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    A Not-Too-Early Breakdown of Minnesota’s Most Interesting Trade Deadline Candidates

    Minnesota’s roster still has recognizable talent, but the organization increasingly feels stuck in the middle with difficult decisions looming this summer.

    Cody Christie
    Image courtesy of Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

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    The Minnesota Twins entered the season hoping to convince everyone that last year’s disappointment was a temporary stumble. Instead, the first half has only created more uncertainty about where this organization is actually headed.

    Minnesota’s ownership would say this isn’t a full rebuild. It also doesn’t look like a legitimate contending effort. That middle ground is the worst place a franchise can live in modern baseball. Teams either push their chips in or aggressively build toward the future. The Twins continue to hover somewhere in between, and with the trade deadline approaching, they may finally have to choose a direction.

    Minnesota still has enough talent on the roster to intrigue contenders around the league. However, they also have enough flaws and long-term concerns to justify selling pieces for the future. The biggest question is whether the front office is willing to admit this core may not have the runway everyone once expected.

    Here’s an early look at some of the most fascinating trade deadline decisions facing the Twins.

    Byron Buxton

    No player better represents the current state of the franchise than Buxton. On one hand, he remains the face of the organization. He has a full no-trade clause, and he has repeatedly made it clear that he wants to stay in Minnesota. When healthy, he is still one of the most electric players in baseball and one of the few stars capable of changing a game by himself. The Twins should do everything possible to keep him.

    Trading Buxton would signal far more than a roster adjustment. It would essentially announce the end of this competitive era. He is one of the few players casual fans still associate directly with Twins baseball, and moving him would create major backlash inside the clubhouse and throughout the fanbase.

    At the same time, the situation becomes more complicated if Minnesota starts moving other veteran pieces. If the front office deals away multiple core contributors, Buxton may eventually decide he no longer wants to spend the remainder of his prime stuck in another retooling phase. There would almost certainly be interest if he became available, especially from teams looking for a dynamic postseason weapon.

    The Atlanta Braves would immediately become a fascinating fit. Buxton is from Georgia, and a return closer to home could appeal to him if the Twins no longer appear serious about competing. Still, unless Buxton himself pushes the issue, it is difficult to envision Minnesota voluntarily moving him.

     

    Joe Ryan

    Ryan might be the most realistic blockbuster candidate on the roster. He is under team control only through the 2027 season, and his value may never be higher than it is right now. Ryan survived an early-season injury scare that initially looked far more concerning, and he has continued pitching like a frontline starter whenever healthy.

    That combination would make him one of the most attractive arms available at the deadline. The timing also matters. With Tarik Skubal injured, the market for controllable starting pitching could become even more aggressive. Teams desperate for rotation help would likely line up to make significant offers for Ryan.

    From Minnesota’s perspective, there is logic behind considering it. The Twins do not currently look like a team positioned to seriously contend over the next two seasons. By the time the roster is realistically ready to compete again, Ryan could already be nearing free agency. Add in his injury history and the general volatility that comes with pitchers, and there is a legitimate argument that the organization should capitalize on his value now rather than waiting for something to go wrong later.

    Of course, there is another side to the conversation. Quality starting pitching is incredibly difficult to acquire. Ryan is already proven, affordable, and capable of anchoring a rotation. Trading him would create an enormous hole and likely force the Twins into another lengthy search for pitching stability. Unless Minnesota receives an overwhelming package centered around elite prospects, there is still a strong case for keeping him and attempting to build around him instead.

    Ryan Jeffers

    Before his injury, Ryan Jeffers looked like one of the few clear success stories on Minnesota’s roster this season. He was off to a tremendous start offensively and had arguably been the team’s MVP through the first half. Jeffers provided stability in the middle of the lineup while continuing to handle a difficult workload behind the plate. At a time when much of the offense struggled with consistency, he was one of the few hitters regularly producing quality at-bats.

    That is what makes this week’s injury so frustrating for both Jeffers and the Twins. Minnesota placed Jeffers on the injured list earlier this week with a broken hamate bone, an injury that will likely sideline him for six to eight weeks. The timing could not be much worse with the trade deadline approaching quickly.

     

    Under normal circumstances, Jeffers would have made plenty of sense as a trade candidate. He is a veteran catcher on an expiring contract who could help a contender looking for offense behind the plate. Catching depth is always in demand at the deadline, especially from teams searching for postseason upgrades.

