jmlease1

Miranda is the minor league story of the year for me so far. He's doing a wonderful job at the plate, showing an advanced approach with discipline, power, and contact skills. He absolutely has to take a huge leap up the rankings progressing like he has at a new level and having his best season as a pro. Would like to know more about his defense, but it can't be that bad at 3B if the team is willing to run him out a SS for a couple of games if in need. It's not like he's an older player beating up on a bunch of teenagers, either; he's the 2nd youngest player to hit for Wichita this season (behind Celestino). tremendous breakthrough season for Miranda and he's in my top ten for sure. Steer is doing well, but I'll be more impressed with him as a prospect if he makes the jump to AA this year and keeps hitting against better competition. a 3-year college player should be able to hammer it in the low minors. I'm excited about canterino and worried about the elbow. Ugh. Winder should make his entrance on the prospect lists and I'm interested to follow him more closely. I'd say Moran deserves a place as well, even if relievers usually seems to get downgraded on prospect lists; he's looking like he might be the real deal.

You're not wrong in that their analytics told them he's not likely to be a player with long-term success. And frankly, the analytics suggest that he's riding a lucky streak right now, which happens to relievers all the time since they don't have tons of innings. But Littell was also a guy who has been passed on by every team when he got pulled from the 40 man. The Twins were interested in bringing him back on a minor league deal; he just chose to go elsewhere as a minor-league free agent: no one gave him a major league deal, not even the Giants. The Giants took a flyer on him on a minor league make-good deal with no risk. He pitched well enough to make the roster and has played well, but I doubt they're gonna offer him any kind of multi-year extension. We'll see where he is at the end of the year too...

Colome wasn't a scrap heap find, though: he'd been a fine and reliable reliever for 5 years in a row. (interesting question on Colome: is he cooked, or is he going to bounce back, either through the end of this season or next? really hard to know) I was thrilled with the Colome signing and based on what we knew then it was absolutely a fine move...it just hasn't worked out. He's literally having the worse stretch of his career since moving to the bullpen. Maybe it's small sample size and will look different by the end of the year, maybe he's just cooked as a pitcher at 32. But he's a sunk cost now with no trade value unless he gets straightened out. So with the year lost, I'd actually pitch him in higher leverage situations now and see if he gets on a roll and can be dealt. That's not a long leash, that's trying to get something for your money. Hell, he ain't blocking anyone. Shoemaker & Happ were attempts to add depth to starting pitching and I really don't think anyone was looking towards Littell as a starting option this season; even the Giants weren't looking that way, a spot start not withstanding. And Shoemaker got yanked from the rotation now that someone got healthy. His leash was "long" because we had nothing else. Pineda was hurt (and is again), Maeda was hurt, Thorpe is hurt, Dobnak has been worse, Smeltzer is hurt and was bad last year...

Might be a little too soon to declare it one way or the other; one things we've seen is that relievers at the margin are awfully fungible. Up one year, down the next. Colome had an outstanding track record going into this season and has been trash this year. Robles has been good this year, bad last year, great the year before, etc. Look at someone like Stashak: had two nice years where he was a good reliever...trash this season. How's Trevor May been? (hint: meh.) Littell has a nice shiny ERA right now, but his FIP is sitting at 4.08. With his K/9 unimpressive (he's a bit above his career average, but still below his career best), the career low H/9 looks a bit like Small Sample Size Syndrome. I see regression to the mean in his future, I'm afraid. He's certainly not someone I would invest in long-term? Considering the misses on other players this year and the utter failures of the bullpen this year, this one sucks...but I don't really blame them for going that way. Littell still looks like just a guy to me.

Winder has 41 IP above A-ball, and didn't throw a single inning in organized play last year. Yes, he's off to a great start in AA, but it's still only 8 starts from a guy whose career high is 125 IP in a season. Let him take a couple of additional turns and move him up at midseason if you have a slot for him a AAA. Not like he's going to fly in and save the season at Target Field. Cano is doing well, but is still pretty hittable; I'd feel better about a pitcher of his age in AA not giving up about as many hits as innings pitched. He's likely to move up fairly soon anyway. Moran looks like a terrific prospect right now; I can live with his BB/9 when a player gets Ks like that. But these are still tiny sample sizes, which is why the Twins probably aren't feeling the need to rush into anything. Great results for Wander Javier. Really great to see him healthy and displaying his talent. It takes a lot, mentally and physically, to come back from all that injury and layoff time so it's fun to see him play and play well. Hard to rank him as a prospect right now, but could be a fun evaluation at season's end. Miranda is killing it. Love the low K-rate, love seeing good power production, love seeing him shine. He will rocket up the prospect charts, and deservedly so.

fair amount of similarities, frankly. Rooker's issue is entirely whether he will make enough contact for it to matter that he makes really hard contact. He doesn't have Sano's control of the strike zone (yet) and weirdly is probably less valuable defensively even though he can play OF and Sano definitely can not. Because Rooker is...not good out there. It's not looking like he's going to make enough contact to be a real MLB player, but more of a AAAA guy. Still a little time to find out, but it's not looking great.

