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Entering the 2015 season, Kris Bryant was coming off a monster year in the minor leagues, hitting .325/.438/.661 with 34 doubles and 43 home runs. It was one of the best minor-league seasons ever, and he looked more than prepared to step into a role at the big-league level. Instead, the Cubs sent him to Triple-A Iowa to begin the season, under the pretense of needing to work on his defense at that level.
In actuality, it was a way for the team to gain an extra year of control over the player. Bryant played seven games at Iowa before the team deemed him ready for his big-league debut. Many teams have manipulated a player’s service time, but this was allowed under the previous rules, and the MLBPA wanted a way to avoid this issue.
During the last collective bargaining agreement, the MLBPA and owners added a Prospect Promotion Incentive (PPI) to reward teams for promoting their best prospects at the start of the season. According to MLB.com, “An MLB club can earn a Draft pick after the first round if a PPI-eligible player accrues one year of service as a rookie and then factors into a major award. That means he either has to win his league’s Rookie of the Year award or place in the top three in MVP or Cy Young voting prior to qualifying for arbitration.”
So, how has this impacted teams in recent years? In 2022, the Mariners added Julio Rodríguez to their Opening Day roster even though he had yet to play a game above Double A. He had a terrific season and won the AL Rookie of the Year. Seattle was awarded the 29th overall pick in the 2023 MLB Draft, added an extra $2.8 million to their bonus pool for the draft. They selected Jonny Farmelo, a high-school outfielder, whom they signed for an over-slot amount to lure him away from the University of Virginia.
During the 2023 season, Gunnar Henderson and Corbin Carroll took home Rookie of the Year honors after making their respective clubs out of spring training. Arizona was awarded the 31st overall pick (and Baltimore the 32nd) in the upcoming 2024 MLB Draft. Both teams will also see additional bonus pool money added to their overall total because of these high picks.
Eligibility for the PPI in the 2024 season is based on the preseason top-100 prospect rankings from MLB Pipeline, Baseball America, and ESPN. Minnesota has three eligible prospects: Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, and Brooks Lee. Jenkins and Rodríguez aren’t expected to debut this year, but Lee is on the cusp of the big leagues after finishing at Triple-A St. Paul in 2023.
The Twins haven’t indicated that Lee is in contention to break camp with the club, but it is certainly within the realm of possibility. Minnesota traded Jorge Polanco earlier this offseason because of the team’s infield depth, including Eduoard Julien being the projected starter at second base. Then, they traded left-hitting utility man Nick Gordon to the Marlins. The Twins think highly of Lee, and he has arguably the highest baseball IQ of any prospect in the organization. Injuries could always change the equation and push Lee into the team’s Opening Day plans.
Even if Lee made the roster, there is no guarantee that he would perform well enough to win the AL Rookie of the Year. Baltimore's Jackson Holliday is the favorite to win the award, after a tremendous 2023 season that saw him move from Low A to Triple A and rake at every step up the ladder. He is widely considered baseball's best overall prospect, and the Orioles have already experienced the upside of this system firsthand. Lee would need to perform better than Holliday and other favorites like Evan Carter and Wyatt Langford.
In all likelihood, the Twins will end up making their decision about Lee's season-opening assignment based on the health of their roster and the quality of his play this spring, rather than based on the PPI. It's a nice tiebreaker, though, because it pushes teams to give fans more of what they want--young players getting immediate chances to contribute in the big leagues.
Should the Twins be aggressive with Lee to start next season? Is it worth pushing him for the team to get a chance at an extra draft pick? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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