TopGunn#22
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Everything posted by TopGunn#22
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Amen Brother "LastOnePicked" ! Amen !!
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I'm not in the camp that it's a fait accompli that Correa doesn't come back. But Lewis is a guy every one of us is rooting for and I don't think he'll let us down. Remember, Paul Molitor had all sorts of injury woes early in his career and became a Hall of famer and World Series MVP. Maybe the same fate awaits Royce Lewis. Even if Correa comes back, there is certainly a role for Lewis to have significant playing time in 2023.
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Contemplating Max Kepler's Future
TopGunn#22 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He's one of my favorite Twins players on this team, but his offensive slid is just so frustrating to watch. It's true, we've had SO many injuries and with Buxton always a question mark day to day our outfield has been a mess all season. Heck, we've been starting Cave, Wallner and Contreras with a healthy dose of Gordon. Because of that, and the fact that despite his anemic offense Max is a net positive player it would be surprising to see him dealt, but if he was part of a package to bring a Pablo Lopez type of SP to the club I'd be in favor. I would still want to see him do well with a new club. -
I wanted Montas. I campaigned all winter and throughout the season for him. And he's been a 2nd half disaster. So I have egg on my face over that. I can't be too critical of this front office for the moves they made. They should have traded Berrios and were wise to prioritize Buxton over him. Gray and Mahle will be valuable members of the rotation next season and we must wait and see on Paddock. Maeda will be back. And then you have young guns like Ryan, Winder and Ober. I'm beating a dead horse here, but HEALTH has been something in short supply for the Twins and throughout the minor league teams in the last couple years. They need to stay healthy. I hope the front office stays aggressive this off-season. They need to settle the Correa situation and then move quickly once it's decided.
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Prospect Retrospective: Matt Wallner
TopGunn#22 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The development of Wallner gives the Twins 3 good, young LH hitters (with Kirilloff and Larnach). I still think Kirilloff can and will be the best of them and his ability to play a smooth 1B probably makes him the most valuable...if healthy ! With this surplus, the Twins could certainly reach out to a team like the Marlins to dangle a young bat for some MLB ready pitching (Like Pablo Lopez). The Marlins also have some talented pitchers trying to overcome some injuries like Max Meyer and Sixto Sanchez who the Twins could be interested in. Miami needs hitting and has a surplus of pitching. There is no doubt Miami will be looking to trade from their surplus. it will be interesting to see if the Twins are part of their discussions. -
Who Benefits Most from Baseball’s New Rules?
TopGunn#22 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I disagree with the notion that Byron Buxton SHOULDN'T be stealing 30-bases a year. With the larger bases he SHOULD be stealing 40 !! Rocco is hopeless when it comes to SB's. No team has attempted fewer than the Twins, and guys like Buxton, Gordon and Kepler should certainly be running more. I don't think Rocco and his staff coach it at all. They think we'll hit 300+ HR's every year. I swear, that first managerial year record ruined Rocco as a manager. The fans are certainly the big winners. The game should be more entertaining.- 27 replies
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- max kepler
- ryan jeffers
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We are sinking like a stone. 2-8 in our last 10 games and it's a team wide collapse. There are enough games left with the Guardians and White Sox to pull this out, but unfortunately there are no indications that this is even remotely possible. We ARE seeing Correa shine brighter down the stretch, but it probably won't be enough. Would love to have some kind of certainty that he will be back next year, but it's a complete unknown. Let the NFL begin with Vikings vs Packers.
