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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    A snapshot of opponents total winning % means nothing, particularly when you're affecting said winning %. You predicted a 4th place finish. For that to happen teams like the Twins will need to catch and pass Cleveland, hence the question of whether the Twins are immune to all the pitfalls that await the Guardians.
  2. KirbyDome89
    People seem desperate to poke holes in Cleveland's performance to date (I still can't get over the blog post claiming umpiring has "given," them multiple Ws) but apparently have a massive blind spot when it comes to the hometown crew.
  3. KirbyDome89
    A few weeks ago Cleveland had the hardest remaining schedule while the Twins had one of the easiest. Cleveland has since dropped to the 5th spot while the Twins are middle of the pack. I wouldn't hold out hope on SOS somehow rescuing the Twins. MN also has a higher winning % in one run games, even after dropping 3 straight last week. The best Twins hitters right now (Correa, Lewis, Miranda, Castro) are all due for regression via xwOBA as well. Are they immune?
  4. KirbyDome89
    Thinking any of these franchises are operating at a loss, or that the self reported numbers are even close to accurate seems like a trap...
  5. KirbyDome89
    "who have played at nearly a 110-win pace outside of their 0-14 record against the three top teams in the American League (NYY, BAL, CLE)." The Twins are 16-1 against the dregs (Chicago, Oakland & LAA) of the AL. I'm guessing their pace sucks if we're throwing those games out instead....
  6. KirbyDome89
    There's no rule that your DH needs to be the most extreme version of the three true outcomes. The notion that it's tough to fit a bat like Arraez into a lineup is pretty funny to me.
  7. KirbyDome89
    Low tier at that. My favorite part was a difference of +/- 3 runs meaning anything in the average vs. OPS battle. Fan voting for the AS game being linked to a players poll was a nice touch as well.
  8. KirbyDome89
    Picking up games is the important part. They were on pace to finish with a worse record than last season less than 10 days ago following the debacles in NY and Pittsburgh. If this team is selling at the deadline then they need to clear house on the executive side. Idk why anybody would be pushing for them to be sellers; they're supposed to be winning games right now. Did you feel this strongly about the Twins' ability to beat good teams before Colorado came to town? I'm asking honestly. Splitting a 2 game series with Milwaukee is a weird flex. Boston looks like the 2023 version of the Twins, and I wouldn't have called that squad a good team at any point last year except maybe September. They've played KC well so far, and they took a series from Seattle, otherwise they've gotten the **** kicked out of them by the upper tier teams. To say that other teams are under .500 "only because of the Twins," is a slippery slope. Are the Twins only over .500 because of their sparkling record against the dregs of MLB?
  9. KirbyDome89
    I bet they didn't last year, and I doubt they were losing much sleep in April or May this year. This is silly....
  10. KirbyDome89
    Location is certainly part of the problem, but the movement on his slider this year is the worst it has been at any point in his career. Not counting the game today hitters have a .569 slugging % against that pitch. So yeah, it (the slider) is back, but Jackson looked like the same guy who was DFA'd a few weeks ago.
  11. KirbyDome89
    If by "back," you mean the slider he hung middle/middle for a ground rule double then yeah, it's certainly back.
  12. KirbyDome89
    Nobody is saying that Varland working on his pitch mix isn't worth the effort. The range of possible outcomes certainly isn't binary...
  13. KirbyDome89
    The primary difference being guys whose ST performances you can write off, i.e. those who are "tinkering," are established MLB pitchers. Varland didn't change his pitch mix in AAA in an effort to improve his MLB footing, he did it because he literally couldn't survive as a starting pitcher without attempting some major changes. You don't think the approach tonight will be the one he worked on for the last 6 weeks in AAA? Why bother bringing him up if that's the case? Legit starter prospect? Ace? And you're calling others silly? Why Boushley? We're talking about winning one game. Varland has an ERA north of 5 since his demotion to AAA; he's struggling with reworking his pitch mix there. Idk why we'd expect him to start carving up MLB hitters. Maybe he puts it together and finds some consistency in the rotation but his most likely landing spot at this point is in the bullpen.
  14. KirbyDome89
    Or the fact that those runs are being used to shift the W/L records by multiple games....yeah....
