Dman
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Everything posted by Dman
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Wow I need a reset on my day Meant to reply on the post about Camargo being at AAA not AA. I guess I need to slow down.
- 15 replies
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- kyle jones
- miguelangel boadas
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I have to say that after last year and with April's anemic .600 OPS I was starting to get worried about the Tanner Schobel pick. With a solid May in the books and a 1.250 OPS to start the month of June. I think it is safe to say he is on fire at the plate. All the numbers are lining up nicely. Walk rate could maybe be tick higher if you want to quibble. I didn't particularly like the pick when they made it as I wanted a pitcher in that spot but he is on his way to looking like an elite bat. Long way to go but the signs look good right now. Cossetti finally got the bat going at High A. Hoping he gets hot there with a chance late in the year for AA because then he could be a top 30 prospect. Lots of competition at High A at catcher with Morales and Cardenas with good bats as well. Camargo seems to finally be out of his funk and back to his home run stroke. Will need to protect him from rule V this year for sure as Most teams would be fine with a backup catcher that K's a lot but hits home runs when he does connect. IIRC he is pretty solid behind the plate but I haven't looked into his numbers. That St Paul lineup just keeps rolling against a tough Cubs team. Looks like those hitters are hungry to get back to MLB.
- 15 replies
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- kyle jones
- miguelangel boadas
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I generally love watching the Twins but the lack of offense is making it almost impossible to watch them. They comically cannot come up with runs with the bases loaded and lose way too many one run or close games. It is just crazy how one area of the team the starter, the pen, the lineup seems to sabotage a win. Call it cursed or whatever but it is just hard to fathom some of the losses this year. Mostly because the offense makes the game(s) so close one small mistake is something they cannot overcome. I keep waiting for some guys to get hot and the lineup to produce more consistently but alas it feels like a repeat of last year where they get reeled in and tank down the stretch. Well I will keep the team on my radar but am done investing much in this pitiful offense.
- 89 replies
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- carlos correa
- byron buxton
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There are going to be some good players left at number 34 this year and likely even all the way to their pick at 49. I like all the outfielders you listed I just hope the Twins find players that can be difference makers in the top 50 picks. There are going to be some tough decisions to be made this year at least early in the draft.
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Should the Twins Try to Pull Off an Early Trade?
Dman replied to Lou Hennessy's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think the Twins will wait until closer to the deadline before they make any trades. They need Kepler to build back some value and if Pagan keeps pitching well they could likely get something for him as well. I also think that later this month once the Guardians or White Sox have reeled in the Twins and the Central teams are below .500 that it will be apparent they can't compete with the better teams in the league. It will make more sense to look hard at what vets to keep and what ones to trade. -
That Saints lineup is a mini MLB club when it comes to hitters. MIrnada, Wallner, Jullian and Contreras have all seen some time in the majors already and Williams, Camargo and Stevenson bring good bats as well. Not to mention Wolters can be a tough out when isn't dinged up. Has to be tough for any team to keep all those bats down all the way through a game. Once they get Martin, Helman and Celestino back there will be even more talent there. With Varland and Ober gone outside of Headrick and Balazovich in small doses the pitching at AAA has been sub optimal or else that team would be even harder to beat. No shortage of talent at the AAA level right now and there are a few guys at AA knocking on the door as well in Severino, Keirsey, Fajardo and maybe later in the year Lee. Enlow looks ready for AAA and if Festa can turn things around later in the year he might ready as well. So things are going to get scrunched for roster space at AAA at some point. I will say it is a lot more fun watching the Saints than Twins these days. I hope that changes but it seems unlikely.
- 11 replies
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- jair camargo
- jordan carr
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Wow had no Idea he was hitting .400 now. The warm Miami weather agrees with him. He generally was fast starter for the Twins as well but he is just about in the window where at least in the past he would wear down. Right now the trade looks better for Miami but there is a long way to go. Way too hard to determine value only a few months in. The Twins could sure use his bat right now but I still think we were short a pitcher and I think Lopez can be better than what he has shown recently. You have to give up something good to get something good will just have to wait and see.
