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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. Trov
    The issue will be if the team writes him off as a platoon player or not. I feel like some teams just write off lefties as not being able to hit them, and so they never give them a chance. I get late in games using the platoon stuff, but there was games where the other team used the opener and brought in a lefty in 2nd inning causing the pinch hit move before a single at bat, then there is the righty that comes in later to face the new hitter. Can Julien fix his issue, maybe, but unless he is given a chance we will never know.
  2. Trov
    Personally, I think it took SWR a bit to adjust to the robo ump. He also may have been dealing with a little injury because he did miss some time, then came back doing pretty well overall.
  3. Trov
    The main reason for this is generally if they are good enough they will be up at the big league club before they can set the records. Normally, if they are young enough they lack the power, and by the time they are old enough to hit that many HR they will get up to MLB club. Severino though is in an interesting boat because he was at one point a top guy, but fell off a ton, but now coming into power. However, his K rate is a little too high to suggest he will be anything that Joey Gallo at MLB level if he ever gets there.
  4. Trov
    Yunior Severino may be playing himself into a spot with MLB team next year. He was a top international guy that appears had injuries much of his career. He is still young, going to be 24 next season, and has put up impressive HR numbers last 2 years. He does not appear to be great at defense, but has played 3rd, 2nd, and 1st. He is a switch hitter with power from both sides, and really no clear drop off in minors from either side. If he was a college drafted kid we would have him much higher on prospect rankings I think, but because he had several years as a teenager of subpar seasons we have him lower on the lists. I do not think he will be elite, but being he is switch hitter that will help him. He does have a lot of swing and miss, which is concern. He strikes out at about 32% clip, and walks at about 10% clip. That is a bit high of rate because it is in minors and normally goes up into majors. However, if he can lower it a bit, I think he should be considered as a guy they can use next year. Not super high on him, and not expecting a ton, but he is putting up OPS over .900 last 2 years in the minors.
  5. Trov
    Shop Larnach, there may be a team that is willing to trade some possible pen guys for him. He has little trade value though that is the problem. We cannot just have him up at the MLB level learning to hit off speed pitches. If he cannot learn to do that, he has no value at majors. If a team is willing to work with him and we can get something in return, make the move. If not, he will most likely get DFA some time next year anyways.
  6. Trov
    Who has been available during that time that you would have signed or traded for? If you cannot point to a clear signing that was missed on, or an easy trade that was not made it is hard to say they failed. When you look at the top WAR relief guys from last year, most are no where near what they were. Signing pen guys are a crap shoot. One of our best relief guys was Brock Stewart, prior to his injury. No one would have ever thought that because he has never been good. Relief guys are so hard to predict overall from year to year, or even month to month or week to week. Just look at Jax, he has been elite for weeks, then a train wreck for weeks. Taylor Rogers last year first half he was amazing, since he has been not very good. Hader for Padres last year was terrible after he was traded, this year back to elite.
  7. Trov
    There is a reason to trade for a solid middle inning arm(or two) at the deadline. One, you do not know if they would have been any better than what we had, look at some of the moves we have made over the years for guys that either get injured right away (Sam Dyson) or regress right away (Lopez). Sure, it is worth trying sometimes, but our farm system was already considered getting thin, and it would have cost more prospects. Prospects like Cano who has turned out better than the guy we traded for. It would could lead to DFA some guys that turn out to be better than who we bring in. We do not know what teams were asking for some of the guys. I did a forum the other day pointing out the guys moved and how only a couple have been that much better than the player they would have stepped in for. I agree the pen is not the best, and doing worse as the season moves on. But to continue to buy rental pen arms at trade deadline will come back to haunt down the road. I mean, what if the asking price for one of those arms was Lee, would you do it because we needed the pen arm?
  8. Trov
    I have always like Polanco, but based on his age, and our younger ready to go prospects it is a tough decision. Personally, I think they pick him up. They shop him around during offseason, if nothing comes from that, we see what he has and what the prospects are doing. If the prospects struggle we run with Polanco, if they force the hand, we use Polanco as more of bench guy. I do not think we can count on Polanco for a full season at this point in his career. However, when he is hot, he can carry a team being a switch hitter with enough power from both sides to be a threat. He is generally a tough out and puts together long at bats. I still like him, and would say for 9.5 really, being they have to pay 1 mil to not keep him, he is worth holding onto as someone that can play in short spurts very well.
