TopGunn#22
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Everything posted by TopGunn#22
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I get what the Twins are doing and I'm on board with it. I'd still like to give him the green light to steal to get closer to his full potential offensively.
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Royce Lewis is Ready to Rock
TopGunn#22 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
We ALL root hard for Royce Lewis and it's an easy thing to do. Here's hoping for the best for him. he has the right makeup to be a great player and to be around guys like Correa and Buxton is a bonus. -
At this point Solano hasn't earned anything. We have a TON of options at 2B. I agree with the idea of releasing Solano at the conclusion of ST and signing him to a minor league contract at that point. Julien's bat will play. He could be a very effective leadoff hitter. I'm hoping Polanco can contribute heavily this season but his condition is concerning.
- 39 replies
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- jorge polanco
- royce lewis
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Twins 2023 Position Analysis: Starting Pitcher
TopGunn#22 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
To be competitive, you have to pitch. It was tough to give up Arraez but Lopez is a solid SP. I'm encouraged with our depth as well.- 42 replies
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- joe ryan
- sonny gray
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I think DeLeon IS that guy. I could easily see him breaking camp with the team. Leash on pagan has to be pretty short as well. I'm totally on board with the "vets" we signed getting first crack. But if they struggle at the plate and Lee and Julien are raking I agree we could see one or both of them within the first month or so.
- 34 replies
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- jorge polanco
- alex kirilloff
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Ranking the Twins Top-5 Power Tool Prospects: 2023
TopGunn#22 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Add the #5 overall pick in the June draft as a "mystery player." We could very well take a pitcher if one falls but there's no denying someone with a lot of talent will be available there.- 16 replies
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- matt wallner
- aaron sabato
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Cleveland is the King until someone takes it from them. When you pitch, you're always in the game, and we know Cleveland will pitch. They were fairly healthy last year, something the Twins and white Sox weren't. So to me, whoever has the best fortune "health-wise" will come out on top. If Luis Robert and Eloy Jimenez can ever stay healthy imagine what that White Sox lineup could do. If the Twins get 130+ games out of Buxton what an impact that could have on the Twins season. I'm expect, and am hoping for a great pennant race between the Twins, Cleveland and White Sox.
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Could Bailey Ober Still Win A Rotation Spot?
TopGunn#22 replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The fact that Maeda has pitched out of the bullpen, and effectively, makes me think Ober has a real shot at cracking the rotation. I know Maeda's contract is loaded with incentives, but he's probably not in any long term plans either. And being a long man out of the pen to begin with may actually be beneficial to Maeda. The idea of a 6 man rotation is interesting, but especially to start the season, with off days aplenty, I don't like that the time between starts could be too long for some pitchers. Guys like Pablo Lopez, Sonny Gray and Joe Ryan want the ball and too much rest may not be helpful.- 51 replies
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- opening day 2023
- bailey ober
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Can Jorge López Rediscover His First-Half Success?
TopGunn#22 replied to Lou Hennessy's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Lopez to me, is the key member of our bullpen. If he's 90% of what he was with Baltimore in the first half last year we have a solid formula to get Duran in the highest leverage situations with someone we can have high confidence will close out the game. The assessment that he needs to be at least a Jax/Theilbar level is good. For me, that would be the floor. He has great stuff, there's no question about that. Wilfong has indeed written often about the personal anguish Lopez was going through as his family was suffering greatly after a natural disaster. If Lopez is more like the second half performer, Rocco will be scrambling all year to have some semblance of a formula he can have confidence in. We should certainly get more innings and better production out of our starting rotation. But as Twins fans, we've seen the bullpen let us down time and time again. I think Lopez can bounce back.- 12 replies
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- jorge lopez
- griffin jax
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Pros and Cons of a Jhoan Duran Extension
TopGunn#22 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I usually lean toward signing the young player because of the message it sends the players that if they perform they will be rewarded. I liked the deals with Polanco and Kepler and I like the idea of cost certainty moving forward. Teams like Cleveland and Atlanta have been very smart and calculated with this. And I think Duran is certainly a piece we want to build around. There is no question there is risk. Pitchers are inherently a more risky proposition than hitters and Duran's own history is cautionary. I think it's unlikely given his dominance as a RP, but there is always the possibility he could still be viewed as a potential starter.- 30 replies
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- jhoan duran
- tyler duffey
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Twins 2023 Position Analysis: Second Base
TopGunn#22 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Twins are a much better team if Polanco is playing and producing. And I don't think you can undervalue how reasonable his contract is with what you would expect to get out of him. The Twins have several candidates who could/should eventually emerge to replace Polanco---Lewis, Lee, possibly Martin and possibly whoever we select with the #5 overall pick this year. But this is an important bridge year. Until the eventual successor can prove themselves it's tough to determine who is more important for this season: Kirilloff or Polanco? Both playing at the level they are capable of would be HUGE. One or both NOT being able to will be a tough thing to piece together to come close.- 19 replies
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- jorge polanco
- donovan solano
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Twins 2023 Position Analysis: First Base
