Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    As MLB Trade Deadline Looms, Who’s to Blame for Minnesota Twins’ 2025 Letdown?

    As trade rumors swirl, fingers can be pointed at every part of the organization.

    Cody Christie
    Image courtesy of © John Hefti--Imagn Images

    Twins Video

    As the MLB trade deadline inches closer, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports that the Minnesota Twins are seriously listening to trade offers for short-term pieces like Willi Castro, Harrison Bader, and Danny Coulombe. Other veterans on expiring contracts (Chris Paddack, Ty France, and Christian Vázquez) could also be available. The smoke is getting thicker, and it smells a lot like a team preparing to sell.

    It’s a disappointing turn for a team that should be smack-dab in the middle of its winning window. If the Twins end up punting on 2025, it will mark the fourth time in five seasons that they’ve failed to reach the postseason. A division title and a playoff breakthrough in 2023 briefly turned the tide, but whatever goodwill that October created is rapidly evaporating. The season has spiraled. The record is mediocre. And now the blame game begins.

    Let’s try to sort out who deserves the lion’s share.

    The Front Office: A Predictable Failure
    If the Twins are sellers at the 2025 trade deadline, then the front office has failed. 

    After a gut-wrenching collapse down the stretch in 2024, Minnesota responded with… essentially the same roster. Derek Falvey and company made no meaningful upgrades, no shakeups, no bold offseason moves. There were minor moves around the margins, such as adding Bader, France, and Coulombe, but this team was built with the hope for internal bounce-backs and improved health. That kind of passive roster-building was always a gamble, and it’s landed the club squarely in a quagmire of mediocrity.

    Sure, they’ve continued to find value on the margins. Coulombe has been solid and Bader filled a gap. But this front office bet big that the same core could deliver a different result. That was wishful thinking, and now they’re staring at the consequences.

    Ownership: Spending Enough, But Not Smartly
    Plenty of Twins fans will point fingers at ownership, and not without reason. Following the euphoria of 2023’s playoff run, the front office was handed a reduced budget. The phrase “right-sizing the payroll” still stings, especially given the opportunity to build on real momentum.

    However, it’s worth noting that FanGraphs still lists Minnesota with the highest payroll in the AL Central in 2025. Ownership isn’t spending like a bottom-feeder. They’re just not spending like a team hungry to win now.

    In that sense, the issue may not be the amount of spending but the approach. The front office had limited resources and chose to roll them into depth and hope. The 2025 Twins were built to stay afloat, not dominate. That might have worked in a different division. It hasn’t worked here.

    The Players: Stars Can’t Shine Alone
    Byron Buxton is turning in a season for the ages, and All-Star Joe Ryan looks like one of the AL’s best pitchers. Both players could finish in the top 5 for the MVP (Buxton) and Cy Young (Ryan). Minnesota’s bullpen has been a quiet strength all year, and likely why multiple bullpen arms will be dealt before July 31. But that’s where the list of bright spots ends.

    Carlos Correa has had another underwhelming season, with a 0.0 rWAR and a 91 OPS+. Those totals can’t be associated with a player who makes up over 25% of the team’s payroll. Matt Wallner hasn’t taken the expected step forward with a 109 OPS+ that is over 20 points lower than his career mark. Royce Lewis appears unable to stay on the field long enough to make a consistent impact and has struggled to play well over the last calendar year. The offense has sputtered far too often, and it’s buried strong pitching performances along the way.

    This lineup was supposed to be powered by its core. Instead, it's been anchored by disappointment.

    The Coaches: The Easy (and Often Wrong) Target
    It’s easy to grumble about Rocco Baldelli’s bullpen choices or the occasional head-scratching baserunning decision. But there’s a reason the Twins picked up his option for next year: this team’s problems are rooted deeper than the dugout.

    Baldelli can’t make Correa hit .300 or keep Lewis healthy. The coaching staff can only coach the roster they’re given, and the flaws in this one were exposed by mid-May. Could they have milked a few extra wins? Maybe. Would that have changed the big picture? Probably not.

    Unless a potential new ownership group decides to clean house, Rocco isn’t going anywhere.

    So Who’s to Blame?
    Every group shares some of the blame. But if you’re looking for the main culprit in a disappointing 2025 season, the arrow points to the front office. They built this roster. They ran it back after a collapse. They banked on rebound seasons from too many uncertain pieces. The Twins had enough talent and enough payroll to contend in a weak AL Central (outside of Detroit). They didn’t need to be spectacular. They just needed to be solid. And they couldn’t even manage that.

