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The hated Chicago White Sox, who already got Justin Ishbia and the Pope this year, win again. They will pick first in the 2026 MLB Draft, after winning the annual MLB Draft Lottery on Tuesday evening in Orlando. The Twins will pick third, but can find some consolation in not having fallen any further.
The division-rival Royals also got a bump, as they entered with the 16th slot in the theoretical draft order but landed the sixth overall pick. The Royals, San Francisco Giants and Tampa Bay Rays all jumped into the lottery section (the top six selections), so the Twins were more fortunate than the Orioles, Athletics, or Braves, who all tumbled to the back half of the top 10.
So, what are some of the ramifications of this outcome? Let's talk through the talent and the dollars.
The Twins will miss out on Roch Cholowsky, the consensus number one player in this class and the best college shortstop prospect in at least a decade. There's also a number two guy, at least currently, in Grady Emerson. Number three onwards is where things get interesting.
Let's start with the good news, this is a strong class. The top of the first round is particularly resplendent with excellent college bats, with something for everyone. There's profiles like Kentucky shortstop Tyler Bell and Georgia Tech outfielder Drew Burress, who do everything pretty well, a pair of college aces in Liam Peterson and Cam Flukey, or bats that are higher risk, higher reward such as Justin Lebron, or Jacob Lombard. The Twins are going to have access to an outstanding player with the luxury of watching who separates themselves this spring and summer.
While falling is never good, things could have been a lot worse. There was a ~$4 million difference between the Twins best case scenario (first) and their worst (eighth). Falling one spot will cost them ~$700,000 in bonus pool money, they are also picking higher than their regular season record dictated they would.
Using last years' slot values as a proxy, the 3rd pick will be worth ~$9,500,000 plus the typical 4-9% year-on-year increase from MLB. The upshot of that is the Twins will likely be able to sign their college bat of choice and reappropriate some funds to their Comp B or second round pick to sign a high upside prep player.
In the coming days, we'll have more on possible prospects the Twins might target, and some more in the weeds bonus pool math. For now, let's finish with this. It could have been better, but it could have been a whole lot worse.







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