TopGunn#22 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yeah, Nettles was part of the trade to bring Luis Tiant to the Twins for the 1970 season. This is why Kirilloff is such a key to the Twins season. He could fill that 1B spot and be a solid middle of the order bat. He's a special talent, but we're all hoping he can be healthy. If he's healthy, I don't think there's anyone on TD who doesn't think he will hit.- 41 replies
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- alex kirilloff
- joey gallo
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I have always been of the mind to just play Buxton and not handle him like fine China and only take him out for holidays and other special occasions. However, I remember how I felt about Joe Mauer and how important his bat was to the Twins. To me, it seemed like had the Twins moved him out from catcher and began the 1B or RF transition sooner, they might have gotten more out of him and for a longer time period. I understand those who don't think a Mauer/Buxton comparison is valid, but the way Nick has laid this out I can see that I was treating them differently but now am aware of how similar their situations are. The defense both provided is a key comparison and while Redmond was never the defensive equal of Mauer he had some good seasons with the bat. Just having Taylor allows for very little defensive drop off. In the end, the primary goal is for Buxton to play, because when he does he will have a very positive impact. With the new rules I would very much like to see Buxton be more aggressive in stealing. Yes, that could put him at risk, but at some time you just have to play the game. I think Riverbrian's note says it all. At least for me and wanting to get ALL of what Buxton can do. He could/should be a guy who could swipe 40 bases
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Be Prepared for a New Look Twins Team
TopGunn#22 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If you pitch, you're always in the game. Baseball will look different and familiar this year. Different from the last several years and more familiar to those of us who grew up watching baseball in the 60's, 70's and 80's. I don't think we will see a Rickey Henderson or Lou Brock type of SB total, but we will certainly see more aggressive baserunning and as fans I think we will love it. I see Jorge Lopez as a huge key to this season. If he's 80-100% of what he was for the Orioles in the first half of the season he will allow Rocco to use Duran as that high leverage guy and Lopez will get us saves. If he's more like the pitcher we acquired, then Rocco will have a harder time defining roles and things will be difficult. The starters are veterans and have proven track records when healthy. The bullpen needs to shine for us to truly battle Cleveland and Chicago.- 44 replies
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- sonny gray
- tyler mahle
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I had not really considered Polanco but I can see the logic in what SpecialistSteve said. I agree with Gallo and Kepler seeing little time at DH. When they play, their defense is a positive. Having a Molitor, Cruz, Thome etc... means that guy fills that spot at the highest level. But absent that, I like the flexibility too. I'm in the camp that hopes Buxton doesn't have too many DH games for the obvious reasons. But I'm in favor of anything that gets him to 140+ games. I wouldn't mind seeing Kirilloff get chances there, but I much prefer him at 1B as much as possible.
- 38 replies
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- byron buxton
- jorge polanco
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Late February Roster Prediction
TopGunn#22 commented on stringer bell's blog entry in stringer bell's Blog
My only differing thought would be the same as Doc Bauer with Winder. I was pretty impressed with him at times last season and I think he could be a 2-3 inning guy that teams need from time to time. It's a shame Ober will probably begin the season at St. Paul, but if Maeda is healthy and capable of going 5-6 innings per start he's a great guy to have at #5. As others have said, it's just great to have what appears to be "depth" this year with good options to call on should injury or ineffectiveness occur. I would like to see Pagan on a short leash. There is no need to keep trotting him out there if he's not effective.- 14 comments
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- 26-man roster
- pitching staff
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Second Base Is Twins Most Intriguing Position in 2023
TopGunn#22 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
As soon as I scanned the headlines I went right to this article. Great topic Ted! My initial thought before reading was that Kirilloff is the #1 key and I see several others agree with that. But Ted is right to highlight 2nd base for all the reasons he listed and many others have commented on. Twins Daily has so many knowledgeable people commented with differing opinions that it's always a treat to log on. This is why it was wise to trade Arraez for a solid #2 starter like Pablo Lopez. Pitching keeps teams in every game where a key hit or play can mean victory. You can never have too much pitching. I'm looking for a solid year from Polanco. He's been a key bat in our lineup since he arrived. But we literally have several prospects who could replace him. They aren't just "prospects" they are GOOD prospects. Lewis & Lee stand at the top but as Heiny so effectively laid out his depth chart this team is in MUCH better shape than same time last year. Our outfield at times last season was an embarrassment. I believe this off season was the best this front office has ever had. Some of these prospects will not pan out, but the talent they possess tells me some of them will and the time is coming for Lewis and Lee to shine. We all want Polanco to have a great season because if he does, chances are the Twins are having a great season. He could very well perform at a level where his option is just too cost effective to refuse. But the better he does, and if Lewis and Lee are tearing it up, he becomes a tremendous trade chip as well.- 37 replies
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- jorge polanco
- royce lewis
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It's nice to dream, but I've said this before, Burnes will be a Dodger, Met or Yankee. As much as the Twins have accomplished this offseason (I mean who REALLY thought we'd end up with Correa)? If the Brewers are put into a position that they must deal Burnes, I would expect one of the aforementioned teams to put a better trade package together and then to sign Burnes to an incredibly heavy contract. I have written about a couple trades for Woodruff, but as good as he is, he's not in the same class as Burnes. Honestly, I wish Burnes could stay a Brewer but those days ended with the advent of free agency.
