jmlease1
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Everything posted by jmlease1
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Balazovic is on the shakiest ground. In addition to his ineffectiveness and recent injury history, the team was unquestionably unhappy with him getting into a bar fight (even if it wasn't his fault and he didn't start anything). Hard to say he has any value in a deal, so it's really a matter of whether or not he can come into camp healthy enough and pitching well enough to grab one of the last slots on the roster, otherwise he's probably going to get cut. The order here makes a lot of sense to me. I hope Winder is going to Driveline or somewhere like that in the offseason to try to find a better fastball result. He can't survive with the one he's got. I'm still a believer in SWR, who I think will be in line to start for the Twins in 2024 at some point. We'll see how his offseason goes, but he's shown things that make me awfully reluctant to give up on him at his age. (I'm sure he'll get a shot in the bullpen before that) Sadly, all of these are distressed assets that don't have much value in a trade right now.
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It tells me someone was willing to offer him at least 3 years and $25M AAV. The idea that Gray left because of analytics or frustration in MN says more about the people expressing the opinion than it does about Sonny Gray. They are the ones that are frustrated with the approach. Highly doubt StL is going to treat Gray much differently than the Twins did this season, and Gray is going to be mad almost every time he comes out of the game (and will be over it by the next day. rinse, repeat).
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Joe Mauer Should Be a First Ballot Hall of Famer
jmlease1 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Asserts facts not in evidence. Mauer led the league twice in caught stealing % and really only had one bad year in throwing guys out. He's was excellent at it in his first few seasons, slid back to around average, had a bad season and led the league again in his last season behind the plate. I'd say his arm was just fine. BTW, he did pretty well at blocking the plate too: 1 Passed Ball every 197 innings. (Molina was 1 every 190) And before anyone starts presuming that Mauer only caught pitcher with great control, his pitchers uncorked a WP 1 every 33 innings...exactly the same as Molina.- 28 replies
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Joe Mauer Should Be a First Ballot Hall of Famer
jmlease1 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Even if I knew that Mauer was going to miss a bunch of time and have to quit catching at 31, I'd still take Mauer every single time. Molina was an excellent defensive catcher and remained a quality defender for his entire career, which is remarkable. But Mauer was a quality defender (even though he wasn't as good as Molina) and was so much better offensively that it's just not close. Molina's best seasons at the plate are akin to Joe Mauer's average seasons at the plate, and Molina didn't have very many good seasons as a hitter. Molina was only above league average 7 times in 19 seasons; Mauer had ONE season where he was below league average, and that wasn't until his skills had been lessened by concussions. Molina may have made 10 all-star games, but he only deserved about 3, maybe 4. Mauer deserved all 6 of his. Having a quality defender at catcher who can also hit is a massive competitive advantage. Having an elite hitter at catcher is amazing. Molina played 400 more games and only had 50 more hits. Mauer played 400 fewer games and drew 400 more walks. Molina played on better teams, but Mauer was the better player. Bigger peak, longer peak. Better career, even if it was shorter. They're really not close and shouldn't be comps. (Posey v Molina is more interesting; Molina played a LOT longer, Posey had a much higher peak. But they're much more comparable as players than either is to Joe Mauer, who should be a first-ballot HoFer)- 28 replies