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- carlos correa
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I like these changes. As was said by by D.C. the bureaucracy finally got something right. There are still magic moments in baseball, but "analytics" has over analyzed the game into something not as good as it once was. It's lost its "poetry." I miss the days of pitchers who got the ball, took the sign and rocked and fired. I miss the stolen base. I think I almost always unconsciously hold my breath every time the catcher makes the throw. The Twins will have problems with this stuff next year though. Rocco is the least aggressive manager in baseball history (yes, this is hyperbole). He and his staff must not value the SB at all because guys that SHOULD be able to steal bases (Buxton, Gordon, Kepler) NEVER RUN. It's all 3-Run HR's for Rocco. Part of baseball is disputing ball and strike calls, but this year and the last couple years have been really frustrating watching that little "box" and what does get called a strike and what doesn't. If they're going to continue to put that "box" up on the TV screen, just go to computer ump balls and strikes. At least that's my opinion. I also agree with whoever commented that due to teams and players refusal or inability to counter the exaggerated shifts, MLB had to step in and do something. Kepler is "Exhibit A." An intelligent guy like him should NOT be this futile against a shift. I'd like to believe he hits .270-.280 next year, but...I'll believe it when I see it.
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- rule changes
- collective bargaining agreement
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The Twins Top Prospects in 2024 Will Be...
TopGunn#22 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Brooks Lee. He's the real deal. Not sure if he can stick at SS or if he ends up at 3B or 2B but he's on a fast track to the Big Leagues.- 23 replies
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- emmanuel rodriguez
- marco raya
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After last night's pathetic effort I'd take any and all five if they were guaranteed.
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- luis arraez
- max kepler
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I agree with chpettit. I like the way Atlanta manages their roster. They identify talent and then they lock that core up for a reasonable time frame. It allows them to maintain roster consistency and cost consistency/efficiency. I also agree with others who suggest locking Mahle and Gray up for a time. We shouldn't have traded for those guys to just lose them in a season and a half. At this point, I have a healthy skepticism that ANY of our young pitchers will ever develop into anything. None of them can stay healthy. That said, "you can never have too much pitching." A staff of Mahle, Maeda, Gray and Ryan is a good starting point. Winder, Paddock, Ober, Balazovic (whose value has cratered) and others must get healthy and STAY healthy and then maybe we will find something. Remember, you can always trade pitching (especially YOUNG pitching) and get a heck of a lot back. The #1 off season priority is Correa (just like Buxton was last year). They need to determine if he's staying or going soon after the season ends. THAT will determine how they build the roster for 2023. If he's back, we have a great SS and a bat that plays in the #2, #3 or #4 spot in the batting order. If he's gone, that leaves a huge hole at SS that needs to be filled. And I don't think Lewis can be counted on at SS for 150 games. (hopefully someday). I'd still like to break him in gradually as a super-utility guy who plays IF and OF 5 games a week. Maybe a guy like Bogaerts could be signed if Correa moves on. Maybe a lesser option like Jose Iglesias, but if Correa leaves, they will need a SS. Lock up your core. Have cost certainty and then determine how much you have to spend to fill other roster holes.
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Twins 3, Angels 5: Angels Comeback, Win on Walk-off
TopGunn#22 replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm with Whitey. I think Lopez will be just fine. He's talented. But Rocco is one of the worst managers I've ever seen due to his complete reliance on HR's to score runs. He doesn't steal bases. He doesn't hit and run. He doesn't bunt. When he does bunt, his players cannot execute. Rocco managed teams are incapable of manufacturing runs. It's why we're so impotent in extra inning situations. If a team gets that ghost-runner from 2nd to 3rd with one or zero outs it puts incredible pressure on the defense. Again, Lopez will be fine. He will bounce back. Pagan has been an unmitigated disaster. Just like Colome last year. Rocco is Rocco. I'd love to see Paul Molitor come back. But I know that's not happening.- 70 replies
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- carlos correa
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Ranking the Twins Most Needed IL Players
TopGunn#22 replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Kirilloff and Lewis certainly rank at the top. For the rest of THIS season, it's Larnach for sure and for me Winder. I like Ober, but like Winder better. I'd take either ASAP but get me some Josh Winder soon.- 43 replies
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- ryan jeffers
