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Realistically, there's very little chance that Ryan Jeffers remains with the Minnesota Twins in 2027. The team will get to decide, shortly after the end of the World Series, whether to extend him the qualifying offer (worth just over $23 million for one year), but even if they do, he might well reject it and seek a multi-year deal elsewhere. The way the organization values and deploys catchers makes a big expenditure to keep Jeffers unlikely.
Watching Jeffers leave will be a somber experience for Twins Territory. The second-round draft pick developed into one of baseball’s best offensive catchers. He has also become a beloved personality for fans and media. These plus traits are why the Twins could be priced out of a reunion with the 29-year-old. Immense optimism surrounds the position for the team in the long term, with top prospect Vahn Lackey succeeding Jeffers as the club’s backstop as soon as next summer. Still, the club will need to bridge the gap between the Jeffers and Lackey Eras early next season, leaving team decision-makers in a bind.
Victor Caratini is the most obvious bridge. He's entering the second half of a two-year, $14-million deal signed last offseason. The 33-year-old hit .220/.312/.315 with seven home runs and a 79 wRC+ over 382 plate appearances in 2026. He was also a plus receiver behind the plate, sporting plus blocking and framing metrics, while netting 2.2 Runs Above Average on challenges. However, he was one of the weakest backstops in baseball against the running game, with an abysmal 2.04-second average pop time that led to six fewer runners being caught than expected.
Jeffers was similarly atrocious at stopping runners. It often felt like basestealers could run freely against the Twins. (Indeed, only two teams allowed more steals, and no team caught a lower percentage of runners in the attempt.) This was one of Minnesota’s more glaring shortcomings last season, functioning as a significant hindrance to the club’s ability to suppress runs. Caratini has never been able to effectively suppress base-stealing efforts. There’s no reason to believe he will suddenly be able to in 2027. As noted earlier, he’s also an offensive liability, but given his plus receiving skills, knack for reversing balls into strikes, and (arguably most importantly) $7-million price tag, the switch-hitting veteran is all but guaranteed to be the club’s primary catcher next Opening Day.
Caratini catching four or five days a week is not ideal, particularly if he hits at a rate like last season's. (But things could be worse. At least they’re not paying J.T. Realmuto $15 million next season, right?) As things stand, Caratini will soon be the only catcher on Minnesota’s 40-man roster. Alex Jackson is still with the organization and under team control next season, but only if they take the proactive step of putting him back on the 40-man by the end of this month. I’d be content with the club entering next season with Jackson as Caratini’s backup. He performed well at the plate in 2026, hitting .304/.342/.406 (good for a 112 wRC+) over 73 plate appearances. The 30-year-old also had one of the best pop times last season, resulting in him being far better at suppressing the run game than Jeffers and Caratini.
Caratini is far better at receiving, framing, and challenging than Jackson is. In theory, the tandem could function as counterbalances for one another. The damage of Caratini’s inability to suppress base runners is mitigated by that being Jackson’s strength, and vice versa. Unfortunately, that’s not how the sport works, in practice. Starting Caratini only against teams who don't run isn't realistic, and the Twins don't have enough pitchers who can live with a lesser receiver to lean on Jackson more often. (Nor, in all likelihood, would Jackson hit as well in a more regular, exposed role.) Caratini’s and Jackson’s shortcomings will remain on display until Lackey (an elite all-around catcher) takes over the position full-time. They're a tolerable stopgap, but the team could still aim higher.
The only desirable non-Jeffers impending free agent catchers are Carson Kelly and Tyler Stephenson. Kelly is a far better option, but he will likely demand a multi-year contract, similar to what Caratini got last season. Stephenson is a better hitter than Caratini and Jackson and might be available on a one-year deal, or at least a low-risk, high-reward two-year pact. However, he's arguably the worst defender of the four, diminishing the impact of his just-above-average bat. I wouldn’t be against Minnesota pairing Stephenson with Caratini. He or Kelly could come in on a two-year deal and be the bridge's bridge, as it were, working in tandem with Caratini for 2027 and alongside Lackey in 2028, when Caratini's contract is up. Austin Hedges, James McCann, and Kyle Higashioka are also likely to be available, but the Twins might as well roll with Jackson, if they're considering any of those options.
Five years after being the No. 1 overall pick in the MLB Draft, Pirates catcher Henry Davis could be available via trade. Of course, he has a Derek Shelton connection, having played under him for three seasons in Pittsburgh. Davis has yet to meet expectations at the plate, generating a career 55 wRC+ over 958 plate appearances. In fact, 2026 was his first positive-fWAR season in the majors, generating 0.6. The driving factor in his progression was that the 27-year-old was one of the best defensive catchers in baseball, being a plus receiver and near-elite run game suppressor. (He was slightly below-average at challenging.) His polished defensive skills make him an interesting target who could benefit from a change of scenery. Under team control until the end of the 2029 season, Davis could also tandem with Lackey, solidifying the position for years to come.
The Twins probably wouldn’t have to surrender much prospect capital to acquire Davis, given his lackluster performance at the plate. Pittsburgh appears set at the position long-term, with Rafael Flores Jr. and Endy Rodriguez. Between veteran options in Kelly, Stephenson, Hedges, McCann, and Higashioka or team-controlled trade candidates in Davis, Luis Torrens, Carlos Narváez, or Austin Wells (especially if Jeffers signs with the Yankees), there are plenty of external options Minnesota could acquire. The Twins would be wise to invest in a higher-upside partner for Caratini than Jackson. Twins Territory should prepare for Caratini to make the bulk of starts behind the plate until Lackey’s highly-anticipated arrival. Maybe the wait will make the payoff a bit sweeter.
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