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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Oh no! Too many all-star short stops on dirt cheap contracts! Whatever will we do?
  2. This! Unless you have Joe Mauer, churn and burn catchers like relievers.
  3. Winter must be agonizing for you. Speculation is all we got during the hot stove season!
  4. Pohlad companies had an ownership stake in FSN (going back to the MSC days) that I assume they retained through the Sinclair transition. I believe the cruddy TV deal doesn’t bring the full Pohlad view into scope because different parts of their companies have the stake. I believe Joe coming from media may have had something to do w/ the FSN ownership management.
  5. Wow! It’s rough being super-rich! Thanks for sharing!
  6. Player contracts are like “capital expenditure” but they aren’t depreciable assets in the taxation sense. They’re just expenses.
  7. At 3.5% inflation (real inflation over the last decade including recent short term spike is 3.1%) 25m today is $17m in 2034. If todays inflation persists a decade, our global economy will collapse and we’ll all revert to a Mad Max distopia. whether MLB salaries follow their current growth trend, I’m not smart enough to forecast, but I gotta think the P&L of the owners will necessitate slowing growth at some point. I think a good comparison is Capital Expenditure (which does fall under equity once it’s paid for). It’s the reinvestment back into the business that is best paid for by your cash flow, rather than more expensive financing options like stock issuance or debt. Also keep in mind that both parties know that the payback period on the capital expenditure exceeds the useful life of the asset. Bogaerts knows he won’t be an all star SS, and probably not a SS, maybe not in the MLB in 2034, and so does SD. The payback period assumes higher revenue in the future to facilitate today’s spend.
  8. Right, and negotiation with Bogaerts and having Farmer already on the team can give the Twins some leverage on the negotiation w/ C4. Something like: ”look, we’d rather sign you, but if we can’t figure this out, we’ll go w/Bogaerts that we are close on a deal with”.
  9. For a real ace starting pitcher, no one is off the table (if the total package price is right). I’d totally trade Arraez plus for Woodruff or Burnes.
  10. The Fleetwood Mac discussion is in the Sports Bar forum
  11. It would be awesome if the Twins could hire Castro as a coach/analyst. His experience would be a great asset in bringing context of the data to the players!
  12. That seems pretty obvious that the best and youngest SS in the free agent market is the highest priority.
  13. It’s fair, it’s also fair to leave him out. The further away from the Terry Ryan era, especially the second one, the more I believe that TR was as responsible for the “cheap Pohlads” meme as the Pohlads were. It could have been the real prize was the $50k.
  14. Twins traded for Johan. The marlins drafted him rule 5
  15. What’s his favorite flavor of Go-Gurt? Glo-Gurt? Dunkaroos? Strawberry Banbana? Mixed Berry? what temperature? Frozen? Refrigerated? Room temperature? the options are endless!
  16. Wow! That is a shocker! it would be great if the Twins could pull off a trade, but I’m having a hard time wrapping my head around what that offer might be
  17. That’s a very normal reaction for me. Usually it goes something like: ”Ha! …. …. Hey!”
  18. I didn’t ask you, I asked Bill. Bill can speak to his own claims without evidence.
  19. That makes the roster crowded, doesn’t it? When you need 8 players to fill 162 instead of 3
  20. If not next year or two years, then why worry about Jeffers relative to automated strike zone? Jeffers likely won’t be a Twin in 4 years anyways. Unless you have Joe Mauer generational talent, you churn and burn catchers like relievers. Too many injuries
  21. Correct, I am trying to weigh deficiencies and strengths relative to each other. A higher percentage of strikes on 16,000 to 20,000 pitches caught, vs 5-10 passed balls, vs 40-45 steals. Does anyone disagree that more strikes is better than fewer strikes? Of course not. MLB is very slow to change. I mean the Selig ball lasted 20 years. The NFL used replay and challenges for 15 years before MLB did. If you think robo-umps are coming next year, I love your optimism, but do not share it. I believe it will be 5 years or more.
  22. Jeffers was 8th (worst) in the AL with 5 passed balls last year. Sandy Leon was 6th worst with 6. 5 or 6 passed balls is maybe 3-4 runs per season at most. There were 2487 stolen bases league wide last year, 1/2 of a stolen base per team per game, that result in on average .3 of a run per steal. Jeffers had 31 steals on him, so that’s 10 runs estimated in the season. There are 100+ pitches thrown per game, getting a higher percentage of strikes impacts dozens of outcomes per game. Jeffers is ranked 21st (best) in the league. Improved counts puts at-bats in the pitchers’ favor. I think Jeffers is a high quality half of a catching tandem. The question is the other half. Narvaez seems like a good option. The Twins also have Banuelos, a good journeyman at the Saints but doesn’t hit, is supposed to be an excellent fielder. And Bechtold is progressing nicely (but doesn’t really hit either) if the rest of the lineup hits, Carlos Correa and a corner outfielder, DH… a black hole at catcher for half your games could be overcome.
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