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3 years $25M per is pretty good business on Sonny Gray. Always knew he would get at least a 3 year deal and the number would be north of $20M per season. Only real question was whether someone might give him the 4th year. There's some risk in it, but not too serious. Good move by the Cards. The combination of money, years, and the lure of the compensatory pick meant there was always going to be little chance of bringing Gray back, but it's ending up being an excellent trade for the Twins. We got a lot of value from Gray over the last 2 seasons and this year he was deserving of every accolade he got. Getting those 2 years plus a pick for Petty is smart business, especially for where the Twins are as a franchise: trying to compete. Petty still looks like a nice prospect, but he has a ways to go. (I wouldn't exactly say he's been bump-free, either: only 68 innings and 18 starts this year? Getting to AA at 20 is impressive, but he still looks another 2 years away even if everything stays on track) Gray and Maeda are gone, but Ober is ready and Paddack looks back so we're not in the scary place we were 2 years ago when we went out to get Sonny Gray. I still expect them to go get a veteran starter either by signing a guy or making a trade, which pushes Varland back down to AAA to start the season. Lopez, Ryan, Ober, Paddack, and PTBNL with Varland, Festa, and Woods Richardson providing depth will still put us in a good position for the rotation to be a strength again. Hopefully the starter they sign slots above Paddack (in part so they can monitor Paddack's innings in his first full year back from TJ, in part so they're raising the ceiling a little more rather than the floor) but things still look solid. I just remember that after 2021 we didn't actually have anyone we were sure of in the rotation. Joe Ryan was the closest to a sure thing and he had 5 MLB starts. Ober looked good, but had an injury history (that reared up in 2022). We were talking about maybe bringing back Pineda again. We ended up signing Bundy and Archer, and needed them both. There was This year there's much less desperation and better depth already in place. Good luck to Sonny Gray (except when he faces us!). Great job while he was here and an excellent trade.
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Joe Mauer Should Be a First Ballot Hall of Famer
jmlease1 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
David Wright, but not Mauer? Talk about east-coast bias. Utley is an interesting case: had a massive start, but really faded at the end...but his big WAR numbers depend on high level defensive stats, which is a little complicated for a player that never won a Gold Glove. Admittedly, GG voting is messed up (Mauer not winning at 1B is case in point) but usually if someone is one of the best of their generation at their position they'll collect at least one along the way. The lack of "counting" stats (games played, hits, etc) is going to hurt Utley as well. He's an interesting case and should be debated. But voting for Utley and skipping Mauer seems again, coastal bias.- 28 replies
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The comments sections at The Athletic show some of the weird local sentiment I was talking about. They've got a HoF piece up and there are people saying their MN fans and really throwing shade at Mauer, especially when baseball fans from other parts of the country are like "yeah, seems like an obvious first-ballot guy to me". There's this lingering bitterness that seems based on Mauer getting a huge contract and then not winning a World Series. As if he was responsible for the low payrolls the Pohlads kept, or the bad decisions made by various GMs, or the critical injuries (not just to Joe but Morneau, Liriano, etc), or even Phil Cuzzi. Joe Mauer was an MVP, a 6-time all-star (who deserved them all), 3-time batting champion, 3-time gold glover (should have been 4 with one at 1B in 2017) and did it while spending his first 10 seasons as a primary catcher. Look at what catchers hit these days and think about what Mauer would be worth. A truly great player. I'm still amazed he managed to hit .324 in 2013; that team had nobody else hitting (Morneau was sapped by injury, Dozier hadn't figured it out yet, Willingham was cooked and there was just nothing else there). Mauer only got IBB'd 7 times that season and I'm amazed it wasn't 20. He was on pace for another MVP-caliber season before it ended prematurely.