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Is Now the Right Time for a Royce Lewis Extension?
TopGunn#22 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is what smart teams do. Showing faith and support for Lewis to blossom could reap huge dividends for the Twins. I think this kid will be a star and look forward to many seasons watching him play for the Twins. Identify your BEST young players and keep them. -
Great article Ted ! Just when a guy thinks he knows a little about baseball an article like yours comes out of nowhere and leaves many of us pondering how much we really know. Thanks for this enlightening perspective. We will just have to see what the new rule changes mean for how baseball is played this year. I'm hoping for more of the game I grew up with.
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I'm not predicting World Series Champs. You need to be the Astros, Dodgers, Mets, to have that kind of confidence. But there is no question the Twins are better NOW than they were same time last season. I've been very critical of our front office. (yup, my trade of Kepler for Frankie Montas looks REALLY good about now). I think despite a very slow start (as usual) they finished with a great off season. I'm looking for a tremendous pennant race between the Twins, White Sox and Cleveland. All the White Sox need is health. Sound familiar? They lost Abreu but what happens when they get healthy, productive seasons out of Luis Robert and Eloy Jim? Chicago clearly won last off season and then injuries ruined them. Tony&Rodney is right, a new manager will be very helpful. The Guardians are the defending division champs and have the best pitching in the division and added power to their lineup. It's their division until someone takes it from them. The Twins had a GREAT offseason, but health more than anything else will determine success. I just like the feeling I have for the coming season better than I have for awhile.
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- carlos correa
- zack greinke
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Is This Where Byron Buxton’s Injuries End?
TopGunn#22 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think the Paul Molitor and Pete Reiser comps are excellent. With Reiser, he wasn't able to overcome it, with Molitor he was, all the way to a HOF career. I also agree with Dave the Dastardly that sitting Buxton when he's healthy in an attempt to "prevent" injuries is bad strategy. Play him every day he's healthy. If he's "injured" then sit him until he and the team are confident he's 100%. -
Great article Luke! Great conversation as well. Tony-O is my guy, but I can't quibble with your four. Killebrew, Carew and Puckett are the sure things. Killebrew was the face of the franchise. Carew was the greatest player in Twins history and Puckett led the Twins to their 2 World Series Championships. Where it gets tough is that last person. If we were counting the Senators era it would be the Big Train. But several have pointed out why it should only be the Twins era. I agree with the comparison of how the Dodgers and Giants moved out of New York but stayed with their brand and maintained their rivalry and in contrast, Griffith did everything he could to market the "Twins." The Senators brand was horrible. So that leaves us with that last person. Mauer has an MVP. Tony-O does not. Mauer played the more difficult defensive position. BOTH suffered injuries that shortened their careers. Once Carew arrived on the scene, Oliva was going to have a hard time winning any batting titles. I just wish he would have had the ability to put up more counting stats. Each of Puckett, Oliva and Mauer saw their careers shortened somewhat by injury. It's too bad, but we all got to enjoy them in their prime.
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Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #1 Brooks Lee, SS
TopGunn#22 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Great points Doc. I see them as 1 and 1A as well. I put Lee #1 because he's had no injuries yet and he was such a steal falling to the 8th pick that his hit tool could very well have him up this year. It will be later in the season, maybe August, but it could very well happen. I thumbed "UP" on so many comments I felt like I didn't really even need to type something, but heck! Where's the fun in NOT commenting? Correa is a Gold Glove SS. He stays there until he NEEDS to move. Lewis and Lee will probably get reps to show what they can do as well on days off for Carlos or if Correa DH's. I like our future infield!

