Otto von Ballpark Old-Timey Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 Personally I would not have marched Rogers out there two nights in a row in a non-save situation. This move reminded me of when Gardenhire kept showing the Yankees Latroy Hawkins in the 2003 ALDS. It worked well the first time, not so well after that.It's not as if Gardy had a lot of options that year though, especially after Johan exited early in game 1. Rincon wasn't that good yet, and Romero had a tough year. That pen was basically Hawkins and Guardado (and Guardado gave up runs in both of his appearances too).
Dave Overlund Twins Daily Contributor Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 Perspective is what is needed. I am more optimistic this morning, than last night. I would have totally agreed with darius last night on each and every point. This morning I am optimistic we get a day off - we hit the road - we re-group, and we forge ahead and make a run of it. I am saddened to start understanding this is not our year. But it probably never was, and is just our 1st year of an excellent window of opportunity coming. We don't have the pitching, and our in-game management, and our in-game execution isn't there in the crucial moments. We were out managed, and out executed yesterday. Not too mention out pitched. I am still having way more fun than 2011-2014, and if this season's results were reversed - our collective fans attitude would be just the opposite. Today we sit tied with our nemesis - we have alot to play for in Aug/Sept in 2019. I'll take it. I am not ready for football yet.Honest question- why does everyone talk about this "window" opening? My comment is not aimed at this particular post/author, a number of people are talking about it. Schoop, Cron, Cruz, Perez, Odorizzi, Pineda and Castro could all be gone after this season (Cruz and Cron will likely re-sign, but they aren't young cornerstones). Polanco started hot, now is trailing off. Berrios is trending in the wrong direction. Buxton can't stay on the field. Sano is a crapshoot from game-to-game. Sure, all of Graterol, Alcala, Balazovic, Kiriloff, Larnach etc could all pan out and we could have a great team, but it's not likely. This was the year, all the stuff the FO threw at the wall offensively worked better than they could have imagined, and they needed arms. They chose not to do anything at all during the offseason, then whined that the price was too high at the deadline. I guess I don't fully understand the narrative that this team has a ton of pieces in place to be some sort of great team for the next decade. Madisonsdad, rkevin, Highabove and 4 others 7
Doomtints Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 It's not as if Gardy had a lot of options that year though, especially after Johan exited early in game 1. Rincon wasn't that good yet, and Romero had a tough year. That pen was basically Hawkins and Guardado (and Guardado gave up runs in both of his appearances too). As Tom Kelly said in defense of having Straker on the playoff roster in 87, Rincon and Romero were two guys who helped get them there.
Otto von Ballpark Old-Timey Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 Ok, it looks like it's almost unanimous that Diaz blundered on the send. I agree. But his call was in the heat of the moment and mistakes happen, so I give him a begrudging pass. But I'm wondering if anyone else here was at the game, and if so, why Tommy Watkins isn't being criticized too. With the shift on, Cleveland's first baseman was 25 feet off the bag. But for some unexplainable reason, Adrianza's lead on every pitch during Gonzalez's AB was only about half that. My group of four was screaming at Ehire to get a more aggressive lead, but we were in the third base boxes and the crowd was loud, so he stayed with his insufficient lead. If Adrianza had been properly leading off with the first baseman so far off the bag, he likely scores on the double even with the Tribe playing perfect defense...especially with the very high bounce the ball took off the fence. Shame on Ehire for not reading the situation better, and shame on Tommy Watkins for not doing his job. The first base coach is responsible for almost nothing except monitoring the baserunner's lead, and instead of doing that he is facing Gonzalez and clapping for him. Yes, Diaz made a bad call, but Watkins and Ehire's blunder is equally at fault for this loss. Looking at the replay, I wonder if Naquin should have been playing deeper, so he could have had a play on that ball? It wasn't a high fly, but it was far from a line drive either, and it bounced before the wall. As you note, the runner on first was so important, Cleveland should have been playing its best "no doubles" defense, and Marwin was batting RH and Hand was consistently pitching him inside, so it would make sense to have the left fielder playing as deep as possible, to be able to make a play on exactly this type of hit behind him. A lot of factors involved! I totally understand the criticism of the send with only 1 out and the game already tied, but we were sure battering them around that inning -- it was frankly a bit surprising that all of Naquin, Lindor, and the catcher made solid plays.