    Now the situation becomes far murkier. Even if Jeffers returns before the deadline, he will likely need time to prove he is fully healthy. Hamate bone injuries have a long history of sapping hitters’ power temporarily after they return. Many players eventually regain their production, but it is rarely an immediate process. That uncertainty could significantly shrink his market.

    Contenders may hesitate to part with meaningful prospects for a catcher who is still working his way back physically and trying to rediscover his power swing. The Twins would still likely prefer to move him rather than risk losing him for nothing after the season, but the return may not justify making the deal unless Jeffers comes back quickly and looks like himself immediately.

    Josh Bell

    Bell feels like the classic trade deadline rental candidate. He has been traded four different times during his career, so another move would hardly be surprising. Bell’s offensive profile also makes him the type of player contenders often gamble on in July. When he gets hot, he can carry a lineup for stretches, and playoff teams are always searching for extra power from the designated hitter spot.

    A contender could easily convince itself that Bell is one productive month away from becoming an impactful postseason bat.

    The problem is that his market may be limited. Bell’s defensive limitations narrow the list of interested teams considerably. His streaky offensive production also makes him difficult to trust as an everyday option. Since he is on an expiring contract, the return would likely be modest even if he finishes the first half strongly.

    Minnesota may ultimately decide his veteran presence is more valuable in the clubhouse than the low-level prospect package they would receive in return. Still, among the Twins’ veteran position players, Bell remains one of the more obvious names to watch.

    Austin Martin

    Martin has quietly become one of the more interesting depth pieces on the roster. Since being recalled during the second half of last season, he has consistently found ways to get on base and provide quality at-bats. He has also proven capable defensively in corner outfield spots, giving Minnesota a versatile player who can contribute in multiple roles. That type of player tends to matter more over a full season than many fans realize.

    However, his trade value is probably fairly limited. Contending teams could view Martin as a useful bench bat or platoon player, but there are questions about how large a role he can realistically handle. Since he bats right-handed, his ideal usage against left-handed pitching becomes somewhat restrictive compared to a traditional platoon option.

    The Twins also may not gain much by moving him. Martin is under team control through 2030, and his versatility fits well on a roster that constantly deals with injuries and lineup instability. Unless another organization views him as more than a complementary piece, Minnesota likely benefits more from simply keeping him around.

    Royce Lewis and Matt Wallner

    A few months ago, Lewis and Wallner might have carried substantial trade value. Now, both players are coming off demotions, and their stock has cratered. That creates an awkward dilemma for Minnesota.

    Selling low on talented players is almost always dangerous, especially when both still possess significant upside. Lewis was a former top prospect that the club has invested in, while Wallner’s raw power and patience still intrigue evaluators despite the swing-and-miss concerns.

    Some organizations would absolutely be willing to take a gamble on either player. Teams constantly believe they can unlock talent that another franchise could not fully develop. A rebuilding club, in particular, may view Lewis or Wallner as ideal buy-low opportunities.

    But that same upside is exactly why the Twins may hesitate. Trading either player right now would almost certainly mean accepting pennies on the dollar compared to what their value once looked like. Minnesota would essentially be betting that both players are closer to finished products than temporary struggles. That is an extremely risky gamble to make this early. The more likely scenario is the Twins allow both players time to rebuild value at Triple-A before revisiting any long-term decisions during the offseason.

    The most frustrating part about the Twins right now is not simply that they are losing games. It is that the organization no longer feels aligned with what this current roster is supposed to accomplish.

    There are still recognizable stars. There are still talented players capable of contributing to a winning team. But there are also growing signs that this core may not be built to sustain contention much longer.

    That reality makes this trade deadline incredibly important. If Minnesota decides to aggressively sell, it could mark the beginning of a major organizational reset. If the front office stands pat or buys marginal help, it risks prolonging the same directionless cycle the franchise already appears trapped in.

    Either way, the next few months may determine what Twins baseball looks like for the rest of the decade.

    Who will the Twins trade at the deadline? Will it be another trade deadline selling spree? Leave a comment and start the discussion.

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    Agree with Major League Ready's comments about how Tampa and others build teams that are competitive year after year.  It would be smart for the Twins to operate like they do.

