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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    The play at first really doesn’t have anything to do with what position he’s playing…and in high school and the minors, he’s spent his entire career moving around and displaying aptitude in various high-leverage defensive positions…way more often at SS or CF than 3rd. That’s WHY he was a number 1 pick. Still, I mostly agree with you if this is temporary. That would seem reasonable. If not, it definitely will NOT be in the best interest of the club.
  2. jkcarew
    Even that doesn’t make that much sense to me. It MAY mean he has a longer career. But he will be worth less money DURING the career if he’s stuck at 3rd…or doesn’t play SS or CF…and he clearly seem capable…especially of the latter. Maybe the point is simply increasing likelihood he at least makes it to free agency once. Sacrifice some upside to protect the bottom for career earnings. Bottom line, it’s definitely not good for the team. Hopefully, it’s short term.
  3. jkcarew
    The “don’t want to play center” with Lewis is a problem. And it will eventually hurt his value if it doesn’t change. It’s pretty damning that no matter what you do, you still have Buxton DH’ing, and MAT in center. Best case scenario (offensively) is you put Lewis in a corner OF spot (if he blesses the club with his willingness), and you added Arenado AB’s at the expense of Castro and/or Kepler AB’s. That’s good. Is it enough to make the club legit offensively. Doubtful. On the other hand, if you do the above, plus replace MAT’s AB’s with Buxton in CF…AND you then give a bunch more AB’s to Julien without compromising the defense (and Jeffers some) at DH…now maybe you have something. I’d be very interested in Arenado based on the likelihood that he has at least a couple real good years remaining. But, it would depend on the price and/or the willingness to solve or at least steps to TRY to mitigate the suboptimization of the roster, which looks more ridiculous by the day. My bet is Saint Louis will dangle Arenado in case someone looses their mind and offers a kings ransom, but I doubt they’re very motivated…simply due to their track record of knowing what they’re doing.
  4. jkcarew
    Wonder if he’ll sign. I assume he has one year of eligibility remaining…may return and hope for much better signing $ next year. Probably was expecting to go much sooner this year.
  5. jkcarew
    Third pick doesn’t bother me. Signability is a real concern down at 49 for the remaining top HS guys with the top school offers. Seem’s they simply went with a college guy they liked and knew they could sign at slot.
  6. jkcarew
    If only Martin’s hit tool would kick in more, yes.
  7. jkcarew
    Agreed…what I’ve read, he doesn’t project to be a power guy based on approach and swing. Lots of hits, extra base hits and a high SLG would be expected of top 100 guys at the college levels regardless of HR power. His profile is more hits and XBH than HR and K’s. Something the current Twins lineup could use more of.
  8. jkcarew
    Or even at slot. The top remaining HS pitchers are going to be tough signs down here.
  9. jkcarew
    Apparently, felt like they needed to go under slot at 49. ”hit over power” should sound good to those that have had it up to hear with K’s this season.
  10. jkcarew
    Don’t see how he can with the frame he already has at 18. But, maybe he’s a freak. Would be nice. About now, I’d be happy if he just WANTS to play center.
  11. jkcarew
    I would have gone Teel…but they might think he’s not a catcher. First 4 picks went exactly the way I DIDN’T want them to go. Oh well…no matter what happens now, we can’t say they ‘reached’.
  12. jkcarew
    The odds are not fantastic that you get a needle-mover at any pick. But the odds are much better taking the best player available at 5, than anything you can do in the 30’s…no matter how you play the money.
  13. jkcarew
    This is WILDLY pessimistic. And only MOSTLY realistic.
  14. jkcarew
    Hey…but a dominant series against Oakland out of the brake can turn things around!! (apologies for not knowing how to do the sarcasm font)
  15. jkcarew
    Will the FO demonstrate the courage and common sense to sell at the deadline?? If we played in a legitimate division…any division accept this one, there would be no question. Instead, no doubt, we’ll be asked to continue to pretend we’re “competing”…and embrace mediocrity in perpetuity.
  16. jkcarew
    Meanwhile, Cleveland has the youngest roster in baseball. The Twins are middle of the pack age-wise and the core aren’t getting any younger (or better). What to do?
  17. jkcarew
    But sometimes it too many K’s and sometimes it’s soft contact, and sometimes it’s poor situational hitting and/or failure with RISP, and sometimes it’s rally-killing GiDPs, and sometimes it’s bad baserunning, and frequently it’s a permutation or combination of two or more. I never know how they’re not going to score.
  18. jkcarew
    And three of the most disappointing have been high school guys (Stewart and Gordon at 5, and Covaco at 13.) The Twins passed on college bats like Michael Conforto and Tre Turner when they took Gordon. Oops. I agree...pick the talent not the current level. But, the talent can be easier to project for the college guys and, if you hit on one, they arrive a lot sooner. But fwiw, the college bats the Twins would be looking at this year at #5 are a universe removed prospect-wise from Sabato who was taken at the tail end of round 1 (27th) in a draft that was thinner than this year's is supposed to be. IF (and only if) the Twins think Teel is a mlb catcher, I'd be all over him. Otherwise, I'm hoping for Clark.
  19. jkcarew
    I’ll actually throw up a bit in my mouth if Gonzalez is the pick. (Which probably increases the odds he’ll be good.)
  20. jkcarew
    Unbalanced schedule. 25 of the losses against winning teams came against Braves and Mets, division rivals that were super legitimate and made the Phillies a stronger team. It’s not the same as racking up wins (or losses) against Cleveland. That would be my point. Look, I have no problem with the ‘get there and anything can happen’ view point. That’s fandom, and it’s technically true. I just don’t ascribe to that as a plan. I’d rather see the club take the 2023 opportunity to rebuild/reload and simultaneously compete for a division. This year it’s not an either/or, IMO.
  21. jkcarew
    Look at the division they compete in. Their 87 win last year would be about the equivalent to AT LEAST 95 in the ALC. The ALC central is 6-22 in playoff games since 2016. It’s not an accident, and it’s not going to ‘normalize’ until it starts fielding true contenders. And this year it’s worse than ever. Usually I’d agree that the pitching gives you a punchers chance. But you have to have punchers…and the week division provides a unique chance to sell and accelerate the rebuild…AND still ‘compete’ for a playoff spot.
  22. jkcarew
    I’d rather try to build a complete team…one that would have an actual chance in the playoffs.
  23. jkcarew
    So…this is the year? Nothing about the offense or the losing record against everyone not the Royals, or the failing and about-to-be-past-their-prime core? Letting Gray walk makes sense to you? And if you DO think this is the year…a left-handed swing-man to maybe spot start for a specific playoff scenario is exactly something this club could use. Playoffs don’t care about regular season averages. They care about today’s game.
  24. jkcarew
    We can’t know that he wouldn’t wave it for the right (to him) situation. Maybe, in this theoretical situation where a good team WOULD let him play CF, etc. never say never.
  25. jkcarew
    Kep will have SOME value at the deadline. Polanco will have more (his option will not vest). What about Buxton? If (and only if 😉) FO has DECIDED that he’s no longer a center-fielder…ever…they should start shopping him hard now. On the other side of it, does playing Solano at 2nd instead of hoping Polanco returns to form (ever) make us worse in the 2nd half? Does DH’ing Julien instead of Buxton over the next 5+ years make us worse? (Not to mention how that money could be used.). Heck, Kepler’s defense might be the biggest loss among those names with regard to 2023. Admittedly, it would crush 2023 depth. And, of course, the Polanco and Buxton moves could (and most likely would) wait until the offseason. But, fwiw, along with Gray, this is where I’d rather see the FO’s collective heads.
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