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Reptevia

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Everything posted by Reptevia

  1. I’m thinking 12-16.
  2. Oh please. To pretend that this team is one piece away from even competing in this division is pure fantasy. I’ll be listening, but if everything falls into place, they finish 2nd. Prolonged injuries to any of Buxton, Correa or Polanco, and the season is probably lost. Beyond those three, there are legitimate question marks at every other position. They are either hoping for vast improvement and health or no regression to players who had a modicum of success in their short careers.
  3. Main takeaway: Twins have 3 above average players on offense. They are going to have a really hard time scoring.
  4. If seven things fall into place, it could be a good year! Unfortunately, that list is far from comprehensive. It’s probably more like 12 things…That said, Go Twins! I’ll be listening…
  5. Predictions: Gallo will barely play 1b if at all. Kepler will barely play CF if at all. Taylor is the starting CF, and will end up with the most innings played there by a WIDE margin. I understand everyone is super excited by the OF defense. Yea! It’s great to have, but only really wins close games. That means we need outstanding pitching because this team will struggle to score runs. [Gordon…”was not that good last year, people seem to be missing that. He was a 1.6 WAR player. He’s a bench guy.”. And that was good for like 4th best on the team? The history suggests Buxton will regress to less than the number of games he played last year. Despite all the rainbows and unicorn kisses on here, this is not a very good team. I’m thinking somewhere around 70-80 wins, and that’s because I’m optimistic.
  6. “No team can survive throwing seven left-handed first basemen out into the field, no matter how well they hit the ball.” Also, no team can survive with Jeffers, Kepler and Gallo in the same lineup. Three automatic outs is too much of a lead to give up unless we win a lot of 2-1 games. Yes, we have FB pitchers. Unfortunately, a lot of the flys aren’t catchable when they’re in the stands. It should be an interesting real world/real time demonstration of how much defensive WAR is really worth.
  7. “I agree that Polanco is probably the key position player this season (assuming Buxton is playing 50% of the games in CF and 30% games as DH). This team offensively could very well go the way of Polanco’s season.” This team as is will have a lot of difficulty scoring runs. Remember, Buxton played 1/3 of CF games last year! Your projections are unrealistic and more than pie in the sky.
  8. I think you spelled Gallo, Kepler, Kiriloff, Larnach and the pitching staff wrong. There really isn’t a player on the team that doesn’t need to prove something this year.
  9. He has less value than Taylor at this point. Better to see what he’s worth at deadline.
  10. I think it’s a decent flyer to take-even at this price. Best case: Gallo=Prospects.
  11. They are not the same player, and it’s not really close. The Twins needed a starting CF, and last year made it clear Celestino wasn’t ready physically or emotionally. I hope he has a great year and leads AAA in all categories. He should not step foot in the Bigs this year.
  12. Let’s base it on an even larger sample size- his entire career. He’s basically had one good year that was based largely on the live ball (2019). His OPS and OPS+ have declined every year since 2019.
  13. Reptevia

    Who's on 1st

    Try Kepler at 1st??? That negates the only value he has. Might as well play Sano there.
  14. “When browsing through Kepler’s Baseball Savant page, you get smacked in the face with his surprisingly good 2022 Percentile Rankings. What conclusions can we draw from this?” We can conclude that modern metrics that only attempt to measure speculative things are pretty much useless. Should one base projections based on facts (past performance ) or should decisions be based on basically hopes and wishes? Logic dictates that wise decisions are based on facts, not speculation.
  15. If he comes up to stay this year, it would make him the fastest prospect In Twins history. Maybe a September call up is more realistic.
  16. If this is the future of baseball, I’m out.
  17. Let’s be clear: Buxton played 57 games in CF. That’s only about a 1/3, and the confetti hasn’t hit the floor yet. Is that seriously enough for a “starter”? Celestino simply wasn’t a MLB hitter last year. Gallo’s calling card is his bat??? A career .199 hitter??? Ok… Gordon-Agreed. Kepler- It’s been a good ride. Good luck wherever you get traded to. Kiriloff- IF he can play. IF his wrist holds up, he should be on roster. Larnach- IF he can stay healthy and learn to hit a curve ball…he could be a 5th OF. It makes more sense to send him to St Paul and find an RH upgrade (starter) who can play CF 2/3 of the games on the trade market.
  18. I said 5/$175 last week. This is close enough. If I had to guess, he is only insurable for 5 years? If so, that’s a gamble a small market team has to take. This makes one of Lewis/Miranda expendable? Or Lewis at 3B and Miranda at 1st? Good problems to have.
  19. Agreed. The second worst pro sports announcer behind Paul Allen.
  20. “The Twins need someone who can play centerfield regularly with a bat that stands up when the player has to fit into a corner outfield spot.” And they should sign one! Meanwhile, Celestino goes to Saint Paul to learn to be a big leaguer.
  21. And I believe exactly zero of them won a World Series after signing these contracts.
  22. Then our medical people are smarter than the Giants and Mets people? I find that hard to believe given all the injured players they’ve signed off on.
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