    The 2023 postseason run bought this regime some equity. But equity runs out fast when October baseball feels like a fading memory. Now, as veterans are quietly shopped and the Twins position themselves for 2026, fans are left wondering how a winning window could close so quickly. And who’s going to be held accountable when it slams shut?


    Who deserves the most blame for the team’s poor performance in 2025? Leave a comment and start the discussion.

    Want more Twins in your Google results? Add us as a preferred source.

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Yasser Mercedes

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, OF
    On Thursday in the Fall League, Mercedes went 2-for-4 with his first double and his first homer run of the AFL season.

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    I have read the article, but skipped the comments...

    Regardless of what you think of the FO, they are very low on the "blame" totem pole. If the Twins were successful, the would be very low on the "credit" totem pole. The FO has had their hands tied for the better part of two years now, being unable to acquire salary or make fundamental changes to the team due to a pending sale.

    IMO opinion, they have done a decent job with prospects (both draft and acquisitions), though the jury is still out on the long term MLB success of the current wave.

    I can understand the heat on Rocco and his group. We-as-fans see many perceived questionable decisions, though we generally do not have the context to understand why these decisions are made.

    Injuries and performance basically rule the day. Players not performing consistently have made this team painful to watch at time. 

    31 minutes ago, Fire Dan Gladden said:

    The FO has had their hands tied for the better part of two years now, being unable to acquire salary or make fundamental changes to the team due to a pending sale.

    Does this mean that the FO was not allowed to trade players? Maybe. I have no idea. Seems like 2023 (end of year/season) was an ideal time to trade high on several players who had strong outcomes but possessed a few obvious flaws. Perhaps nobody would bite. We can't know what conversations could have taken place. The same can be said of 2024 (eoy/s). One of the options for a FO is to be proactive in moving players before their weaknesses are exposed. Again, this may have been tried. However, if the FO was forbidden to complete transactions that is another thing. I don't know how that could be ... but it could. Unlike many, I never thought the budget was a barrier. I still do not. I do believe that the ownership -front office relationship is important. We would likely agree that the public doesn't know all these things. 

    16 minutes ago, tony&rodney said:

    Does this mean that the FO was not allowed to trade players? Maybe. I have no idea. Seems like 2023 (end of year/season) was an ideal time to trade high on several players who had strong outcomes but possessed a few obvious flaws. Perhaps nobody would bite. We can't know what conversations could have taken place. The same can be said of 2024 (eoy/s). One of the options for a FO is to be proactive in moving players before their weaknesses are exposed. Again, this may have been tried. However, if the FO was forbidden to complete transactions that is another thing. I don't know how that could be ... but it could. Unlike many, I never thought the budget was a barrier. I still do not. I do believe that the ownership -front office relationship is important. We would likely agree that the public doesn't know all these things. 

    It will be shocking if the Pohlads meddle with any roster moves. As you’ve said over and over, this is the roster Falvey wants. He’s consistently said in media interviews he has confidence in this current roster. 

    3 minutes ago, Vanimal46 said:

    It will be shocking if the Pohlads meddle with any roster moves. As you’ve said over and over, this is the roster Falvey wants. He’s consistently said in media interviews he has confidence in this current roster. 

    I'm ok with him saying that in public. It's never a great idea to rip your employees in public....I hope he's not saying that in private. 

    "If the Twins are sellers at the 2025 trade deadline, then the front office has failed."

    It sounds like a paradox, but at this point if they AREN'T sellers at the deadline, then they will have failed dramatically worse.

    I would 40% on the front office and development staff.  They have certainly not been a complete failure because the roster is filled with guys that should be at the major league level.  However, they have failed to produce difference makers outside of Buxton and Ryan.  Yes, I give them credit for Ryan because that kind of acquisition has been nearly as instrumental to success as drafting for the most successful low revenue teams.

    I put 40% of the revenue disparity.  If the Twins are equally proficient to the Dodgers / Yankees in terms of drafting, and developing, the revenue advantage means the Dodgers advantage in terms of building a roster equates to adding Ohtani, Yamamoto, Snell, Bett's & Freemen.  Should we pretend this is not a factor?

    20% is on the players.

    9 minutes ago, Major League Ready said:

    I would 40% on the front office and development staff.  They have certainly not been a complete failure because the roster is filled with guys that should be at the major league level.  However, they have failed to produce difference makers outside of Buxton and Ryan.  Yes, I give them credit for Ryan because that kind of acquisition has been nearly as instrumental to success as drafting for the most successful low revenue teams.

    I put 40% of the revenue disparity.  If the Twins are equally proficient to the Dodgers / Yankees in terms of drafting, and developing, the revenue advantage means the Dodgers advantage in terms of building a roster equates to adding Ohtani, Yamamoto, Snell, Bett's & Freemen.  Should we pretend this is not a factor?

