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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    Great article @Hunter McCall. One question, why did you include Miranda’s 246 mlb innings of 3B fielding, but ignore Kirilloff’s 345 mlb innings at 1B as SSS?
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    How do you get at the worse bat? Sano career OPS .808 ISO .248 wRC+115. Gallo OPS .794, ISO .270 wRC+ 110. that is so similar, it is indistinguishable. Gallo Ks slightly more, BBs slightly more, and hits more homers. Isn’t the ISO the interesting part?
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed on win or be entertaining, but I don’t like watching 3 true outcomes hitters. I’m not entertained by watching 3 whiffs and sitting down 80% of the time. Also, Gallo is basically Sano with a better mitt. You’ll like watching him strikeout, I promise
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    100% agreed on the hitting value comp. On the fielding comp, Gallo is a much better fielder. While I hate the Gallo signing and feel he’s an overrated fielder, at least he’s descent. Sano is a butcher, pretty much everywhere he’s fielded.
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    Would the shift ban help the GiDP numbers?
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    In 2022 Kepler had 95 wRC+, Gallo had 85 wRC+, and Gordon had 111. Gallo’s overall OAA last year was 0, Keplers was 11(!) Gordon’s was -2. Gordon’s OAA in the outfield was 0, compared to Gallo’s 0 to -3. Maybe something went horribly right if Gordon is slotted to start in Left.
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    Aha! Thanks!
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    Why assume Gordon won’t be the everyday left fielder? Gallo and Kepler need to earn their spot in the lineup just like Gordon and Larnach
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    In perusing Fangraphs, NYY was 4th in Pitching War for the ‘19 season, Twins were 14 in FWAR, 19 in FIP, 16 in ERA. The Twins were average pitching, including a all the injuries and what if’s.
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    Exactly. The article missed the mark… the problem with the Bomba Squad wasn’t the rentals. The problem was they didn’t have enough pitching. getting bounced by the Yankees again in ‘19 was getting beaten by a team that hit the second most home runs in the league AND had much better pitching. frankly I wish the FO would sign more rentals. While I hate the Gallo signing, if I’m proven wrong and he actually can hit a Manfred Ball, that rental could prove to be a huge difference maker on a team that looks poised to prevent runs at a much improved rate, and struggle to score.
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    I would peg him as third in the Twins rotation, maybe 4th if Mahle is 100%, but he is still a very good starting pitcher. Mahle was a mid-season acquisition and got hurt, Lopez was just added. On the old school starting pitching and defense scale, this team got a lot better with Kirilloff at first, Gallo and Kepler in the corner OF and Taylor 4th OF. They could struggle to score runs, but run prevention is much better. now, just because Gray is down on my pecking order, doesn’t mean I think this is a World Series rotation. They just have a bunch of very good starting pitchers (not an “Ace” in the bunch).
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    Welcome to TD
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    Did you trade Joey Gallo for Luis Arraez? Pablo Lopez not making the team?
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    The whole point of the article is the patterns we as fans can see may not actually be patterns and may not actually align with the decisions and actions being taken by the team. You are correct the team needs to be driving the improvement and they are accountable to the Pohlads on sales that are generated from us the fans. these are separate concepts but there’s causal/reaction that occurs. The PR machine whirs through the Twitterverse and we all react. On and on…
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    They beat the guaranteed by 25% they offered a lower overall by 15% if Correa plays the whole contract.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    Respect is always a must, and rule number 1 here at TD. I agree with you wholeheartedly on that. I didn’t read the article as anything less than respectful. The author shared their experience and used some approachable concepts that I remember from college, but couldn’t apply on my own. agreed, the team plays boring and undisciplined baseball (hard to tell on inspiration) but the modern game is boring with the dominant 3 true outcomes and it takes more than a couple offseasons to change decades of little league, highschool, college minor league coaching based on the the home run prone Selig Ball and transition to the home run oppressed Manfred Ball.
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    Welcome to TD!
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    Welcome to TD!
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    Welcome to TD
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    “After swinging the bat for most of January, Alex Kirilloff can still feel wrist soreness, but said his pain level has decreased after undergoing surgery for a second straight season. That should be a good sign after a drastic surgery in which doctors intentionally broke Kirilloff’s right wrist in order to shave down the bone to prevent it from rubbing against other bones. The Twins have Kirilloff on a low-volume program for now to help him increase his range of motion and build grip strength. Currently, he’s taking 50-60 swings a day. Earlier this month, Derek Falvey cautioned Kirilloff could have a slower spring training. “(Soreness is) definitely there,” Kirilloff said. “They cut my bone so there’s definitely some aches and stuff to go along with that, but from a pain standpoint it feels good. … I think they’re expected to go away. I think anytime you break your bone it can take a lot longer than expected to heal. From my understanding, it gets to that certain point where it’s healed enough to do whatever you need to do and then it keeps healing for a while after that.”” https://theathletic.com/4139848/2023/01/30/twinsfest-carlos-correa-pablo-lopez/ aches, decreased, better. Lots of contradictions in that quote. I’m not exactly sure what to take away
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    By wRC+ Gordon was the second best OF on the team last year, by fWAR he was 3rd, and played 138 games. Larnach and Gordon are the two guys I want to see most at the corners of the OF in ST. If they can’t win a spot, so be it, but a 111 wRC+ looks a whole lot more appealing in LF than 85 or 95, even if those we’ll below average numbers come with better fielding.
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    This! The few reports I’ve seen in little blurb, hard to trust format, is that Kirilloff is swinging well and on-track for a normal spring training. we don’t know, doesn’t always mean “bad” it means we “don’t know”. I share the same assumptions. If Kepler isn’t traded, Larnach gets a heavy rotation through DH.
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    I would call a hearty belly laugh time well spent. great work Stu
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    I believe subscription to Stathead from b-ref can get you access to the underlying data.
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    “The only nits I pick are that I like all numbers on a "relative to all other players" stat. A 3.75 FIP in 2023 meant a roughly average pitcher. In 2003, it meant a borderline all-star. Using FIP+ (or minus if you prefer) helps identify performance relative to the league at the time. OOA is a relative stat already, it just was not mentioned as such in your post. I think that is worth pointing out.” @Minny505 i love this post and wanted to unpack this a bit. you caught me in between understanding what happened historically and predicting future outcomes. Well done. FIP predicts ERA but neglects context. FIP+ provides the relative context but isn’t very predictive. (I always prefer the plus (minus seems counterintuitive to me) how do you pull together both the context and predictive without writing massive paragraphs? I’m a lazy typist.
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