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Fisk was also on the ballot during a very different time, though. You had more sentiment from voters about being a "first-ballot" HoFer being more special and have additional criteria for some voters. You still had obsessions about unanimous elections, and you had writers still giving players courtesy votes. There was also less understanding of defensive statistics as well. There's enough room on this year's ballot for Mauer to get in, but the biggest barrier will be voters who don't use more of their slots. The other barrier will be Joe's lack of post-season success, which wasn't really his fault (and he was denied a signature moment against the Yankees by Phil Cuzzi on what remains a staggeringly bad call) by some voters might hold it against him in the same idiotic way Dan Barreiro used to hold Mauer's walks against him. (Yes, I'm repeating my shots at DannyB; his near-vendetta against Mauer remains shameful, and I'm convinced half of it was because Mauer had no interest in appearing on his show, which makes it even worse)
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I think the national media and baseball writers from other parts of the country hold Joe Mauer in greater esteem than some of the locals here in the Twin Cities (Dan Barreiro, are your ears burning?) and even (sadly) quite a few Twins fans. I would not be shocked for Mauer to make it on the first ballot, especially since many of the "not on the first ballot" or "if Player X wasn't unanimous, Imma make sure no one is unanimous!" guys are either gone from the voting ranks, have changed their ways, or are simply minimized. Mauer was a truly great player, an elite catcher who could do damn near everything. His swing was spectacular, his eye at the plate impeccable, and he was a leader in the clubhouse as well. (I think his mentorship and leadership late in his career was notable, handing out game balls and so forth) I wish he'd gotten the Gold Glove he deserved at 1B; having that kind of additional singular trait (winning a Gold Glove at two very different positions) would have helped the narrative, but Mauer is worthy regardless. He's one of the best catchers of all-time, and was awesome to see him play his whole career as a Twin.
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If the only way to acquire a player like Alonso is to overpay with prospect capital so the other team will eat some salary, then it's a non-starter for me. And I do think dealing a global top-50 prospect for a one-year rental is an overpay. He's a nice fit on the team, playing 1B and DH with his RH power bat (and I would expect his BA to bounce back some), but the payroll issue makes it challenging. And I'm just not sure the Mets would even be interested. Who knows what their plan is right now, and while I'm sure they'd like to get a top-50 prospect, they also play in NY where total rebuilds don't go over very well. they moved out players that were really old last season, not guys under 30 and they still have talent on the squad. I think it's more likely they sign Alonso to long-term extension as a partner for Lindor and bridge to the future than try to send him along for a prospect. The other issue of course is the Twins need to have have prospects like ER graduate from the system and be the next wave of stars or the project is not sustainable. 1B isn't enough of a need to jeopardize that. i don't think this FO would risk that move for anything other than cost-controlled starting pitching. Can't say I blame them.
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List seems about right. All of these players are pretty untouchable for the Twins absent a massive overpay in a deal. All of them are cheap with the exception of Lopez, and considering how hard it is to find an ace he's actually relatively underpaid. Part of the key for the Twins to stay competitive is to keep a flow of cost-controlled players flowing up from the minor leagues, so moving high-end prospects is only going to be done from a position of depth and strength, and to fill serious needs. For once, the Twins don't have any "oh god oh god, we can't possibly start the season like this!" needs, which makes it even less likely they'd look to move anyone off this list. I understand people questioning Ryan's presence on the list, but he's a cost-controlled starting pitcher who has shown that he can slot in to your rotation and give you a chance to win pretty much every night. He doesn't look like an ace (he's got some warts, like giving up too many HRs) but he's definitely a playoff-caliber starter. I'd say he's the better fit on this list than Ober from a trade value standpoint just because he's shown the ability to throw more innings consistently. YMMV on whether he's the better pitcher, but in terms of automatic trade value, he's the right choice. The only other guy who probably deserves some consideration for an untradable list is Emmanuel Rodriguez; the Twins see him as a high end prospect, and so does the rest of the league. It's hard to put him higher than anyone on this list (3 of these guys have shown/proven it in MLB already, Lee is already in AAA after doing the job in AA, and Jenkins had an amazing start and might have the highest upside of any Twins prospect since Joe Mauer) but he's probably next in line and I see little chance of the Twins moving him either, again, absent a massive overpay. With the Twins in a competitive zone with a strong MLB squad, I think they're more likely to make deals involving guys like Polanco this year or someone like Julien in the next couple of years once they get more expensive and they have quality players coming in behind. The FO was more interested in spending prospect capital when they had bigger holes to fill, but even then: they were always looking to deal from positions of strength.
