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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    A balk, an error, and an HR…all Pablo needs is a HBP and a wild pitch and he has a Royal flush (as in down the drain).
  2. jkcarew
    How Are Twins Daily Users Feeling About the Team? It’s complicated.
  3. jkcarew
    There were no “no revenue” seasons. They still got almost all of their TV money over that period…which, at the time, was the most lucrative they’ve ever had.
  4. jkcarew
    That hope died quite a few years ago for me. Too many “journalists” chasing “stories”…lowers the bar for all. Result…mass willingness to spout whatever narrative ensures the access they need for validation of the latest post/story/take. Which makes 99% of the information coming out…NOT valid.
  5. jkcarew
    MidCo is Midcontinent Communications… …not MidConnect
  6. jkcarew
    So the reduced K rate (and against spring training competItion), the hard hit extra base hits/HRs…and most notably, the return to the minors of their top pitching prospect at age 25 after a 3.76 FIP over 13 starts and 64 innings in his rookie year…these were all part of the plan.
  7. jkcarew
    You forgot the declining attendance and TV revenue uncertainty…all for not a penny less than $1.7B.
  8. jkcarew
    The results as a reliever in 2024 weren’t great…but under the covers there was a significant improvement from his starter numbers. I do think there’s a shot for him to be an above-average reliever in short stints. IMO, the fastball is good enough if he commands it well. And a solidly average secondary pitch might be enough…as a short reliever. I think he’s going to get the opportunity to make that happen. We’ll see.
  9. jkcarew
    Not sure I’m ready to have too much Brooks Lee angst yet. The way the bat has been so far, even an Ozzie Smith glove is going to have a difficult time creating positive value. Yes, it was a small sample, but his underlying number last year (e.g., hard hit %) were even worse than headline number of 64 OPS+. IMO, Lee needs to be getting every-day at-bats as he works on his adjustments…and given the offensive challenges that already exist with this club, I’m not at all sure that the Twins can afford for those at-bats to be at the major league level right now.
  10. jkcarew
    Trevor Megill got much better after he left the Twins. How is that POSSIBLE???
  11. jkcarew
    Interesting that this article has never appeared regarding Buxton. Yet the club has been forced to play someone OTHER THAN Buxton in CF an average of 100 games per year during his career. WAY more Jake Cave and Michael Taylor than Byron Buxton. Meanwhile, Buxton has also been inferior to Lewis offensively. CAREER Post-Season numbers: Buxton: 7 PA; .286 OPS Lewis: 26 PA; 1.119 OPS
  12. jkcarew
    I can squint and see the club winning 90 games. Overall, I don’t see this club that much different than recent versions…in the solidly above average to barely average range depending upon performance ‘surprises’ and health. My pessimism is primarily grounded in health and the continued (potential) strengthening of the ALC competition.
  13. jkcarew
    Good point. Fwiw…the BA list seems more of a “recent results” approach based on value delivered….prove it / track record. The MLB list seems like more of a theoretical upside/talent view…who you’d want for one game if you could pick anyone…type approach.
  14. jkcarew
    I’m perfectly fine with the lost 2-3 mph off the fastball if it resulted in better command of the pitch. It hasn’t. Not so far. Meanwhile, despite the “stuff”, he’s never commanded his off-speed pitches consistently well, either. So….I guess we’ll see where this goes.
  15. jkcarew
    I’m not sure anymore either. But it’s nothing that an AL pennant can’t fix.
  16. jkcarew
    I’m thinking he rejoins club after the all-star break. The pessimist in me says that’s how long this injury will take. The optimist in me says it will take a SECOND hamstring strain (stretching a single in St Paul, etc) to keep him out that long.
  17. jkcarew
    “ His experience gave him an edge over David Festa and Zebby Matthews, both of whom were optioned to Triple-A on Sunday but made their impressions in major-league camp.” Quite different impressions I would think. The impression Festa made is that he has a mountain of work to do on the new approach that nobody knew he needed.
  18. jkcarew
    Is Viola’s number retired? I actually don’t know. Only one CY with the club but a WS MVP makes up for that, and he was here longer and he was here first. Not saying he is necessarily more deserving…just saying, Viola’s number should be retired first and then Santana’s. Or just hang a banner that says “Changeup” and put both their numbers on it.😉
  19. jkcarew
    We once had a guy pure energy on grass Soon turned out he had legs of glass Seemed like the real thing only to find Mucho missed games Twins fall behind. Once had a guy and he was devine Center field he was one of a kind Seemed like the real thing now I’m losing my mind Mucho missed games Twins fall behind. Club Of Glass
  20. jkcarew
    My two cents are that he should have stuck with what got him here for another year and simply worked on command. He’s clearly taken a step back. Will it result in two steps forward? When? Then again, who am I to question an organization with an incredible track record of developing good major league starting pitchers like Bailey Ober and……well, Bailey Ober?
  21. jkcarew
    He’s hit at every level. It’s reasonable to think that he can be a plus offensive player in the majors. It just comes down to defensive fit…that, and I am a bit wary of his recent minor-league right-handed splits.
  22. jkcarew
    This. Right now, only one of Ober, Ryan, or Lopez would render a needle-moving player for 2025. Maybe that (hopefully )changes by the deadline or, more realistically, next offseason.
  23. jkcarew
    Johan Santana had never pitched above high-A, and was 2 years younger than Casellano. He spent the first two years struggling some….like you might expect from a bottom of the bullpen guy. And then, he got better.
  24. jkcarew
    “Allowing Castellano to continue to develop as a starter in the minors under the Twins' superb pitching development program…” Lot of drinking of the kool-aide going on…or the bar is just extremely low. Are we evaluating based on how many mid round guys have success at the AA and AAA level? Is that the new standard, or should we evaluate based on actual success at the only level that matters? For that, we have one starter (Ober)…two if you say that SWR was developed here and that he’s ‘arrived’ as a valuable starter. Relievers: Jax and Alcala? Certainly not Matthews, Varland, or anyone else yet. That’s not “superb”. Could it get better soon? Yep. There’s no guarantee, and the quantifiable results at the major league level are still very average so far. With Castellono, don’t over think it. If you think he’s more talented than the guys at the bottom of the pen, simply keep him and use him. Don’t fall in love with average-ish talent guys that you’ve talked yourself into believing are about to have a career year. Besides…you’re not the Dodgers or the Yankees. You NEED to pull a Francisco Liriano (or a Johan Santana) out of the hat once in a while to make a real run. Can always make him a starter later, as well. And, if they don’t think the upside is there, it’s moot.
  25. jkcarew
    I realize this series doesn’t generate many responses, as the topic isn’t what triggers our opinions on players or front office, etc, Still IMO, the series is a great idea and a good read. Well done!
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