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South Dakota Tom's Achievements
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South Dakota Tom reacted to a post in a topic:
Report From The Fort: Eight Guys, Three Spots, and Roster Math
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South Dakota Tom reacted to a post in a topic:
What's the Best-Case Scenario for the 2026 Twins Bullpen?
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In my head, this got sold by Falvey to ownership as "we better have someone reasonable when we trade Jeffers." It's no great stretch to suggest that there are going to be mid-season moves if this team is struggling, and swapping out Caratini's $7M/yr for Jeffers' $6.5 plus whatever Jeffers brings back sounds like something very Pohladian.
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The Great Hambino reacted to a post in a topic:
What Comes Next for Twins and Joe Ryan?
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What Comes Next for Twins and Joe Ryan?
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What Comes Next for Twins and Joe Ryan?
South Dakota Tom replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I sense, too, that the Twins believe that suppressing Ryan's 2026 salary (and, thereby, the incremental increase in his 2027 last-trip-through-arbitration salary) increases his trade value. If there's no extension, I don't foresee a settlement, sadly. -
South Dakota Tom reacted to a post in a topic:
When Will It Happen Again? Predicting the Twins’ Next World Series Window
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Flawed Core, Flawed Plan: The Twins Putting New Manager in No-Win Situation
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Flawed Core, Flawed Plan: The Twins Putting New Manager in No-Win Situation
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South Dakota Tom reacted to a post in a topic:
Flawed Core, Flawed Plan: The Twins Putting New Manager in No-Win Situation
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Major League Ready reacted to a post in a topic:
Flawed Core, Flawed Plan: The Twins Putting New Manager in No-Win Situation
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Linus reacted to a post in a topic:
Flawed Core, Flawed Plan: The Twins Putting New Manager in No-Win Situation
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AceBee reacted to a post in a topic:
Flawed Core, Flawed Plan: The Twins Putting New Manager in No-Win Situation
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This is only a no-win situation if someone (anyone?) keeps trumpeting the notion that the team is on the verge of contention. They are not, barring multiple miracles (turnarounds from several players, an increase in payroll, retention of their best players). Therefore, the only "win-win" situation is to jettison anyone who is not going to be on the team in 2027 that will compete and start to trot out the players who will/could be part of that - so yes, that means that Jenkins, Culpepper, Rodriguez, Gonzales are brought up to scuffle for 2026 and half of 2027; we get further reinforcements by following the same game plan they followed at the deadline - gone are our good players, in are players with upside who are top-100 or pre-arb big leaguers. The only players on our roster who can get us those kinds of players (and are not on the 2027-2028 roster) are Lopez, Ryan, Buxton (maybe - I'd like to sell him on the notion that the team is going to grow and be great and they need him around to guide them), maybe Wallner. I truly don't mind if this teams stinks in 2026 if they follow this blueprint because I see the logic in it. I do mind if they keep Ryan and Lopez and try to patch holes with low-wattage veterans and follow the same path as the past two seasons. There is nothing worse in MLB than mediocrity - even being terrible is better than mediocrity, so long as while you are terrible you are relying on young players with at least a hope of a future.
- 62 replies
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- byron buxton
- joe ryan
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South Dakota Tom reacted to a post in a topic:
Flawed Core, Flawed Plan: The Twins Putting New Manager in No-Win Situation
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South Dakota Tom reacted to a post in a topic:
Kody Clemens Had the Season Minnesota Twins Wanted Edouard Julien to Have
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Agree with Major League Ready - $30M doesn’t make this a good team. It doesn’t put fans in the seats. It doesn’t add TV revenue. With what happened in late July, the only wise “baseball move” is to trade Ryan and Lopez (and Wallner) for a top 100 or pre-arb catcher, 1b, and two starting pitchers and run out a $60M team full of youngsters (and Byron) and let them pretend to be the 1986 Twins. Just a year (and solid experience, which they won’t get by obtaining even one FA) or two away from Keashall, Jenkins, Rodriguez, Culpepper being the new core (plus $ to spend in 2027 to plug any gaps with one-year vets). That’s what $400M just bought.
- 84 replies
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- ryan pressly
- cedric mullins
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South Dakota Tom reacted to a post in a topic:
Where Could Minnesota Twins Spend $30 Million (or More) This Offseason?
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Whom Could Minnesota Twins Trade This Offseason?
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NYCTK reacted to a post in a topic:
Whom Could Minnesota Twins Trade This Offseason?
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Patzky reacted to a post in a topic:
Whom Could Minnesota Twins Trade This Offseason?