- 52 replies
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- pablo lopez
- luis arraez
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Twins Minor League Week in Review (5/29-6/4)
Dman replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I think Wallner had a hot streak last year around this time as well. Too bad he is wasting it away in AAA. He is doing exactly what he needs to do to get back to the big league club. Happy to see him hitting well. Keirsey looks ready for AAA but there is no room and even less room when Celestino comes back. Still it would be good for him to get some at bats at that level. Nice to see the bat showing up again this year. My guy Ortega is in a tough stretch. Wondering if maybe he is injured slightly? Just doesn't seem to be getting the results he got earlier in the year. Hopefully he finds his groove this week. Rosario is back with the big bat. 4 HR's out of his 8 hits. Would be nice to see him at AA fairly soon as it would be good to see how he handles that level. He has been a well rounded hitter this year so it would be nice to see if that translates to the next level. Happy to see some of the pitchers move up and hopefully they find their groove at the next level. Have to say I appreciate that they are moving guys a bit faster than normal when they have been dominant.- 10 replies
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- matt wallner
- brent headrick
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Twins Minor League Report (6/5): Complex Opening Days!
Dman replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Have to say I don't usually get all that exited about the FCL team but this year is different. There are some very interesting players pretty much top to bottom this year in Mercedes, Rodriguez, Chourio, and Nova in the outfield. Isaac, Daniel and Alexander Pena, Daniel, Ortiz, and Acunca in the infield. Just a ton of young interesting bats and some noteworthy all around players. I don't know a ton about the pitching at that level but Lara was excellent last year in the DSL and is off to a good start in the FCL. Brayan Medina is supposed to have some decent stuff and hopefully there are more guys to come. The FCL will get reinforcement after the draft as well. Really hoping some of these guys excel and push their way to A ball this year. Thanks for the report. I will be watching the FCL closely this year.- 27 replies
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- cesar lares
- daniel pena
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Minor League Report: Affiliates Struggle
Dman replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I kind of felt like Fangraphs was late to the party on Rosario. He had a really good showing this spring against upper level competition and they dinged him on K rate which he has brought down. They don't seem to love his swing path either and maybe that does exposed eventually but he is number 4 in OPS for the Midwest league and the top two guys are 24 years old. The guy in third place is 22 and Rosario is 20. Rosario has more power but appears focused on approach right now and at just 20 years old he has room to grow. I think Fangraphs is off on that one but he is only at High A so a ways to go. I guess this is sort of his breakout year but is interesting how little love he gets.- 5 replies
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- marco raya
- kyle garlick
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Really surprised to see Festa in the top 5 and I think they said in their top 100. I know he is good but I just didn't see him as "that" good. Really love the detailed write up's.
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The tough part about big games like Cedar Rapids had is it kind of inflates the stats for the hitters when the pitching is off for the other team. I know that it takes skill to get a hit no matter the pitcher but sometimes the task is a bit easier especially in the 9th when they had a position player pitch and Ross got two HR's that inning. That is a pretty large OPS boost against a Non pitcher. Still it all counts and you have to hit the ball but that game was a stat inflator to me. For a lineup that has been having trouble hitting a game like this is just what the doctor ordered. Also FWIW it seemed like the ump called a very tight zone last night which seemed to help hitters from both sides to 12 and 20 hits. You had to have stuff that played in the zone to be effective last night. Wallner brought his Batting average up to .302 and OPS to .982 after his two hit game in AAA. Hitting for average and power he is locked in. Seems a shame to waste that hot streak in St. Paul. Culpepper pitched really well. He has a nice stat line on the season as well. It will be interesting to see how his stuff plays when he moves up a level. Huge night for Cedar Rapids and Tanner Schobel has been getting better every month and started off June with a bang. I am keeping an eye on him as he has almost as many HR's as Rosario and his batting average is moving up with the warmer weather. Ross had been pretty quiet with the bat until this game where he got 4 hits and 2 HR's but hopefully that was a slump buster game for him. I can't speak to their defense but right now Cardenas looks as good or better with the bat than Daniel Susak who was taken in the first round by Oakland. Lot's of time left for separation but right now Cardenas looks like a good get in the 8th round. A big night for the bats and Wallner has been at his best for at least two weeks now.