Doomtints Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 Honest question- why does everyone talk about this "window" opening? My comment is not aimed at this particular post/author, a number of people are talking about it. Schoop, Cron, Cruz, Perez, Odorizzi, Pineda and Castro could all be gone after this season (Cruz and Cron will likely re-sign, but they aren't young cornerstones). Polanco started hot, now is trailing off. Berrios is trending in the wrong direction. Buxton can't stay on the field. Sano is a crapshoot from game-to-game. Sure, all of Graterol, Alcala, Balazovic, Kiriloff, Larnach etc could all pan out and we could have a great team, but it's not likely. This was the year, all the stuff the FO threw at the wall offensively worked better than they could have imagined, and they needed arms. They chose not to do anything at all during the offseason, then whined that the price was too high at the deadline. I guess I don't fully understand the narrative that this team has a ton of pieces in place to be some sort of great team for the next decade. True, but remember Gardenhire kept getting the team into the playoffs in spite of rapid roster turnover like this. Of course, those teams played defense.... I think this team is on the cusp of putting together a few good years. Next year could be a step back, but the year after won't. Players clearly like Baldelli and for a rookie manager he has not made as many mistakes as one might expect.
Otto von Ballpark Old-Timey Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 As Tom Kelly said in defense of having Straker on the playoff roster in 87, Rincon and Romero were two guys who helped get them there.The Straker comment makes sense -- we needed a third starter, and he was clearly the only viable starter beyond our top 2 that season. But Hawkins had the top game-entering leverage index on the staff in 2003. Pitching him in a tight spot in the 7th inning, even after pitching the day before, certainly "helped get them there" more than Rincon and his average leverage index that season. (Rincon wound up walking 4 Yankees in his 2.1 lower leverage innings anyway, so I sort of doubt he would have fared much better in Latroy's spot in game 2.) Romero's leverage index was higher than Rincon's, but of course he was a lefty specialist -- bringing him in to face Soriano and then Jeter with a runner in scoring position and only 1 out was certainly not part of what "helped get them there". (FWIW, Romero came on after Hawkins in game 2 and gave up a single anyway, to a LHB no less, an outcome which would have lost the game just the same.)
Doomtints Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 (edited) I don't think it's fair to call Romero a lefty specialist. Both him and Rincon were the best setup pitchers I ever saw in a Twins uniform. Seeing them come up to pitch the 8th was almost always a good sign. Though, yes, I think they were both juicing.... Edited August 12, 2019 by Doomtints
Otto von Ballpark Old-Timey Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 I don't think it's fair to call Romero a lefty specialist. Both him and Rincon were the best setup pitchers I ever saw in a Twins uniform. Seeing them come up to pitch the 8th was almost always a good sign.No one was saying that in October 2003. Romero had just been battered to the tune of a .929 OPS vs RHB that season, on his way to a 5.00 ERA, and Rincon turned in a pedestrian 3.68 ERA with 4.0 BB/9 and only 6.6 K/9 in average leverage use, in his best MLB season to date. 2002 Romero was great, as was 2004 Rincon, but Gardy turning to them in that spot in 2003 would have been like TK going with Smithson or Portugal over Straker in the 1987 postseason.
SpicyGarvSauce Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 Are we sure Scottie Ullger didn't take over coaching 3rd base in that 9th inning?