    As far as trading Buxton, a definite NO unless he asks.  Ryan is the other player who could be worth a huge return.  I see the Twins keeping one of Lopez or Ryan beyond the next year.  Expect it will be Lopez.  As for Ryan, talk to his agent about an extension.  If the answer is too expensive or a flat out no, then he goes this July.  The key will be getting a package including a couple very good players who have either broken in with their club or are having success at AAA and ready to join the Twins.  The return for Ryan should not be several prospects from A ball, no matter how highly rated.

    Jeffers is another question.  He won't be returning from his injury until a few weeks prior to the deadline.  Odds are good he won't be producing like he was the first two months of the season.  His value this offseason could be limited should he not be the same player following his injury.  Maybe a two-year extension, or three makes the most sense for both Ryan and the Twins.  Hopefully, the Twins can get that done.

    The Twins need more players like Austin Martin.  Why would you trade him?  As mentioned by many above, makes sense to move Larnach, if the return is decent.  Same for Bell.

    Unless there is a miraculous turn at AAA by either Wallner or Lewis, don't see the Twins getting much in return for either this July.  Should either have a good summer with the Saints and play well in their return to the Twins the last two months, they could have value next winter.  I don't see either getting moved this July but would like to see the Twins get that done in the off-season.

    If we want to operate like Tampa or Cleveland, the key will be evaluating who we get back in these trades.  But yes, I see the Twins being active in both July and the winter.  

    3 hours ago, DJL44 said:

    Even if they want him back in free agency, they should 1000% trade Ryan Jeffers.

    I hate the thought of trading Jeffers just as he’s really started to strive at the plate.

    If pitching stays relatively solid there’s an opportunity to trade Joe Ryan for a haul - at a minimum, ONE very solid up & comer that can contribute/start in ‘27. Those Ryan $$ saved could be spent on Jeffers.

    Lopez upside for long-term with organization is tough to move on from ……. super high character guy that loves the game …….. figure out a way to extend at least 2 years.

    Buxton is a lifer in Minneapolis.

    Martin is playing well and very affordable - no trade there.

    Lewis & Wallner didn’t really have much trade value after ‘25 season……. it’s gotten FAR worse! Either could resurrect themselves but trading them, while under control, isn’t really a net gain.

    If Team spends $20M more in ‘27 after shedding Ryan’s salary, gives Team a definite opportunity to be very competitive in ‘27.

    Rotation: Lopez - Bradley - Abel - Ober - Prielipp (Rojas/Matthews)

    Pen: Sands - SWR - Festa - Gomez - Morris - Orze & a myriad of possibilities (FA included) for 3-4 spots…… including depth. Lots of time in ‘26 to screen/develop possibilities for ‘27.

    Need a Catcher!!! …….that would pair with Caratini (he’s under contract)……..almost threw up watching Jackson on Friday night.

    OF/DH ….. Larnach/Martin - Buxton - Gonzalez - Rodriguez - Jenkins.

    IF ….. Lee - Culpepper - Keaschall ……… fill void at 1B in FA ……. or with a much better hitting Lewis

    Supplementing this offensive group and the PEN, with Ryan’s freed up $15M + $20M ownership increase (to a mere $125M total) seems they could be extremely competitive.

    Also, the trade acquisition in any Ryan trade should contribute in ‘27. Can they trade for a proven young Catcher for Joe?

    I'm not sure what talent people are talking about. Trade value for virtually all our guys is suspect.

    BBTV has paywalled their site down so hard I no longer use it at all, but I'd say Buxton is probably about a +30 value at this point.

    Joe Ryan's value is highly questionable at this point due to Skubal's Arb3 ruling. Ryan is probably in line for a $20MM pay day through arbitration if he remains healthy. As a 3 WAR kind of pitcher, maybe 4 WAR for a desperate partner, his surplus value would be hamstrung quite a bit. Maybe +25 at this point? Not trading him last year was the biggest mistake this front office has ever made, IMHO.

    Ober's tough to gauge. I don't think his results will continue as the league adjusts to his new methodology. 

    Ryan Jeffers may be worth more because of his injury TBH. Keeping up that outstanding wRC+ 166 production line would be unbelievable given his one outlier season capped at wRC+ 136 and his career wRC+ 112. Jeffers is looking like a totally transformed hitter at this point in his age 29 season, and teams may be willing to bite on that. The hamate bone surgery has about a 100% success rate so I think teams will be all aboard. Still, he's a rental, and if traded this year, he's ineligible for a QO. His value is going to be fairly limited.

