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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. Lewis injury was an overall fluke. Many guys make the transition to OF from infield. To argue that because someone who has not played the OF will get injured, means that everyone will get injured playing OF, because at some point it is their first time playing it. I could go over several guys that transitioned to OF later in career, or even early in career after playing infield whole time growing up, that never got injured playing OF.
  2. Personally, I believe playing corner OF is one of the easier defensive positions to play. The hardest thing is judging where the ball will be and taking good routes. SS have to practice good routes on pop ups all the time, so it is not like he will have not had some level of practice on that. I will say that a great defender in the OF can help a ton, robbing doubles and what not, but it is much easier to transition to OF from infield than other way. Gordon was pointed out as recent, but we have had many others on our team, Cuddyer was drafted as SS, moved to 3b at MLB and eventually went to right. Our now Joey Gallo I believe was a 3b in college and coming though minors, to become a top OF defender. Gordon for KC similar path, 3b on defense coming up to transition to LF and was amazing there. I am not saying Farmer will be top notch, but it is not uncommon to make the switch, even late in career.
  3. I doubt there is much interest in Gordon on the trade market, for the same reasons people are attacking him in this post. He does not have a track record, is not good against LH pitching, meaning he is platoon split guy, and will not likely be the kind of power hitter you want from that kind of a split. That being said, I feel he still gives value, as he may not be the top defender at many positions, he could play them if needed, just not looking to start or play every day at them.
  4. First, no player is untradable in my opinion. As long as the return is worth it, any player can be traded. Now, I agree I would not trade straight up for Lopez, which as been a rumor the Marlins are asking for. The Twins have rejected that offer. There are rumors they are looking at more controllable pitching. You say we cannot trade Arraez, but what if the offer was Arraez for Sandy Alcantara, would you do that? What if it was Arraez for Alcantra and one of their other staters? Again, I doubt Marlins do this, but my point is, at some point you have say that is good deal and be willing to trade Arraez. If your post was just not for Lopez, okay, but if your post, as titled, is in no offer at all, then I disagree.
  5. We assume it is Gallo over Kepler, as we assume he will get moved, but it should be Gallo over other 4th OF options. Not saying Gallo is 4th OF, but he will start any of the 3 positions, pushing someone out or down the list. If he can regain his Texas form, he will be a boon to our offense, but at least he can put up big defense either way. Correa is a push because he is who we had last year. Is Farmer better than Urshela that is the only other real addition we have had. Maybe the one we should talk about is the change in medical staff, if they can keep our team on the field and healthy that will make a huge difference.
  6. I give little weight to scouting of these kids at 16 and 17 years old. Even ore so on the rankings. Many time the top ranked prospect does not pan out, and the much further down does better over a career. Not saying there is no weight to be given, but lets wait and see what becomes in 3 plus years, as they are not even likely to come state side for minor league ball for 2 to 3 years.
  7. I remember Gioleto being a highly touted HS pitcher but coming off TJ that year, so he fell based on that. Took some time but he finally had some good years. These show how much of a crap shoot drafts can be.
  8. I do not expect any of them to do enough to crack our 40 man out the gates, barring injuries to others, but will love to see how Lee does at the plate. I have a feeling he makes a debut this year after some injuries to infielders.
  9. The one thing to remember about the trade value machine you like to use is that it is subjective to the person putting in the data, but does not look at how the team values the player. For example, the trade value has Rodriguez at 14.2, and Miranda at 26.4. Personally, I think long term Rodriguez will be a much better player than Miranda, but Miranda is MLB level and Rodriguez is A ball right now. If a team has high expectations of Rodriguez they will not care about the value in the this machine. When it comes to prospects, it is hard to determine how much value a team puts on them. I know you can look at national rankings, but that does not mean a whole lot if a team themselves values them base on their opinions.
  10. I pay little attention to international prospect rankings. In 2015, Juan Soto was ranked 22nd according to MLB rankings. Gilberto Celestino was 7th. Tatis Jr. was ranked 27th. It is almost impossible to project 16 year olds. Some turn into Juan Soto, and some never make it out of high A. We have had plenty that fade quickly, but then we have had Sano, Kepler, Polanco. Most recently we have Rodriguez from 2019 looking like he could be a stud. Hopefully this guy is a stud, but I pay no attention to the rankings when we are talking about 16 year old kids that some have not hit their last growth spurt.
