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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. old nurse
    What a team with 60 million more in revenue is the problem. If you look at career numbers Correa, Turner and Bogarts are all close on fear. The teams that can put out the 300 million dollar contracts are limited. There was one more than what was expected. The thing is at a shorter contract of 10/285 were known to be possible perhaps the Dodgers and/or Yankees would have started to consider. Did Boras use the Twins. Yes. It is prudent to have a fallback plan. Did the FO here know that? Likely, it is Boras. Did the FO miss out of anyone who would have, could have or was worth that money? Nope For whatever reason the aging curve on middle infielders is not good. Drop off at around age 32 with an occasional year where the player finds the fountain of youth. The analytics people have more than likely dissected this. Should they have offered Correa a 10 year contract last year for the 300 million or so like Seagar got? Hindsight is so clear
  2. old nurse
    A bird in hand comes to mind. The 359 in hand is far better than 305. You bet on yourself in your 20s, not 30s. Buxton bet on himself and won. Polanco, Sanyo, and Kepler took the money. 2 out of the three probably won. With Polanco’d injuries, he may also have won
  3. old nurse
    The difference is not having a good player for maybe 3-6 years versus 6-10 years. Option 1 can be managed, option 2 cripples the team
  4. old nurse
    The Correa deal only makes sense if the Giants are intent on keeping under the tax threshold, think he will still be elite at 35 and sill have a little value at 40. That is a high risk move. They Giants are a little desperate to win. Forbes had them at $185 per fan in revenue. The million less in attendance from their heyday puts a lot of pressure to win. I would not be surprised if Rodin gets a deal with them. As far as the Twins and money goes, they cannot buy their way out of the middle. Spending with caution. 10/285 is caution. They cannot afford to not be. Somewhere visible there must be a picture of Bill Smith hanging to remind them of that. I think there is also a picture of Matt Capps to remind them of trades
  5. old nurse
    Mocking what is viewed as stupidly ,mimicking it, or being iit The internet decision strikes again
  6. old nurse
    Cohen may get his championship and let the team wither, Loria spent and won. It will be interesting to see what happens if the Mets continue to fall just short
  7. old nurse
    This front office will likely be gone when you can say wether or not the aggressive spending of a team like Texas worked. Year one resulted in no change in attendance from pre-pandemic times and no change in record. It is really easy to say a team should be doing something differently Really hard to say what the right way is with free agency. Aggressive signing of free agents is an opinion. You can argue the Dombrowski method works, but that is 2 WS wins in a 25 year career and a team in disarray when he leaves
  8. old nurse
    Texas starting pitchers last year pitched almost as few as the Twins, They did not have any problems signing 3 pitchers. Interesting that you have to come up with an artificial scenario in your theory
  9. old nurse
    I think anybody without a no trade clause is available if the return is right. I think sometimes you have to put a little buzz out there. If the team gets an offer on anyone that has some level of replaceability the team will listen. If they come out ahead, bye bye player. The real question is who would anyone want? A league average outfielder, a reigning batting champion. If the FO thinks it is rebuilding time, starting pitching. I would not be surprised if a SP would be dealt if they liked what SWR or Varland showed last year. I would add that I don’t think any trades happen until Correa signs somewhere. That will be 2 months of angst for Twins fans if not 3
  10. old nurse
    According to Forbes the average revenue per fan is $54 Statistica says average ticket price is $22. Before anyone says anything similar to “$60 million !” Remember that revenue is shared after expenses. The $26m in gate is split somewhere in half and the $34 in merchandise and food has material and people cost to it. Those revenues are also shared after expenses are paid. Accountants and support staff cost money.
  11. old nurse
    Vazquez is considered 2nd best catcher on the market. When first best signs for 5/87 contract his agent is going to want close to that. That would be why he has suitors but no contract. 2/20 seems like a more reasonable number, but the agent has to hold out for unreasonable.
  12. old nurse
    Batted ball location would suggest that Kepler will benefit from the 2b no longer being able to be in short right. What the Twins have had to play in the outfield the last 2 years would indicate not the greatest outfield depth. The multiple injuries over the last 2 years show the need for depth If Miller is more than a back end starter as a ceiling the Mariners are not going to trade him for Kepler. Unless you think that Seattle is desperate enough for an OF. That desperation might not show itself until spring training
  13. old nurse
    Swanson had a career year in a contract year. A one year contract would be just fine. Not many middle infielders continue to produce past 33. Jeter was great until 35. I really can’t for the long term see them signing anybody for what Boras will demand
  14. old nurse
    Nearly all the trades proposed are not going to get done. Miami would be more likely to trade Lopez and prospects for a better RBI bat than Arraez and prospects. On the interesting side, Lopez is why you trade for low level prospects when your team is not doing well. He was part of a package for a reliever having a decent season. I really don’t think the Twins will trade Arraez unless they get a very good package back. He is available for a good price. If they intended on moving him for any other reason they would have kept Urshela
  15. old nurse
    IfArraez may well be what he was last year for 5-10 years. People are saying that he may have peaked. That Lopez is at the same point in his career the same be true for him. If a team was going to overpay Miami for a pitcher I would go for Max Murphy
  16. old nurse
    Arraez may well be what he was last year for 5-10 years. That Lopez had a career year last year also begs the question is that a peak for him? My bet would be Arraez over Lopez
  17. old nurse
    The idea of a Chris Bassit signing seems like a good one until you remember he had TJ about 2016. Eovaldi, injury prone again Unfortunately, Archer, Shoemaker, Happ have proved there are bad 1 year contracts,
  18. old nurse
    Prove farm system rankings mean anything. In the recent ruleV draft there were many top 30 prospects of organizations available. 15 players were taken, only 2 were top 30 prospects. Clearly prospect rankings did not mean much to front offices and scouting.
  19. old nurse
    No more halfway measures. Was trading for Gray, Paddack, Lopez and Fulmer halfway measures? They did not all work out. San Diego made moves, they worked. Fans came out. Texas made moves. They did not work, attendance remained the same. There are excuses why attendance is down but Al Davis was correct. The thing is that there is the talent there on the team, there is the matter of luck. There are only about 30-40 pitchers every year that make all of their starts. None of them were Twins. There were only 130 qualified batters per fangraphs, only 3 were Twins. The halfway problem is finding players that stay on the field
  20. old nurse
    What player that the current front office let go has had any sort of career? Trades are a different matter
  21. old nurse
    The 20% stake in the sports network must have an impact on the cash flow The reality is as a private business we have no idea what the profit is. Everybody claims to know revenue yet with revenue sharing and the rules aligned with that, again not really revenue=how much the team can spend
  22. old nurse
    Nyoman are wrong on the spend money to make money. It comes down to “Just win, baby. In the early part of this century the fans came out for a winning team that they were not spending money on.
  23. old nurse
    If Hamels has recovered from his surgery there is more than a decent chance he could be a sub 4 FIP pitcher. That is better than most pitchers
  24. old nurse
    Contract not signed yet. A good catcher. If the top seven hitters are back and healthy they do not need great production from the catcher. If he helps the pitchers be better that has tons more value
  25. old nurse
    Season long hamstring issues may have had an effect. His rh split at home was the most off, Target field could be part of the factor. Different pitchers have catcher issues. Was there different outcomes with different catchers? Don’t know the exact source of the problem. The outcome was known
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