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TopGunn#22

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Everything posted by TopGunn#22

  1. TopGunn#22
    There is all sorts of flexibility in this deal for both sides. I'm expecting very good to elite production. I'm hoping we're able to land some pitching in the next day or two to solidify our playoff chances. I'm also looking for Carlos to lead the Twins to their first playoff "game" win with a 2-run HR in the 9th inning and then lead us to our first playoff "series" victory since 1991, so yeah, my expectations are pretty "modest."
  2. TopGunn#22
    I agree with the guys who suggest using the Santana/Liriano model. Use him out of the pen (or as an opener) and see how things go. BIG arms can flame out pretty quickly so I'd like to see the Twins get him up to the big league team, be careful with him, and see what develops. With his stuff, he and Taylor Rogers could be VERY effective near the end of ballgames. At worst, I'd have him at St. Paul for a bit and then get him up to the Twins.
  3. TopGunn#22
    I would hate to give up either Lewis or Martin (and Balazovic) but as I said in a different thread, it's time to push all the chips to the center of the table and call the bet. I'd do Martin or Lewis, Balazovic and SWR. But I'd ask for Lou Trivion (only a 1.10 MLB Trade Value) instead of minor league "filler" / "Flier." Go for a back end bullpen arm that can help us NOW. I also like the idea of a Conforto or someone in LF at a bargain. I'd still like to include Arraez in this instead of Martin or Lewis. He's MLB proven and versatile. Oakland needs some guys that they can play NOW. They'd still get a young arm like Balazovic.
  4. TopGunn#22
    Here's the trade I just posted on MLB Trade Values: Twins Get: Montas 39.6 Sean Manaea 14.1 Lou Trivino 1.10 Total 54.80 A's Get: Arraez 27.9 Larnach 22.6 Cavaco 3.0 Simeon Woods-Richardson 5.4 Total Value 58.90 The Twins over pay, but it's necessary to make this final step to remake the roster for 2022 and beyond. Starting Rotation: Montas, Gray, Manaea, Ryan, Ober. Taylor Rogers and Trivino now close and hold down the 8th inning. Duffy and Alcala are 7th-8th inning guys. Pretty solid team, and we have the trade capital to make this happen with Oakland.
  5. TopGunn#22
    Yup, now to put the cherry on top the Twins FO needs to go out and get Frankie Montas. In fact, I liked the idea of making a blockbuster for BOTH Montas and Manaea. A staff of Montas, Gray, Manaea, Ryan, Ober would be solid. Plus, with a lot of young pitchers close to breaking thru there would be some depth. But yes, at this point, I'd go for the killshot and part with Arraez, Larnach, two young arms and Cavaco for Montas & Manaea. If I can get Montas or BOTH without giving up Martin/Lewis/Balazovic I'm pushing all my chips to the middle of the table and calling the bet.
  6. TopGunn#22
    I see the lineup like this: Vs a LHP Vs a RHP Miranda LF Buxton CF Buxton CF Polanco 2B Polonco 2B Kiriloff 1B Correa SS Correa SS Sano 1B Kepler RF Kiriloff RF Sano DH Sanchez DH Gio 3B Gio 3B Miranda LF Jeffers C Jeffers C I have a LOT of faith that Kiriloff will be exciting this year. Kepler is a Wildcard. With no shift (or "limited" shifts) will he be an everyday player ? And I have a LOT of faith in Miranda. Make him the LF'er right now. He can move around as the season progresses. Arraez goes to Oakland with some young arms to get Montas (and maybe even Manaea).
  7. TopGunn#22
    Oh. My. God. This is FAN-TAS-TIC !!! What a bolt of LIGHTENING ! I have to admit, I was getting nervous when the Giants and Red Sox were sniffing around Story. And for the Twins FO to have pulled this off. Unbelievable !! The best headline was about the Yankees desperately wanting Correa, and then making a trade that essentially set the Twins up to steal him from them. Now, lets go out and get Montas and get ready to battle it out in the A.L. Central. I don't miss Isaiah Kiner-Falefa anymore !! I tip my hat to the twins Front Office.
  8. TopGunn#22
    Nice Job Jamie ! Good discussion as well.
  9. TopGunn#22
    Amen Nash ! This is what I've been pushing for ALL off season. Doc Bauer pretty much laid out every point I would have. In my mind, you make the deal with the Yankees to make a deal with Oakland (or Miami or the Reds) to get that other stud SP to head the rotation with Gray so that your "youngen's" have some leadership and MUCH less pressure. To tie this all together, you MUST sign Story or Correa (and it's clear Story is the guy). Can they pull this all together ? In theory it's a great plan, but requires some heavy lifting. I've been guilty of being pretty down on this FO for quite awhile. Last year's failures were in some respects unforgiveable. The White Sox FO just outworked and out hustled ours. The Sonny Gray trade was a master stroke and built some of my lost trust back up. I think many here on TD are selling Urshela short and Sanchez is a potential 30-HR catcher who's a mystery wrapped in an enigma. But for the first time in a long time, I can actually reason through a possible "PLAN" this FO has and it's interesting with all kinds of potential. Does Buxton need to stay healthy?? Darn right he does. Do the young pitchers need to flash some talent ? Darn right they do. But if the FO can finish this race with a strong kick and deliver us Trevor Story and either Montas, Castillo or Sixto Sanchez/Max Meyer I will salute them for a great effort.
