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Dating back to the start of the 2016 season, only one of Polanco's three managers has seen fit to play him at shortstop. That would be Paul Molitor, who wrote the 23-year-old in at the position for 45 of 60 starts with Minnesota, including 39 straight to end the season. Prior to that, Polanco had spent zero time at shortstop with Class-AAA Rochester. And afterward, he spent zero time at shortstop in the Dominican Winter League, which recently wrapped up (per Mike Berardino).
From any perspective, Polanco performed very poorly at shortstop with the Twins. He was rated atrociously by advanced defensive metrics. He piled up errors and posted a .942 fielding percentage, lower than every qualified big-leaguer at the position. He flunked the eye test as well, with a plainly visible lack of zip on his throws and an inability to reach tough balls.
At best, he's an unfinished product. If you squint, you can see the adequate tools for Polanco to sharpen up and become a serviceable MLB shortstop, at least for a couple of years until Nick Gordon or Engelb Vielma arrives. But that takes a fair amount of faith and optimism. And it's not going to happen if he isn't even spending time playing the position during this formative period of his career.
Granted, Molitor only chooses where Polanco plays when he's jotting the lineups. But the Twins obviously can dictate where he plays in the minors. And they surely have at least some level of input regarding how he's used on his winter league team. It is striking that his offseason program is essentially depriving him of the ability to work on strengthening his most important area of weakness.
Defense is a vital component of the run prevention equation. Minnesota's forward-thinking new front office leaders are aware of this. And they also know that shortstop is the crux of a defense, perhaps the most important position on the field. There's no reason to believe Polanco can be an asset there unless he makes major strides.
So what are we to make of the way things are playing out? It is odd to see the club proceeding without any clear plan at shortstop. At this point we're looking at three possible outcomes:
1) Dozier still gets traded
Looking unlikely. Thad Levine told MLB Network on Sunday that he plans to have Dozier at camp in a Twins uniform, and that echoes the signals we've been receiving from all corners since the soft deadline passed for getting a deal done. But until the Dodgers pull off a meaningful move to add a second baseman, this option is going to remain in play.
If that happens, the Twins are still in a tough spot with shortstop (and they likely skip to No. 3 below for a temporary plug), but at least they're doing right by Polanco. He gets to acclimate at what virtually every evaluator considers to be his future position.
2) Roll with Polanco at short and hope for the best
This is the direction in which we are apparently heading. It means that not only will Polanco be potentially hurting his pitchers by missing plays, but also burdening himself with that knowledge while simultaneously trying to find his way offensively.
Obviously it's not the same thing, but this has an ominously similar feel to the fiasco that played out with Miguel Sano last spring. Polanco is not as disastrous at short as Sano was in right field, but given the higher volume and importance of shortstop he could easily do much more damage. (Indeed, metrics like Defensive Runs Saved and Ultimate Zone Rating suggest that Polanco had a far more negative effect on run prevention at short than Sano did in right, in roughly the same number of innings.)
He's got to take that back into the dugout and the clubhouse with him. This can hurt the development of young players. It can hurt team chemistry. It's all-around just bad, and a pretty ridiculous Plan A.
There is one more alternative option...
3) Sign a free agent to take over shortstop
There are still some solid names out there on the free agent market. Erick Aybar is one we've liked from the start, and suggested signing in the Offseason Handbook. If the Twins were to trade Dozier, I think he'd be almost an ideal fit – a capable, experienced and inexpensive veteran to play between Sano and Polanco.
But if Dozier stays, this doesn't really work anymore. Eduardo Escobar is already under contract at $2.6 million so he'll be on the roster, as will Polanco who is out of options. Signing someone like Aybar to slot in front of them would mean carrying both as backups that serve almost the exact same function.
That is not anyone's idea of efficient roster management. But the alternative is heading into spring with minimal stability or assurance at a position of the utmost importance.
It's a troubling scenario but one that Levine and Derek Falvey needed to be prepared for if they were going to be willing to walk away from the negotiating table. Now, we'll see how they adjust and proceed.
Can the Twins and avert disaster? It might require some creativity.







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