problem with the unwillingness to move him up is that you open yourself to a couple of risks… 1) you end up without a save opportunity and pitch him in low leverage…or… 2) you end up without a save situation and don’t pitch him at all And that’s what’s been happening…Duran has fewer innings and fewer batters faced than (more than) half the bullpen. Rocco has pitched his best pitcher less than his other pitchers…all while the club has been stacking up losses. He wants to stick with his plans/wishes/hopes regardless of how events actually unfold. It’s a pattern. Having said all that, the offense is the main problem. -
This. The problem with Buxton this year is that the OBP is way too high, taking too many walks. Creates unnecessary risks on the base paths. When we got the discount signing Buxton, it wasn’t a discount.
- 38 replies
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- byron buxton
- louis varland
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Davis played over 120 games in a season 8 times in his career, including 5 consecutive years ages 24-28…all while playing the OF, primarily CF. He was Lou Gehrig compared to Buxton, who did this once, and never was really even close other than that…apparently ever.
- 38 replies
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- byron buxton
- louis varland
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Since Ron Guidry won it in 1978, a Yankees pitcher has won it one time. Twins pitchers have three since then. I think they’ve got it wrong a few times, but don’t see any east coast bias (or west coast bias) for this award in resent history.
- 19 replies
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- joe ryan
- sonny gray
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I’d rather have 3 legitimately good starters than one Cy Young guy and little else. In the ‘real’ post season, it’s about how you match up at 1, 2, and 3. Yes, being at a real disadvantage at the no. 1 matchup can be deflating. But that can be overcome if matchups 2 and 3 are even or better….all the more realistically if the discrepancy at no. 1 isn’t dramatic. I think this is what…at least at the quarter pole…SEEMS like a somewhat realistic situation for the Twins in 2023. Even with a faulty offense, you have a puncher’s chance if the starter is keeping you in the game. I don’t think that’s been a realistic playoff scenario for the Twins in a long, long time. Now, if the bats and the bullpen will allow us to get there.
- 19 replies
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- joe ryan
- sonny gray
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Relievers who have faced more batters than Duran this season… Lopez, Jax, Pagan, Moran, Alcala Sometime you need to use your number 1 leverage guy in the 7th or 8th inning.
- 60 replies
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- emilio pagan
- sonny gray
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Twins Minor League Week in Review (5/8-5/14)
jkcarew replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
The young batters are really struggling at Cedar Rapids. The non-pitchers in Cedar Rapids average a year YOUNGER than those at Fort Myers. Unusual? It shows in the hitting stats….despite the notoriously tough hitting conditions in the GCL.- 3 replies
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- cory lewis
- yunior severino
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Rankings Update: 4 Twins Prospects Crack MLB's Top 100
jkcarew commented on Matthew Taylor's article in Twins
Rodriguez has been pretty much overmatched…pretty badly, at Cedar Rapids. Not that that really means anything yet, other than make we wonder how could he have possibly moved up. There can’t be that many other guys K’ing at a 50% clip. Graduations?- 8 comments
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- royce lewis
- brooks lee
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Kingman’s best 3 years we’re in Wrigley…he barely had anything close to a good year outside of wrigley…maybe one. He wouldn’t be in the hall of fame in ANY era.
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Yeah. Not much of a comparison really…even while just looking at batting. Kingman had one big year…only 2 years where his OPS was over 850…and both in parks very conducive to HR. Crew had a relatively long ramp up (injuries and also had two seasons before they lowered the mound in 1969)…and then a career tale, as well. He had 6 consecutive years where he averaged 900 OPS, without one being as low as 850.
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No. But in 1979, the Angels would have been better off with Kingman, rather than Carew. Carew batted 318, that year. Kingman 288.
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Again, not really. Not for many big power guys. Aaron Judge batted 311 last year…he struck out 175 times. A lot of power hitters through the years have sustained BA above average with high K%. Why? Because when they do make contact, they hit the ball much harder than average…result, not just HRs, but also sustainably high BABiP.
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A batting average between 200 and 300 means nothing without more data, IMO. I’d say significantly below 200, it’s more and more likely that it says “bad”. Likewise, once you get past, say 325…it’s very likely you’re at least “good” even with very little power or walks. (Currently a 363 hitter that hits all singles and never walks is an average hitter in terms of run production.)