    20% is on the players.

    Never change.....

    3 hours ago, Major League Ready said:

    They spent $150M Correa's first year (2022).  In 2023 they had a record payroll of $156M.  Of course, they had a $50M windfall from BAM that year so I think it's safe to assume they did not expect to have the same budget going forward.  They are at roughly $149M this year or roughly $1M less than their highest payroll in a year when they did not get BAM money.  The assertion that a spending reduction of $1M of previous levels is responsible for this year's failures is yet another attempt to support a narrative that unwillingness to spend is the problem.  Apparently, every team in this division has the same problem.

    Salary allocations trend up.  To go backwards is a problem.  I'll defer to Hambino's excellent response beyond that.

    With all due respect to other Pier's here I blame myself for not recognizing the warning signs of Twins fandom. 

    I started counting the chickens before.... You know. I saw Jose Miranda's hit streak and started penciling him in for a batting crown... And now he's back in AAA.

    Last year I was dreaming of an ALCS series... Then we lose 16 out of the last 22. 

    This year we had a 13 game win streak... Kody Clemens was raking along with Buck.... Now the team is up for sale and players are being shopped... Hopefully not for too much of a discount.... Who knows? 

    Clearly I don't... As a Twin lifer you need to know the ceiling of expectations.... I let you all down. I need an intervention.

    It’s Falvey and Rocco. They both adhere to the same baseball philosophy that isn’t a winning philosophy. The team isn’t fundamentally sound on defense, base running, hitting philosophy, etc. The players are not great enough offensively to make up for the fundamental flaws. These fundamental flaws, along with Rocco’s in-game management decisions, result in consistently losing close games and getting beat by good teams. When you’re giving the other team advantage before you step on the field, you’re not playing winning baseball. The other team should have to beat you instead of you beating yourself. Sitting back and hoping for home runs to win while the pitching holds the other team to zero or one run, doesn’t work long-term. 

    The assessment of players is a difficult task - Look at the TD prospect rankings over the last ten years and how well we all picked the stars.  Do we draft well?  I have no idea but the TD articles seem to suggest we do.  When we got Correa much of our comments were excitement - we finally got the big one.  Yup = that has not worked out.  So Management and coaches, front office - cosmic rays and aurora borealis - I have no idea, but I would like to see some efforts made that suggest we are addressing the problems.

    1 hour ago, Major League Ready said:

    I would 40% on the front office and development staff.  They have certainly not been a complete failure because the roster is filled with guys that should be at the major league level.  However, they have failed to produce difference makers outside of Buxton and Ryan.  Yes, I give them credit for Ryan because that kind of acquisition has been nearly as instrumental to success as drafting for the most successful low revenue teams.

    I put 40% of the revenue disparity.  If the Twins are equally proficient to the Dodgers / Yankees in terms of drafting, and developing, the revenue advantage means the Dodgers advantage in terms of building a roster equates to adding Ohtani, Yamamoto, Snell, Bett's & Freemen.  Should we pretend this is not a factor?

    20% is on the players.

    Yeah but much do you blame BAM?

    1 hour ago, Major League Ready said:

    II put 40% of the revenue disparity. 

    "Revenue disparity" hahaha.  I just love the idea that revenue is forever fixed per market and nothing will ever change that, not sound financial management, not solid PR and fan engagement, not winning, nothing.  "It has been decreed from on high and shall always be thus."  The genius of this delusion is that there's no accountability for anyone.  It's not the Pohlads' fault they put a guy in charge who has destroyed both businesses he's been in charge of; it's the market's fault.  It's not the Pohlads' fault they mismanaged their other businesses so poorly they had to use the Twins as a debt shelter; it's the market's fault.  It's not the Pohlads' fault they actively alienated most of their fanbase through terrible PR; it's the market's fault.  

    In the real world "revenue disparity" means "my competitors are beating me."  

    9 hours ago, mikelink45 said:

    Maybe we have too many coaches. Too many voices and the players don't seem to hear any of it or they can't adjust.  It is discouraging but perhaps we also overestimate what we have. Which leads to the question for the rest of this year and the future are we in limbo until I no ownership comes in?

    It sure feels like it.

