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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    I wouldn’t rush Lewis or Martin. If you think they’ll be ready at some point this year, I’d roll with Gordon as the stop gap, but I like the suggestion by @gman to roll with Palacios. That would also keep Gordon in the Super Utility roll that he seems better suited for.
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    The major league portion of the rule 5 draft has been postponed indefinitely. At what point does it get cancelled? My guess is spring training, which seems like a pretty likely scenario given the circumstances as we understand them.
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    Well reasoned post, that I mostly agree with. Generally when I’m in the should I fire an employee the question is (a) can I trust them? Or did they break an unbreakable rule? (b) can I get someone better? What are the alternatives? for the exercise, A isn’t relevant that we know of, so let’s use B. In terms of how I make my decisions, I tend to fall on the analytical side. Not that I don’t use my instincts too, but my instincts only start the search for the data. They aren’t the decisive factor. If I’m looking for a manager, I want someone who uses the same toolset that I use, but can challenge my assumptions to present a logical argument contrary to my beliefs. Homogeneity leads to incomplete decisions. in that context, I don’t believe Falvine would want a Tony LaRussa, I think the FO would want someone less tied to tradition and instinct. I believe the FO values the Baldelli type and would look for similar skills in the future. so with that framework, I don’t believe there is another manager in a similar vein as Baldelli that is available and better than Baldelli. For those that want Baldelli to go, they need to wait for the trust in Baldelli to fade. Another season of losing and a lost clubhouse or two seasons of losing (punting ‘22 might already be in the plan) might see Baldelli get fired. More likely he gets poached by another team and the Twins find their “next Baldelli”
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    Once the lockout ends the FO can still sign Gant. They’ll need lots of multi inning long relievers
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    9 outs and sit down, no second time through the order
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    Correct - Monopsony protection, not Monopoly protection. However the monopsony in effect becomes a monopoly when the control of the buy to set the purchase price from a single cartel in the draft and rookie contract rates drives out competitive leagues. In effect, it's a monopsony of baseball players, and a monopoly of baseball games. But yeah Monopsony is relevant to the labor dispute
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    Stupid point of clarification, first lockout in 31 years, first stoppage in 26 1994 was a strike 1990 was a lockout actually kinda nice having 26 years of peace because for the first 28 years they averaged a work stoppage every 4 years.
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    What point are you trying to make? Are you advocating for the players to change their lever/strategy?
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    While I don't agree with generalizing that the players don't care about the fans, your argument against team control is interesting and has me thinking differently. Earlier player control loss may mean more disproportionately high pay going to the top tier players, and less pay going to the mid-tier players hurting the market with one less year of arbitration pay gains or even faster DFAs and more roster churn. Very good point that I hadn't thought of previously
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    what's the source? I've seen similar numbers floating around, but only Atlanta is publicly traded and subject to GAAP and reporting rules. It makes me skeptical...
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    The cardinals added $5M to overhead. That’s not included in COGS and is a raindrop in the ocean anyways
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    on the S&P 500 gross margin typically falls 43-45%. With the amount of public subsidy for ballparks, players are by far the largest share of COGS 50/50 doesn't seem too far out of whack compared to publicly traded companies. Agreed on the Forethought/Planning/Greed concept. There is some significant mismanagement ruining the sport for the fans.
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    Point of clarification: Carl Pohlad purchased the Twins for $32 million. Jim Pohlad only had to be born. The highest priced sale of an MLB franchise ever was $845 million. Purchasing an MLB team for a billion hasn’t happened. meanwhile the average minor leaguer earns $25k per year and leaves minor league baseball in debt because the team doesn’t pay for their offseason training of travel. The league looks to be paying for minor league in season housing, which is a step in the right direction, but still holds on to the absolutely dreadful minor league salaries. the point here is, players invest into the sport too. Time, sweat equity, putting a good product on the field are just as valuable as the logo on the hat and what actually make the game a sport for us to watch. Everyone wants a bigger piece of the pie. I don’t fault the players for wanting a bigger piece of it, anymore than the owners, but the MLB and Manfred really bother me most. Manfred should be looking out for the sport as a whole more than he does. He clearly understands that a company with too high of a profit margin ultimately loses out because it creates openings for additional competition. He and the league protects the margins through litigation and hiding the books rather than investing back into the league assets. By improving the broadcast strategy and paying more players (including minor leaguer’) the league can grow faster and maintain or grow it’s talents to stave off competition. this shouldn’t be millionaires vs billionaires. It’s Manfred vs Us the fans.
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    I pretty much disagree with the entire posting except “Of course this signing on its own is not worthy of praise should the Twins do nothing else, but if they execute on acquiring two more arms above this ability level, it’s a threesome they can rely on.” Bundy alone leaves the Rotation in very bad shape, but Bundy as a floor isn’t bad. Unfortunately this was the same old schtick from the same old Falvine. We’ve seen this horse and pony show before and until they prove willing to invest in the rotation, I won’t believe that the FO will invest in the rotation. Bundy’s shoulder appears shot due to his velocity drop and he hasn’t been able to keep the ball in the park. He’s a fine depth piece, but this FO has acquired Maeda, prospects and several depth pitchers per year even when the team desperately needed another mid-to-front rotation starter. Looking at the options available and the odds of swinging a trade, the 2022 rotation options look bleak
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    Great first post! Welcome to TD
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    Mod note, if you’d like to discuss a topic other than the CBA such as comparing parity between leagues, start a new thread
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    Awesome article! John Donaldson looked to be overpowering. I hope he makes it. i can’t imagine quitting a full time job to campaign to get a guy elected to the baseball hall of fame. Unreal!
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    No Roster listed... It's there, but you can't see it in the navigation
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    I align pretty closely with Squirrel, I cut the cord and probably won't re-connect it, at least not this year. Living in Twins Territory, I may get a streaming option (if available) or most likely listen in for 2022. Depending on the outcomes... 2023 and beyond may be at risk for me too.
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    For reference
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    Because when the CBA expires the players will prolong the negotiation as long as they can. There won’t be much time to acquire more pitchers just days before (or after) opening day. If they had a deal, they needed to get the paperwork done today.
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    forget running the bases... can we run the warning track? Puhleeeze!
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    You're injury prone, until you aren't. While there are no guarantees he'll get more healthy, there are no guarantees he won't either. History might be the best predictor of the future, but it is far from accurate.
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    Great first post! Welcome toTD!
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    37 on the 40 man roster as of today
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