Twins Video
This past winter, a few national prospect outlets cast some doubt on Walker Jenkins. His hit tool was still praised, but questions about his power production and durability began to emerge. FanGraphs, led by prospect writer Eric Longenhagen, went further than most, ranking Jenkins as the 17th-best prospect in baseball, a notably lower ranking than other outlets. For some perspective, the three other major outlets (Baseball America, MLB.com, and Baseball Prospectus) had him ranked in the top five.
Obviously, the difference between those rankings tiers is relatively small. It's not as though anyone took him out of their top-100 list. Still, his lower ranking by some outlets raised important questions: were they seeing something others weren’t, or was this simply a statistical outlier? And more importantly, could Jenkins prove them wrong in 2025?
Early Questions, Familiar Concerns
Jenkins’s drop was tied to two main issues. First, his power hadn’t fully translated to game action in his early professional career. Scouts had always projected above-average or plus raw power, but the results hadn’t matched the lofty expectations. Second, injuries had already become a recurring theme. An ankle injury delayed his 2025 debut, only adding more fuel to the narrative.
For a player so young, it’s easy to see why evaluators might hedge their bets. FanGraphs wasn’t necessarily saying Jenkins wouldn’t be a star. They were saying the margin for error might be thinner than his hype suggested.
Responding Between the Lines
Once healthy, Jenkins quickly showed why the Twins have been so aggressive with his development. After shaking off some early rust in Double-A Wichita, he hit his way out of the Texas League, slashing .309/.426/.487 with a mature approach (14.6 BB%) and growing power. He was also the third-youngest player in the Texas League.
Triple-A St. Paul presented another challenge, but the adjustment period was short-lived. Jenkins went 1-for-20 to start his Saints career, but now he finds himself riding a hitting streak, collecting four straight multi-hit games and belting his first Triple-A home run. His season line, after all that—.305/.427/.477, with nine home runs and 14 steals in 73 games—is exactly what the Twins hoped to see. It’s also why the team hasn’t been afraid to promote him up the organizational ladder aggressively.
Putting His Path in Perspective
MLB teams rarely push 20-year-old hitters to Triple-A. When they do, it’s typically because the organization believes they’re grooming a franchise cornerstone. Jenkins has batted .290 or higher with an OPS above .860 at every stop of the minors before reaching St. Paul.
How rare is this path? He’s the first Twins hitting prospect to play a Triple-A game in his age-20 season in the last 25 years. Byron Buxton and Joe Mauer, two of the most hyped prospects in club history, spent their age-20 campaigns finishing at Double-A. Some players his age are still completing their college careers. Jenkins, meanwhile, is knocking on the door of Target Field.
Did He Prove the Doubters Wrong?
The truth is complicated. FanGraphs’s ranking wasn’t made in bad faith. It was an acknowledgment of risk factors that still exist. Jenkins has dealt with multiple injuries already, and while his power is starting to show, he hasn’t yet proven it against MLB-caliber arms.
But if the question is whether he’s lived up to the challenge in 2025, the answer is an emphatic YES. The Twins continue to test him, and he continues to respond. The combination of elite on-base skills, gap power that’s beginning to evolve into more home runs, and the maturity of his approach at the plate suggests that he’s firmly tracking toward the star status many predicted on draft day. We have some hard data now, and his 90th-percentile exit velocity of 104.9 miles per hour in a small Triple-A sample is well clear of average for the level. He pulls the ball in the air at an average rate. The fundamentals of power are there.
Prospect rankings are educated guesses, and Jenkins’s story is a reminder of both their value and their limitations. Outlier opinions, like FanGraphs’s, are useful because they force us to consider downside scenarios. But sometimes, the consensus is right, and a player really is as good as advertised.
For now, Jenkins hasn’t just held his own in 2025. He’s excelled with every obstacle put in his way. And if his rapid rise continues, the Twins may not have to wait long to see if their prized outfielder can do the same in Minneapolis.
Has Jenkins proven his doubters wrong this season? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
Interested in learning more about the Minnesota Twins' top prospects? Check out our comprehensive top prospects list that includes up-to-date stats, articles and videos about every prospect, scouting reports, and more!
View Twins Top Prospects






Recommended Comments
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now