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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Isn’t the current zone is a 2D slice of the plate? Wouldn’t that be a change in the definition of what it means to be a strike crossing the plate? I agree that any part of the ball is the same.
  2. jorgenswest
    The Athletic. I linked that article here Much easier in tennis because the ball will change its path when it hits the 2D plane of the court.
  3. jorgenswest
    ABS had no idea if that was a strike. The technology can’t determine the exact location of the ball. The tolerance for the 99% confidence interval is 0.48 inches. At that close it was probably 50% confident it was correct. MLB’s graphics would have us believe ABS has found the exact location of the ball. Those graphics should come with the confidence interval. If not 99% then 95% which is .39 inches. Anything less than that and they should stick with the umpire and state that the ABS system was inconclusive.
  4. jorgenswest
    Watching Kreidler and Outman play defense makes me wonder… Which helps a team more at the end of the bench? A player that has few skills that are above average and really struggles to be passable with the rest. A player that can do several things passably but is below average across the board. Manuel Margot in 23-24 might describe the second player. His defense was still OK. He wasn’t slow on the bases. In 2023 his OPS was .686 and it was .626 in 2024. He was a historically bad pinch hitter but that sample is so small and he hit .231 as a PH in 2023.
  5. jorgenswest
    I look forward to seeing Culpepper in 2026
  6. jorgenswest
    I think the 3B options are Culpepper at SS with Lee at 3B. Clemens has played 3B. Tristan Gray can play 3B. Wagaman and Kreidler can play 3B. I would like them to bring up Rodriguez with Kreidler. DFA Outman and play Rodriguez in RF. He will be a big upgrade defensively there. Bell moves to first and that will be a drop defensively but the others are at best mediocre. Clemens or Gray at 3B with maybe Kreidler against a lefty. They might also play Gray/Kreidler at SS with Lee at 3B. Martin played mostly 3B at Vanderbilt as well as some CF. The Blue Jays tried to make him a SS but I wonder if he can play a passable 3B. Here is a report from 2020 as the draft approached.
  7. jorgenswest
    Did they wait to do imaging on Lewis until Friday in Toronto? Why not do it Thursday? This should be an opportunity for Culpepper. Put him at SS with Lee and Gray at 3B. Maybe he plays well and doesn’t go back. Maybe he goes back with an idea of where he needs to work. They can DFA Kreidler or Wagaman. I would also bring up Matthews for the pen. He is rested to gives them length. He also gives them a higher velocity. I also would ignore those the poor starts as long as he is healthy. Shorten up his pitch mix and put him in the pen. Maybe he earns a late inning role in the pen. That job is wide open. I hope the Twins view this as an opportunity.
  8. jorgenswest
    I looked at each roster and counted the number of players appearances beyond the top 9. I wondered how the Twins utilized their bench compared to the rest of the league. There is some trouble counting. One team has used 16 players and several have used 15 mostly due to injury. Returns of optioned players can’t be made in the first 10 days unless there is an injury. There are 15 teams that have not made a bench player move yet. Among those 15 teams the Twins 4 players totaled 87 plate appearances. That is the most among the 15 teams. The Giants are on the other end at 33. The median is the Cardinals at 58. I also noticed that the Cubs have a position player who has played in the field and pinch ran but has no plate appearances. Looking at the 32 teams in total there are 6 teams that have more plate appearances beyond their top 10 than the Twins. The Pirates are one with 89 but that includes Konnor Griffin’s 22 since he was called up to be a starter. The Twins has a Buxton injury and missed one start that padded their total a little but I think it is fair to say that they have utilized the 13 players on their roster more than most teams so far.
  9. jorgenswest
    He has assets that help the bench. That catch yesterday prevented the Tigers from taking the lead in the 7th. It also allowed the Twins to continue with Acton who then also pitched the 9th inning. It could have been the difference in the game and also results in a more rested bullpen for today’s game. Unless the Twins are going to employ a rotation where all 13 position players are getting regular starts I think he fits a defense or pinch runner late game sub.
  10. jorgenswest
    I really like any of the top 3 in the recent Athletic ranking. Cholowsky, Lackey and Flora all play a premium positions that will always be valuable. Any of those three would make great additions.
  11. jorgenswest
    The Tigers four starters combined for 19.2 innings giving up 30 hits, 18 earned runs with 10 walks and 19 strike outs. Their combined ERA was 8.24. The Twins four starters combined for 23 innings giving up 18 hits, 5 earned runs with 7 walks and 25 strikeouts. Their combined ERA was 1.96. The Tigers have committed 75.65 million dollars to those 4 starters. The Twins have committed 12.94 million dollars to their 4 starters.
