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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. In the late 80s a 90+ fb was not very common. Now it seems like the average for decent pitchers is in the mid 90s. People do not seem to understand that for most they get there through effort. That effort produces more stress, hence more wear and tear leading to IL. It shouldn’t be that hard to figure out, but it is
  2. The last true ACE was Madison Bumgartner. That has been a decade ago. Regular season success becomes meaningless when in the end you lose in the playoffs.
  3. Was 2019 so long ago that the blogger forgot how the pitching went south? Did they forget the seasons that were mostly career years for the younger Twins players?
  4. Brooks Raley and Jason Adam, though very indirect, reminded me the Twins’ castoffs provide at pipeline for the Rays bullpen.. Makes one think they should have hired a Rays FO person. Then I remember that Boston is a train wreck. Sorry for the stray thought. Back to WBC
  5. Dozier was an all star and got votes 3 years in a row for MVP. Middle infielders tend to be done at age 32. There will be a few exceptions at the all star level, back up level, but for some reason that is a trend. Outfield and the corners go longer., but it tends to be the corner positions. Age for prospects as far as a team goes, if the pipeline brings you 5 good. To great years out df a player teams will gladly take that. Those are the cheap years Arraez was also unbanked as a prospect and an all star
  6. Including DSL there are about 180 players in a system. They all start as prospects
  7. Yet 22 on the list did make it to the majors
  8. https://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/2/24/2821479/minor-league-ball-baseball-top-120-prospects-for-2012 2012 minor league ball top 120. Nowhere on that list do you see Brian Dozier’s name. He debuted that year for the Twins. Put up 20 some bwar. Somewhere in the 30s is Sano. I think he is still in the single digits. Just a reminder of rankings don’t always mean much. On that list you will also find Lindor’s name pretty high up there at the time of the ranking he had 20PA and a .666 OPS. Just a reminder the guess on talent are actually right
  9. I think someone has complained in evert thread. That is what a lot of people do
  10. Outside of the top 20 rankings are a guess. The players will be ifs. A successful team is not going to have the number of high end draft picks these ranking system loves. Thus a system will be lower. That does not mean a system that is low in talent. The Arraez types do not show up on these lists.
  11. It certainly looks like clickbait. The ebbs and flows is your predicting how the season will go within the story and comments
  12. I do not remember if Vargas would come up hot the get as cold as Frostbite Falls on a winter’s day. The stat line looks good. The lack of signing by other teams raises questions. Maybe he passed the aged to be considered prospect status. Sano has to prove he is healthy to be signed by anyone. He might only get a minimal contract as baseball is trying to move from the 3 outcome baseball. Sano exemplifies the 3 outcomes. He might not be appreciative of low offers
  13. I do not know what happened to observable articles, but pure negativity seems to have taken over much of the writing. Speculation on a guy’s weight is a story. Never mind there was mainstream reporting last summer that Correa was telling Miranda he has to eat better and work out more. If Miranda looks less pudgy than he used to it would appear he followed the advice given. The answer is not in this blog
  14. The post says the remaining relievers are marginal but solid relievers. I would guess that is also why they are not signed anywhere, When it gets to the point that they will sign for the minimum for any team there will be signings
  15. If a starter predictably needs a long reliever there needs to be a different starter. Any reliever is only going to throw so many innings, with an upper limit of 80. Better to have flexibility than not.
  16. By batted ball type according to fangraphs Keplers fly ball and infield fly ball percentages are slightly below league average. His contact percentages are about league average. Slightly below on soft slightly higher on medium. Yet there is below league average results. Don’t know an explanation for this
  17. Castillo cost Seattle 2 top 100 prospects and 2 high ceiling prospects. I don’t think the Twins want to give up that kind of prospect capital unless they were moving a starter and another position player for most of that capital
  18. If they trade the a prospect from a perennial contender there would be a chance he was a late first round pick. If the season is such a disaster early enough in the year the Mariners or Brewers might give up a competitive balance pick as part of the package if they were in contention.
  19. Good luck to him. I hear that Miami is short a pitcher now.
  20. Pretty much any starter has the back up plan as try as a reliever
  21. The difference between Balazovic and the others is the circumstance into when they went to the bullpen. Trevor May and Griffin Jax failed as starters at the major league level. Duran was coming off injury and never really built into starter innings. Balazovic appears to have lost command with a walk rate of over 10% at the minor league level. That may be due to the mentioned knee issue. Spring training and the early season will see if health is the fix for the issues
  22. There is a month or more for trades to happen. it would be better before spring training started, but bettter to not make a bad deal. Perhaps the Terry Ryan analytic that walks are bad wasn’t wrong
  23. In 6 years 2 contracts do not make a pattern One year, contract year large free agent signings almost never turn out well. Gasman in Toronto may be the exception. It seems like pitchers have become more likely to break or strain something now more often than hops in the senior’s high rise. Investing in quantity seems like the analytic thing to do.
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