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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    Interesting!
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    I feel terrible for Mahle! When healthy he’s been solid, but considering where he’s at, the injury timeline, and the upside, I’m not sure a Pineda/Paddack type deal makes sense. They already have Paddack on that deal, have a bunch of guys with similar upside in AAA, and need to extend Gray or acquire another front of rotation type. I wish Mahle the best and hope he can land that type of deal somewhere else.
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    How’s the ticket sales lately?
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    One of the worst plays of the night was Corea’s 5 hopper to Kiriloff at first (in the 5th????). Overall it was a pretty crisp game.
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    Go Twins!
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’ll be cheering from LF bleachers tonight! Go Twins!
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Hey! Thanks Pagan, for not sucking!
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    Alright Emilio! Let’s not suck!
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    Let’s snap this cold streak C4!
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    Cmon Kep! A double would be nice
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    You nailed the regression to the mean part. The Twins are second to last in BABIP at .268. With regression to the mean at around .300 BABIP, the batting average should become more middle of the pack too.
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    The season is early, but… By BABIP they are 29th at .268 vs league average should be around .300. That could point to some bad luck/regression to the mean. wRC+ and wOBA they are in the 90 and .300 range suggesting closer to middle third in terms of hitting rank once the samples normalize, but average or below average.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    We are talking about small sample sizes, but season to date he’s hitting 141 wRC+. That’s 41% better than league average.
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    It’s 6 games. Bad teams win 40% of their games against better teams. Correa should improve as the season progresses Kiriloff just came back, Miranda and Larnach aren’t locks, but there’s hope they can show this year what they’ve shown in the past. Maybe Royce comes back and shows the promise that he held last season. Farmer should come back and provide a very nice floor above the current reserve levels. Solano and Castro’s playing time should reduce as the above players mentioned get healthier/find their stroke. Kepler is looking more like (or better than) what I expected. Gallo has been very good, these two combined make my offseason rants look very foolish so far. Buxton has hit very well! Jeffers should be getting some more time behind the dish, and Polanco is looking like he’s getting back to normal too. the floor should raise for the hitters as we go through May. There should be more hitters to carry the load soon.
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    You can cherry pick your stats or record to tell whatever story you want to tell. Twins are 19-16, First in the Al Central, and don’t have to give back wins because of a bad series. Losses are going to happen
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed on small sample size. Not sure I agree with the pitching and defense winning titles. To your point, you must have good run prevention in order to Win a World Series. But run prevention alone frequently ends with a team below .500 record. Looking at the last 5 years, Dodgers and Astros have been most frequently deep in the post season, winning World Series, and having some of the best run prevention in baseball. They also scored a ton of runs! It’s differential that matters. Teams that score more runs than their opponents win more. A team that gives up 162 runs in a season can still go under .500 if they also don’t score any runs, just the same as if they score 900 runs but give up 2000.
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed on the strike-thrower point, he has toggled year to year between 14% bb-k and 27% and he’s currently in the 14% range in the very small sample that he’s done several times in the minors. I think he’s done a better job expanding the bottom of the zone, getting righties to swing at down and away more frequently. His bb-k rate is on the better end of his career, but the GB rate .65 vs historic under .4 is way up and hr/fb and slugging are way down. The slugging part might creep up as more GBs squirt into the outfield, but thus far a ton of weak contact. 2021 31% swings at down and away to righties 2022 46% swings down and away this year 58%! He already has 92 pitches down and away this year, vs 430 all of last year, and getting more swings with great weak contact 21 percentile in average exit velo. Terry Ryan and Bert Blyleven would be proud!
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    Yup! Rosin is pine sap, so orange oil, goo gone, goof off, dish soap, all those water based degreasing acids would do the job, turpentine too, but might be too harsh. Rubbing alcohol is supposed to work too, but you need a lot.
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    Good eye Buck!
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’m watching too
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    Kep!
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