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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. So the front office is capable of doing math.
  2. At this point in their careers with the Twins to demote either Deduno and Swarzak at any point this season would have been pointless. Swarzak is the long guy. He does the role adequately. If he was a better pitcher, he wouldn't be the long guy. His value is that I don't think just anybody is suited to that role, yet you need somebody in the pen who can do that role. Deduno came in the last game and made a bad situation worse. In terms of the bullpen only Perkins and Fien would be locks to come back next year. Pressly is making a good case to stay. Duensing and Swarzak are arb eligible. Duensing at 2 mil and Swarzak at 1 mil may be high for what they have done and the Twins will go another direction . If they do, that leaves 1-4 spots depending on the starters. After the AAA season ends Ibarra, Tonkin and Pryor will be up for their auditions. I would suspect Achter, who is not on the 40 man, would be up only if someone in the pen gets dfad.
  3. A K% of 26.6 % at the major league level. Didn't tabulate the AA level.
  4. Gardenhire tends to use all of his players regularly. The option to have someone at the end of the bench just sitting there fades quickly. How many games did Bartlet get as the 25th man? (Yes I am too lazy to look that up)
  5. Quantify the benefits of Schaffer.. That is the issue. Fuld is what he is. For 2014 he played up to his abilities. Other years he did not. Schaffer is no Fuld. Shaffer would look to be more like Hicks at the major league level
  6. Ryan said last winter he had to give Gardenhire a better team to work with. He admited he had to do a better job of bringing in players. Is a direct quote on what Ryan thinks of Correia now newcessary to satisy some of hte people here? What does that accomplish. When they signed Correia there was a quote I rewcall reading thta they thought they saw some things they could improve on with Correia. What they thought did not improve him. What good does it do for the team to bring that up? When they tried to get Garza after signing Nolasco and Hughes that should have yold you what they thought of the number 5 pitcher.
  7. http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2014/07/twins-to-extend-kurt-suzuki.html
  8. Cardinals value pitch framing, Suzuki does not. That would leave Baltimore which has 2 no hit catchers. If they are happy with how they are playing there would be no trade possibility there. I can't imagine how they could be happy. Baltimore overpaid on Feldman. Maybe lightnnig can strike twice
  9. Your own data could point to other factors affecting the call of the pitches. If it is pitch framing causing the ball to be called a strike you should relatively even numbers for all of the pitchers. That is not the case. Deduno has and Pelfrey had control issues. Their deviation is higher. Umpires are expecting them to be out of the zone and call it that way. Perkins pitches when the game is on the line, he does not get the free strikes. Umpires want to call a fair game when the game is on the line. Swarzak tends to pitch when the game is not on the line, he got more calls. That would support the notion the umpire wants to move the game along.
  10. It was adjusted because there was a high rate of strikes being called on 0-3 and 1-3 counts. There was no adjustments or consideration ever given to the fact that there are significantly less calls per opportunity in extra innings. There is a decided variation in inning and pitch framing. That there is a variation by the inning would say there are other factors other than pitch framing going into these decisions thus the ability to impact the outcome is less. Any manager would say anything to get into the heads of the opponent . If he can convince someone to swing at outside/low pitches and miss, his pitcher is way ahead. Molina is having a career bad year at the plate. What are the other options? What is at AAA for the Rays probably would not hit, either. A 2 million contract on a low budget team Maddon has to play him.
  11. There is the theory that pitch framing saves runs. Where is the actual data that proves it. Turkenkopf who was in on the idea from the start stated that there were not the runs saved as projected.