  9. Trov
    Unless Wallner can show he can start hitting the fastball in the zone again, he will, and should be replaced for playoff roster. The value Wallner brings is simply his offense. His defense is not good. I have seen worse and he has a good arm, but he has made poor decisions on his throws at times, and he does not look smooth in the outfield at all. Yes, at any moment he could drive a HR, but he is becoming Gallo, but without the defense Gallo can provide. Assuming Taylor comes back, he will start CF, and Castro would most likely start LF. Leaving Wallner as a bench option. However, he would be used as a pinch hitter against a righty hoping he launches one. I would rather fill that bench roll with someone like Gordon, if he is healthy and can run, because he has better defense, can fill more positions, and can be used as a pinch runner if needed. No he does not have the power of Wallner, but right now Wallner doing terrible. He needs to make the adjustments and the playoffs are not the time to figure that out. If playoffs started today, he would be on roster, but with health to Taylor, Gordon or Gallo, Wallner will be on outside looking in for now.
  10. Trov
    Yes, if Gordon can run he would be considered as he fits the pinch runner, can play many positions situation. He also knows how to bunt, which the team has shown they are willing to do this year in certain situations. I do feel this bench is much better built for playoffs. Castro can pinch run, fill in on defense wherever, and can do the small things. Just about everybody can do something helpful overall.
  11. Trov
    I personally would not want a guy who was not used to pen coming into playoffs after rehab to try and pitch important innings in playoffs.
  12. Trov
    In the first round they will need only 3 starters. Depending on how that goes, lets hope the best and we win in 2, then for second round it is best of 5. Assuming there is enough rest, we could even get lucky and only need 3 in round 2, if we sweep again. Assuming we do not sweep the second round, I would want to look at matchups. Personally, I like Ober and he has had a great year, but has looked a little gassed. If some rest leading up to playoffs, and avoid rust, can make him available I would go him. However, if the matchup looks like Dallas could have a good outing run him out there. In a perfect world we would not have to figure that out until the 3rd round because we swept the first 2.
  13. Trov
    yeah there is little you can do to treat patella tendinitis other than rest, and build up leg strength.
  14. Trov
    I would agree a little early to be talking about off-season things. I also believe it would take more than any of the trades mentioned to get Mets to trade him away. He may be just a bat, but he hits HR and teams value those a lot. He also has been a big name for Mets since his rookie season. Meaning unless they think they can get a star in return it will look bad on them. Even if the possible values are close, the optics for the Mets are not great if they do not get a possible star in return.
  15. Trov
    I actually think in postseason balanced team is even more important. Yes, if you impact players are hot great, but with a balanced line up, any of them could help get hot. We have a line up that for any stretch someone could get a hot series to help out. When you have top heavy guys if they struggle if you do not have others that can step up you will lose. In past years, if the top of our lineup did not produce we had no chance, but this year, we do not have any 1 guy that we have counted on. There were weeks where AK/Lewis carried us, then got hurt. We had Kepler carry us, Julien and Wallner had great stretches. CC despite being not great, did have a few weeks where he was helping out. Then some guys would have a run of a few games stepping up. Yes, if any of the guys have a hot series it will help, but unlike some past teams, we could get a good series from any number of guys, and we do not need to count on just a couple.
  16. Trov
    Gallo will be the one to go when they do return AK. They will keep AK on the rehab as long as they can, just incase there is an injury along the way, because one Gallo is DFA he will be gone. The last thing they would want is DFA him and then have some injury to someone else and now they have more of a hole. No way is Gallo around if AK is fully ready and healthy. I also feel if AK is fully healthy, he will make the lineup crazy deep and scary. Julien leading off, Polo, Lewis, Kepler, CC, AK, Jeffers, Wallner, whoever plays CF batting 9th will be a nice line up against righties.
  17. Trov
    To answer the article question, NO, he will never be fully healthy or play a full season in CF.