  10. TopGunn#22
    As soon as the trade with the Yankees went down I thought Story was a distinct possibility. And Miranda will NOT be the starting 3B. That will certainly be Urshela. Miranda should be replacing Arraez as the Twins utility guy who has more pop. After fleecing the Reds for Sonny Gray here are a couple moves I would like the Twins to consider now that a LOT of payroll has been shed. 1. Sign Trevor Story (obviously). 2. Call the Reds back or call the A's and put a package together for Castillo or Montas. I would put Austin Martin and Arraez or Larnach on the table. 3. Once the above two deals were made, make a strong bid for Japanese outfielder Seiya Suzuki to be our LF'er. Here's what we would have: Suzuki, Buxton, Kepler in the OF. Urshela, Story, Polanco, Kiriloff in the IF. Sano DH and Sanchez/Jeffers at C. Miranda is our super sub. Urshela can play some SS when Story would DH with Miranda at 3B. I'm not including Arraez because I expect him to be moved for pitching. Montas/Castillo, Sonny Gray, Dylan Bundy, Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober is the rotation. But someone like Winder could shoulder his way in if Bundy stumbles. Bullpen has Taylor Rogers closing with Alcala as the 8th inning guy. Maybe Duran is up sooner than we think. This is a team that could compete with the White Sox as well as the Guardians and the up and coming Tigers and Royals. We could even "possibly"...win a playoff game. It's a pipe dream, I know, but this is what I HOPE the "plan" consists of.
  11. TopGunn#22
    My first thought when I saw this story pop up (and after I got my head to stop spinning) was that this MUST be the prelude to a Trevor Story signing. Why else make these moves unless you intend to move Donaldson's $$$ off the books and add Story to the payroll, changing out a Gold Glove caliber 3B-man in Urshela and a solid glove at SS in Story. Urshela is very similar to Kiner-Falefa defensively without the speed but with more consistent power. Sanchez is a power bat, probably too similar to Sano but with 30-HR potential.
  12. TopGunn#22
    Health is ALWAYS a major consideration. Especially with guys like Buxton, Polanco and Donaldson being such keys. You can even include Arraez in that list if he isn't traded. But I've been saying for months, we play in the A.L. Central (it's not the same as playing in the N.L. West). MLB has expanded the playoffs. And despite last years debacle, they had won two straight Division Championships and still have a core that could compete. Plugging the SS hole with Kiner-Falefa (who is NOT a BAD hitter, just not a 25 HR SS) and getting Sonny Gray are very good moves. At this point, I'm trading Arraez for pitching and playing Miranda in LF (after what he did in AAA he should be moved ahead of Rooker & Larnach) and Kiriloff is my First-Baseman. That's a lineup that can score runs. keep building the pitching staff for 2022 and beyond.
  13. TopGunn#22
    Doc Bauer, I agree ! I think some GOOD opportunities were missed early but this trade for sonny Gray is excellent. I'm sorry to see Petty go, but he's 4-5 years away and just look at the list of pitching prospects we have! We can afford to package Arraez or Larnach with a young pitching prospect and maybe someone like Cavaco to make a big splash in a trade or just sign Big Mike and go to lunch. I hope they aim high and skip lunch.
  14. TopGunn#22
    That's how I see Martin making an impact for the Twins in 2022. Arraez is packaged to get the final SP we need for the rotation. Buxton & Kepler play well, and Martin is an on-base machine for St. Paul. Eventually, (June 1st or so?) he's called up to play LF and hit at the top of the order.
  15. TopGunn#22
    This is what I HOPE the plan is. I've liked the two moves they've recently made. But I also want a good amount of AB's for Miranda this year. Some of our corner IF/OF guys like Arraez, Larnach, Rooker, along with some other young pitching prospects (either guys we've always had or one of the newer guys just acquired) in a package for Montas, Sixto Sanchez, Max Meyer etc...would be a trade I'd be in favor of. Arraez (based on BTV) is already worth Manaea, Meyer and probably Sanchez one for one (or at least he's VERY close). ASSUMING a Pineda signing (I know) adding a SP like Montas, Sanchez, Meyer or even Manaea would give the Twins their best SP rotation since 2019 (which seems as far away as 1969/1970). The lineup has potential. Fix the SP.
  16. TopGunn#22
    Baseball Trade values has Gray listed at a value of 28.3. Peguero, the other pitcher acquired is only .10. Petty on the other hand has a listed value of 4.80. The Twins CRUSHED this trade. Look, I hate to see Petty go. He was an intriguing prospect. But he's YEARS away. For this season and next at a minimum Sonny Gray is a GREAT addition. I agree with those who are disappointed we didn't add someone like Bassitt. But when you STEAL Gray away from the Reds like the Twins did here, you can package something to Oakland for Montas. Players in play for that type of move would include: Arraez, Larnach, Lewis, Martin, some of our young pitchers. The point is, we have the firepower, should we choose to use it, to acquire a SP like Montas to pair with Gray at the top of our rotation and certainly compete for a playoff spot. Let's hope there is more to come.