    Josh Bell is a DFA / release candidate. Not a trade candidate. He's at -0.4 fWAR right now. 

    1 hour ago, SteveLV said:

    I see no logical reason NOT to trade Jeffers if he comes back strong and can garner a nice return. He is gonzo after the end of the year.  What difference does it make if he plays an extra couple months here?

    Ryan, either sign him to an extension (highly, highly unlikely) or trade him.  He should have tremendous value to a deep pockets team that can sign him to an extension.  I would love to see Twins re-sign him, but it is never going to happen so move him for a haul.

    Larnach, Bell, Rogers--all rentals and if you get something enticing, sure.

    Buston. Whoo-boy, you better be careful here.  He is having a terrific season and is on a BARGAIN contract.  If the Brinks truck backs up, take a look inside.  Teams like the Yankees and Dodgers would love him, and it sure would be fun to watch Byron play some post-season baseball.

    See no reason to move controllable players like Martin.

    Ober, I would listen.

    Going to be an very interesting trade deadline in all likelihood.

    Interesting deal deadline is good. Fire sale was bad at the time but gives us the option to be creative this time around. We wouldn't talk about trading so easily if we didn't have guys like Abel, Tait, Gabby, Taj, in our back pockets. Loss of Jeffers seems imminent.. He'd me missed but an immediate replacement isn't needed and we have young catchers up and coming.

    Wish there was more clarity about a labor stoppage on 2027..

    12 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    I hate the thought of trading Jeffers just as he’s really started to strive at the plate.

    If pitching stays relatively solid there’s an opportunity to trade Joe Ryan for a haul - at a minimum, ONE very solid up & comer that can contribute/start in ‘27. Those Ryan $$ saved could be spent on Jeffers.

    Lopez upside for long-term with organization is tough to move on from ……. super high character guy that loves the game …….. figure out a way to extend at least 2 years.

    Buxton is a lifer in Minneapolis.

    Martin is playing well and very affordable - no trade there.

    Lewis & Wallner didn’t really have much trade value after ‘25 season……. it’s gotten FAR worse! Either could resurrect themselves but trading them, while under control, isn’t really a net gain.

    If Team spends $20M more in ‘27 after shedding Ryan’s salary, gives Team a definite opportunity to be very competitive in ‘27.

    Rotation: Lopez - Bradley - Abel - Ober - Prielipp (Rojas/Matthews)

    Pen: Sands - SWR - Festa - Gomez - Morris - Orze & a myriad of possibilities (FA included) for 3-4 spots…… including depth. Lots of time in ‘26 to screen/develop possibilities for ‘27.

    Need a Catcher!!! …….that would pair with Caratini (he’s under contract)……..almost threw up watching Jackson on Friday night.

    OF/DH ….. Larnach/Martin - Buxton - Gonzalez - Rodriguez - Jenkins.

    IF ….. Lee - Culpepper - Keaschall ……… fill void at 1B in FA ……. or with a much better hitting Lewis

    Supplementing this offensive group and the PEN, with Ryan’s freed up $15M + $20M ownership increase (to a mere $125M total) seems they could be extremely competitive.

    Also, the trade acquisition in any Ryan trade should contribute in ‘27. Can they trade for a proven young Catcher for Joe?

    Just like the Correa savings.. is there anything forcing the team to reinvest any savings from Ryan (reality isn't any until 2028);or Jeffers? I wish the answer was a clear yes.

    I firmly believe letting Buxton go would be a slap in the face. If he wants to leave, that's one thing, but if he's willing to stay then keep him. Not apples to apples, but in my mind it would be like when they let Rod Carew go to the Angels. Buxton is Twins Baseball to so many fans, whether serious or casual.

    Ryan while good, I don't the loss would break the team. Since Lopez should be back next year, and with quite a few promising younger faces in the starting lineup (Bradley, Abel, Prielipp), Ryan has enough value to make it worth considering. I'd hope we would keep Ober - considering what he could do to the Marlins even with a diminished velocity, I think he can still pack a punch.

    To me, Jeffers is the obvious goodbye. Is he an amazing catcher? Yes. Does he add some serious value to the team both offensively and defensively? Duh. As much as it hurts to say, that's the problem. He's probably too good for where the Twins are right now. He has the skills to be on a World Series team, and that's not something that I think will happen for us.

