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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    Suddenly, Mahle’s performance last night doesn’t look that good ?.
  2. jkcarew
    ‘member when I mentioned pitchers failing to take advantage of the fact that Miranda swings at anything? This one isn’t. Failing.
  3. jkcarew
    Smartly pitching around Kep
  4. jkcarew
    Only if he doesn’t also hit like Adell does.
  5. jkcarew
    I mean…this year he’s sitting at a 130-something OPS+…compared to a career 108. So…
  6. jkcarew
    Most worried about Kirilloff. The Twins need him in 2023 and he needs to HIT. He doesn’t offer much value beyond his hit tool. And there’s not an overwhelming amount of evidence that he’s going to be a really good hitter at the major-league level. I think he has two issues…his approach, and now surgery on the wrist. What seemed very likely 2 years ago, now seems very, very iffy.
  7. jkcarew
    This take gets ripped a lot, but I think it’s more than fair for this club this year. Being the weakest team in a field of five does nothing for me. But, I’ve been impressed that the offense has hung in there as well as they have given the missing contributions from injured players with legitimate upside and without anyone having a ‘career year’ (maybe Arraez?) And I’m strangely optimistic regarding real contention in 2023. Just need some breaks with health and a breakout or two among starting arms.
  8. jkcarew
    Close…if I had to bet, I’d say YES. Especially assuming that a proportional share of those wins come against CHI/CLE. And unlikely, but possible to achieve. In which case, winning A playoff game definitely possible. (Yay!) Sniffing anything close to the WS? No. I’ll just do my best to enjoy however it plays out. Meanwhile, I’m strangely optimistic regarding 2023. I think they have it in them to be good. And at some point luck has to show up with injuries, etc. Doesn’t it?
  9. jkcarew
    The magic the ‘87 Twins had going for them is completely encapsulated by the following… 1 - only need to win one playoff series to get to the WS 2 - Tom Kelly 3- Jack Clark’s injury. I see this team more like the ‘86 Twins. Just a piece or two missing. I think that’s fantasy enough. (I also was at G7. Offered to buy tickets at the start of the ALCS by an ‘insider’. Didn’t have the extra cash, so signed up for 3 WS G7 tickets. No way did I think I’d end up having to pay. Visa. Ended up taking my Mom who was the person who hooked me on the Twins…HUGE fan. She’s long since gone. But what a memory!)
  10. jkcarew
    1a, Larnach 1b, Ober 3, Garlick
  11. jkcarew
    My guess is the pitching is going to be ‘ok’ from here. But, the only way I see the stretch being fun from a competitive standpoint is if Buxton gets healthy-er…and Correa gets hot. Otherwise, for me, it’s Arraez and the new (trade) guys and the new (young) guys…getting a sense for where they fit in the near future.
  12. jkcarew
    I mean, that lineup (Angels) stars every game gagging on a face full of pillow. A pitcher just needs to hold it there for a bit. But, to his credit, Mahle reacted accordingly…didn’t play around much…pretty aggressive, fairly efficient. Encouraging.
  13. jkcarew
    Interesting article. I think you have to look over several years to get meaningful data here. The sample sizes are just too small within one season. I think it explains how a team might be underachieving in a given year when their best players have poor results with RISP/RISP-2. But, it doesn’t say much about how those same players will perform (relative to their norm) in those situations over their careers.
  14. jkcarew
    Bobby Darwin. Just never know what you’re going to get in the ‘ole game thread. It’s a box of chocolates.
  15. jkcarew
    Willie Norwood?? If so, that flash was more like a half MONTH. And the month was February.
  16. jkcarew
    Got a little Puckett in him in that he swings at pretty much anything and everything…and you’d think pitchers would take advantage of that, but so far, no.
  17. jkcarew
    Beware the “toolsy” high school first rounder. In his defense, he’s still 23 and just getting started given the injuries, etc.
  18. jkcarew
    Byron Adam Dunn Buxton. Except Buxton has fewer walks. And fewer stolen bases.
  19. jkcarew
    I’m thinking the apple fell directly under the tree.
  20. jkcarew
    At some point you might encourage tanking…but yes, I think there’s room to tweak the drafts. The point is, there are ways to try to impact competitive balance beyond salary caps. I’d love to see a cap/floor system, but not holding my breath. Instead, drafts, maybe divisional alignments, maybe more aggressive revenue sharing…maybe a little of all of the above?
  21. jkcarew
    I think this “a” problem for MLB…but, IMO, doesn’t ‘break’ things all by itself. I think there are other significant issues that are hurting the game just as much or more.
  22. jkcarew
    I’m not so sure about that. But even if so, that makes this specific issue 50% the unions fault…they could offer the cap, and see if that gets them the floor. The union has never made that a priority, because union leadership has never wanted the cap…and probably rightfully so. It’s pretty easy to argue the cap hurts the bottom 80% of a roster much more than the top 20%. IMO, the union should be pressing for a way to get much more aggressive revenue sharing. (Admittedly harder to administrate/enforce).
  23. jkcarew
    I still think it’s a bit questionable that the FO chose this year to be so (relatively speaking) aggressive, Yes, they were in first place, but clearly demonstrating no signs of being a serious contender, trending in the wrong direction at time of trades, and seriously hamstrung by injuries. IMO, the best thing that can be said of these trades is that they should, at least theoretically, also make the 2023 club better. And for that reason, I endorse them.
  24. jkcarew
    I’ve been critical of Buxton, but I wouldn’t say he’s having a bad year. I’ve been critical of Rocco/FO, but I don’t know they are handling Buxton’s situation wrong, at least currently…and if this is “chronic”, which it sounds like. Buxton has never been a great hitter. His mid 800’s OPS is good…about as good as he’s going to be over larger samples…and it really hasn’t nosedived over this past month of being ‘more’ hurt and playing less. With regard to DL…it’s not like Kirilloff or even Larnach/Celestino/Cave are down in AAA. Currently, next in line is Contreras…so…is 2-3 days a week of Buxton DH’ing and playing a random/emergency inning of CF more valuable than having Contreras available 7 days a week? Probably yes. Same could be said regarding an idling Kepler. Might change when Larnach and Garlick come back?
  25. jkcarew
    Awkward landing on a jump. smh It’s a hopeless situation with Buxton. He’s clearly incapable of playing a season in the field. So, you get him as a full-time DH…or you get him for a half a season (probably both) Either way he’s a nice to have not a great to have. In May I thought this an incredibly deep team. But it’s becoming comical. Just too many guys out.
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