  15. KirbyDome89
    I'm so tired of the bitching about umpiring on this site. It's the lamest scapegoat ever.... Nobody complained when Nick Gonzales was rung up on ball 4 from Duran in the 8th inning. Where was the outrage? Pittsburgh should've had the bases loaded with 1 out instead of first and third with 2 outs in a one run game. Nobody gives a ****, and it's conveniently forgotten, but we're still holding onto a Cleveland loss from 2 months ago. The selective memory nonsense is out of control.
  16. KirbyDome89
    Yeah I'm not suggesting he's a bum. I wouldn't say coaches/managers are irrelevant, but I think their impact is overrated. Too many fans (not saying you're in this group) think you can just make lemonade out of lemons. Good coaching can give you and advantage on the margins, i.e. masking certain weaknesses or attacking others ect, but no amount of coaching in the world is going to make Vazquez a passable hitter. A watchful, or objective set of eyes can certainly steer guys in the right direction, but they can only lead a horse to water ya know?
  17. KirbyDome89
    Miami was consistently bottom third, they ranked 23, 29, and 27th by OPS, during Rowson's tenure. You could argue that he was the bench coach and not explicitly the hitting coach, but Detroit finished 28th by OPS last season with Rowson as their hitting coach. Judge and Soto are each at an OPS above 1.000 as everyday players. That's nuts. Nobody else in their lineup is north of .800. Honestly, they have just as many guys underperforming; Rizzo, Cabrera, and Torres (LeMahieu in limited ABs) are all struggling. NY has two MVP caliber players carrying the lineup. I think it kinda starts and ends there.
  18. KirbyDome89
    Crazy that this wasn't touched on in the article. The bulk of the "heavy lifting," is done. Cleveland needs to start slowing down now, like this very moment, because another 3-4 weeks of solid play means it'll take an all time collapse for the Twins to have a chance at surpassing them in the division.
  19. KirbyDome89
    There isn't one. The goal is to maximize your odds of making the postseason, and having your better players soak up more of the available innings/ABs does that. I wasn't suggesting that whatever happens in NY makes or breaks this season, I was pointing out how fragile your pace argument is. Kepler posted a .926 OPS in the 2nd half of last season. If you think Margot is going to "turn it on," to that level, don't let me stop you from arguing, but you're on an island. His current OPS+ is 58, and his career average is 90 (15 points below Kepler's btw) so sure, he can "improve," but we're still likely talking about the needle moving from sub replacement level to merely replacement level, which is problematic.
  20. KirbyDome89
    Pace is your rationale for continuing to feed ABs to a below average corner OF bat? Yeesh... This team is one more rough Yankees series away from being on pace to finish with a worse record than last season. Arguing that their current win rate insulates this club from the negative effects of giving playing time to replacement (or below) level players is ridiculous.
  21. KirbyDome89
    Yeah, they kinda are. They're playing a below average bat at a position (corner OF) that demands an above average bat, and they're getting no defensive value to boot. That's awful. If you truly believe this organization has nobody capable of stepping in short term and providing Kyle Farmer-esque production you should be screeching about removing this FO....
  22. KirbyDome89
    The case being made is that investing a disproportionate amount of your roster space in short side platoon players only works when everything goes right. How often does everything break right? Farmer turns 34 this year, should we be shocked his bat has declined? Margot has been a league average hitter once, maybe twice, in his career. Again, should we be shocked that at 30 a slap hitting OF who has lost a step is struggling? The individual performances of these short side guys is one thing, but there are also injuries, and performance issues with the starters to be considered. If Farmer, Margot, et al were scuffling once or twice a week in the starting lineup it wouldn't be as big of an issue, but when Julien isn't hitting, or Buxton is injured, or Lewis is out, Correa misses time, yada yada and you're plugging in replacement (or below) level guys with little or no defensive value every day that's a problem.
  23. KirbyDome89
    The "someone else," crew might be unappealing, but they're a marked improvement over Vazquez.
  24. KirbyDome89
    You've got it backwards. The Twins are selling entertainment. If they're content to run a middling team out year after year, they (you) don't get to blame consumers for opting to spend their $$ on a better/different product. That's the game the Twins are in, and they're doing a **** job of playing it right now. The value of this franchise has increased by over $1B since the Pohlad's purchased it. Obviously they're not running a charity, and there's no chance they're actually operating at a loss annually either.
  25. KirbyDome89
    It's funny how umpires can seemingly cost this team games, but I've never once seen anybody point out an instance of umpires giving the Twins games.
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