    Bell is one that I think should be seriously considered. If we can get something good for him, let him go. As fun as our "For Whom The Bell Tolls" rallying cry is, we could trade him out for pretty much any streaky first basemen with similar results. And I think a younger model would come with some pluses.

    Martin is one we need to try and keep. While he's been struggling recently (minus last night's GLORIOUS home run!), when he's hot he's HOT. I'd rather keep the almost guaranteed single/double in the lineup.

    I don't know how much value Lee has for trade, and I think it's too early in the season for me to say anything concretely. He's pretty solid infielding, but yes, the batting is streaky at best. I don't know how much value he has, but if no one is willing to snap him up, I don't think keeping him is going to kill our chance of competing.

    Larnach seems like another obvious one for me, especially since he's doing better. As another comment mentioned, we have young guys that we could bring up to take his spot, and I think we should jump on that.

    The Twins have always been a farm club, let's see what that crop can yield!

    The only way a discussion of trading Byron Buxton makes any sense is if Buck would like to play for another team. That seems to have been addressed repeatedly as a "No" and Byron has full say in his employment with both a NTC and 10 & 5 rights. 

    Joe Ryan may have considerable interest from many teams but which team is willing to give up a top prospect or a bundle that makes sense? When one looks around the league, the number of teams with the types of prospects worth acquiring on teams that may be willing to add Ryan are slim. Teams like St. Louis, West Sacramento, and others are doing well but may be reluctant to give up the needed prospects. Teams like Tampa Bay and Milwaukee are hesitant to trade top prospects and their starters are doing well. A pile of teams would like Joe Ryan but their prospects are less appealing than already exists within the Twins organization. Perhaps the Chicago Cubs are the best match. The Twins would need to get a pile of players though and I'm not sure more than Pedro Ramirez are worth the gamble. San Francisco seems like a destination long term for Ryan but their system is thin. So it is hold and listen for now and most likely this rolls into October and November. 

    The CBA was a big concern last winter. Attendance is pretty good around MLB, not in Minnesota. My guess is things are resolved because any lock out would cost owners real money. 

    In sum, as stated earlier, it is too early. There is no future in regretting that nothing was done last winter. We all pretty much agree the club bungled some potential chances. We also cannot predict injuries and need to relax about that ongoing problem. Look at Houston or Detroit for concerns with injuries.

     

    16 minutes ago, krink said:

    Not apples to apples, but in my mind it would be like when they let Rod Carew go to the Angels.

    The Twins were basically broke when they traded Rod Carew. This is actually true. The Griffiths were hanging on and cutting costs. These were not people living rich. Carew deserved to be paid more and had to get traded in order to get paid. Carew's comments on all of this are a matter of record. Still, it was a sad day for Twins fans. Reality intervened.

    The Pohlads have Buxton under contract and it is a good deal; he stays unless he demands a trade. Iagree the Twins need to get better WITH Buck on the team. Ryan can be traded for the right return. The Pohlads are negotiating their investment more carefully than we have seen in a while. Ryan could stay too.

    Way too early.

    As a wise man once said..."Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?"

    Seriously, they are only a half game out of a wild card spot. If they could add some relief help at the deadline it would really make people take this team more seriously. Still gotta play better defense.

    2 minutes ago, LewFordLives said:

    Way too early.

    As a wise man once said..."Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?"

    Seriously, they are only a half game out of a wild card spot. If they could add some relief help at the deadline it would really make people take this team more seriously. Still gotta play better defense.

    Bravo!

    Unless they plan on giving jeffers the qo there's no way they can keep him because they aren't paying a catcher 12+ million when they already have caratini making 7 . He will have a good market assuming he returns and plays solid before the deadline . They should also be listening on Ryan unless they wanna pay him because the return will be worse next year . The martin trade makes zero sense tbh as for Buxton you keep him until he asks out which feels doubtful to happen unless the twins turn into the rockies . I'd wait on the demoted duo see if they can turn it around enough so you at least can get some type of value 

    3 hours ago, Patzky said:

    Just like the Correa savings.. is there anything forcing the team to reinvest any savings from Ryan (reality isn't any until 2028);or Jeffers? I wish the answer was a clear yes.