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Cory Lewis Reflects on 2023 Season, Discusses Pitches
jmlease1 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Fascinating prospect. It'll be interesting to see if he can maintain a 4-5 pitch mix as he works his way up through the minors; if he can keep refining all of them and keep them in play it gives him an interesting advantage in always having something different throw at a player. He's done a very good job in keeping the ball in the park and the walk rates are very reasonable. Heck of a first professional year for Lewis. Wonder where the Twins will start him this year: back in high A to start or push him up to AA? I'm hoping for the latter. Not sure he'll get much more out of A-ball, and would like to see how he does against more advanced hitters. Always rooting for a dude who throws a knuckleball! -
The Curious Case of Kala'i Rosario
jmlease1 replied to Lou Hennessy's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
So, here's the thing: Sano & Gallo were both MLB players. Sano accumulated 7.6 bWAR, had a 116 OPS+, and made the all-star team. Gallo was a 2-time all-star, won 2 gold gloves, and has a career OPS+ of 110 even after the past 2 1/2 seasons where he struggled. Sabato is a former 1st round draft pick that is going to be exposed to the Rule 5 draft and doesn't look like he'll ever make it to the majors. I realize there's a real dislike towards players that K a lot around here, and the Gallo experiment flamed out after the first month causing immense frustration as he became unplayable again (yet lingered on the roster and kept getting chances). And Sano's last season was a disaster as the injuries piled up and he couldn't adjust. But early in their careers, Sano and Gallo added a lot of value to their teams. If Rosario is on a Gallo-ish path where he could supply quality defense (I wouldn't expect gold gloves) and light tower power and spends 5+ years in MLB with the Twins...that's a heck of a result for a 5th round pick. But grouping Sabato in with Gallo & Sano is ridiculous. Sabato has never dominated in the minors like Gallo or Sano did. Point of fact, Sabato has never dominated for a full season at any level in professional baseball, only doing it for short bursts. He's never had a season as good as Rosario's 2023 as a pro, despite being an older and more experienced college bat. Rosario had an excellent season in high A and deserves to have risen in his prospect status. He's going to be playing AA next season at 21, which is a great development path for a high school hitter. So far he hasn't needed to repeat a level, either. -
What a bummer about Moran. I know he was wild and a little inconsistent, but that changeup was such a weapon. Was really hoping he could get things under control and be a factor. Hope he will come back on a 2-year minor league deal, but it's a shame that he needs TJ. Henriquez feels a bit like a 4A player: too good for AAA, but not quite good enough to succeed consistently in MLB. Probably the right move to non-tender him. Twins big challenge this off-season really isn't the 40-man, it's the 26-man. they don't have a lot of spots available on the 26-man, and they're not giving themselves a lot of payroll room either (self-imposed problem, but still a problem). The 40-man seems to be in good shape.
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- kyle farmer
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What Can the Twins Get For Nick Gordon?
jmlease1 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Castro was too integral to the team last season for them to option him in favor of a more limited player. And if Farmer gets moved, he's also the only backup SS they realistically have. the 26-man roster is very tight right now unless the Twins suddenly have a change in philosophy and start carrying only 12 pitchers (which is something I think they should consider, frankly; having 2 pitchers that only get used once a week is a redundancy they maybe can't afford; there were stretches were a guy like Winder or sands was on the roster but only threw once every 10-14 days). I agree the FO doesn't like to give a away a player for nothing, and would rather exercise options when they can...but Castro is just ahead of Gordon on the depth chart now. Moreover, I think they increasingly see him as an OF rather than an INF, which means they'd need to be finding room for a 5th OF, since he's not going to take Kepler or Wallner's spot, unless they seriously think he can be the primary backup to Buxton in CF...which seems unlikely.- 62 replies
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What Can the Twins Get For Nick Gordon?