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Yup, you can never have too much pitching, especially with all the injuries Twins pitchers have had to deal with these last 3 years or so. Maybe Canterino is destined for a bullpen role. But I've got to believe that the Twins would want to get him to the big league club at some point in the not too distant future and protect him a bit by limiting his innings by having him come out of the pen and then after a solid season, like Duran is having, see if he can get over the injury bug hump. Duran looks awfully good as a dominant BP piece, but with Jorge Lopez now in the fold, along with Fulmer (not sure he will be back, but he's a solid piece, so let's assume he's resigned for a reasonable price) could the Twins consider using Duran as a SP in 2020 ? I've read on TD several times that the Twins still like his potential as a SP. He just hasn't stayed healthy. Canterino is very similar to Duran. Dominant stuff when healthy...but rarely healthy. I think the Twins have Duran, Canterino, Winder and Balazovic as guys with a lot of potential. And guys like Woods-Richardson and Varland aren't far behind. With Mahle, Gray, Ryan and Maeda they have a solid #1-#4 and Ober showed some real potential. I could see Archer even being back next season. IF...and this is a big if...guys can stay relatively healthy, could you imagine a SP rotation of the 4 guys listed and Ober or Winder and then a BP with Jorge Lopez, Duran and Canterino in the back end with Archer available to give you 3 innings here and there ? THAT'S pretty intriguing going into next season. To me, this is why retaining Correa, at least for 2023 is crucial. He's darn good. and I think he'll be even better in 2023. With the continued development of Miranda and a healthy 2023 for Kirilloff and Larnach... (and Lewis) toss in Polanco and Buxton and the Twins will certainly be in the mix and could even knock off a Yankees or Astros in the playoffs. I think the Twins are positioned to be very good for the near future.
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- kenta maeda
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Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses
TopGunn#22 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The trade deadline addressed several of these and the bullpen got much better by the additions as well as the subtractions. But clutch hitting as well as "situational" hitting has been a Twins weakness consistently. We still strike out far too much, especially in situations where a strikeout kills us. For example: striking out with a runner on 3B and less than 2 outs. We also appear to be incapable of moving the extra inning runner at 2B to 3B with our first hitter of the inning (even when we're fumbling to get a bunt down). Putting that runner on 3B with one out puts incredible pressure on the defense and we consistently fail to accomplish this.- 43 replies
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- carlos correa
- tyler duffey
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Assessing the Twins Trade for Tyler Mahle
TopGunn#22 replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree Major League Ready. I could see Winder being that #5. We could also go out and make a FA splash, but I doubt it. The #1 priority will be keeping Correa in the fold. And maybe next year we will finally get to see Canterino and Balazovic.- 46 replies
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- tyler mahle
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Assessing the Twins Trade for Jorge Lopez
TopGunn#22 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This. Was. A. GREAT. TRADE !!! Povich may or may not make it. The other guys are less than lottery tickets. I'm not sure why the Orioles did this but I couldn't be happier. Lopez will NOT turn into a pumpkin. He's found his home as a solid BP arm. It would be just like Rocco to use him primarily in the 6th inning (since Rocco doesn't really know how to manage a BP or clearly define the roles BP pitchers should have). This kind of move is JUST what the Twins needed.- 16 replies
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- jorge lopez
- cade povich
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Assessing the Twins Trade for Tyler Mahle
TopGunn#22 replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree. Great trade. They gave up some talent, but Mahle is only 27 years old and will probably be a solid part of the Twins Starting Rotation for the next 5-6 years. The Twins were going to have some tough 40-man decisions to make in this off season. Now, with Mahle and Lopez, they have a couple guys who will certainly be important cogs for the rest of this season and hopefully, several more. Other players in the system will emerge. They didn't give up: Kirilloff, Lewis, Miranda, Larnach, Canterino, Balazovic, SWR, Winder, Martin (you get the point).- 46 replies
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- tyler mahle
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Twins Acquire Orioles Closer Jorge Lopez
TopGunn#22 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is a GREAT move !! hate to give up Povich but 2.5 years of control for Lopez is tremendous. I have been advocating for the Twins to get him and have even suggested several trades on TD. Rocco should put Lopez as his primary closer and use Duran as the 8th inning guy who can close when Lopez is not available. This is a solid addition to the back end and hopefully we can land Pablo Lopez or Tyler Mahle later today. Way to go F.O. !!!!- 113 replies
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- jorge lopez
- cade povich
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It's getting LATE. There is no doubt the Twins need a SP and at least one, probably two BP arms even with Alcala and Maeda probably being able to contribute a little "something" to the pen. I want to make a deal to improve the team for THIS year but also for 2023 and beyond. I'd be targeting Mahle and Lopez and trying to land one of of them. (maybe Rodon as well, but he's a FA after the season, I'd rather persue him as a FA than give up prospects for two months). BP options are getting kind of thin as well. Cleveland and the White Sox are hot on our tail. We can't afford to stand pat.