    Nor should they try to replace Ryan, build a bullpen, get a catcher and a first baseman for $20m - and think they are a title contender.   We will have a team full of Josh Bell's, grays',  clemen's, and the list goes on..  get more talent in the 21-25 year old range, let them grow, and hope your scouting was solid.  2-3 years you may have something.  Rolling it ba k year after year hasn't/didn't work, even with Buck 

    Agree that it is too early. I think it’s a small chance they grab a wildcard but let’s at least give it our best until the deadline. I think people need to be real about expected returns. Buck, Ryan, and Jeffers are the trade chips that will return something (I’m not including our young starters).  The rest of those guys are either untradeable or will net some A ball lottery ticket. 

    Too early. 

    But at least enjoyable to speculate on right now. 

    Buxton -- No. PR disaster to trade. And the team isn't THAT far away.

    Ryan -- No. Not sure Lopez will be ready to start next year. Add him in late May like the Yankees have done with Cole and Ryan, Lopez, Ober, Bradley, Abel, Prielipp could be one of the elite rotations in baseball. Too many starters is never an extended problem. 

    Jeffers -- I get the thought of trading him, but catcher consistency goes a long way in pitcher development. Playoff-caliber teams tend to have their catcher situation resolved (unless there's a midyear injury). Will they get that much more at the deadline than they will get with a QO at the end of year? I'm not sure they will. Consider, but only for something significant, and treat keeping him as an investment in the continued development of the pitching staff. 

    Bell -- Sure, though I don't know that you'll get much. 

    Martin -- No at this point. Why create a hole that you don't need to? If the prospects keep pounding down the door, one of them will be tradeable in the offseason. If they don't, you'll be glad you kept Martin.

    Lewis -- Definitely too early. Not sure you'll get much at this point. I keep rolling the dice that he will rebound. For what it's worth, he's the same age as Martin, who many of us wanted to dump at this time last year. People don't trade for projects midyear. Someone might in the offseason.

    Wallner -- Not sure you'll get much, but sure. Generally though, I keep rolling the dice on his return. If he bounces back, he's worth more in the offseason than now. If he doesn't, non-tendering him in the offseason is likely an easy call. 

    Rogers -- I'd go the other way. If he's pitching well enough to generate a return and his veteran presence is worth something, dangle another $2M in front of him and extend him to '27.

    Larnach -- I'm not sold on retaining him given his bounceback year, but aside from Bell, he's probably the one on this list I'm most willing to move. A team can want a bat, and you're probably selling high on him at this point. 

    Outman -- I'm not nearly as down on him as TD, but with his recent better hitting, he's perhaps improved his stock from last year at this time. If you can get more than Stewart for him, sure. 

     

    But mostly sit back and endure the wrath of TD for doing very little, as you continue to sift and sort through the options for 2027.

     

     

    Way too much emphasis being placed on Buxton's remaining 2 months of full no trade clause. I believe he will 100% waive it to go to a team he likes if he thinks the Twins are going to rebuild. Starting 11/1/2026, Buxton no longer has a full NTC. He has to submit a list of 5 teams to which he could be traded with no approval necessary.

    Also, while fans on this site love Buxton, he's a very polarizing players across the whole of Twins territory. His long injury history combined with the big contract mean he's also disliked by a lot of people.

    It's worth noting history suggests fans will just find a new favorite player after their favorite guy is traded, retires or leaves for free agency. While it's not the popular opinion, it's one supported by attendance over and over again. Fans attend games and spend money for the team and the overall opinion of the franchise direction, not the name on the jersey.

    Attendance went UP after Kirby Puckett retired.
    Attendance went UP after Joe Mauer retired.
    Attendance went UP after BOTH Torii Hunter left and Johan Santana was traded.

    The Twins' problems aren't impacted by moving Buxton or Ryan or anybody else they could move on this team. It's a bottom of the barrel fan experience right now. The Pohlads have misread the situation. Fans hate them and aren't even willing to give them a chance at this point, and I don't think even if they boosted spending to $150MM+ that fans would buy in for them. I don't see how the Pohlads can win fans back. A new owner instantly changes a lot, but they'll have to spend to get fans on board expecting a new experience.

     

    18 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

    Way too much emphasis being placed on Buxton's remaining 2 months of full no trade clause. I believe he will 100% waive it to go to a team he likes if he thinks the Twins are going to rebuild. Starting 11/1/2026, Buxton no longer has a full NTC. He has to submit a list of 5 teams to which he could be traded with no approval necessary.

    Also, while fans on this site love Buxton, he's a very polarizing players across the whole of Twins territory. His long injury history combined with the big contract mean he's also disliked by a lot of people.