jmlease1 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Tough to find room for him on this roster. He's essentially just an OF for the Twins at this point (he's only a "break glass in case of emergency" SS, there are too many guys ahead of him at 2B, the Twins haven't shown any interest in playing him at 3B, and first base doesn't look like a good fit for him) but he's hardly a prototypical corner OF, and Wallner and Kepler are both LH options ahead of him. He was passable in CF and could still improve there in time, but it might be asking a lot to have him be the primary backup to Buxton...and I think the Twins would prefer to have a 4th OF who hits RH. Hardly playing (and being mired in a deep slump when he did play early) really reduces his trade value. But I would still look to move him. Otherwise I think he gets cut out of training camp and someone will pick him up on waivers for free. besides, the Twins could probably use the 40-man spot. Not sure you get more than an A-ball reliever at this point, but maybe he can be part of a package. Too bad. Seems like a good dude, and he's been really unlucky with his health and injuries.- 62 replies
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That's fair. Jenkins is a major talent and so far has met every challenge with seeming ease. But a high school draft pick debuting at 21 is still pretty fantastic. That's the Joe Mauer path, and Jenkins is already a little ahead of that (Joe spent his first season in rookie ball, Jenkins has low-A games under his belt). He's been so good so far that it's easy to see him rocketing up tp AA in 2024, but it would still be a huge success if he finishes the year in Cedar Rapids. Keaschall and Schobel have the same problem in front of them to get up to MLB by 2025/26: lot of guys in front of them. Hard not to see Julien, Lee, and Lewis owning 2B/3B for a while and I could see either of them being used as trade bait at some point. So while I think the timeline might be realistic, I also think there's a real chance it'll be with someone else for one of them. Lot to feel good about in the top 10 prospect list: you have high-end talent, guys that have emerged through development, and relatively few with low ceilings. It's going to be exciting if the really young guys advance fairly quickly; always better to be adding guys to the 40-man when they're in AA/AAA rather than having to sort out whether they need to be protected while still in A-ball. Soto is the wildest wild card of the bunch: he's got oodles of talent, but he's also a high school pitcher and we literally haven't seen him throw a professional inning yet.
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Pump the Brakes On These Prospects
jmlease1 replied to Greggory Masterson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sure, but Wallner showed he could dominate at AAA before he got his call-up and even Julien was getting rolling in his first 2 weeks of the season in AAA before coming up the first time. I'm more talking about clearing space for guys in advance of the season anyways, before they'd had a chance to show much. It also makes a difference if you have other options as well. because some of these rookies are going to struggle and even need to get a re-set back in AAA, and then you still have to fill the position in MLB. Catcher is a good example for this right now: if the Twins move Vazquez to create a spot for Camargo...what happens if Jeffers gets hurt and Camargo struggles? Right now our options would be very thin (and yes, we're likely to stash a veteran borderline catcher in AAA before the season starts just in case, but we haven't done it yet). the talent level in AAA is higher than it was 2 years ago, which certainly makes a difference, but the Twins clearly have no interest in getting into a situation where they're running out their 9th choice at OF while trying to stay in contention again. We've got room to move someone like Farmer or Polanco because we have depth in the middle infield (although SS is definitely lean) and Julien has already shown he can handle 2B on a regular basis. But it'd be a lot riskier if we packaged up farmer, Polanco and Julien for pitching and handed 2B to Brooks Lee...- 97 replies
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Twins AFL Report (Final): Desert Dogs Howl at the Moon
jmlease1 replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
A mixed bag in the AFL for the twins this year. Rosario did pretty well, but the low average will make people (rightfully) nervous. It'll be interesting to see how he does in AA this season. Cossetti struggled at the plate, but still had a solid season overall. not exactly the springboard we were hoping for, but we'll see how he does next season. carr was pretty impressive, nice to see at least one pitcher do well. Sabato...this was a bit of Last Chance to Impress time for him, and i don't know if he did. The HRs were impressive, but his contact problems remain, and are the sort of thing that will only get worse in all likelihood. he will be exposed to the Rule 5 draft...not sure anyone is going to take him, though. a slugging 1B who doesn't make much contact at AA isn't exactly promising for the MLB roster.- 2 replies