    45 minutes ago, Woof Bronzer said:

    "Revenue disparity" hahaha.  I just love the idea that revenue is forever fixed per market and nothing will ever change that, not sound financial management, not solid PR and fan engagement, not winning, nothing.  "It has been decreed from on high and shall always be thus."  The genius of this delusion is that there's no accountability for anyone.  It's not the Pohlads' fault they put a guy in charge who has destroyed both businesses he's been in charge of; it's the market's fault.  It's not the Pohlads' fault they mismanaged their other businesses so poorly they had to use the Twins as a debt shelter; it's the market's fault.  It's not the Pohlads' fault they actively alienated most of their fanbase through terrible PR; it's the market's fault.  

    In the real world "revenue disparity" means "my competitors are beating me."  

    They can't be blamed for the fact that they've finished top 5 in the AL in attendance exactly once in the last 14 seasons. It's everyone else's fault. 

    25th of 28 teams this year? Nothing the Pohlads can do. 

    Yes, market differences are somewhat of an issue, and I fully expect a large jump in revenue sharing in the CBA, but that wouldn't fix 40% of the Twins's woes. 5%...maybe.

    7 hours ago, nicksaviking said:

    For sure. I've seen no evidence ownership has actually had a strategy for the on-field product since Joe took over. It really seems like they're winging it year-to-year.

    I would be suspicious Joe is really calling the shots.  He is likely under significant micro-managing by Uncle Jim.  The cutting of payroll after resigning Correa and extending Lopez made no sense.  I think that Uncle Jim wanted to put his nephew in place.  They had a falling out and agreed best move is to sell.  Which Uncle Jim ego preferred over seeing his nephew possible taking the Twins farther than he ever did.

    31 minutes ago, Bob Twins Fan Since 61 said:

    I would be suspicious Joe is really calling the shots.  He is likely under significant micro-managing by Uncle Jim.  The cutting of payroll after resigning Correa and extending Lopez made no sense.  I think that Uncle Jim wanted to put his nephew in place.  They had a falling out and agreed best move is to sell.  Which Uncle Jim ego preferred over seeing his nephew possible taking the Twins farther than he ever did.

    This is a good point - I’ve been pretty critical of Joe’s mismanagement of the big contracts followed by right-sizing in short order, but it’s very possible that his uncles pulled the rug out from under him and he was left to fall on the grenade for the family like he did with their failed radio stations.  He may just be the family patsy.

    It still puts the blame on ownership, but maybe not just Joe specifically 

    7 hours ago, Whitey333 said:

    I saw in a podcast the other day that Correa has a WAR of near zero.  Not very good for a man eating up about 35 mil per year on payroll.  Except for a few flashes here and there he's been a big disappointment for the Twins.

    I fear that his last 2 years of the contract will make this year look like All Star level play....

    Ownership, IMO, is responsible for the payroll shift backwards which has made the Correa contract an anchor. I don't know that they are doing much else. 

     

    FO...in terms of acquiring players within that financial framework has done ok. I feel like they have done well in signing low cost players and getting some value out of them. In terms of drafting players, not so much. Either the FO is good at drafting and the system is terrible at developing OR they suck at drafting and the system is developing what they can OR it (likely) is a combination of both. 

     

    Coaching...I get coaches can only coach what they have but IMO, this team does nothing well on the field and that is on the coaching. I choose to believe that every coach can coach fundamentals, and they control who they play based on that. They don't seem to be coaching/teaching, just managing. If you want to say the system isn't preparing them, then that should be getting addressed. It doesn't seem to be.

    After reading the article and all of the comments, there isn't much to add to this so I will try to find a few things or highlight things that I think are important.

    Ownership's apathy and lack of communication is the overarching issue with this total system failure.  As one of the earlier posters noted, I find it hard to believe that Falvey signed Correa knowing that ownership would slash payroll and basically make the contract toxic as soon as the ink was dried.  In 2024 when the Twins signed back up with Bally, we had pleaded that they would spend some of that money on the team knowing that there were holes that needed to be filled and even $10M would have done wonders in 2024.  As for 2025, I remember early on in the offseason that there was a rumor that ownership wanted payroll pared down to $130M and we were discussing articles about having to trade Castro, Vazquez, anybody that had a little too high a payroll.  I remember discussions about trading Jax or Larnach because they made over $2M for this season and signing France was going to kill the payroll.  From this standpoint, ownership should be given a little grace for allowing the payroll to naturally rise in order to allow Falvey to fill out the team.

    The FO seems to be lost on what they are trying to accomplish as an organization.  I seem to remember a FO interview early on that the purpose on drafting players like Sabato and Larnach was to trade them for pitching or better prospects, similar to what they did for Steer and CES.  I'm not sure if the philosophy changed after the Mahle trade or if the FO, like us fans, fell too much in love with our prospects to be willing to trade them for the pieces we actually needed.  Now it seems we have a glut of prospects, failed prospects, and future prospects all in or about the same level (AA through the ML club).  In drafting, the Twins do the same thing as a lot of other teams do, which is to try to draft players that are willing to sign "under slot value" and save money for the later rounds.  One issue of doing this is that we are constantly drafting players with apparent injuries or an injury history.  The only phrase that is consistent with all of our top prospects are "if he stays healthy".