  18. Trov
    SWR has been looking very good since July. His walks are still high, but my understanding AAA walks are up overall due to the robo umps. However, in last 90 days, his OPS allowed is just .627, in last 28 days it is .597. He may be walking guys, but he is striking them out too, but more importantly, he is not giving up hits generally. His batting average against is below .200 since July, after having over .300 for most of first half the season. I think he will build off this and will play the Ober/Varland roll next year, filling in when injuries set in, and maybe force his way into rotation like Ober did.
  19. Trov
    Martin will get a shot as a super utility guy, if not starting CF depending on Buck's health. Castro will come back most likely to play same roll he did this year, and the FO and Rocco love guys like Castro, a switch hitter that can play just about any position at least decent. It allows them to pinch hit early in game because he can get moved around. Being Martin is showing some level of that too, they will want to look at him. Gordon will be DFA this year. The FO and Rocco have never been huge on him, mainly because of his injuries and never taken off huge. He missed this year due to broken leg and the roster crunch will get him. I am sure they will look to shop him first, but my guess no team bites and he get DFA. I also guess Taylor is not resigned. They will shop Larnach but he could get DFA too if no deals can be had. Kepler based on what he has done this second half will get his option picked up is my guess. Really, Buck's health will cause a lot of things to get shifted around, but Martin will get his shot some time next year, if he does not break camp.
  20. Trov
    What it shows me is that we have an overall balanced team and have got good runs from several guys throughout the season. This really is the best way to build a team, having depth and balance, in my opinion, versus the top heavy teams. Yes, having mega stars are always helpful, but just as Yankees learned, if that mega star gets hurt, your team is not good enough to make up for that. This year, we have shown even without our top 2 guys carrying the load we can still compete. We also have a lot better pitching overall too.
  21. Trov
    Only way he could make playoff roster now is if we have a new injury putting someone on the 60 day IL. He needed to be added before September. Stevenson was added just on September 1, but they moved a player to 60 day IL.
  22. Trov
    I think he starts next year in minors, barring a crazy good spring, and the team sees if he can hit again. His value is at about as low as it can be. Teams also know we would be selling from depth so we would not get much for him in an offseason trade. The only way to get much value from him is to see if he can build it back up. He is not likely to be a cornerstone for us in the future, as he does not have great defense and his bat needs to carry him. Provided we have other healthy options he is at best our 3rd or 4th option at 3rd next year, and backup to 3rd option at 1st. It sucks for him that injury derailed an important season for him, but even if he cannot make it with Twins, there will be a team that gives him a shot in future.
  23. Trov
    First, it is very unlikely that we will. We are currently 5.5 games behind Houston for the number 2 division winner and a bye for first round. Houston is fighting with Seattle and Texas, kind of, for the division. The Twins have 23 games left and after today, 6 are against teams that are either in playoffs or fighting for spot. The reaming 16 will be against very bad teams that are fighting for the bottom of the league. So at first blush it looks good for us to maybe make up ground. However, Houston is getting healthy and they have similar easy schedule. They will have 9 games after today with teams fighting for playoff spots, with also 9 against KC and Oakland. They only have 3 against Seattle, who we are also behind for the division. Seattle was super hot to jump up to division lead, but recently lost 3 in a row. If Twins win 2 out of 3 games going down stretch that would be about 14 more wins, putting us at 87 and 75. That would mean Houston could only win 8 more games down the stretch for us to tie them. I believe we have tie breaker, did not look it up. To really catch them my guess we will need to win closer to 17 games, which is a lot because it would be only 6 losses the rest of the way. I doubt we will catch them, and would take a crazy hot stretch to do it.
  24. Trov
    I am glad to see him working on the defense, and I feel the eye test matches what the numbers are showing too. He is still young and clearly is willing to put in the work needed. He needs to make adjustments at the plate to get his power back. He is taking still a good amount of walks, but his extra base hits are down a bit. From what I have seen is teams are trying to pitch around him much more, but he seems to missing the pitches he needs to crush. Still high on him overall, but he needs to figure it out by playoffs to help us there.
  25. Trov
    Larnach will not get nod over Luplow. The only reason Luplow is on team is because he hits lefties, so to replace him with someone that does not hit lefties make no sense. AK for Gallo should happen, but my guess team is holding AK for full rehab to see if anyone else needs to go on IL before they make a move. If they do not need to DFA Gallo they will hold off until they have to.
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