Is a .500 season possible?

[Mike Sixel]

Is 10 in one of those ranges?

 

And, .5 WAR is a huge delta from 1-2, to 1.5 to 2.5.......Of course it isn't precise, but to say "it doesn't matter".....and the money doesn't matter?

 

Are people really arguing that the team is no more likely to have a good pick at 10 than 20? or 11 than 19? 

 

It's fine to take that stance, but the numbers don't support it at all. The actual studies and numbers.

 

I'm out on this part, I've made my point. Whether people choose to agree or not is up to them.

[old nurse]

 

 

I said that... but it's not really what I said. I said anything in the 10-20 range is pretty much the same to me.

 

The likely difference we're talking about here - and I mentioned it a few times in earlier posts - is maybe +/- 3 draft slots.

 

In other words, not much.

About a 140k a draft slot in pool money for that range.  Given that is one of the arguments for not doing well. That little bit could be made up by drafting a  college senior or two later and use that savings if you really need the money.

[Brock Beauchamp]

 

Is 10 in one of those ranges?

 

And, .5 WAR is a huge delta from 1-2, to 1.5 to 2.5.......Of course it isn't precise, but to say "it doesn't matter".....and the money doesn't matter?

 

Are people really arguing that the team is no more likely to have a good pick at 10 than 20? or 11 than 19? 

 

It's fine to take that stance, but the numbers don't support it at all. The actual studies and numbers.

 

I'm out on this part, I've made my point. Whether people choose to agree or not is up to them.

1. I said it doesn't matter much to me. I'm more interested in seeing the players succeed than getting a little more draft money and a higher slot.

 

2. A slot swing of 10 isn't even on the table this season so it's a moot point.

[ScooterDance]

Kind of crazy how frustrating this season has been - how many things have gone wrong - and they still might end up a .500 team.

 

If all the things break right next year ... one game playoff here we come!

 

Jokes aside, it makes me think 2019 could be a contention year if everything breaks right.

[AlwaysinModeration]

This is the wrong question. The question is, how many games over .500 will they finish?

 

When they are a bad team, the season is lost, and they are in the vicinity of a top-5 pick, I have “rooted” for losses, which was really rooting for a better future team. Very glad the team did poorly down the stretch a couple of years ago and landed Royce Lewis. Really wished they could have lost five more games in 2012 so they would have drafted ahead of the Cubs in 2013.

 

Anyway, this isn’t a bad team, and I like their chances for 2019, so I’d like to see them finish the season on a roll. I think they have it in them. Forsythe will carry them.

[The Wise One]

If the Twins had any pride left they could finish at .500. They could get somewhere a draft pick 13, 14, 15 or 16 range.  To drop to a lower number in the draft means that another team has to be playing better in September than they did all year, or your team has to be even worse. than they are for that stretch. The Twins have been around 3 games better than Toronto  and Texas lately,  As unlikely as it would be for the Twins to drop below the current winning percentage of Toronto, Texas and  the Reds it would mean the Twins would have to finish with a 10 and 26.  Holy collapse Batman. The odds are unlikely  

[Doomtints]

 

Kind of crazy how frustrating this season has been - how many things have gone wrong - and they still might end up a .500 team.

 

If all the things break right next year ... one game playoff here we come!

 

Jokes aside, it makes me think 2019 could be a contention year if everything breaks right.

 

I think they were always a .500 team. Some of us had really unreasonable expectations. 

[Richie the Rally Goat]

If the Twins had any pride left they could finish at .500. They could get somewhere a draft pick 13, 14, 15 or 16 range. To drop to a lower number in the draft means that another team has to be playing better in September than they did all year, or your team has to be even worse. than they are for that stretch. The Twins have been around 3 games better than Toronto and Texas lately, As unlikely as it would be for the Twins to drop below the current winning percentage of Toronto, Texas and the Reds it would mean the Twins would have to finish with a 10 and 26. Holy collapse Batman. The odds are unlikely

its only pride that stops them from finishing out the season 20-12? What about the Indians, Astros, Yankees and As?

[akmanak]

No they won't be .500, they cant win against good teams.

[Twodogs]

I have the feeling that the Twins are going to go easy into the night. I don't think they have much grit on this team.

[jimmer]

Looking at the rest of the schedule, I'm imagining a 13-18 record the rest of the way.