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big dog

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Everything posted by big dog

  1. big dog
    I didn't like the Gallo signing, but I've been wrong before. However, at this point I think we have a big enough pile of sheep entrails to make a really good prediction about how the baseball gods are feeling about this signing. (If you aren't reading the thread on analytics, you can either be puzzled or just move on with your life.)
  2. big dog
    To be fair, I believe Kiriloff got his first MLB at-bat in a playoff game, didn't he? There's at least some shot that it might happen again.
  3. big dog
    And with respect to both of those questions, I bet Joe Madden would have something interesting to say on the topic.
  4. big dog
    OK, so...how do you determine when a player is "on a roll"? Do you have a particular definition of recent performance over a specific period, or is it when they have a jaunty step and a confident look in their eyes? Either way, isn't that a type of analytic? Does anyone know- when we talk about doing something "by our gut", is that an archaic reference to the practice of haruspicy? This was an ancient tradition of using the position of the organs in a slaughtered animal to determine the will of the gods. It is more commonly known as "reading the entrails". I don't think the similarity between this and using your gut is likely to be a coincidence.
  5. big dog
    Well, a nightmare that is playing above .500 ball, anyway. I’ve seen nightmares. This is just really disappointing. To me, a Twins nightmare is expecting to challenge for a division title and finishing fourth or so.
  6. big dog
    Every time I see Lewis play I get more impressed. He deserves to be #1. It seems like Wallner is making leaps forward, too. I don't think his defense is nearly as bad as some claim, though of course SSS.
  7. big dog
    I think we should trade Spencer Steer and a couple of others for a durable starting pitcher.
  8. big dog
    It isn’t genetic, I don’t think, but it’s gotta be something like that. Maybe the influence of WCCO on breast milk? Whatever it is, the Twins are harder to quit than smoking, and this year I think they are equally hazardous to my health.
  9. big dog
    Hey, we’re only five solo homers from the lead! #twinsbaseball
  10. big dog
    Given Buxton's hamstring problem I'm not sure I would count on him to add much this weekend. I like the pitching matchups, though. We have a good shot in all three if the bats work even a little bit.
  11. big dog
    Correa, Farmer, and Solano. Quite the murderers row. The Cards must be terrified.
  12. big dog
    This is why I never shop at “the Dior store”. Products are good enough to use but nowhere near worth what they cost.
  13. big dog
    And I don't see how he would want to come back the Twins. However, the extra draft pick plus the decent chance that he would get a playoff start is worth keeping him, at least to me. He's a very good five inning pitcher right now, that's it.
  14. big dog
    I'm trying to craft the completely typical 2023 Twins game in my head. Let's see... Great start... for 5-6 innings. Twins hit 3 early solo homers, leave 8 men on base through 6. Lead 3-1. Starting pitcher leaves, bullpen gives up lead. Twins regain lead, barely, while still leaving 6 more men on base. Bullpen blows lead as four different pitchers throw gasoline on the fire. People blame too many ground balls finding holes, and still think Duran's a great pitcher as his WHIP climbs toward 3 while blaming the extra-inning free runner for him giving up a grand slam. Twins lose, hit 3 solo HRs, go 2-14 with RISP, and strike out 15 times. Starter ERA remains among the best in the league. Hitters are pleased with their focus and say they are just about to turn a corner. Yeah, I think that's pretty close.
  15. big dog
    If I were a Dodgers fan I wouldn't be too impressed with Ahmed Rosario, Lance Lynn, and Joe Kelly. A shortstop who is a bad fielder, a frequently-injured reliever, and a big piece of dried toast. No thank you.
  16. big dog
    I am really glad to move J Lopez, for anything. Time to move on. At this point I'm actually happier to see Pagan come in the game than J Lopez. The Baltimore trade is sunk cost and has nothing to do with this transaction. You spent too much, you bought something that was broken. Do you keep using it because it was expensive? No, you replace it with something that might work better. I hope J Lopez can find himself at some point, but we need a better reliever NOW. And if we trade for one and drop Floro, I'm still going to think this was a good transaction. In fact I will like it even better.
  17. big dog
    I don’t know about charmed… we just got Maeda back, Mahle’s been gone Polanco and Paddack missed a lot of time, Lewis and Kiriloff started late and Lewis is now out again, Buxton hasn’t played in the field. We haven’t exactly been without our own challenges.
  18. big dog
    I don't see Nick Gordon helping this team this year or in the future. I'd much rather have Castro.
  19. big dog
    That has to go down as one of the better deals in Twins history, I think.
  20. big dog
    Interesting review, thanks! Lewis and Lee have a chance to be very good, anyway. I still hope Larnach and Wallner can be solid major leaguers (and Enlow might have a role as well). In addition to Lewis and Greene and McKay, the other two top names in 2017 were Kyle Wright and Mackenzie Gore. McKay was cut in December 2022, doesn't appear to be signed anywhere. Only appeared in the majors during 2019. Gore looks like he has a chance, but is somewhat behind Greene (who looks like he could be solid or better going forward). Wright had that amazing 21-5 record with 180 IP, 130 ERA+ last year, after four years with a total of 80 MLB innings. This year he's been on the injured list twice with shoulder problems. Looking farther down the draft- wow, there's a lot of guys with very little accomplished in the majors. The first regular is Keston Hiura (pick #9). Jake Rogers (pick #11) is hitting fairly well this year. Clarke Schmidt (#16) has been OK filling in for all the injured Yankee pitchers. Then you get to Tanner Houck (#24), Nate Pearson (#28), Alex Lange (#30), and Drew Rasmussen (#31), all of whom look like they've got a shot at being MLB pitchers for a while. There are a bunch of 27-yr-old college pitchers who might be able to stick around for a while but no one where you think wow, why didn't we draft X? Just a quick glance at 2019, which is far from a closed book- some real players taken ahead of Cavaco. That top group in 2019 is definitely outperforming the 2017 group at the moment. After Cavaco- well, Bryson Stott or Corbin Carroll would look really good right now.
  21. big dog
    Buxton takes a fastball for a called strike three, then swings at a ball that was high and outside for strike three on the next AB. He looks completely lost.
  22. big dog
    Where are we going? Third place in the worst division in memory.
  23. big dog
    Let's not forget your Rickrolling prowess. Wait, no, I'd like to forget that.
  24. big dog
    I'm sure another players-only meeting will fix this right up.
  25. big dog
    During the game today Gladden said it was well known that a few series ago Baldelli called Kepler into the office and gave him some heat for now putting out enough effort. Is that actually well known? First I've heard of it. Gladden gave it some credit for Kepler hitting and defending better the last few games. At best there seems to have been a lag between when the talk occurred and when production picked up.
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