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Pump the Brakes On These Prospects
jmlease1 replied to Greggory Masterson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That's fair, but when the team is in a competitive cycle like the Twins currently are I'd rather have prospects force their way on to the MLB squad rather than get there on scholarship. Brooks Lee is a heck of a prospect, and I'm very high on him but he hasn't crushed AAA in ways that demand the Twins make room for him immediately...yet. He earned his promotion to AAA for sure. I'm fine with having him keep earning it; I think he's going to have a great year in Saint Paul and be up early if/when we have an injury in the infield. Austin Martin has overcome a lot and has had a bumpy road as a prospect. he earned his promotion to AAA with his AFL performance, and did a good job coming back from injury again. But he really had one great month, so while I'm still thinking he can be a valuable player for the Twins (he profiles wonderfully for this team as a potential 4th OF/super utility player who can get on base, steal bases, play good defense in multiple positions, and have a little pop in his bat) he didn't do so well that the Twins shouldn't still look for a more proven backup CF first. Do I think he can carve out a role some time in 2024? You betcha, but he doesn't need to do it on scholarship. Severino is interesting as a 1B option (switch-hitter with loads of power) but again: I wouldn't move someone out to find him a job in MLB. Camargo is interesting, but the only way to put him in MLB is to move on from Vazquez, and if we do that we have no other catchers ready to step in in case of injury. Right now we'd have to eat part of Vazquez's contract anyways. I'm really excited about our prospects; there's some definite talents moving up through the system, but having depth is good and there's no need to create openings yet.- 97 replies
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- brooks lee
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The Clock Has Struck Midnight for Trevor Larnach
jmlease1 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't entirely disagree, but by the time Larnach really got himself back on track, Kepler had also gotten himself back on track and Wallner was getting the job done in the other corner, so there really wasn't a spot for Larnach to play very often let alone every day. I too would have moved on from Gallo sooner, but Gallo barely played in the OF in August when he did play so it's not like he was blocking Larnach at that point. Larnach finished the season really strong but wasn't exactly lighting it up in June-Aug (10 hrs and 9 2Bs total in 3 months, mostly playing in the International League? not exactly the kind of production you need if you're also hitting .225) I thought Larnach didn't have an option left, so if he does I'm happy to keep him on the 40-man and see if his stock can improve and/or he carves out a role on the team. If there's an injury to a corner OF/DH, he looks like the first call if he's performing well in AAA. If there's no space and he's hitting, he can get dealt at the deadline to fill a gap or as part of a package. No reason to make the call on him when his stock is low and there's no need to move him (there's room on the 40-man). The bigger issue is a guy like Nick Gordon, who is also left-handed, also best suited to a corner OF role from a defensive standpoint, had a rough year in 2023, and IS out of options. He's the guy who looks to be the odd-man out and you hope you can move him for something rather than just have to cut him and hope he passes through waivers (which he probably won't; someone will take a chance on him, especially if they're a bad team like the A's were with Rooker). because just like there's no room for Larnach right now in MLB if everyone comes back and everyone is healthy, there's no room for Gordon either.- 52 replies
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The Clock Has Struck Midnight for Trevor Larnach
jmlease1 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Miranda and Kirilloff have been bitten by injury. Miranda had a very solid rookie season and this year instead of taking the next step his hurt his shoulder and needed season-ending surgery after not being able to get back through rest and rehab. Kirilloff has performed well when healthy, and struggled when trying to play through injury. Steer & CES (especially CES) were well-regarded prospects that were moved in an attempt to improve pitching. Steer struggled mightily in his first taste of MLB and played very well last season (though him already moving down to 1B is not ideal for his long-term value); CES looks like the hitter we thought he was, but has the problem of not really having a defensive home. Rooker flunked out not only with the Twins, but also the Padres and the Royals, it wasn't until he joined the staggeringly awful A's that