    It's worth noting history suggests fans will just find a new favorite player after their favorite guy is traded, retires or leaves for free agency. While it's not the popular opinion, it's one supported by attendance over and over again. Fans attend games and spend money for the team and the overall opinion of the franchise direction, not the name on the jersey.

    Attendance went UP after Kirby Puckett retired.
    Attendance went UP after Joe Mauer retired.
    Attendance went UP after BOTH Torii Hunter left and Johan Santana was traded.

    The Twins' problems aren't impacted by moving Buxton or Ryan or anybody else they could move on this team. It's a bottom of the barrel fan experience right now. The Pohlads have misread the situation. Fans hate them and aren't even willing to give them a chance at this point, and I don't think even if they boosted spending to $150MM+ that fans would buy in for them. I don't see how the Pohlads can win fans back. A new owner instantly changes a lot, but they'll have to spend to get fans on board expecting a new experience.

     

    Buck now has 10 and 5 rights so he can veto any trade (I believe don’t know if there is fine print with that rule). 

    6 minutes ago, Linus said:

    Buck now has 10 and 5 rights so he can veto any trade (I believe don’t know if there is fine print with that rule). 

    Anyone who has curiosity about the rule can read it. !0 & 5 rights is ironclad decision for player's right to veto any trade. The clause previously in his contract was there for a situation whereby Buck did not get to 10 & 5 before contract was up.

    While Buxton could demand a trade/accept a trade, I'm not sure any recent player has been more vocal about remaining in the only organization they have known.

    3 hours ago, tony&rodney said:

    The Twins were basically broke when they traded Rod Carew. This is actually true. The Griffiths were hanging on and cutting costs. These were not people living rich. Carew deserved to be paid more and had to get traded in order to get paid. Carew's comments on all of this are a matter of record. Still, it was a sad day for Twins fans. Reality intervened.

    The Pohlads have Buxton under contract and it is a good deal; he stays unless he demands a trade. Iagree the Twins need to get better WITH Buck on the team. Ryan can be traded for the right return. The Pohlads are negotiating their investment more carefully than we have seen in a while. Ryan could stay too.

    Spot on.  Carew is on record saying if he wasn't traded he would sign elsewhere.

    Gene Autry was buying everyone then so rightfully, Rod chased the $.  What Autry could not buy was a championship.

    It would be front office malpractice to not trade both Jeffers and Ryan prior to the trade deadline. This team as it is will not make the playoffs.  Trading Ober should also be considered since we are trying to save money.

    39 minutes ago, Glorybound said:

    It would be front office malpractice to not trade both Jeffers and Ryan prior to the trade deadline. This team as it is will not make the playoffs.  Trading Ober should also be considered since we are trying to save money.

    Any player can be traded if the return makes the a team stronger moving forward. Conversely, there is no reason to trade a player who is capable of making contributions towards winning games for a  mediocre return. Yes, the Twins should be listening and actively talking to many teams about potential exchanges. Ryan still has another year (2027) before he is a free agent and the same goes for Ober. 

    So, yes, complete deals that make sense. But, no, the Twins don't "need" to trade players. 

    9 minutes ago, tony&rodney said:

    Any player can be traded if the return makes the a team stronger moving forward. Conversely, there is no reason to trade a player who is capable of making contributions towards winning games for a  mediocre return. Yes, the Twins should be listening and actively talking to many teams about potential exchanges. Ryan still has another year (2027) before he is a free agent and the same goes for Ober. 

    So, yes, complete deals that make sense. But, no, the Twins don't "need" to trade players. 

    While that is true, why not make the most of the asset you have instead of letting that asset depreciate. I think Ryan’s injury scare and Lopez’s injury highlight this pretty well. If the Twins keep Ryan till fee agency and make him a qualifying offer they get a compensation draft pick. That would be a waste of an opportunity in my book. Once again the 26 Twins will not make the playoffs. 27 perhaps, but this current lineup has some holes that need filled.

    Part of the issue with Ryan is probably that other clubs view him as risky and aren't offering premium returns. 

    Having Ryan actually look good down the stretch for once would lift his value for the off-season market to help offset the reduced amount of remaining service time. So I'm fine with not trading him. And he's a great QO candidate -- keep in mind the resulting draft pick can effectively produce multiple players due to the impact on overall draft budget. 

    Can a team acquiring Jeffers sign him to a longer contract? Doubt the Twins would give him a qualifying offer. Would it be wise to offer him (how much) for 3,4,5 years with the option of movin to... first base?