  12. Nobody wants to see an honest player fail. (everyone will cheer Arod failing)
  13. MLBprospect guide.com lists the following as amateur free agent signings in 2007. Note this includes players from Cuba, Japan, and Canada Kelvin De Leon OF $1,100,000 2007 D.R. Young Il-Jung RHP $1,000,000 2007 Korea Julio Teheran RHP $850,000 2007 Colombia Martin Perez LHP $580,000 2007 Venezuela Jefry Marte 3B $550,000 2007 D.R. Dae-Eun Rhee RHP $525,000 2007 Korea Cesar Puello OF $400,000 2007 D.R. Rymer Liriano OF $300,000 2007 D.R. Esmailin Caridad RHP $175,000 2007 D.R. Tomas Telis C $130,000 2007 Venezuela Roman Mendez RHP $125,000 2007 D.R. Wilfredo Boscan RHP $15,000 2007 Venezuela Enrique Burgos RHP 2007 Panama Arodys Vizcaino RHP 2007 D.R. Dimasther Delgado LHP 2007 Panama Chris Jakubauskas RHP 2007 amateur free agent Michael Almanzar 3B 2007 D.R. Hideki Okajima LHP 2007 Japan Che-Hsuan Lin OF 2007 Taiwan Junior Lake SS 2007 D.R. Kosuke Fukudome CF 2007 Japan Larry Suarez RHP 2007 Venezuela Alexei Ramirez SS 2007 Cuba CJ Retherford 3B 2007 NDFA Juan Duran OF 2007 D.R. Mariekson Gregorius SS 2007 Netherlands Jason Smit SS 2007 Austrailia Alexander Perez RHP 2007 D.R. Gustavo Nunez SS 2007 D.R. Avisail Garcia OF 2007 Venezuela Yuniesky Betancourt SS 2007 Cuba Tim Collins LHP 2007 NDFA Jean Segura 2B 2007 D.R. Manny Correa RHP 2007 D.R. Fabio Martinez RHP 2007 D.R. Alexi Amarista SS 2007 Venezuela Pedro Baez 3B 2007 D.R. Hiroki Kuroda RHP 2007 Japan Santos Arias RHP 2007 D.R. Adrian Salcedo RHP 2007 D.R. Daniel Santana SS 2007 D.R. Scott Diamond LHP 2007 NDFA Oswaldo Arcia OF 2007 Venezuela Jenrry Mejia RHP 2007 D.R. Jordany Valdespin 2B 2007 D.R. Jeurys Familia RHP 2007 D.R. Francisco Pena C 2007 D.R. Wilmer Flores SS 2007 Venezuela Jose Ramirez RHP 2007 D.R. Arnold Leon RHP 2007 Mexico Leandro Castro OF 2007 D.R. Starling Marte OF 2007 D.R. Masahide Kobayashi RHP 2007 amateur free agent Yasuhiko Yabuta RHP 2007 amateur free agent Jonathan Galvez SS 2007 D.R. Edinson Rincon 3B 2007 D.R. Gabriel Noriega SS 2007 Venezuela Jorge Bucardo RHP 2007 Nicaragua Richard Castillo RHP 2007 Venezuela Alexander Colome RHP 2007 D.R. Wilking Rodriguez RHP 2007 Venezuela Leury Garcia SS 2007 D.R. Manny Solis 3B 2007 D.R. Eury Perez OF 2007 D.R. Marcos Frias RHP 2007 D.R.
  14. Turkenkopf who did the some of the first writing on pitch framing found a .30 correlation between pitch framing and runs scored. That would be why some teams don't make it as big of deal. Turkenkopf also wrote one time that there was variability between what inning and score of the game had an effect on if pitch framing was effective or not. That data that is certain is how many pitches were miss called. The actual effect on the outcome of the game was not. Even at .30 correlation pitch framing has some effect. How much over the course of a season has not been shown.
  15. To say that a derivation from the norm on HR/FB and BABIP is all luck is not always true . A certain Twins pitcher in 2012 had 19 starts with career highs in BABIP and HR/FB ratio. Nobody said he was being unlucky. Nolasco's velocity hasn't changed. The mix of pitches does not appear to be unchanged. Results are different. To blame it on a poor defense could be valid. Look at many people's favorite starter to hate, Correia. Stable K/9, BB/9, and a drop in HR/FB. Results have not been good. Career high in BABIP.
  16. It was a mistake to not put him on the 40 man roster so he could not walk as a 6 year milb free agent. The Twins have has success in the past resigning their milb free agents. This time they did not. In 2 years in Texas he stayed a AAA. No one traded for him, he was not promoted when the Rangers backup 2b, 3b ans ss did nothing. He is playing well now. Time will tell if he can make adjustments to what the pitchers will adjust what they throw due to the scouting of him.
  17. To get some of these players the White Sox had to have the major league talent to trade, which they did. Rios and Peavey are above average players heading towards the downside of their careers. The return for these players offers youth but not necessarily even above average talent. The signing of Abreu is a different conversation. Although they may have looked good for one game against the Twins, your list other than Abreu looks like a list of replacement level players. The skill level is more important. Blast away at the Twins for not adding a higher level of skill in position players. The age is irrelevant.
  18. Diamond's spring training performance will help him clear waivers to go to Rochester
  19. I am not disputing the iwsdom of first strike, but the difference in batter statistics on first strike pitchesmight be an indication of what the batter is capable of versus what the pitcher throws. For example the 7/8/9 batter in most any lineup should be seein a strike about 95% of the time. 3/4/5 hitters you migt be trying to be a little too cute and be missing close.
  20. Sometimes the light's all shinin' on me; Other times I can barely see. Lately it occurs to me What a long, strange trip it's been.
  21. I guess you would have to look at which pitchers they are hitting. If they are hitting MLB level starters and relievers, then you have to look at the at bats to see if the pitcher was working on mastering a pitch or trying to get an out. You can be encouraged that they can hit those pitches, but it does require a little closer look at what is actually going on in the game.
  22. What is the success rate of top 5 16 year old prospects versus top 50 versus the field?
  23. Significantly going over the cap also results in being only able to sign players for a limited amount the following year., 250000 or 500000 depending on how much you go over. If you like enough players one year and figure on trading your cap money the following year it would make sense to go over. If you figure they are going to change the rules again, it would make sense to go over if money is not a limiting factor.
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