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Linus

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Everything posted by Linus

  1. So not every team builds a bullpen by sifting through the waiver wire? Who knew?
  2. This is the key observation. Successful D1 pitchers should fare very well in both levels of A ball as it is similar to good college baseball. We will know a lot more about these guys once they are in AA. If they succeed there then I will get excited about the possibilities.
  3. This is what I’ve been trying to point out. The root cause of all this is that the number of people interested in baseball or certainly their willingness to pay for it has shrunk dramatically. It seems like people are just trying to make $10 plus $10 equal $125. The delivery of tv viewing is the consequence of this problem not the problem itself. And this could be the tip of the iceberg as the people that will pay to watch baseball tend to be older and there are fewer of them every day.
  4. Yea I don’t think Julien Wallner and Lewis are just going to keep putting up last years numbers. A more realistic expectation is one of them will keep on like last year, one will regress and one will really struggle.
  5. I feel like we will be having the same discussion next year and the year after. None of these guys have been good. None are young except Balazovic. At what point do we just get better pitchers?
  6. The love button is not sufficient for how good this post is. Yea the Twins luckily have some cheap talent no way should the Pohlads get a pass regarding the payroll. I get it-they own the team so they get to decide but I’m always amazed by the number of posters who are concerned about spending the Pohlads money wisely. Things can go well in 2024 but as is pointed out above it’s very easy to paint a realistic picture where things regress pretty substantially. Not investing in the team makes that probability grow.
  7. Forget about the numbers for a while. The system is broke. There aren’t enough people interested in baseball anymore to generate the amount of revenue previously generated. MLB was asleep at the switch while multiple generations stopped being interested in baseball. Those lost generations also happen to be the cord cutters - they are not going back and have no interest in paying anything more than a pittance to watch baseball. I’m an older guy who loves the game and pays an exorbitant sum to stream DirectTV so I can watch the Twins. This is not the norm anymore. Most teams are going to have to wrap their heads around the idea that their TV revenues are going to end up being half or less going forward. There is no realistic math that gets the Twins anywhere close to $50 million in TV revenue.
  8. I think his best role is to be a true fireman. Get a traditional closer to pitch the ninth and let Durán pitch the most high leverage innings including some two inning stints. This would provide max value.
  9. This. In life I’ve learned that it is better to be optimistic. When it comes to prospects not so much. The simple math of it is very few end up with a major league career even when you are considering good prospects like EmRod. I’m not sure anyone including really smart FO types can predict with accuracy what will happen with many prospects. But every great player was a prospect at some point so being good or lucky on those guesses is pretty much the crux of the issue.
  10. Framing is a thing. Back in the day it was called soft hands or being a good receiver. What isn’t a thing is measuring it. The only way you could know is to be in the umpires head after every pitch. The complete sellout of sitting on your butt to frame a pitch is a mistake IMO. it’s not hard to understand why a catcher can’t throw or block pitches from that stance.
  11. I was really excited about Jeffers the first half of the year. He improved so much with his throwing and blocking balls in the dirt prior to that he was really poor at both. Unfortunately he seemed to regress in both areas in the second half. I’ll be watching those aspects as much as his hitting going forward.
  12. Or my older sister learn to play the clarinet - SQUEAK! Extra credit if you were a junior high school band director. 😀
  13. I think Hicks might fit nicely in the back up right handed hitting outfielder role. He’s probably stretched at center but should be decent in the corners. With our club he would rarely hit left handed which is where he is really bad. I would only do this if no other moves are planned and it’s for the minimum.
  14. I am basing my comments on a bapip that isn’t sustainable.
  15. Yep. I like Julien but he may be a regression candidate. His second half numbers were clearly less than the first half and he had a bapip of 335 which is likely to come down some. I would trade him before Lee but I wouldn’t trade either unless it is for a good controllable starter. I’m not at all worried about finding places for all of them to play
  16. It’s a problem as old as baseball itself and has been the downfall of many hitters. My only slim hope is that he’s been so injured he hasn’t had a consistent long stretch of playing time which would help him adjust if that is possible. Having said that I wouldn’t count on him coming through.
  17. To show the difference in MLB between then and now: Slick was a meat salesman in the off season to make ends meet. RIP
  18. I guess we are on different pages. I see Snell getting way more than $105 million. And agreed that it is really tough to speculate about where the payroll limit is and that determines everything.
  19. To add context to the game LeCroy eventually got pulled mid inning the other team was literally running at will. I don’t exactly remember but they stole 5 or 6 bases in 5 innings. LeCroy never had a good throwing arm and it was shot by then and everyone knew. Robinson was upset because he threw LeCroy to the wolves. It had to be one of the worst humiliations I’ve seen in 50+ years of watching baseball.
  20. Won’t Snell get substantially more dollars and certainly much longer term?
  21. I don’t expect Julien to outperform Polanco next year but I really like your trade suggestion. I think the Twins should take on all of Castillos salary and get a good outfield or catching prospect to balance the trade. The Twins would be maxed in their spending but that’s fine. The club would be set.
  22. This is an important part of the story that gets overlooked. After the Twins let him go he was without a team for quite a while - months if I remember correctly. Meaning most teams weren’t too interested in him. He was also injured a lot so while the decision turned out to be horrible most teams viewed him as the Twins did. Ironically his ability to go the other way which he still bitches about made him the perfect hitter for Fenway. That and the special vitamins he started taking in Boston.
  23. I like Julien but would not be surprised if he regressed some next year. His bapip was 335 or so. That is likely to come down some. His second half numbers were clearly not as good as his first half. That may suggest teams adjusted to him. Now we can see if he adjusts back. Regarding the missed called strike three I think people are exaggerating that. He did get screwed on some but the box on tv isn’t the same as the umps get graded on - I think it is human nature to remember the missed ones and forget about all the called strike outs where the pitch was clearly a strike. Having said all that his at bats are fun to watch as it’s always a battle. At the end of the day I still believe in what TK always said: you really don’t know what you have in a hitter until they have 1000-1500 at bats.
  24. I would offer Julien and SWR. If that isn’t enough then go sign Clevinger.
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