  12. jorgenswest
    So many positives to notice today. Outman’s catch in the 7th was huge. That ball sure looked like it was going to land fair. In that case the Tigers break the tie and have another runner in scoring position. Action probably doesn’t make it through the 7th. With that catch the score stays tied and Acton makes it through 8.
  13. jorgenswest
    They beat a 32 million dollar pitcher folded by 27.5 million. Valdez has an AAV of 36.5. Next year his salary is 45.5. How much money have the Twins committed this year to the 9 they faced?
  14. jorgenswest
    I agree with the prediction. It should be added that their walk rate (4th) is a big contributor to their just above league average wRC+ (101).
  15. jorgenswest
    I said early on I don’t like this line up with one left handed hitter against lefties. After scoring 11 runs in the two games against Skubal and Valdez I could not have been more wrong.
  16. jorgenswest
    Absolutely. He has two options. Twins can make space on the 40. Is he on waivers or recently designated? They may need to make a minor trade.
  17. jorgenswest
    It is three starts. While I enjoyed these three starts I realize Bradley has had really good stretches in previous years. In 2024 he had a run of 8 consecutive starts where he gave up a total of three runs. Even in his struggles last year he put up two three game stretches where he allowed a total of four runs. Bradley looks awesome. I am encouraged. I also know it is a long season.
  18. jorgenswest
    I think hitters will get better at it. They will learn from their mistakes. It might even make them better hitters by adding to their recognition of the strike zone. I wouldn’t put on handcuffs yet.
  19. jorgenswest
    For me it is about developing a 1B. Play Roden at 1B. Play Gonzalez at 1B. Those two have shown potential in their bats over their careers to play there. I don’t see Kreidler as a 1B solution.
  20. jorgenswest
    Bradley outpitched Skubal. Wow! The Twins have batted with the bases full 25 times this season. The next closest at the time of broadcast report is 19. Wow!
  21. jorgenswest
    We will know this is correct is several start graduating to the majors. Let’s see Culpepper at shortstop. Jenkins and Rodriguez in the outfield. Gonzalez and/or Roden at 1B. Matthews, Prielipp, Rojas and Raya on the pitching staff. Does it all need to be today? No. I don’t think pitchers are even eligible to return to the majors after being optioned. I think batters have passed their 10 day requirement. Let’s not wait until August though. Rodriguez has one option left. Let’s get him a shot in the majors now so if a reset is needed we have time to return to AAA and come back to the big club in this last option. Roden needs to face major league pitching. Reacquaint him to first base so he has some more positional flexibility and then bring him up. Give Culpepper, Jenkins and Gonzalez two months and then based on performance bring them up. On the pitcher side let’s get Prielipp and Matthews a few starts in good weather and be aggressive in calling them up to face major league hitters even if in the bullpen. Rojas and Raya need a longer run of sustained performance but they should plan for them to get two months of major league hitters.
  22. jorgenswest
    Good point! Neither needs to play everyday at 1B. Give both some time there so that they have some options. Maybe one of them will be their 1B the next 5 years.
  23. jorgenswest
    The Twins beat a good team that started a 2025 all star pitcher. They scored 7 runs. Laweryson shut the door. It may be a rarity but why not notice the contributions to the victory rather than use every thread to relitigate the same gripes?
  24. jorgenswest
    It was tough to throw strikes last night particularly for the relievers late in the game. The teams combined for 14 walks. Hunter and Funderburk came in a had more balls than strikes. Relievers overall had thrown 104 pitches with only 50 strikes until Cody came in the game. It shouldn’t go unnoticed that Laweryson came in at the end of the game and stopped the parade of walks. He pitched 1.2 innings using 14 pitches with 12 in the strike zone. Well done Cody!
  25. jorgenswest
    The Twins need a first baseman. The Twins need a hitter that can get on base near the top of the order. I think Alan Roden can do those two things. it is not easy to play a solid first baseman in the major leagues. I don’t believe that they can throw Larnach or Wallner at 1B and have it work out. Neither player has any history of playing the infield. Alan Roden played 1B in college. He played catcher and shortstop in high school. I think the Jays played him in outfield instead of first base because he is a capable corner outfielder. Some of his skill wouldn’t be utilized at first base and they had a greater need in the outfield. The Twins need a 1B though. They have capable outfielders in the way. They have a 26 year old in AAA with a .412 career OBP (.420 in AAA) in the minors. They need base runners. Let’s give him some time at 1B in AAA now.
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