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One can squint really hard and see a strong team for next year (assuming Lopez and Ryan and Jeffers are not traded), IF we get strong performances from a myriad of hitters who have, largely, underperformed in 2025. I'm talking a better average for Wallner, repetition and health for Buxton and Jeffers, continued strength for Keaschall, and elevated performance for Lewis, Martin, and Lee. Pretty certain Larnach is gone. Not counting on Clemens, Gaspar, Julien, Miranda, Kiersey, Outman or Roden (either as cornerstones or part of the solution, but I'd take it if they were). If you can see that group performing, a patchwork quilt of a relief corps, and some combination of Abel, Bradley, Ober, Matthews, Woods Richardson, Festa, Prielipp, Kendry Rojas, turning into a rotation and a bullpen, then I think you hold on to these guys. I don't see that, and have to squint to the point of blindness. And if that is the case, you target 2027 and substitute Lopez and Ryan for ML-ready hitters (2nd catcher, power RH 1B) in pre-arb as well as AA/AAA high starting pitching prospects, keep the payroll frighteningly low and play the kids all next year. In that scenario, I extend Jeffers two years, aggressively promote our top prospects by mid-season (Jenkins, Culpepper, Rodriguez) so that by year's end we field a team of Jeffers/2nd catcher, 1B guy we get in trade, Keaschall, (or Keaschall goes to 1B when Culpepper arrives and Lee goes to 2b), Lewis, Jenkins, Rodriguez, Buxton, Wallner is DH. Rotation is Ober, Abel, Bradley, Matthews, Rojas, bp now has Prielipp, Festa, Woods Richardson as long man, Raya, while keeping Sands and Funderburk, maybe Topa and some names we haven't thought of yet. Is that a great team? Probably not, but by 2027/2028 they are young, cost-controlled, but with experience beyond their years (which, last I checked, when coupled with a veteran pick-up or two, was the formula for our now-approaching-40-year last high water mark). Too many here are calling this sort of thinking "giving up" or abandoning the fan base. I don't see that as the case at all, but rather a strategy of realizing that the current core is not going to make it, and aligning the stars for a couple years down the road, while keeping the financial powder dry to add to that core when the next contention window appears. Short term - yes, it stinks, but it is the most viable long-term strategy. And it evaporates if you cling to the squinting.
- 46 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- pablo lopez
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They have leaned so heavily into the "team that hits the most home runs wins playoff games" philosophy that they built a team that doesn't make the playoffs. I would much rather watch a team steal bases, pressure the defense, defend well themselves, and advance runners than wait for walks and home runs. If you squint hard enough, you can see the beginnings of a team like that, so (hoping against hope) that is part of the plan.
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I feel sorry for the fanbase, the players who aren't jettisoned, and the digestive system of the person who wrote the press release for the owners....
- 288 replies
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- jim pohlad
- joe pohlad
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South Dakota Tom reacted to a post in a topic:
No Relief: Griffin Jax Goes South, as Twins Trade Him to Tampa Bay Rays
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Can’t they just leave Canterino on the 40-man long enough (as teams do with rookies they are trying to manipulate service time with) that he doesn’t earn a full year of service and then assign him in May if they then need the 40-man spot? I’m not trying to be facetious or make jokes about his unfortunate injury history. I truly hope he’s someone we see play for the home 9 for years to come. He is seemingly already at a point where he’ll be under team control well into his 30s. Wishing all these guys some good breaks and long careers as they chase their dreams.
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Curious why Peyton Eeles didn't get an invite; guy did nothing but rake and hustle from indy ball to AAA and 2b is a (potential) revolving door.
- 23 replies
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- luke keaschall
- scott blewett
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Offseason Status Update: Springing Into Action
South Dakota Tom replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If you take away the non-zero possibility that a non-roster-invitee makes the team, you have 5 spots for DH/reserve roles and it is safe to say that Castro, Vazquez, and Bader will take up 3 of those and one of Miranda or France with the other at 1b. That leaves, basically, 2b and 5th outfielder. I believe in Brooks Lee and would like to see him line up most every day at 2b. I think the real "contest" here is between Martin, Kiersey, Julian and Gaspar for that last spot. Personally rooting for Mickey - some pop, switch-hitter, can see a fairly regular PH/DH/1b role for him against RH pitching.- 25 replies
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- danny coulombe
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Was chatting with a buddy about this very topic last night. Our limited collective knowledge is clearly tinged with hope, but the sale of the team and the (lack of) current moves seem tied together. From the seller's perspective, maybe they'd like to add a couple of players (LH RP, RH 1B/COF) to appear as though they are committing their final act of stewardship to improve the team. Conversely, from the buyer's perspective, that's the last thing they want. Then, the new owners would have to come in and basically - do nothing. The payroll just increased from $140M to $150M, let's say, and now the new owners might be even more hamstrung than before. Not a great first impression. If something is going to happen, it seems clear that it would occur after new ownership (or with the express consent of pending new ownership, who would take credit for green-lighting the transaction). They want their white horse to ride in on. This seems to dovetail as well with the bargaining strategy - as has been mentioned, poor offers from other teams for the saleable assets, and poor offers from the Twins for available ones. That could turn on its head within the next handful of weeks. The pool of available players grows smaller, the Twins (by not obtaining anyone and refusing all offers for existing players) appear more and more desperate. Then (here's the hopeful part) new owners come in, add a couple of solid players when 31 other teams are either out of money or set at that position, make a reasonable trade from our minor league pool of depth to address any other needs, and wait out the market from there until the season is underway. I'm hoping Paddack starts the season strong and gets traded (I don't think he'll make it through the entire year, physically), but I'm also hoping they keep Vasquez for the season, or at least until the auditions for back-up catcher have a chance to play out.