    Ryan will be able to command $120M+ on his first round of free agency. His worth is that he has one more year for a team to roster him. Hopefully that team would also offer him a longer contract.

    Of course, the Twins also could have a bullpen selloff again. Banda, Rogers leap out. Sands could be marketed if the Twins are surviving. What do they get in return this round?

    Would you package Lewis or Wallner, if they don't fit into Twins plans, with another player? You forget to mention Larnach, who was on everyone's "sell" list over the winter.

    16 hours ago, Wedman13 said:

    only opinions:
     

    1.) Byron- would sting but I'd listen.  Atlanta is a natural but they don't have the prospects.  Dodgers have like 5 of the top 50.  Gimme all 5.  His value (talent and contract) have immense value

    2.) Ryan - only if you are blown away

    3.) Jeffers - I'd keep him

    4.) Martin - No.  Trade him just to hopefully get another Austin Martin?  Doesn't make sense

    5.) Bell - meh, don't care either way 

    6.) Royce - it's not Pennie's on the dollar, it's Pennie's on the quarter.  If he can learn to put the ball in play, there may be a very tiny window where he contributes.  Doubtful, but we're in Lloyd Christmas territory

    6.) Wallner - for god sakes free the guy.  Pennies on  a nickel.  It like the wolves signing a bad basketball player who can't make a bucket and plays bad D, but  could win the slam dunk championship.  If there's anything inside MW, let him set sail and find it elsewhere.  
     

    Love the article 

    I'm not a math genius but I feel like you may have you Pennies on the dollar / quarter / nickel metaphor bass ackward.  Pennies on the dollar means your getting pennies for something worth a dollar.  Pennies on the nickel means your getting pennies for something worth a nickel.  Maybe I'm wrong....

    21 hours ago, Wedman13 said:

    only opinions:
     

    1.) Byron- would sting but I'd listen.  Atlanta is a natural but they don't have the prospects.  Dodgers have like 5 of the top 50.  Gimme all 5.  His value (talent and contract) have immense value

    Well, can't trade him, really.  Note sure they even should if they could get a lot.

    However, Braves do have prospects. 

    Cam Caminiti

    JR Ritchie

    Eric Hartman

    Tate Southisene

     

    23 hours ago, mikelink45 said:

    Where is the trade Larnach voice that dominated the off season?

    Good point. Most of us were eager to trade him for a sack of balls during the off-season. Now that he is actually producing and has value, why not see what we can get?

    16 hours ago, IndianaTwin said:

    Jeffers -- I get the thought of trading him, but catcher consistency goes a long way in pitcher development. Playoff-caliber teams tend to have their catcher situation resolved (unless there's a midyear injury). Will they get that much more at the deadline than they will get with a QO at the end of year? I'm not sure they will. Consider, but only for something significant, and treat keeping him as an investment in the continued development of the pitching staff. 

    I can’t see them offering Jeffers a qualifying offer. That’s a $23M deal which would make him the highest paid catcher in baseball. He would absolutely accept.

    This might be a buy-and-sell deadline. There won’t be a lot of sellers with the American League so weak. The Twins still have too many OF/DH bats and could use a first baseman. They could swap a LH reliever, like Banda, for a RH arm. There are moves they can make to improve in the near term without sacrificing the future.

    1 hour ago, DJL44 said:

    I can’t see them offering Jeffers a qualifying offer. That’s a $23M deal which would make him the highest paid catcher in baseball. He would absolutely accept.

    That was my previous thought as well, but he’d be taking a significant chance. With this season’s success he’d be looking at a pretty good contract and there’s such an injury risk.

    Think of the contract Raleigh would have gotten last winter as a 28 year old compared to what he would get this year as a 29 year old. He would have cost himself more than the QO. I recognize he was coming off a historic year, but the ages and concept are the same. If Jeffers thinks something like 4/$72M is legit, he has to be confident he’s still going to get 3/$49M the next year if he takes the QO.

    This also fits in the “too early” category and my comment is based on his coming back healthy and finishing well. Even then, I don’t think it’s clear-cut that he gets offered, but I also don’t think it’s clear cut he takes it. 

    We yell “Cheap Pohlad,” but it was a Pohlad that offered Mauer a contract. If Tom wants to communicate a willingness to spend, this is his first real opportunity to do so.




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