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I'm frustrated. I think the Twins could have beaten the Yankees offer for Montas and Trevino (I would have asked for Puk). But I think Dave Overlund and others are probably more realistic than me. Maybe what we have to offer just isn't tripping the trigger of other teams, although I think Steer and Austin Martin among others are certainly worthy pieces. Maybe they'll come up with a deal for Mahle and get at least one bullpen arm. Alcala is coming and I fully expect to see Maeda at some point being able to help the pen. I know EVERYBODY has issues with pitchers and injuries, but I can't help but think the Twins seem to have an inordinate number of injuries, especially with young pitchers. At some point, Canterino and Balazovic just have to be able to go out there and PITCH.
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Trade Rumor: Could the Twins be a suitor for Carlos Rodon?
TopGunn#22 replied to cHawk's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
As a Twins fan, I'm in favor of practically ANY trade that brings back a pitcher the quality of Rodon, Mahle or Montas. I firmly believe, with their starting rotation wheezing and hacking right now, that at minimum of frontline SP and 2 bullpen pieces are needed...even IF Alcala and Maeda fortify the BP in the not too distant future. That said, I'd be more focused on Montas and Mahle due to their availability for 2023 (and possibly beyond if an extension can be worked out). I think Rodon still has plenty of quality innings left, but the 2-month rental, in my opinion brings his MLB trade Value down from 13. I would offer the Giants Austin Martin or matt Wallner even up. I'd track what else is being offered and stay in touch. But like Dr. Bauer, I'd certainly kick the tires. At this point, the twins, like everyone else need to have a Plan A,B, C, D & E. -
I like how you've laid that out Major League Ready. The Twins have a "core" that can be pretty competitive. But Archer & Bundy are getting by on smoke and mirrors and Smetlzer's magic is done. They need reinforcements for this season and they need them NOW. The Twins really have plenty of depth in their minor league system to sell of some assets for enhanced major league performance. Thor is interesting. He would be MORE interesting if there was ANY indication he could start throwing 98 next year year and reclaim that power slider. If Castillo, Montas or even Mahle are not brought in, I could see taking a chance on Blake Snell. Underlying metrics show he's "close" to what could be VERY effective. Someone has to unlock that talent. Why not the Twins?? I really like the Ohtani idea, but just can't see the Twins pulling off a trade like that under the radar. Dodgers, Yankees or Padres seem like more probable destinations (but Ohtani in a Twins uniform? That would be pretty Awesome). Finally, I see Palacios as a viable SS next year. He's certainly got the glove and for Pete's Sake, Lewis HAS to catch a break sometime...Right ?? But I'm not so fatalistic that Correa won't be back next year. And look, all Correa does is WIN. Retaining him may prevent the Twins from going for a stud #1 like Musgrove, but having Blake Snell and Maeda to go with Ryan and Gray is not a bad starting point, and I'd be just fine with Winder as a #5. The bullpen needs help. Badly. There is no reason someone like Barb and Moore cannot be acquired. All the better if they are retained for next year. But if something isn't done to significantly improve this BP, the Twins will NOT make the playoffs. In fact, the longer Bundy and Archer are in the rotation or throwing any significant amount of innings the Twins season is in dire peril. I'd DFA Bundy and move Archer to long relief--2-3 innings at a time ASAP.
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I just feel Rocco is especially bad at "managing" a BP. Guys do not have clearly defined roles. It appears to be a "make it up as we go along" type of approach. In each season Rocco has managed, he's never had clearly defined roles in his BP.

