At the beginning of the MLB season there are NBA, MLS and NHL.
At the end there’s WNBA and NFL.
For the middle half of the season, there’s very little overlap. Do the Twins see exaggerated seasonality relative to the Padres? Did the Padres see a spike in sales when the Chargers went to LA?
From what I’ve read, the majority of tickets are sold in the offseason and mostly driven by last year’s record, with some very minor spikes due to offseason acquisitions.
the mlb-wide view is that NFL is the favorite sport and baseball is a distant second or third, and young people prefer MLS over MLB. This would lend credence to your theory that financially it’s a limited reserve of disposable income, and competitors vie for the same dollars.
what about shopping malls? One would think the rent in a shopping mall (indoor or outdoor) would be very extremely low relative to standalone. Why would a boutique retailer want to be located right next door to a giant discounter? Potential customers could just walk next door and pick the lowest price. While indoor shopping malls are indeed struggling, outdoor malls are booming. Even in this era of online shopping, outdoor malls are doing well.
Why?
Competition is good for everyone.