  17. TopGunn#22
    I like this trade as it solidifies the SS position. However, there simply HAVE to be other moves to add pitching coming from the FO. Many on TD always look at adding veteran pitching as a one-year solution. I don't. If I trade Arraez in a package to get pitching from the Marlins or A's I'm looking to make a commitment to keeping whatever I gave solid assets up to get. I see no need to keep Arraez with the acquisition of Kiner-Falefa. Unless a trade of Donaldson is coming I don't want to see anyone blocking Miranda. He has nothing left to prove at St. Paul. He needs AB's, whether that's as our regular LF'er, 3B-man or primary utility man. Kiriloff will be in the lineup regularly at either 1B or LF with an occasional game at DH. The young RH pitcher is also a fine addition. having him could allow the Twins to trade one of our "other" young pitchers in a package or possibly spin Henriquez off as part of a deal to bring in a vet.
  18. TopGunn#22
    Guys, we are all Charlie Brown and the Twins FO is LUCY ! We are setting ourselves up for disappointment.
  19. TopGunn#22
    There just HAS to be a way for teams like Baltimore and Pittsburgh to compete. Heck, when free agency started it was the Baltimore Orioles who signed Reggie Jackson first...NOT the Yankees. If Baltimore or Pittsburgh REALLY wanted to compete, they'd spend some #### Money !! They just like to make bank deposits.
  20. TopGunn#22
    I wonder if the Twins Front office EVER considered offering Rodon 2-years and $44 million. I've got to hand it to the Giants FO, they lose Gausman and aggressively move to replace him with a guy who might be "risky" but has a tremendous upside if he's healthy.
  21. TopGunn#22
    I'd make a strong play for Suzuki at 5-yrs $55.00 million. He's in our price range and could hit on a par with Bryant and Castellanos while providing better defense.
  22. TopGunn#22
    I agree with Doc Gast on this for the most part. I see Buxton playing 100+ games (if indeed there is a season at all) and he will be in the mix for MVP votes even if the team as a whole does poorly). I see Polanco as the "steady Eddy." He will be money in the bank even if he slips to 25 HR (instead of 33). Garver will be fine if rotated between C/1B/DH in some fashion. Donaldson will be solid. The big question marks are indeed Sano and Kepler. Their impact on the 2019 Bomba Squad was undeniable. Since then their performance has dragged the lineup down. They are the two biggest Wildcards. I EXPECT Kiriloff to HIT. That swing is just too pretty. Larnach has further to go and we may not see anything at all from him this year or at best, not until after the All Star game. I'm fully on board for trading Arraez in a package for pitching upgrades (and boy do we need them). Miranda will pick up the slack nicely if Arraez is traded. If Luis is NOT traded, it will be up to Rocco to FINALLY just put him at the top of the order and play him at LF,2B,3B and DH. Just have him in there nearly every day and setting the table at the top of the order. The Twins, by and large, will hit and score runs. How they pitch is impossible to gauge at this moment because if our FO goes into this season with the pitching staff as presently constituted (or makes similar lousy additions to last year) then they should be charged with "High Crimes and Misdemeanors" and IMPEACHED !!
  23. TopGunn#22
    mikelink, I remember in the mid-60's running home from school at lunch time (I skipped recess) to watch Bob Gibson pitch Game #1 against the Tigers in 1968 and fanning 17. I couldn't see the whole game, but the pace of the game was much faster and Gibson was such a quick worker that I'm sure I saw 3-innings. My Mom had my lunch prepared and the TV on when I burst into the house. I had it timed down to the second how long it would take me to sprint home and back, and I knew I couldn't be late, because then I wouldn't be able to make the sprint the next day. I did this for the 1966, 1967 & 1968 World Series until we moved and the elementary school was farther away. Day baseball World Series games should be played on weekends. I miss those days !!
  24. TopGunn#22
    Amen to that Blyleven2011 !! Well put.
  25. TopGunn#22
    I think the comp to Mauer is just what Cody wanted, nothing more than a catcher who is a VERY good hitter but that catchers tend to get beat up more than most other position players. As hitters, Mauer and Garver are almost polar opposites. I think Cody is making an excellent point. We have two young catchers in Jeffers and Rortvedt who need to play. It may be a little too soon for Rortvedt with the Twins, but he did play a bit with them last year and his defensive chops are for real. We currently have no LF'er. The idea, (even if Kiriloff is the superior defensive 1B-man) of rotating Garver and Sano between DH & 1B and sticking AK out in LF may hurt the overall defense a bit, but would really add juice to the lineup. If the Twins could live with the ups and downs of Jeffers and Rortvedt offensively, this is a strategy I would fully support. I'd love to see what Garve-Sauce could do with 500 AB's.
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