The Lineup ($56M)
The bad news this year was the Twins had to empty the St. Paul Saints roster to cover for all the Twins' injuries. The good news is that many of those players will be available to fill in for departing free agents like Nelson Cruz and Andrelton Simmons. With a bit of reshuffling, the default lineup likely looks like this:
|1B||Kirilloff?||$ 0.60||team control|
|2B||Arraez||$ 0.60||team control|
|LF||Larnach||$ 0.60||team control|
The Bench ($2.8M)
Will the Twins try to add depth with a capable 10th man this offseason? Maybe. Until then, the bench looks like this:
|C OF||Rooker/Galick||$ 0.60||team control|
|M IF||Gordon||$ 0.60||team control|
|C||Jeffers||$ 0.60||team control|
The Rotation ($20.0M)
The Twins will need to focus on the rotation this offseason, seeing as J.A. Happ, Matt Shoemaker, and Michael Pineda are all free agents. Let's fill in those spots for now with minor leaguers like Bailey Ober, Randy Dobnak, and Jhoan Duran, and anticipate several of them will be replaced by acquisitions this offseason.
|SP||Ober||$ 0.60||team control|
|SP||Dobnak||$ 0.80||team control|
|SP||Duran||$ 0.60||team control|
The Bullpen ($14.5M)
The bullpen losses some free agents too, and there were already lots of gaps to fill. Even though he's expensive, we'll assume Taylor Rogers returns because there are just so many other spots to fill. If so, the bullpen looks something like this:
|RH MR||Duffey||$ 3.00||arbitration|
|RH MR||Alcala||$ 0.60||team control|
|RH MR||Farrell||$ 0.60||team control|
|LH MR||Thielbar||$ 1.00||arbitration|
|RH MR||Stashak||$ 0.60||team control|
|Swing||Smeltzer||$ 0.60||team control|
|Other||Thorpe||$ 0.60||team control|
That's a decent amount of money, but they also have many spots to fill. They must address the rotation, definitely need to upgrade their bullpen, might want to improve their defense, or even try and bring back Nelson Cruz again.
To Spend ($35-45M?)
Add those all up, and the Twins existing payroll comes in at about $96M. They spent about $130M last year, so they will have about $35M to spend if they match that. If they increase it by 10% - a reasonable assumption if they want to keep their competitive window open, they could be closer to $45M to spend.
The trade deadline could change a lot of this, too. Josh Donaldson, Jose Berrios, and Byron Buxton will be among the most expensive players on the roster next year. Moving any of them could free up money for more free agents. Of course, that would also create other spots they need to fill.