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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Rogers has a lot to share. It will be seen and heard differently from a veteran who is out there doing it. The benefit from his experience will be tied to his success as a reliever. His experience isn’t going reap benefits if he is getting shelled every time he takes the mound. He needs to be out there getting guys out.
  2. jorgenswest
    I think you are spot on as to what the Twins will do. I would have Matthews and Abel in the bullpen. They don’t need to stash their 6th starter and 7th starter in AAA. The Phillies had Walker in the 6th starter role. He went from the pen all of June. In July he was needed back in the rotation. He had thrown 33 pitches in his last relief outing. In his first start he threw 63 and the next start 70. Then he was back on track. There are other examples. Brad Lord with the Nationals transitioned twice. He went from 50 pitches his first start to 92 pitches his third start. Hayden Birdsong, Ryan Gusto, Jacob Latz and Eric Lauer moved from the pen to the rotation. Lauer pitched for the World Champion Blue Jays. Even if by some miracle the Twins remain healthy and they spend the entire season in the bullpen that doesn’t lock them into a bullpen role forever. Several of the starting pitchers that pitched in the all star game the last two years had seasons as a reliever. I would take the 12 best arms. I think it is better for the development of all of those pitchers to face major league hitters.
  3. jorgenswest
    Do any of Lopez, Ryan, Woods Richardson, Ober, Bradley, Matthews, Abel, Festa or Prielipp need more time in the minors? I think they are all better off facing major league hitters. The bullpen will be 8 pitchers. The last spot might rotate between Klein and Adams or maybe even Raya. The rest of the spots should go to the 7 best arms. The battle for the bullpen should be wide open and the best late inning options might come from that list of 9 potential starters.
  4. jorgenswest
    I wonder if the order may be more about getting them through. Once spring training opens and teams can move players onto the 60 day IL the roster crunch will be lessened. Perhaps they thought this was a better chance to get Ohl. I suppose we could see Adams come up in a few weeks.
  5. jorgenswest
    The Brewers traded Peralta and Myers. Myers has 5 years of control with a 3.15 ERA in 188 major league innings. It wasn’t just Peralta for two FV50 prospects.
  6. jorgenswest
    Ohl and Pereda
  7. jorgenswest
    I don’t either. Cardenas and Olivar are younger. They should be getting bulk of time in AAA. Pereda might be more ready in April but Cardenas and Olivar have more upside down the road. I think they keep Jackson through spring training to make sure Jeffers and Caratini are healthy for opening day.
  8. jorgenswest
    I think Ohl and Pereda with their options can be helpful on a 40 man roster. I am not going to get into the order in which players are removed because there will be more removals before opening day. The order won’t matter when we get to opening day. I will infer that the Twins must see someone else among their AAA catcher group that they see as the third catcher ready for call up from AAA. It must be Cardenas or Olivar. I am hoping the Ohl clears waivers. I also realize that when the Twins are waiving players that are claimed by other teams that does point to some depth they have built. Right now it is is a revolving door of depth as they are utilizing their early claim position to build that depth of players on the cusp of the major leagues.
  9. jorgenswest
    The deal for Gore is a bad one for the Nationals. Texas has one good prospect and they didn’t get him. The return for Peralta and Myers is similar to the return the Twins received for Berrios with the exception that they didn’t need to give up another good arm but did give up a two months of Berrios. Myers has a 3.15 ERA in 188 major league innings with 5 years of control left. I don’t think the Brewers got near enough for 1 year of Peralta and 5 years of Myers. I wonder if the Giants had offered them Eldridge. That seems like a better offer. Maybe they had contend about the wrist. Teams don’t trade top flight talent any longer.
  10. jorgenswest
    Topa is old but not really a veteran. He has just less than 150 innings. The many I experienced relievers will benefit from a voice from a veteran. Hawkins’ voice will be important also but Rogers will be doing it. That voice will matter more if he pitches effectively.
  11. jorgenswest
    I don’t think it is that simple. His cutter was his 4th most used pitch against left handed batters and third against right handed batters, He gave up two extra base hits with his cutter last year (1 double and 1 home run). Most of the damage was singles. Lefties happened to get those two extra base hits but now we are making decisions on results from 20 at bats. Is that wise?
  12. jorgenswest
    Wagaman was a rookie last year. He was given the playing time of a regular. He played better in the second half. He has options. They need players with options on the 40 in AAA. Seems like he has a better chance to be helpful to the organization than Kade Bragg. Give a chance to win a job in the spring but don’t write him on the roster. I don’t have any issue with this minor trade.
  13. jorgenswest
    They are spending money at catcher because they failed to develop them or acquire them pre arb. Long term that has been addressed with the three teenagers they have acquired. Short term they are spending more at catcher. By 2028 they may have two pre arb catchers on the roster. I have no problems with them spending the dollars on Caratini or spending 15 million dollars on the position. Four and five years ago they were constantly spending to try to fill the back of the rotation with guys like Happ, Shoemaker, Bundy, Archer and others. Now they have younger guys in the back end of the rotation and catcher needs addressing.
  14. jorgenswest
    It was necessary and they did really well adding the three promising ten age catchers. hope that Tait is in the majors sometime at 27. I am also hoping someone from the current AA and AAA group emerges as a back up option.