Mahoning Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 The weekend series clarified things for the Twins. Cleveland is the better team because of its superior pitching. It lost three starters -- Kluber, Carrasco, and Bauer -- and got better in the process. (Imagine if the Twins had lost three starters.) The Twins are likely to be a wild card team and rather quickly ousted. The clarity achieved is this: A big upgrade in starting pitching is needed for next season. And let us remember to put all this in context: The Twins are 24 games over .500 and right now we're all kind of disappointed. denarded 1
Doomtints Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 (edited) The Twins are likely to be a wild card team and rather quickly ousted. The clarity achieved is this: A big upgrade in starting pitching is needed for next season. If Houston gets the top seed, a wildcard berth is the best scenario for the Twins. If the Yankees get the top seed, which suddenly seems very possible, then the Twins had better take care of the division. Edited August 12, 2019 by Doomtints
Battle ur tail off Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 I think this team is on the cusp of putting together a few good years. Next year could be a step back, but the year after won't. Players clearly like Baldelli and for a rookie manager he has not made as many mistakes as one might expect. So, what makes you think that next year is a step back and the year after won't be? The pitching coming up? Because as of now, our minor leagues has produced Berrios and that's about it really. You know they won't trade for anyone, or buy a good starter, right? I think this year was the year and their chance. Do I think we could still be good for a few years? Heck yeah, they should be. But I don't think you will have this kind of offense again, maybe ever. Realize, what the Twins are doing this year with the bat is historic for this franchise. Dave Overlund 1
Hosken Bombo Disco Community Moderator Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 If Houston gets the top seed, a wildcard berth is the best scenario for the Twins. If the Yankees get the top seed, which suddenly seems very possible, then the Twins had better take care of the division.You keep saying this. I think the Twins match up much better against the Yankees than the Astros. At least as far as the Twins batters vs the opponents pitching. by jiminy, twinsnorth49, wsnydes and 3 others 6
twinsnorth49 Old-Timey Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 The weekend series clarified things for the Twins. Cleveland is the better team because of its superior pitching. It lost three starters -- Kluber, Carrasco, and Bauer -- and got better in the process. (Imagine if the Twins had lost three starters.) The Twins are likely to be a wild card team and rather quickly ousted. The clarity achieved is this: A big upgrade in starting pitching is needed for next season. And let us remember to put all this in context: The Twins are 24 games over .500 and right now we're all kind of disappointed.I’m not disappointed. The Twins have exceeded my expectations this season and I’ll continue to enjoy the ride. There is some disappointment in the pitching staff not being bolstered before the deadline but anyone who thought this team would be 24 games over .500 and in the midst of a pennant race, is not being very honest with themselves. The things that were a concern for this team during the off season are still there, most of us went into the season expected those problems to effect the performance of the team, and right now they are. The bats went crazy and the team hit homeruns at a record pace and we all got fat and sassy about it. Now, because the old reality has crept back in, the entitlement around here is pretty interesting to watch. I’m going to just see what happens, life is too short to piss and moan everyday. wsnydes, denarded and SwainZag 3
howeda7 Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 Actually it’s about 65-70% likely that they score a run with runners on second and third with one out. The average run expectancy with that situation is 1.4 runs.Perhaps, but that assumes an average player was up next and not Jonathon "Clutch" Schoop. There is an 80% chance he would have struck out or popped up. rkevin and jz7233 2
yarnivek1972 Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 With 2 outs, I have absolutely zero problems with Diaz sending Adrianza there. The only issue I have was that there was just 1 out. That said, you all can blame Diaz all you want. I personally blame yesterday's loss on Taylor Rogers. He's been great this year, and maybe he was over-worked, but if you give up 4 runs in 1/3 of an inning in a huge game, you failed. An absolutely dud of an effort by Rogers, who deservedly got the loss.Really?? You’re going to lay blame on a guy who was brought in less than 18 hours after throwing 30 plus extremely high leverage pitches? REALLY? Maybe assign some blame to those responsible for the team being forced to do that. Nine of twelve and jz7233 2