- 12 replies
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- chris williams
- ben ross
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Maybe I shouldn't call myself a fan as I gave up after they were down 6 to 3. So many teams have shut this team down late that comebacks especially three run comebacks seem very unlikely. I guess I will have to catch the highlights. Somehow the little guys got it done. The guys without the superstar salaries recently have been far more consistent and meaningful than than the players making the big money. Solano was huge in that game and Castro keeps proving me wrong about the hitter he is. All pitchers seem to fear Kirilloff right now but he is taking the walks they are giving him instead of flailing outside the zone and Lewis has been nothing but clutch in his start back with the team. I hope the bats keep getting better all the way around and the pitching stay top notch. Still three big games to play.
- 67 replies
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- willi castro
- royce lewis
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Game Thread: Twins (Lopez) v Guardians (Bibee), 6/1/23 @ 6:40 CT
Dman replied to wsnydes's topic in Archived Game Threads
I hope that ump is going to give us those strikes out of the zone as well. He has given Cleveland plenty. -
Yeah I don't get that. Also those pitches down the middle don't seem to have a ton of movement. He seems to be banking on the fact they will not be able to square that pitch up but it isn't working. He was swing and miss on the edges or called strikes but at least one batter I saw just kept fouling them off until be went to the middle yet again for single. There has to be a better approach.
- 101 replies
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- louis varland
- donovan solano
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Twins Daily Hitter of the Month - May 2023
Dman replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I never saw Castro being this good with the bat. The ultra aggressive approach is usually to volatile to be consistent. And yet here he is on the list as one of the Twins best hitters. If he can keep this going what a stoke of luck for the Twins to have found such an integral player and giving up nothing in return. I never give Jeffers props so just have to this time. I have really enjoyed his approach this year. He is willing to take pitches and or jump on the first pitch. He is hitting pretty much everything hard and he can take a walk. Looking very well rounded at the plate this year. Kudos to him on great start to the year. Kirilloff sure does seem special and I am really happy to see the walks this year. It makes him a complete hitter IMO. Pitchers fear him and don't want to throw him strikes and he needs to take advantage of that and make them throw in the zone. He has been doing that and the results speak for his great approach at the plate. He keeps this up and it will be all star status in the future.- 25 replies
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- willi castro
- ryan jeffers
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Stewart has been great for the pen. Coming in with two on he strikes out the next three guys. That is some good stuff. Not sure what is wrong with Lopez but can't see him in high leverage until he figures it out. Would have been nice if a few more of his changeups went for strikes. He also has trouble getting guys to strike three. His stuff is generally tough to square up although he has been giving out homers like crazy this year. Have to believe the pitching coaches need to get with him and form a better plan. At any rate a much needed win for the month of May. If the Twins can take the Cleveland series they should be in solid shape to start the month of June.
- 101 replies
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- louis varland
- donovan solano
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Twins Minor League Report (5/31): Wallner Wallops the Baseball
Dman replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Really nice to see Miranda with a three hit game. His bat has been so empty for so long hopefully this game was a confidence builder. Man Wallner showing the FO he is ready for more MLB. BA just under .300 and OPS at .956. Those are dominant numbers for AAA. If you are Kepler or Gallo you better make sure those hammies are rock solid or Wallner might get another 15 day tryout and never look back. He really looks dialed in right now. They tried to pitch Severino inside. I don't think the home run ball he hit was even a strike but legend of Severino grows. HIs numbers are similar to Wallners dominant for the level. His BABIP is at .402 right now and I have been saying regression is coming for the last two weeks but he keeps on hitting. Rosario with two more hits. HIs batting line looks really well rounded. He will be at AA sometime in June. Right now Cedar Rapids needs his bat in the lineup as he is the best hitter on that team IMO. All three of those hitters are having exceptional years at the plate and look like future Twins.- 20 replies
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- matt wallner
- kyle jones
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Twins have had issues with 1st round picks but have been good in the later rounds. 2019 shows that with Headrick, Jullien and Varland. If Wallner works out that was quite a good draft. Add Steer and Legumina and it looks even better. It doesn't look like any of guys will be super stars but they all could be really good players.