  15. jorgenswest
    The Twins have a better roster. It was a good move. I would hold onto Jeffers now and risk losing Jackson to DFA. There might be a team willing to overpay in season if they are hit by a significant injury and the best available catcher is Sandy Leon. In the meantime let’s hope at least one of Cardenas, Olivar, Crosetti, Winkel or Baez takes a step forward and is worthy of giving a shot as a back up to Caratini mid season. Otherwise they will have Pereda and maybe Jackson as the floor.
  16. jorgenswest
    Jackson was DFA’d in September 2024 without being claimed so he has been a fringe player for a while. Caratini is not a fringe player. Good upgrade. I am sure Caratini was hoping the Phillies job would be open for him but I am glad he is in Minnesota.
  17. jorgenswest
    The only example I can think of is Varland ending the season with a successful run as a Twins reliever in ‘23 and then returning to starter in ‘24. It is a waste of time to argue whether it is never or almost never though. I do wonder if he is changing his stance on moving back to starter from reliever since they haven’t acquired cheap solutions for the bullpen. I think he is planning on using some of the young starters. The Twins are going to need some of them to start down the road. I also am not worried about the “never” because I don’t think Falvey is “forever”. If this doesn’t work and the Twins are not buyers at the deadline I think he is gone. Someone new coming in is going to have an open mind to all roster possibilities. They aren’t going to have a fixed mind that a bullpen arm can’t be a starter.
  18. jorgenswest
    A closer might be needed three days in a row or not needed for three days. I would use him more like the White Sox used Chris Sale to start his major league career. They had him in relief to manage his arm. His first season (partial) he began by pitching with two days rest between each outing. By the end there were two occasions where he pitched back to back. In his second season he rarely pitched back to back and never three days in a row. Of his 58 appearances 37 were across multiple innings. He did have 8 saves that year and 4 the year before but was never the closer. After that first full year he transitioned to starter.
  19. jorgenswest
    As a prospect Vidal Brujan had the kind of top flight status I am expecting to get in return for a Joe Ryan. Brujan peaked in 2019 and an FV60 with Fangraphs. The reality of Major League Baseball is that even the top flight prospects often don’t make it. It looks like he can play SS with a -4 career OAA and a +4 career DRS and really anywhere in the outfield or infield. He can run bases. I don’t think the 2018 minor league Brujan with a wRC+ of 150 and 55 stolen bases exists anymore but maybe a bench bat with positional flexibility that can run and has enough bat to put up a wRC+ in the 80s is there.
  20. jorgenswest
    Isn’t Nico Hoerner a free agent after this season? Seems like Shaw is a perfect fit there. I am sure a team can get Shaw with an overpay right now. Long term he has a fit in the Cubs line up and they should be reluctant to trade him.
  21. jorgenswest
    I am not confident this is true. I am confident it will be reported as fact by many future posts on TD. Fangraphs has not done their postseason update for the Twins. We do have that from MLB. Their pipeline has rising to number 10. I think if the Twins were offered Norm McLean at number 11 Joe would have been traded to the Mets. I think if they were offered number 7 Basallo from the Orioles Joe would have been traded. The A’s De Vries was in some rumors but I am sure he wasn’t offered to the Twins for Ryan. The only player on the top 20 that may have been offered was the Giants first basemen Eldridge. That is a hard offer to take given his left wrist injury and surgery. If he didn’t play first base and had to take the stress of every throw it might be different. I posted earlier the medical analysis of that injury and the challenge for first basemen. I am guessing they were offered multiple FV45 to 50 level talent much like the offer for Berrios. As of the deadline no team had more players in that group than the Twins. They need to get that top flight talent like Jenkins. If there is sourced reporting that they turned down players in the Jenkins range like Basallo or McLean I will join you in my disappointment that he wasn’t moved. Prospects like that rarely get moved this decade. i think that is why Joe Ryan is still a Twin. Maybe it is why Skubal is still a Tiger. Once those kinds of offers become a reality we might need to wait for Skubal to move before Ryan.
  22. jorgenswest
    I don’t think there is any question he is a leader and will be valuable in the clubhouse. Jose Bell been nominated twice by two different teams for the Roberto Clemente award. The award honors a player who best represents baseball through extraordinary character, community involvement, and philanthropy. Pablo Lopez has been a recent Twins nominee and was also nominated by the Marlins.
  23. jorgenswest
    I don’t know if he earns a spot in the starting rotation. I do believe that facing major league hitters is best for his development. He has dominated AAA. If he doesn’t make the rotation he needs to be in the bullpen.
  24. jorgenswest
    Concur. That is why I appreciate they added those three very young catchers to the pipeline. Relative to other teams I believe they now have a lot of depth. Tait should reach AA sometime this year. They have nothing that appears to be starting quality in 2027 short of extending Jeffers.
  25. jorgenswest
    He threw out runners last year at a respectable rate. He should be considered. Jair Camargo was elite at this skill but Tommy John surgery probably derailed his chances. His arm was his ticket to the majors and hopefully it can return to that 40+% rate of throwing out runners. The Braves have signed him to a minor league deal.
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