Mr. Brooks Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 Ok, it looks like it's almost unanimous that Diaz blundered on the send. I agree. But his call was in the heat of the moment and mistakes happen, so I give him a begrudging pass. But I'm wondering if anyone else here was at the game, and if so, why Tommy Watkins isn't being criticized too. With the shift on, Cleveland's first baseman was 25 feet off the bag. But for some unexplainable reason, Adrianza's lead on every pitch during Gonzalez's AB was only about half that. My group of four was screaming at Ehire to get a more aggressive lead, but we were in the third base boxes and the crowd was loud, so he stayed with his insufficient lead. If Adrianza had been properly leading off with the first baseman so far off the bag, he likely scores on the double even with the Tribe playing perfect defense...especially with the very high bounce the ball took off the fence. Shame on Ehire for not reading the situation better, and shame on Tommy Watkins for not doing his job. The first base coach is responsible for almost nothing except monitoring the baserunner's lead, and instead of doing that he is facing Gonzalez and clapping for him. Yes, Diaz made a bad call, but Watkins and Ehire's blunder is equally at fault for this loss.How is another 10 foot lead going to prevent him from being thrown out by 40 feet? He'd have just been out by 30 feet instead. Nine of twelve 1
Mr. Brooks Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 Honest question- why does everyone talk about this "window" opening? My comment is not aimed at this particular post/author, a number of people are talking about it. Schoop, Cron, Cruz, Perez, Odorizzi, Pineda and Castro could all be gone after this season (Cruz and Cron will likely re-sign, but they aren't young cornerstones). Polanco started hot, now is trailing off. Berrios is trending in the wrong direction. Buxton can't stay on the field. Sano is a crapshoot from game-to-game. Sure, all of Graterol, Alcala, Balazovic, Kiriloff, Larnach etc could all pan out and we could have a great team, but it's not likely. This was the year, all the stuff the FO threw at the wall offensively worked better than they could have imagined, and they needed arms. They chose not to do anything at all during the offseason, then whined that the price was too high at the deadline. I guess I don't fully understand the narrative that this team has a ton of pieces in place to be some sort of great team for the next decade.Cruz is under team control for 2020, as is Cron.
ashbury Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 but anyone who thought this team would be 24 games over .500 and in the midst of a pennant race, is not being very honest with themselves.That is fine, in March, but as the results actually unfolded, I was expecting more of a pivot by the FO in July. In My La Z boy, USAFChief, Madisonsdad and 1 other 4
Doomtints Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 So, what makes you think that next year is a step back and the year after won't be? The pitching coming up? Because as of now, our minor leagues has produced Berrios and that's about it really. You know they won't trade for anyone, or buy a good starter, right? I think this year was the year and their chance. Do I think we could still be good for a few years? Heck yeah, they should be. But I don't think you will have this kind of offense again, maybe ever. Realize, what the Twins are doing this year with the bat is historic for this franchise. Yes, I think it might take more than one year to get the pitching in order unless the Twins very uncharacteristically open their wallets. If the Twins had addressed the bullpen this year, they would only have to address the starting pitching next year. However, the Twins neglected to do that and will now have to address both. The Twins showed they can win without Sano, so he could be a nice trade chip.
Doomtints Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 You keep saying this. I think the Twins match up much better against the Yankees than the Astros. At least as far as the Twins batters vs the opponents pitching. I will say what I said on this website before the Twins played the Yankees in their last wild card game: The Twins can only beat the Yankees in the playoffs if it's a low scoring game and the Twins squeak out a run or two at the very end. If there is early scoring and it becomes a bullpen game, forget about it. If you recall this is exactly what happened, and it's what will happen again. The Twins fared very well against Houston this year, probably better than they have against any other playoff team. The Twins can beat them.
twinsnorth49 Old-Timey Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 That is fine, in March, but as the results actually unfolded, I was expecting more of a pivot by the FO in July. I believe I mentioned that. That disappoints me, but not the overall performance of the team. It’s really two different things.