    Plouffe made a good point that one cheap, easy improvement is to hire more coaches and staff for their minor leagues.  One complaint has been that these prospects shoot through the minors only to then plateau early on at the ML level but doesn't correct anything when sent back to AAA.  Spending and extra $2-3M in the minors would do wonders for the preparation of the players when they make it to the majors.  I'm not sure where the Twins lie in terms of coach/players, but they need to out develop their players compared to their counterparts.

    I've been on the fire Rocco train all year (and it keeps gaining steam).  With that being said, Rocco & Co can still only work with the parts that the FO gives them, and they don't always do the best with the ingredients they are given.  Bullpen usage seems to be at the highest of my complaints from Rocco & Co.  Rocco never really holding anyone accountable is also frustrating.  I look at Detroit in awe and wonder on how AJ Hinch has taken a younger team and made them play better.  Baez, the Tigers most expensive player, was riding the bench at times last year.  Torkelson was sent back down to AAA with the understanding that someone was already taking his spot and he had to earn it back.  You don't see that same fire put under Royce Lewis, Wallner, Larnach, or Lee and then wonder why it doesn't look like they put forth their best effort.

    Finally, the players, to me they are the lowest of the blame on the totem pole.  While there is definitely blame to be assigned for lack of preparation or in-game execution, much of this starts with the expectations of the players themselves and that starts with the coaches/manager/FO establishing expectations with accountability attached to it.

    Correa, although a great teammate, hadn't lived up to his salary.  Also, Twins go cheap in fre agency bin.  Bader has been decent.  Lastly, Twins bring up their prospects by the time they qualify for social security; if they haven't figured out they are good enough by 23...seek new scouts.

    15 hours ago, Bob Twins Fan Since 61 said:

    I would be suspicious Joe is really calling the shots.  He is likely under significant micro-managing by Uncle Jim.  The cutting of payroll after resigning Correa and extending Lopez made no sense.  I think that Uncle Jim wanted to put his nephew in place.  They had a falling out and agreed best move is to sell.  Which Uncle Jim ego preferred over seeing his nephew possible taking the Twins farther than he ever did.

    I don't know about any family strife, but I much preferred Jim. I preferred Jim to Carl as well, plenty of mis-steps, but at some points there was a clear vision for the club and at other points there was a clear attempt at winning. Not at enough points, but that still beats what Joe has done and what Carl did the last 15 years he ran the club.

    Seemed to me they decided they were going to sell but Joe wanted a chance to play with the toy before they did. On two separate occasions the family gave him radio stations to run, which he promptly bankrupt and shuttered, so what's happening now looks to be about on par for Joe.

    23 hours ago, Major League Ready said:

    Agree but I took a lot of crap for this position in the past when trying to make the point that production per dollar spent is essential when there are teams with literally double the revenue of the Twins.  Many posters told me they were not interested in winning the award for production per dollar spent.  There were a significant portion of posters here who were adamant the Twins sign Correa even when it looked like he might get a 12-year contract.  There were impassioned posts suggesting the twins were cheap / unserious if they would not pony up for Correa.  Even at the start of this year, it sure seemed like a significant percentage of posters were dead against trading Correa if they could find a trade partner.  The tone has sure changed now that he is underperforming.

    Same here. I've been bashing the Correa signing ever sense I got to see him play in a Twins uniform for the first 3 months. I was relieved when he was going to sign with the Mets before becoming disappointed again when we resigned him long term. 

    That first three months in a Twins uniform was enough to know that although he was a very good player he in no way was worth that percentage of the Twins salary cap.

    22 hours ago, Mike Sixel said:

    The implication is that we think they were going to be allowed to spend more. We could be wrong! But I doubt this FO signs those two thinking the payroll wouldn't go up more. We were doing see well avoiding snark in this thread.....

    Did someone from the Twins say they were going to continue to increase payroll well beyond a record high?  I did not see anything that suggested a significantly higher budget.  $10 or $20M would mean very little.  Do you think it's realistic the Twins were going to spend $180M+?  I think fans really obsess over increase spending and they search for some form of logic that means they can spend more.  For example, they spent $33M/year for Correa so payroll will continue to increase as opposed to they have $150M to spend at this level of revenue and they decided to allocate 22% to Correa.




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...