  11. As many said, if he signs on minor league deal and we see if he can be healthy. I would hate to see a line up with him and Gallo in the line up. Throw in Walner and we would have like 12 K's from them alone some games.
  12. Technically, that Ariel Castro was not a serial killer, he did not kill his victims, they all lived.
  13. Not sure why not signing 7 players pre arbitration deadline, which I think they can still come to agreement prior to actually doing the system, is a reason to hate a team. It is built into the agreement. You can not like how the Rays operate and feel they should pony up more money for players, but what if the players number they are asking for is just crazy? We do not know what is being asked right now for those 7, and normally we find out sides are just a few hundred thousand apart, but we do not know the talks prior to the deadline. We also do not know the books of the team, we do know, that despite winning they never draw crowds. Could that be lack of identified long term player? I doubt that as they had Longeria for years and winning but still drew terrible. Is it he stadium, that could be a reason, I know I hated going to the dome for games. The Rays early on tried the big names high offense teams at first, and it did not work. Then someone said lets think outside the box, similar to Oakland, and they started winning. Their are reports they are trying to talk to bigger name FA, but similar to Twins, normally coming up short. Maybe players do not like playing for them, but they also are known for giving guys a shot that have not had a chance in other teams. Many times, the guys they do let go or trade away, do not perform well away from Tampa, save for a few.
  14. Eventually we will get to full robo umps. I think it will start with the challenge system, mainly to ease the change in for both players and fans. The younger fans want the right calls, it is the older fans, generally not all, that will say we need to keep the human error as part of the game. They will point to 94% percent accurate, but ignore that they get 2 inches on the edge of the zone that can go either way as accurate. Meaning, they could have much less than 94% but the grading is only based on way off calls. I read an article years ago, which I cannot find now, but it showed that umps in clear calls, meaning not close to edge of zone, they are almost always right. But when it was on the edge of the zone, within those 2 inches, they were 50/50 according to the data the article used. Further, it showed that if count was 3-0 the strike was called at much higher rate if it was in that 50/50 zone. Hunter use to say automatic call when he was commentating. The reverse was true, if 0-2, the ump would more often than not call it a ball if in that 50/50 zone. Then it looked at that an ump was less likely to call a repeated strike in the same area on back to back pitches, if in the 50/50 zone. Pitchers are trained to pitch to the edges of the zone, but calls on balls or strikes are basically a coin flip when they do. I would love to see the full robo ump sooner than later, but I expect the challenge system first, then the full system a few years after that.
  15. My wife is a Pirates fan, so I follow them as kind of a secondary team, and their ownership and FO is worse than what we have been dealing with in the past. That being said, I know Cutch never wanted to leave Pirates, even if they would have been losing I believe he would have stayed with them. I am not surprised he returned, knowing he will get regular playing time, and will get to return to his team. Good for him, not that he needed a few more million.
  16. I dislike when teams try to change what a player does well, in hopes of getting something a little better, only to then have worse affects. We did this with Buck for years. Kept telling him different ways to do things, to fix problems he really did not have at the time, but expected to have. Martin, the issue is his lack of power, but if he can hit line drives, I am okay if he is not a big power guy. Works for some guys. Twins just assumed it would be a problem down the road so lets try to change what he has done his whole life and what got him drafted 5th overall. Hard to change what you have done your whole life.
  17. Well that may depend on how his eye surgery went. He claims after the Twins traded him he started having some eye issues, that he is hoping surgery this off-season will fix. Will he be an MVP, of course not, but he will DH and be asked to hit some HR's. Could he have finally hit the age cliff, maybe, but for 1 mil that is not a bad risk to take. He is also known to be good leader for younger guys, something some of their guys could maybe use.
  18. We have a RH outfield bat, his name is Buxton. Also, we have guys that could fill that roll if needed, Lewis for one. I would not be upset with bringing in someone, but either they need to crush lefties, or at least be competent on defense.