he performed well...and even then there's a real question whether he'd replicate that on a semi-competitive team. the only thing that's held Lewis back was injury; he's now locked in at 3B. Wallner has done great in moving to MLB. Julien got rookie of the year votes. not entirely sure what the Twins have done wrong there, other than maybe not giving Wallner more opportunity sooner? Once Larnach started figuring things out in AAA again, there wasn't much opportunity in MLB. Why would you give him ABs over Kepler and Wallner, who were both playing very well? Would I had rather had him than Gallo? Sure, but it still wouldn't have freed up many ABs, especially unless Larnach learned to play 1B in a hurry. I'm fine with moving on from Larnach if we need to, but if he still has an option left I wouldn't send him packing without a good offer, and after last season who knows if we get one? I think the more likely one to get moved might be Gordon from the LH OFs. Gordon doesn't have an option left and without an injury doesn't have a roster spot, unless he's become a heck of a lot better CF than I remember.- 52 replies
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- trevor larnach
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The Positive of Reducing Payroll
jmlease1 replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This. While it's never good to be reducing payroll, and I'm disappointed in ownership for this, we do have depth in the top of the minor leagues. But from a position player standpoint, all the self-imposed payroll restrictions really do is prevent them from improving substantially at a position like 1B or signing a higher quality backup CF. For the most part we weren't likely going to be in on position players for this team because of the emergence of several young players that need and should play: Julien, Lewis, and Wallner. It doesn't make sense to add a veteran and send any of them back down to AAA: none have anything left to prove there, and all three showed more than enough for the team to be comfortable with them as starting players. Where the payroll reduction hurts is for pitching. While we are in substantially better shape than we were for the rotation 2 years ago, there's a real concern that we're going to be a bit thin on starters for next season. I like Varland, but if he's in the rotation on day 1 then we don't have a lot of depth if/when any of the starters gets dinged up. Paddack did great late in coming back and looks better than he did before the injury, but he might need some time off during the season as he adjusts to pitching every 5th day again. Ryan missed some time in 2023 with the kind of injury that can hit any player. Ober was the healthiest he's ever been and they still slipped him down to AAA for a couple of weeks to try to manage his workload. You just never know with this stuff. I feel good about the Twins from a position player side of things overall, and like the young talent they have on the MLB roster and pushing their way up from AAA. But the self-imposed payroll restrictions are going to hurt the rotation and potential for this club.- 35 replies
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How Will the Twins Handle Yunior Severino in 2024?
jmlease1 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He looks like a good add to the 40-man, a player who is on the cusp of finding out whether or not he can play in MLB. I think he makes the most sense as the first man up to play 1B for the Twins next season, rather than getting on the 26-man out the gate. His K-rate is a concern and will be one in MLB once pitchers get a look and some tape on him, because you can really see him becoming someone that chases sliders out of the zone. So he still has some things to work on. Despite that, he still has real talent with the bat, and the ball explodes off of it. Sure, he was only around average in AAA in comparison to the the rest of the hitter-friendly league, but he also played 2/3 of his games at AA last season and dominated there with really stellar numbers. Landing around average as a hitter in his first 30-40 games in AAA isn't too bad in that context. He looks like a nice fit as a depth piece for the franchise right now. Let him keep working on the things he needs to improve on and earn his way up to MLB. No scholarships. Having a switch-hitting power bat in the high minors if/when injuries come a-calling is a good thing. -
Twins Pursuing First Baseman in Free Agency or Trade
jmlease1 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
A comment like this from Falvey makes me think that Miranda's shoulder surgery was more serious than Kirilloff's, and that they don't see him as being any kind of potential platoon partner for AK early in the season. Which would be a bummer, but understandable. Finding a RH 1B who can at least whack around LHP shouldn't be the hardest thing in the world; there's usually a few of those types floating around that don't cost too much. The question is, can you pick out who is going to be the 2021-2022 CJ Cron and not the 2023 version...

