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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Jeffers has a 161 wRC? Dang, it must be like 25 against righties, then. This isn’t exactly convincing me that we didn’t need Urshela, but it’s better than expected. Depends on how healthy the lineup can stay…
  2. I agree, I would substitute Urshela for one of Kepler or Gallo and I think the lineup would be better. Gio probably doesn't have a 3.1 WAR season again in 2023, but I'm worried about where our run production is going to come from with Gio and Arraez removed from the lineup. Gotta hope the shift bans turn Gallo and Kepler into better hitters. It's not an egregious move, as I believe in Miranda and Correa is back, but I would have wanted more than a #30-40 prospect back for Gio.
  3. I agree, get Sands and Henriquez in the pen at AAA as soon as possible and let's see what they've got. Ober definitely stays in the rotation, we will need him sooner than later. I'm torn on Winder, I'd keep him as a starter for now.
  4. Chafin would certainly be an upgrade, obviously price is the issue there. I'd also take Fulmer back since it appears that teams aren't willing to pay what he's asking for. I'd ditch Megill in a heartbeat, and of course Pagan too but we know he's staying. I wouldn't be upset if we don't add another arm with our salary around $150M, but it also wouldn't shock me if we reach midseason and we need to make a couple bullpen trades to keep it together.
  5. It feels like our #15-30 prospects are considerably worse than we've had the past, partly to due graduation to the majors, trades, and regression/release. Thankfully we have some quality prospects in the top 10, but overall the depth is lacking and our farm system is being ranked below average, which seems about right. And I don't say that to be a Debbie Downer, it's just pretty apparent when comparing these guys to previous years.
  6. I think they could use another arm or two, but they've made it clear they hate paying relievers and they're also not very good at identifying them on the market, so I get why. Gotta hope Lopez rebounds and Alcala stays healthy, plus perhaps a couple young arms stepping it up (Winder/Sands/Henriquez). You also have to wonder how much longer Thielbar can keep pitching so well.
  7. They can release him, but will they? I could easily see them stay stubborn while he's struggling at the plate. Our front office has shown they will stick with the guys they've paid well past their major struggles.
  8. Perhaps it will be if the Twins have a winning season in 2023, and it certainly will be over if they can finally win a single playoff game. But if they rattle off a third straight losing season, "woe is me" will not do it justice.
  9. Wasn’t Arraez considerably better defensively at 1B than Sano? And if they need a lefty hitter (someone who can hit LHP) who is positionless, just bring Garlick back. As MILB depth, sure.
  10. Urshela had a 3 WAR season last year, you think Farmer is doing to top that? I don’t see him slotting in as a starter like Gio was, he probably plays the Adrianza / Marwin G role. That’ll still get him a lot of ABs since nobody on this team can stay healthy, but I don’t see him in the #4-6 spots in the lineup and hitting like Gio did.
  11. Not sure why they bother to trade a young international prospect for a guy they are probably going to DFA soon, but whatever. Seems like another guy who should have been in the pen full-time last year, yet was starting games for Texas' AAA team. Moving failed starters to the pen is a rather fruitful strategy and it's worth a shot, I just don't know if it makes sense to keep him on the 40 man roster.
  12. Martin doesn’t deserve to be in the same conversation as Arraez, Luis hit .318 at AA (.298 in his first couple months), and Martin couldn’t hit well even in his second go-around at AA! There are few players who pan out like Arraez and Merrifield do. Nick Gordon is a solid comparison, I could see Martin taking the late bloomer route as a backup OF who has a decent season or two in the majors. But if he wants to be more than that, he needs to be more than a prospect whose only strengths are stealing bases and taking a ton of walks.
  13. B-B-But they were never serious about signing him, or so it went from so many people. Turns out Kyle Farmer was not plan A for the starting SS job. 6/200 is fine, I highly prefer the shorter term. I give the deal an A+, with the only concern being the injuries. Turns out the Twins we’re willing to spend again this year, just like how they set a new payroll record every past year. Still don’t like the Gallo move, but ‘cheap Pohlads’ whiners be damned. And can we stop acting like Boras is some sort of genius? He didn’t end up getting Correa that big of a deal and it turned out Carlos was open to playing here long term. We just needed to pony up the most cash, and while it took some MRIs to get there, in the end the Twins are risking it. I will laid them for that over signing mediocre FAs.
  14. I don't think the FO has ever DFA'd a guy and he turned into something... sure, I reacted poorly when we DFA'd Travis Blankenhorn and Edwar Colina, but I trust the FO knows what they're doing when it comes to that.
  15. So what’s the allegory for the two failed physicals / upset potential boyfriends?
  16. For me the real story is Enlow, they must be pretty low on him to DFA him now, as I have to think with his pedigree he gets claimed. I would have liked to see him as a full time reliever and see if he could make it to the bigs by the end of the year. Another pitching prospect goes down the drain… Ortega’s profile reminds me of Megill, high fastball speeds but too hittable. That BB/9 is not going to fly here.
  17. I'm surprised 2 RandBalls Stu articles made the top 5, not that I'm complaining, but the initial Correa signing wasn't in the top 5? That's a shock. I guess we could use another satire writer here, clearly there is demand for it!
  18. I don’t think the Twins would be moving him for a lottery ticket, it sounds like there is some demand for him. I’d guess he gets one #11-20 prospect or a MLB reliever.
  19. At least 4 sources have reported the same offer from what I’ve seen, it would be hard to believe that it was some sort of fabrication at this point. The offer fits the FO’s MO of coming up short to a top tier FA, so I don’t see reason to doubt it.
  20. Maybe Correa can get Kirk Cousins contracts every other year or so? Just keep taking short deals high on APY and keep betting on yourself.
  21. We have the payroll, and since we're not landing Correa, why not splurge a little on the bullpen? We shouldn't make assumptions with so many question marks in the pen (Pagan, Lopez, Alcala to start), and the FO already blundered the pen in the first half last year by making Joe Smith the only FA acquisition. They shouldn't let the ghost of Addison Reed haunt them forever.
  22. If Joe had some playoff success, then he'd have better chances. The Yankees would certainly give him more chances for that... instead, 0 playoff wins with Mauer in the lineup.
  23. The drama never ends! What happens next, nobody knows! I think there’s still a chance he ends up a Twin, but would he pass a physical here?
  24. Jason Castro, Marwin Gonazlez, Nelson Cruz was technically a two year deal if you include the option. Maybe 'love' is too strong of a term, but it seems like every offseason they spend 60%+ of the available cash on hitting.
  25. They love spending FA cash on hitters, but avoid paying pitching like the plague. They rarely pay FA starters anything more than a one year deal, and despise paying relievers. I understand why with how often they bust, but the alternative approach also isn't working. Imagine if Correa inked the deal they offered, the Falvine regime's spending on pitching compared to hitting would be something like 80% to 20%. Darren Wolfson had reported that they were nowhere close to matching Michael Fulmer's price on the market, so it looks like they are nickeling and dimeing the relieving market again.
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