  19. He better put up the highest career WAR as a SS for Twins, or we made a bad signing.
  20. It is hard to speculate on what Miami is doing, are they just shopping pitching knowing they have some and would just want to trade away 1 and hope the return makes them possible contender, or they doing Reds/Athletic style tear down fire sale? Miami has been known to do that in past. If they are doing full tear down, only prospects and young controlled guys will get any deal done. If they are floating names for hopefully faster rebuild or compete this year, then MLB ready guys like Arraez could be used. The only issue I have, is unless you are 100% convinced they will be better than our top 2 or 3 guys, what is the point? I mean why trade off assets to just clog up our pitching to not increase the floor of that pitching? I am not opposed to a deal for better pitching, but I am not seeing any of them clearly being better. The one that does interest me the most is Luzardo. I find it interesting how crazy the home road splits are for Luzardo and Cabrera. Both did much better away than home. I wonder what led to that.
  21. I imagine when it comes to majors it will start with the ABS system with the challenges for a period of time, while they shift the minors into full robo umps. The reason, as point out in article, is it would be too dynamic of shift in catching to quickly. Catchers have been coached to how to frame and what not, but then framing will be pointless. Then the most important aspect of being catcher will be throwing out runners, but I still think calling a game and actually setting up targets for pitcher will still have importance. I can see with the challenge system games ending on overturning of call from ump. I also see no way will teams use up challenges early on, unless it is just terrible call, because good challenge retains it. I wonder if dugouts will have chance to look at video before they tell someone to challenge. I also, wonder if a hitter will just call for without the bench tell him to in some cases. I could see some guys so mad they just challenge what they think is bad call. I know one of the biggest things they are working on in minors is how the robo ump is calling the pitches. There was some really odd looking pitches being called strikes that looked way out of the zone to the eye. That is the main reason we will see delay to MLB level is they want to one, let the minor league guys get used to it, similar to pitch clock, and two, get all the bugs out, so fans do not reject it.
  22. I think it will take him putting forth some good PR to find a team willing to take him on. If it was just about the numbers he would be one of the higher free agents, but being he is very toxic right now, so much that the Dodgers are willing to pay him a lot of money to not pitch. If Bauer is willing to put forth a I am a changed man and fall on his sword approach, I think a team will take the risk, but so far he has said the, yeah I did it, but she asked me to do it. Not his exact words, but it is reported that was his defense was it was consent, and that he did not mean to punch her so hard to cause injuries. If he continues to double down on that kind of a defense, I could not see a single team willing to take him on. If he settles his legal stuff, and asks for forgiveness, shows he is willing to educate himself on things, then maybe a team will take him on.
  23. First, Marlins can have Garlick for free, as he has to pass waivers and they could put in a claim, so if they do not do that, why would they trade for him? Second, why would they give up a good trade asset for Kepler, unless they plan to flip Kepler. People keep throwing Kepler name out there for pitching to teams that are most likely rebuilding or looking to load up on prospects, like Marlins would be doing if they are trading away pitching right now. Arraez they may have interest in as he is still young and controllable and could help in next few years, but Kepler is of no help to them in what they would be looking for. Now, if they think they are on the cusp of winning, then maybe they would be willing to take on someone like Kepler, but my guess they do not think they are there. Gordon may have value to them, as he is also young and controllable. Can people stop floating Kepler to every team thinking everyone will want him for some of their pitching?
  24. "With Jose Miranda entrenched at third base, it’s possible Lewis becomes a right-handed outfield option (but that’s where he got hurt!), or he’s traded to help balance the roster." Is Miranda entrenched at third base? I mean he was decent hitting, but he was a rookie, and some times they fizzle. He also was not a good defender overall. Maybe he does better at 3rd this year, but if Lewis can defend 3rd much better and hit better, why would we move him to OF? Put Miranda as DH, or trade him if need be. In terms of Lee, he can play 2nd as well, or move to OF most likely. His bat appears so elite I would not look to trade him. If you can hit elite we can find a spot.
  25. I think all the fans that attacked the FO for not putting up the money to sign CC when he agree to SF or Mets, should at least admit a little bit the FO had a clue on what they were doing. I say this because we signed him for close to but actually less than what we first offered. We knew about the ankle and were not willing to take on any more risk than 10 years. Both SF and Mets balked at the risk. Did the FO know this was going to happen, most likely not, but they also knew what they would be willing to do. They kept in contact and in the end were willing to offer more guaranteed money than any other team. The contract is actually pretty friendly for the Twins. If CC regresses after year 4 to 6, then can make sure he does not get the PA buy benching him, then cut loose the last 4 years. If CC is playing at elite level still, then we keep brining him back for up to 4 years. The fact each year is an option year is amazing for the Twins. I could not have thought of a better offer.
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