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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Rocco just said that Buxton is going to start the year as the DH... yikes, the injuries really are mounting.
  2. I wouldn't call Maeda a #2 starter since he hasn't pitched like one since 2020, but outside of that, I'd say we have 4 #2 starters. Definitely the best rotation, or at least depth in my time following the Twins.
  3. I think it's time to boot up the annual roster moves and transactions thread with the regular season so close. I'll post some moves from yesterday: Feel free to post updates here. (For minor league transactions see the equivalent thread in the Minor League forum.)
  4. I think it's rather clear that Solano is the guy for the first couple weeks. I don't think I could stomach seeing another long stint of Miranda attempting to play 1B, especially as he's focused heavily on being an everyday 3B.
  5. 20+ HRs from Kepler feels pretty unrealistic after he had a whopping 9 in 446 PAs last year - which for reference, is as many HRs as Nick Gordon hit in 443 PAs, and even Arraez reached 8 HRs (though he had another 160 PAs). Sure, I think he'll hit a few more singles this year with the new shift limitations, but his power is in steady decline and I don't see any discernable reason why it's going to spike upwards. I'd really like to see Larnach seize LF or RF, but he's just got to stay healthy. I dunno about Wallner, we just haven't had success on batters who strike out so often, so I wouldn't bet on him.
  6. If Ober is going to be in the rotation long-term, start him now. He has nothing to gain in AAA and Maeda probably hits the market next year, so let’s build up Ober’s innings and test his durability over the year.
  7. Only the Twins were allowed to make him an offered because they paid the posting fee... unless you are saying they bid against nobody for that fee?
  8. They had to pay the posting fee, which research shows was $12.85M.
  9. He became a minor league free agent at the end of 2022 and sat around for a bit, until the Twins signed him. If other teams thought anything of him, he’d been signed in an instant.
  10. I hope they have a plan to relieve Pagan and Megill... and when the injuries inevitably hit.
  11. Yup, Rojas was a 2.5 WAR player at SS for Miami last year despite a .605 OPS, and the previous three years combined he was a .732 OPS hitter. He is a fine replacement and Farmer is not an improvement... not to mention, we need him. Gordon is an outfielder who can handle himself at 2B, but is not going to be playing SS again in the majors.
  12. I don't see them eating $2M after he spends a month with the team, the plan seems to be that he will be a bench bat.
  13. Analytics suggest bad/mediocre starters shouldn’t go more than 5. Just wait for when our starters start going deeper into games, folks here will claim “Rocco has turned a new leaf!”, but in reality it will be because he has a quality rotation of arms he can trust.
  14. Agreed, I've been high on Alcala but he was trash for a good portion of 2021, they never demoted him but he certainly deserved it. I'm also going to need to see more than just 18 good innings to declare him a good reliever.
  15. I said at the start of free agency that it feels like our FA money is always spent on hitters... and here we are, they've spent 100% of their FA money on hitters, only adding Lopez's salary via a trade. I'm not complaining, just pointing it out.
  16. This feels like a stopgap for Polanco potentially leaving... or not being healthy, I guess. It's hard to say what's up, but seeing as how he's played a lot of 2B and Farmer is more likely to back up 3B/SS, it seems like they are expecting someone in the starting lineup to be out. Yeah, there doesn't seem to be much faith in the prospects. Julien is close but clearly not close enough to prevent a signing like this, and neither is Austin Martin.
  17. I'm had some negative things to say about Twins players/prospects lately... but Rodriguez is a stud and I think he's still underrated. Dude's got a massive ceiling. Just stay healthy, please!
  18. Eh, his fastball doesn't have enough movement and it's too hittable, and he hung too many breaking balls right down the middle, leading to the poor results we saw last year. I get why they're giving him another go-around, but this reeks of a May DFA after he bottoms out.
  19. That would be a perfect way to end the offseason!
  20. I'm torn on SWR... the raw numbers are good, but the scouts aren't high on him due to command issues and his stuff not being great. I just want to see some Twins-developed starting prospects break into the rotation and keep their job... in my time observing Twins pitching prospects, approximately one prospect has lived up to my expectations as a starting pitcher (Berrios). Please, SWR and Varland, change this! Break the cycle of futility!
  21. It was more that the Jays weren't as high on him as the prospects evaluators were, so they sold high on him. I couldn't find the source, but I'll post it if I can find it.
  22. I agree with all this, I just don't get the Arraez comparisons. Martin hit .241 in his second go-around at AA with no power, Arraez hit in the .290s his first time around. Frankly I don't care a whole ton about the power, the issue is that outside of drawing walks he is a poor hitter against AA competition, and he's also not on track to be a plus defender. I don't get their insistence of keeping him at SS when it's obvious he won't stick there in the majors. His much better hitting in the fall league is encouraging, but he needs to do a whole lot more to regain his former prospect status - he was considered 1A/1B with Royce Lewis last year, now he looks like he might end up being a utility/bench bat. There was a tweet in the Berrios trade discussion about how the Blue Jays don't trade away top prospects that they believe in...
  23. Jeffers has a 161 wRC? Dang, it must be like 25 against righties, then. This isn’t exactly convincing me that we didn’t need Urshela, but it’s better than expected. Depends on how healthy the lineup can stay…
  24. I agree, I would substitute Urshela for one of Kepler or Gallo and I think the lineup would be better. Gio probably doesn't have a 3.1 WAR season again in 2023, but I'm worried about where our run production is going to come from with Gio and Arraez removed from the lineup. Gotta hope the shift bans turn Gallo and Kepler into better hitters. It's not an egregious move, as I believe in Miranda and Correa is back, but I would have wanted more than a #30-40 prospect back for Gio.
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