Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Richie the Rally Goat

Community Moderator
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,746

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    13

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    Good process! Potentially accurate results that would make me very sad. It’ll soften the blow when reality sets-in this spring and opening day payroll is 15% lower than ‘21
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    And can you allocate 7m to a reliever who is a big question mark when (I predict) the budget will be the same or lower than 2021 due to COVID financial gaps while filling 3 holes in your rotation?
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    Regency bias is a good point. 5 of the last 20… but 3 of them in the last 7 is 40%.
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    Great first post! Welcome to TD!
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    Indeed, the rate is significantly different, in Garver’s more capable bat. Magnitude, however softens the delta as it’s not a 162 games of difference. It’s at most 80 games of Garver. Jeffers and Rortvedt are catching at least half the ‘22 season no matter what.
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    This was a fun scenario! I imagine a ton of potential heartburn as the disjointed transactions would flow over weeks of time.
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    He’s a great catcher and elite hitter (for a catcher) but as others have pointed out, time is not on Garver’s side. If you can swing a good starting pitcher for him, do it. Jeffers and Rortvedt will be a step down, but he and Buxton are the only ML assets that will legitimately bring back value, and the step down from Buxton to Celestino (or who ever) is much greater than Garver to Jeffers. while depth at catcher is great, it’s a luxury the Twins cannot afford
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    Great for Eddie! I hate to be “that guy”…. But I’m going to be regardless…. Context required the Twins didn’t DFA Rosario, they non-tendered him. Cleveland didn’t claim him on waivers, they signed him as a street free agent
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Mary Popkins, the non-magical and less interesting nanny from that non-Disney movie about rude American children
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    Excited to learn more about Popkins and see/hear about his philosophy and technical chops
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    I didn’t think of the buyout in terms of the Guaranteed 2022 money, but you are right. 9.25 mil is a bargain, 12 mil is probably what you’d expect to pay, and the 14 due to Sano for 23 doesn’t look very good right now. there might be a lot of players in the NL that can fill the DH role, but are there a ton of Miguel Sano’s on benches of other teams? According to fangraphs his career wRC+ is 118, so above average, maybe solidly above average. I can’t imagine there are 5-10 118 wRC+ hitters on benches across the MLB…
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    I had the Twins moving on from Sano in my off-season plan too. Universal DH seems to be a likelihood in the new CBA which increases the value Sano’s affordable 9.2 mil contract could return in trade.
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    Bars and Hotels in Minneapolis do pay a cut of revenue in taxes to support the stadium. Most of them pass it on to patrons and you see a line at the bottom of your receipt for a tax line. I wasn’t trying to inject should or shouldn’t do, as much as trying to identify a bargaining position and try to guess at what that counter might be. The first rule in negotiation is expand the pie, players will certainly try to do that as they are at a disadvantage until the season gets closer and the threat of lost games looms.
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    Additionally. owners’ revenue from the team has significantly expanded beyond tickets, jerseys and TV contracts. Real estate around the ballpark generates tons revenue for many owners. players surely want a chunk of that, owners certainly don’t want to divulge/share that. How do owners monetize a return for something like that? Is that a TV watch ability improvement (pace of play rules etc) or a salary caps?
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    Here’s a good article with history of work stoppages and some of the presumed negotiating points https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/mlb-cba-negotiations-seven-important-questions-as-baseball-work-stoppage-appears-likely-this-winter/ Salary caps and divvying up new sources of revenue from outside the ballpark seem to be the big ones
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’m not sure I want to watch a 9 DH lineup, there may be limits… but if you have an Otahni, why not be able to DH for your SS?
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    three items 1) well written 2) lots of fun on a goofy story 3) It wasn’t a story about Eddie Rosario Excellent work!
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    There’s a metric for everything https://worldhappiness.report
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    I think the Twins will not have a full time DH, Donaldson, Arraez and Rooker will all have significant DH time
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    In this scenario the new CBA adopts universal DH. Because of the higher demand for DH, Cruz out price’s the Twins budget. This also makes Sano’s 9 mil and some change contract valuable in trade. Twins trade Sano and his full salary to an NL team for prospects. 130 is a hard budget, no wiggle, including prospects called up and mid-season trades. 2020 and 2021 were challenging for cash flow with much fewer in-person attendees at Target Field. There’s only 1.7 available, it’ll be snug. If something goes really right, they may not be able to swing a trade for a higher end reliever at the deadline. Buxton is extended at 10 mil per season, I pulled that from the salary AAV from reports. Honestly I’m not sure how the escalators work, I may not have enough budget for bonuses, but we’ll pretend there’s a separate budget line for that. Pineda signed two years 16 mil. He hasn’t been healthy at all, but has been effective. I think that calls for a discount, and Jax/Dobnak/et al, can fill in the gaps. im not exactly thrilled with the lineup, but this team is so starved for pitching I had to cheap out on SS. There’ll be some continued growing pains with Larnach and Kirilloff in the every day lineup, with Celestino and Gordon playing frequently as well. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQeRoMg6FEz3LDRWteFLPY7Wkk32DtRgehe_12K5hShNKk9gyVMpJ0TxKgE9tQl4Vlbrh4pN8Hpy_Sv/pubhtml
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    Don’t forget COVID Supply Chain crisis. Ports are backed up, labor is in short supply. Everything you want is in back order, but things you don’t want? Stacked to the rafters
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    Are you going 3 man bench and one of Rooker or Miranda is in AAA? Or is one of them starting and one of them 4th OF? if the latter you went $6.6m over budget. im not sure how your job works, but in mine, I get in trouble when I go 2% over budget. I couldn’t imagine what would happen if I were to go 5% over budget!
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    Eddie Rosario, in left field for the expansion Las Vegas Gamblers in 2067, scrambling with his walker to a roller down the line…. Over throws the cutoff man and manages to gun down a potential inside the park home run… Immediately dies of a heart attack as he lets the ball go with a smile on his face. in spring training 2068 the Gamblers plant his urn in the left center lawn
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    Great work!
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    Loved Cruz while he was here, but every nickel of budget and every millisecond of effort by the FO should be spent on pitching and maybe SS. If right before ST there’s some budget left and they filled all the other needs and Cruz is still out there, sign him up.
×
×
  • Create New...