Richie the Rally Goat
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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat
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Because, in the big ticket contracts, the total is what the agent and player care about. AAV matters to the team, total dollars is what the player and agent care about. Correa wanted the highest dollar amount possible, Bonilla day is fine with him. $28 per or 26, it’s all huge money and plenty to live like a king. The 315 is generational wealth that his grandkids maybe great-grandkids won’t have to work a day in their lives. But to the team that 8 years 315 mil is 39 mil per year vs 26 mil per on 12 years. 13 mil per year gives the team tons of flexibility. They’re paying 315 no matter what. -
Twins Need a Minnesota Miracle
Richie the Rally Goat replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Welcome to TD- 81 replies
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- derek falvey
- thad levine
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Sure he’s played CF. If he’s an $11M 4th outfielder who gives Celestino time in AAA, I’ll be pleasantly surprised. OAA paints a different picture than “elite fielder”. Not sure I believe that stat, but it’s the best perspective I have. Gold gloves are typically hitting awards, more than fielding awards, but reputation does mean something. For his career he has a 0 OAA, in 2022 -3 or -2 in LF and RF, 2021 he was +6 in RF and 0 in left. 2019 he was 0 in CF. I’ll take league average fielding or better if he hits like he did prior to 2022. the challenge is, outfielders need to HIT, and 2022 was when they installed the Manfred ball. There’s no indication the Manfred ball is going away. The Manfred ball sapped power across the league. From 6776 home runs league wide in 2019 to 5215 in 2022. 23% decrease in dingers. Maybe Gallo banks a bunch of doubles off the limestone, but man I’m skeptical. can he rebound? Sure, it’s possible. Will he? Doubtful. what are the other moves that come with it? Does he replace Kepler? Larnach? Celestino? There’s a few plausible outcomes here that depend greatly on return from trade. I’m skeptical
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For career at bats qualified Gallo is number 34 non-pitcher fewest sacrifice flies since 1954 when the stat was tracked by MLB. That includes offensive stalwarts like Oswaldo Arcia, so I raised the bar from qualified to 2k at bats. that makes Gallo number 2 behind something called Ryan Freel who had 21 sac hits, making Gallo likely number 1 im not sure what this prestige tells us though, since Ted Williams had no Sac hits and only 20 sac flies in his career. He likely just had enormous RISP and only played a few years after the stat was instituted
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fangraphs says 3 sac flies and 1 “sac hit” which I assume to be a sac bunt or fielders choice that scored a run. So 4 sacrifices in his career
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I remembered the Jack Kennedy bit, forgot about misspelling potato bit. I was 8.
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Last offseason had a plan? “Holy crap look at all the pitchers sign, let’s get Dylan Bundy” and “OMG that flier on Correa worked!” was a plan?!
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This! It’s not the contract and whether or not Correa signed it, it’s the dithering while their competitors signed the players they needed to sign. A trade for a fine utility player and fine catcher does not a successful offseason make. Now there’s no free agents available that move the needle and the question becomes “should the Twins sell?” yuck
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13 years just spreads the money out for cash flow. Correa, Boras and Zaidi themselves don’t expect Correa to be playing in 13 years.
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Wealth and budget are two different things.
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Is this FO incompetent, that they can’t effectively multitask, to fill gaps in the roster while negotiating with Correa, or are they so hamstrung by budget that they can’t afford to sign Correa and fill other holes adequately? both paint a picture of incompetence as resigning one player you can’t afford is just as bad as not being able to multitask as a basic pre-requisite of management
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Million? sure it’s been a crazy hot stove, but not that crazy
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I’d rather the Twins pay his salary, and trade very little in minor league capital to get Crawford. Honestly, I think they should turn attention away from SS, now. They need hitters, and the available options at SS are not really upgrades from Farmer. Swanson could be, but with one season of good hitting, not sure I’d bet the Farm(er) on that.
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Oh no! Too many all-star short stops on dirt cheap contracts! Whatever will we do?
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Rumor: Padres might go after Vazquez
Richie the Rally Goat replied to mikelink45's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
This! Unless you have Joe Mauer, churn and burn catchers like relievers. -
So vague… I’m so curious!
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Winter must be agonizing for you. Speculation is all we got during the hot stove season!
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Pohlad companies had an ownership stake in FSN (going back to the MSC days) that I assume they retained through the Sinclair transition. I believe the cruddy TV deal doesn’t bring the full Pohlad view into scope because different parts of their companies have the stake. I believe Joe coming from media may have had something to do w/ the FSN ownership management.
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Rumor: Bogaerts has gone to San Diego
Richie the Rally Goat replied to Doctor Gast's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Wow! It’s rough being super-rich! Thanks for sharing! -
Rumor: Bogaerts has gone to San Diego
Richie the Rally Goat replied to Doctor Gast's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Player contracts are like “capital expenditure” but they aren’t depreciable assets in the taxation sense. They’re just expenses. -
Rumor: Bogaerts has gone to San Diego
Richie the Rally Goat replied to Doctor Gast's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
At 3.5% inflation (real inflation over the last decade including recent short term spike is 3.1%) 25m today is $17m in 2034. If todays inflation persists a decade, our global economy will collapse and we’ll all revert to a Mad Max distopia. whether MLB salaries follow their current growth trend, I’m not smart enough to forecast, but I gotta think the P&L of the owners will necessitate slowing growth at some point. I think a good comparison is Capital Expenditure (which does fall under equity once it’s paid for). It’s the reinvestment back into the business that is best paid for by your cash flow, rather than more expensive financing options like stock issuance or debt. Also keep in mind that both parties know that the payback period on the capital expenditure exceeds the useful life of the asset. Bogaerts knows he won’t be an all star SS, and probably not a SS, maybe not in the MLB in 2034, and so does SD. The payback period assumes higher revenue in the future to facilitate today’s spend. -
Right, and negotiation with Bogaerts and having Farmer already on the team can give the Twins some leverage on the negotiation w/ C4. Something like: ”look, we’d rather sign you, but if we can’t figure this out, we’ll go w/Bogaerts that we are close on a deal with”.
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For a real ace starting pitcher, no one is off the table (if the total package price is right). I’d totally trade Arraez plus for Woodruff or Burnes.
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The Fleetwood Mac discussion is in the Sports Bar forum