- 23 replies
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- keoni cavaco
- matt wallner
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Astros 5, Twins 1: Twins Fail to Launch in Space City
Dman replied to Steven Trefz's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The only bright side to this game for me was Sands looked pretty darn good out of the pen. Maybe he can be a solution there if he can throw more strikes and keep hitters off balance.- 45 replies
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- royce lewis
- joe ryan
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Man Wallner with a double, triple and HR to get the hard part of the cycle out of the way. He just needs to get that OPS in the 1.000 range and keep it there and he will force the FO to bring him back up. Headrick seems to be back on track with another good outing. Enlow was cruising through 4 innings absolutely dominant and then the wheels fell off. It still feels like as the pitch count mounts he has more trouble. Just wasn't able to wriggle out of this one though. I keep saying Severino is going to come down to earth and he just keeps on getting hits. He looks like a promotion candidate sometime in June if he keeps this up. Schobel with a 3 for 5 night all singles but he finally has his OPS for the year at .700. It seems like he is starting to adjust to this level. Hopefully June is a big month for him. Hopefully more guys start having big nights.
- 18 replies
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- kenta maeda
- caleb thielbar
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Game Thread: Twins (Ryan) @ Astros (Bielak), 5/30/23 @ 7:10 CT
Dman replied to wsnydes's topic in Archived Game Threads
Someone forgot to tell Houston that all they have to do is load the bases and the Twins are powerless. -
I haven't heard anything connecting the Twins to Max Clark. Either they don't like something, don't think he will make it to them or they are setting up a smoke screen hard to say. I agree with the OP that Clark seems the odd man out for them at number 5. I agree with the OP on the top three as they all have power\hit profiles with a good eye at the plate to boot. They all run pretty well and have solid arms so they have defensive value. The Twins love those types of hitters but I could see all of them gone before pick number 5. Gonzalaz has been called the best Shortstop in this class by some scouts granted with his 40 rated run time he is not a burner and likely ends up at third or maybe second. Minnesota doesn't have enough 2nd\third basemen at the big league level or the minors so grabbing another is imperative? Actually the system is loaded with guys like this. Jullien, Lee, Lewis, Castro, Miranda, Polanco, Schobel, Ross, Ortega if you want to include Helman than him too. It is an area of great strength so much so they traded away Arraez and Steer to make room. Grabbing Gonzalaz over Clark would be a huge head scratcher IMO. I get Gonzalaz has some real nice numbers. More walks than K's. Hits the ball to all fields, has power and apparently he is a metrics darling with the bat and also a slow runner. Lot's of things to like but who gets bumped to play him? Also he has actually been moving down draft boards not up. He is the 8 to 12 area right now. I don't have all the info but I don't like the pick at number 5. If Skenes were to fall to 5 it seems like a best case scenario for this team. He is a power pitcher. Likely a fast mover and a team need to boot. Not grabbing him would seem incredibly odd considering he could go as high as number 2 and has been about as elite a pitcher as you can find. If Skenes is there at 5 he has to be the pick. There will still be good bats down the board that the Twins can pick next anyway. Will have to wait and see how the board falls but if Skenes makes it to number 5 that would be the ideal pick to me.
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I think that is a fair comp. Wilson might end up with more power hard to say though. Still before Madrigal was hurt he OPS'd .745 and .775 in MLB not bad numbers IMO. He was close to walking about as much as he K'd granted all in a SSS. It just depends on how you want to get to around an .800 OPS IMO. Through batting average or power. Maybe those high school players will do better than that or maybe they won't. Maybe like Steer Wilson finds his power later on. Hard to say. No one thought Neto would have enough power and I believe he is the first one in that class to see the majors and he seems to be holding his own.