twinsnorth49 Old-Timey Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 I will say what I said on this website before the Twins played the Yankees in their last wild card game: The Twins can only beat the Yankees in the playoffs if it's a low scoring game and the Twins squeak out a run or two at the very end. If there is early scoring and it becomes a bullpen game, forget about it. If you recall this is exactly what happened, and it's what will happen again. The Twins fared very well against Houston this year, probably better than they have against any other playoff team. The Twins can beat them.Let’s be honest, during the last Yankees-Twins series, neither pitching staff or bullpen did anything to believe either of them can be trusted. Yes I’d rather have the Yankees pitching, but it’s far from invincible. I think it’s the opposite, the only way the Twins can compete with the Yankees in the playoffs is offensively. Nine of twelve 1
Vanimal46 Old-Timey Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 The disappointing thing to me is not taking advantage of the banked wins from April and May. They were 23 games over .500 on June 2nd. And treading water ever since... This year was a prime opportunity to make a splash in July to take advantage of their hot start... Romo and Dyson are fine additions. I guess it's my fault hoping for more out of this organization. Battle ur tail off 1
longstrangetrip Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 How is another 10 foot lead going to prevent him from being thrown out by 40 feet? He'd have just been out by 30 feet instead.You need to look at the still shots of the play in this thread. The ball hasn't quite gotten to the catcher's glove, and if Adrianza is 40 feet away, I'm 18 feet tall and have a future in the NBA! Adrianza was out by about 12 feet, and with a proper lead with the first baseman playing so far off the bag, he gets to the plate just as the ball is arriving...a much tougher play for the catcher to make. But while we can quibble about measurements, we can't quibble with the fact that it was poor baserunning and careless first base coaching. There is no excuse for the potential walk-off winning run not getting the best lead he can get.
Dave Overlund Twins Daily Contributor Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 Cruz is under team control for 2020, as is Cron.As I mentioned in my post...
yarnivek1972 Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 As I mentioned in my post...You said “Cruz and Cron will likely resign”. It isn’t up to them. Whether or not they are back is entirely up to the Twins. There is zero reason to believe that both won’t be back. Bomba2026 1
Bomba2026 Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 I would hope for the future when Cruz retires we keep him as a coach. I think we need a new Pitching coach...I think Johann Santana or Joe Nathan should work with our pitchers. What we got now is not working. Cleveland saw a need and went after it. It's not what they got(ok Puig is talented), it is what the got rid of...Bauer. His attitude was @rapola. Hopefully Puig can pick up where he left off...If Clev tries waving and mocking the Yankees, they will get cut back to size. My random daily thoughts.
Dave Overlund Twins Daily Contributor Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 (edited) You said “Cruz and Cron will likely resign”.It isn’t up to them. Whether or not they are back is entirely up to the Twins. There is zero reason to believe that both won’t be back.Thank you for the necessary and not at all pedantic response. Changes absolutely nothing about my original post but if it makes you feel better than yes, you are right and I am a dumb idiot. At this time last year, you could have said the same thing about Cron with the Rays, there was no reason to believe they would let him walk but here we are. Edited August 12, 2019 by Dome Dogg
In My La Z boy Verified Member Posted August 12, 2019 Posted August 12, 2019 Honest question- why does everyone talk about this "window" opening? My comment is not aimed at this particular post/author, a number of people are talking about it. Schoop, Cron, Cruz, Perez, Odorizzi, Pineda and Castro could all be gone after this season (Cruz and Cron will likely re-sign, but they aren't young cornerstones). Polanco started hot, now is trailing off. Berrios is trending in the wrong direction. Buxton can't stay on the field. Sano is a crapshoot from game-to-game. Sure, all of Graterol, Alcala, Balazovic, Kiriloff, Larnach etc could all pan out and we could have a great team, but it's not likely. This was the year, all the stuff the FO threw at the wall offensively worked better than they could have imagined, and they needed arms. They chose not to do anything at all during the offseason, then whined that the price was too high at the deadline. I guess I don't fully understand the narrative that this team has a ton of pieces in place to be some sort of great team for the next decade. Completely agree THIS was the year. FO wasn't ready for THIS to be the year. So they behaved like THIS wasn't the year at the deadline. I used the window opening phrase because this is how it is commonly referred when your "wave" arrives, matures, just prior to another wave being ready. We are there. No doubt our 1st "wave" of Kepler/Buxton/Polanco/Garver/Berrios/Rosario/Rogers/Sano all are better and getting better - next "wave" Arraez/Kiriloff/Graterol/Lewis/Rooker/Balazovic will be here between now & 2021 - this is how it is done. 75% of the line up are star system prospects, augmented by expensive vet additions. And you better win it all before you need to sign your youngsters to real contracts. I'd say our deadline to win it all is 2021. Won't be able to afford this line up in 2022. I hope we don't look back at 2019 as being our best chance. We are going to have to slugfest this thing to get anywhere in the playoffs. Madisonsdad and Dave Overlund 2
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