Thielbar's peripherals are all over the place, but you don't cut bait on a lefty reliever with a 13.3 K/9 rate. As you note there's a big difference in the level of competition; if Cano is giving up that many hits in AA, he's likely to get lit up in MLB.

I think one of the biggest challenges in the minors this year is going to be deciding on mid-season promotions. There might be a bit of a logjam as they try to work through everyone coming off a non-season. Normally, someone like Javier might be really pushing to move up to better competition at AA now that he's showing something in high A at 22...but finding room is a big tougher.

Nice game by the Twins. Actually got some hits with runners in scoring position! If you can't root for Nick Gordon right now, you have no soul. Love seeing him seize the opportunity he's getting right now and really happy he's healthy again. Good for him. I got nervous when Berrios gave up the second dinger. Looked like he was mad at himself for giving up the first one and didn't get himself locked back in. Those kind of lapses are what will keep Berrios from taking the next step as a pitcher, but I think he can still figure it out. I would not trade Berrios (even if the offers are huge) unless he's made it clear that he will leave in free agency. He should be an anchor for this pitching staff for the next 5 years, IMHO.

dang, reading this thread the Twins should just cut everybody it sounds like. I get that everyone is frustrated and disappointed in this team (I am too), but there's a level of overreaction going on that's just silly. The team is bad. The bullpen has been bad all year, but they're not the only problem, not by a long shot. You've got a ton of injuries, horrid defense (and this team by any assessment should have improved on D), problematic pitching (worst ERA+ in baseball; it's not just the bullpen), and an unlucky offense (they're 12th in runs scored but 3rd in OPS+). That's a total breakdown that's frankly not predictable. This should have been a good team, but instead it's trash because literally everything that could go wrong has gone wrong. That doesn't take anyone off the hook for their personal performances but it also means you have to be careful about overreacting. Is firing the manager really going to do anything? (doubtful, because firing Rocco won't get anyone off the injured list) Is cutting Shoemaker going to help? (marginal at best; he only stuck in the rotation as long as he did because of injuries and it's not like there's much left to replace him in the 'pen until more people get healthy) Ober did a solid job last night, but let's not pretend he wasn't hittable; dude gave up 7 hits in 5 innings. More importantly, he's barely pitched in the last two years. only 16 innings in the minors this year, none last year (not even in the Saint Paul camp). So pulling him at 75 pitches was hardly outrageous. Alcala had been death against RHB all season...and he gives up a HR. another move that didn't work out. But do you blame Rocco for going to him against a righty? Lefties have been his problem and where he's been homer-happy. Leaving in Shoemaker for a second inning in a tied game makes sense considering the bullpen option and the fact that you're looking at a potential 10th inning if the team doesn't score. Even if we were using a traditional closer role, I'm not sure you see your closer come in at that point. It didn't work out, but in a vacuum it's not an unreasonable decision. It just didn't work out. Like damn near everything this year. Hell Kirilloff ripped the ball hard a couple of times and it ended up running right at guys. But he only got 1 hit, so maybe we should cut him too.

I am so happy for Nick Gordon. He's had some really rough breaks the last two seasons, and it's great to see him get a shot to play in the majors and take full advantage of it. Did a nice job in CF, I thought, and if he can be a legitimate fill-in there his value goes up substantially. The question for me was never whether Gordon could play in MLB, it was really just whether he could get/stay healthy and how high his ceiling was. Really fun watching him show what he can do. (not thrilled to see another bloody injury, though. Hopefully this is relatively minor for Kirilloff)

I'm a big fan of Alcala, but he's a guy who is still learning how to pitch (not unusual, really). He's got a great fastball and the slider plays very nicely too but he's still learning how to set up hitters to get the K. He's got the stuff to get it done and I think he has the mentality as well. If he can develop the change as the off-speed offering to throw at lefties to play off his excellent fastball, then I think he'll be a terrific weapon in the late innings.

All I want for Cavaco this season is for him to just play a lot. If we get these kinds of flashes, then great, but I just want him playing every damn day. Nice outing by Sands. He's an interesting prospect, should be fun to evaluate him later this summer to see where he's progressing. Miranda seems to have unlocked something. Team officials have been high on him for a while, so this is nice to see.

I still think Donaldson will net positive by the end of the year, assuming he plays enough, but seeing him make defensive mistakes is surprising. The OF defense has been disgusting. Injuries are responsible for a lot of it (Buxton makes everyone look better, and a healthy Kepler is more than reliable) but holy cow. And it seems like any time they've asked someone to step in they immediately make a bad botch (Blankenhorn, Celestino, et al) and so many of their errors have been impactful. Are any of the pitchers fielding their position well? Polanco has been pretty good at 2B, that move made sense and works. But this team should be quality on D and they've been trash. It's been a huge part of why this is such a disappointing team.

Gleeman has reported a couple of times that Miranda is the prospect name that always comes up when he asks for a guy in the minors that people should get to know. Twins staff has been high on him for a while. Real possibility that his tools have come together in a way that applies on the field. Still early, but he's setting himself up to rise (eventual 3B replacement for Donaldson?). If he's able to control the strike zone and do damage on balls in the zone while limiting Ks like this, he'll be a nice prospect. Curious about his D.

