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At the midway point of last season, José Miranda looked like he had hit his way back into the Twins' plans. He slashed .325/.366/.522 in the first half, but suffered a back injury and posted a .543 OPS to finish the season. As a result, the Twins didn’t trust him to become the full-time first baseman headed into 2025. In a small sample this season, he’s proven their decision correct.
Miranda was a late-blooming prospect. It took him a few years to turn his ability to make frequent contact into an ability to do damage. Even as he ascended through the minor leagues, his consistency was always the question, as his lack of patience canceled out his lack of swing-and-miss. That's precisely what we’ve seen from him (at his worst) at the MLB level.
So far this season, Miranda’s plate approach has continued to hold him back. The Royce Lewis and Brooks Lee injuries have allowed him to play in every game thus far, but he has done little to seize the opportunity.
Miranda whiffing at nearly 33% of pitches is likely the result of the small sample, but the rest of his profile affirms the concerns many have long harbored about him. He’s chased over 40% of pitches outside the zone, which has always been his chief flaw. It’s resulted in minimal hard contact, which will continue even as the whiff rate stabilizes.
We’re watching the worst version of Miranda right now. We’ve seen it before, and so far in 2025, it appears he hasn’t ironed out these tendencies. We know he can be a force at the plate when locked in and 100% healthy, but he’s continually bounced between extreme highs and extreme lows in his career, with little in between.
When he’s seeing pitches in the zone, his ability to make contact has resulted in some memorable performances. When pitchers decide not to throw him anything to hit, he’s taking the same swings and badly slumping. It also results in very low walk rates, and Miranda has yet to earn a free pass this season.
We still aren’t sure of the timelines for Brooks Lee and Royce Lewis, but Miranda will have to go on a run offensively before either of them returns. The Twins have no shortage of options in the DH spot, where Miranda will likely need most of his playing time to come from when another third baseman is ready to take over in the field. The Twins are doubtful of him, considering he’s been hitting in the 8th spot against right-handed pitching. It’s up to Miranda to prove them wrong.
A major-league hitter can make a living chasing pitches and making frequent contact. Twins fans got to experience the highs and lows of this strategy for years when Eddie Rosario was roaming the outfield. It’s a difficult needle to thread regarding sustained performance, though, and it typically doesn’t age well. The Twins, notably, cut bait with Rosario in his last year of arbitration at age 29 and were proven correct.
The hope was that Miranda could evolve at the plate to become more well-rounded and consistent. The early returns in 2025 show the same problematic plate approach, and as he nears 27 years of age, the likelihood of adjusting has significantly declined. He may always be a feast-or-famine hitter, cut from the opposite end of the same cloth as hitters such as Joey Gallo and Miguel Sano.
It’s an important year for Miranda, and he’s gotten off to a discouraging start. While the sample size is minuscule, many of his past deficiencies at the plate have been alive and well so far. Can he turn it around before another third baseman is ready to return?
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