Why? Broxton has been bad in Saint Paul to date, has little to no future at 31, and simply can't hit. Celestino probably isn't ready to face MLB pitching, but he's a legit prospect with a good upside. Broxton isn't going to help the Twins out of this funk or save the season, so they're better off giving ABs to real prospects than guys who aren't good and aren't on the 40-man. celestino (despite his rough start) is a quality defensive player. let's see what he's got.

It's one thing to endure a season where the team stinks. We've been through that before. But usually that comes in a year where you looked at the team at the start of the season and needed rose-colored glasses to see them as competitors. Usually, you've known when they weren't likely to be any good. This team should have been good. The moves made sense. They didn't have a lot of holes. They appeared to have depth. They had a track record of success. They had a cadre of young, rising players. And yet, they stink. The starting pitching is a mess, the bullpen is incredibly unreliable, the lineup can't score late, the injuries are lengthy, and basically every bad thing that can possibly happen seems to be happening. I really thought this team was going to be a contender, and they're trash. And that's what's really hard to watch.

Great to see Balazovic hit the field. Sucks to see Canterino head to the IL. Cabezas is off to a nice start in A+; normally I would think 24 is a little old for the level, but this is an odd year with no minor league ball last year. Like to see the K-rate come up a bit more, but the H/9 is certainly good enough and his control looks solid. Be interesting to see if he becomes an emerging prospect this season

It says something about this team that right now I see them give up a hit in the 9th and I'm immediately convinced they're gonna blow the lead. Not a lot of confidence in the bullpen these days...which I thought for sure was going to be solid going into the year. Hope the dinger from Sano is the start of another hot run for him.

I'd extend him if you can get a reasonable deal. It's all well and good to say "trade him and re-sign him in the off-season" but that doesn't always work. (Escobar, anyone?) Consistent starting pitching is hard to find and it's good to have some veterans in the mix as you develop your young players. Pineda has been good for the Twins. the complicated thing on giving up on this season and making deals is are you rebuilding or reloading when you do it. The Twins have a bunch of young talent on the cusp of the majors (Kirilloff, Larnach, Duran, Jeffers, etc), which makes a full-on tear down more difficult. Most of the prospects the Twins will get back in any deal, even a good deal, are going to be at A-ball. that's just a reality. Are you better off trying to do a reset on a year where the team is let down by the bullpen and decimated by injuries or throw the early, cheap years of some of those young guys out the window by ensuring the team isn't a contender in 2022 and likely not in 2023 either? Pineda is the perfect example of where this is a challenge: he's a veteran, but he's not old (i.e., Happ). he's got value, but as a pending FA the return is a more limited because he's a rental with no guarantees. If you don't think he's part of the future, if you don't think he's needed as a bridge for guys like Duran, Canterino, et al, and you think you can get real talent for him...trading makes sense. I would go the other way.

I still think Buxton is back and gets plenty of CF time, but Celestino will get a good look now that he's up. I doubt we see Broxton, Whitehead, or even Kerrigan. Frankly, I think there's more likelihood of seeing Nick Gordon in CF than any of these guys who are not on the 40-man right now. Celestino can defend out there and do it well; the question is whether his bat can stand up to quality pitching or if he's just an auto-out who can defend right now. But I feel good about his future. I still think the Twins stick with Buxton, but Celestino will definitely be a serious contender for the OF next season as his defense plays off the bench even if his bat doesn't develop as fast as we'd hope. Not seeing Royce Lewis get converted to OF yet, especially not coming off a significant injury. Seems foolish to ask someone to learn another position while trying to comeback from injury and not playing in real competition in 2 years.

25% of the Top 20 are on the injured list. yuck.

Great month for Miranda, who is setting himself up to potentially replace Donaldson in the future. I especially like seeing the BB/K numbers he put up; if he can keep from being a K machine while doing damage on pitches in the zone he's going to be a heck of hitter. he's been one of those players I was really worried missing a year was going to harm, but so far he's rising to the challenge. good for him! AA can be where guys really separate themselves as players and he's off to a very nice start. I'm curious about Whitefield; the D must be there if he can compete for Celestino for time in CF and even get an emergency call-up to MLB, but those K's make me nervous. he had a solid month at the plate but that's a LOT of whiffs.

Because they'll still be on the hook for another $18M+ over this year and next (including the buy-out for 2023) and get absolutely nothing for it? Sano is playing poorly again at the plate, but it's not like he's blocking anyone from getting ABs they need with all the other injuries. You have to try to get what you can out of him. hells bells, even going badly he still takes some walks.

I'd have Duffey in above Alcala. Duffey had rotten control in April and followed it up by being too hittable in May. Alcala is still giving up too many dingers and hasn't become the dominant, shut-down righty we've been hoping for (yet), but he hasn't been bad and at least he's still only 25. Duffey has regressed badly and looks like just another guy out there.