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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    Was Larnach as good as Diaz in the Southern League? Or the Florida State League?
  2. jkcarew
    Worried about a 1.5 game lead, and Twins end day with a 5.5 game lead, instead. Fun day to be Twins fan, to say the least!
  3. jkcarew
    Kind of Symmetrical. Very early in the season before everyone caught fire (it seemed like everyone), it was Polanco who carried us. Now, at the very end...again?
  4. jkcarew
    Let's not rip Ted for leaving the two best hitting season in the organization (even Larnach wasn't that close) completely off his ballot. Let's instead rip Ted for his first two choices: 65 games worth of Rooker...and Wiel, who ranked 9th on his own team in OPS (players with at least 100 PA). 3rd on his own team if you want the threshold to be 300PA...but that would easily eliminate Rooker
  5. jkcarew
    I would suggest that cause and affect might be confused here. I think others have stated it... Eddie doesn't "choose" to swing. He swings. Pitchers have adjusted to throw fewer pitches in the strike zone to him...because he and the new ball were exacting a heavy price for that...and because they've learned (or been reminded) that he'll swing at any pitch. If you (or anyone with the numbers) told me that Eddie was seeing/taking materially more pitches per PA early in the season than he is now...I'd feel more encouraged that he could make a quick adjustment to get back to that.
  6. jkcarew
    Hard to come to the conclusion that in-game management is a strength of Rocco's...so far. Last night, was one of the more bizarre examples of that (although, I doubt it impacted the outcome).
  7. jkcarew
    “The Twins are as good as the Yankees in 2019 and establishing that during the ALDS would go a long way for the sake of momentum.” No, they aren’t. Not by any even modestly objective measure. I do agree they match up better against the Yankees and could pull off the upset...if they get healthy...and if they get there.
  8. jkcarew
    Well deserved!
  9. jkcarew
    I’d have to look at the Tampa/Oakland schedules. Twins have a 4-game lead on Cleveland, have a difficult matchup tomorrow, then 3 games against Cleveland (to whom they’re lost 5 of the last 7)...and are very clearly limping to the finish line both in terms of health and performance. Meanwhile, Chicago, at least, has proven capable of winning a series against the Twins. And that was when the Twins were much healthier than they are now.
  10. jkcarew
    Cruz walked twice. Obviously not going to get anything to hit with nobody hitting behind him. Sadly, Rosario qualifies as nobody since about June...then Astudillo and Adrianza. No reason to do anything with Cruz other than to see if he’ll chase.
  11. jkcarew
    Unlikely that the Twins miss the playoffs, but not nearly that unlikely. Those probabilities don’t account for the lineups the Twins are currently trotting out there.
  12. jkcarew
    I'm with you...mostly. I agree with the sentiment that the numbers can't be interpreted in terms of where they would fit historically. About every record related to HRs is falling...most overall, most by a team, most in a month, most by a rookie in his first X games, most by a player before his 21st birthday...ad nauseam. Still, I don't expect the 2019 team number to have much permanence. Two reasons. One, I don't think it's JUST the ball. Two, I think MLB very much wants the HRs. I think they see it as "well, if batting averages are going to be low, and strike-outs are going to be high, we need lots of home runs". And since the BA and K trends don't seem to be easing up any time soon, I'm not expecting MLB to be in any kind of a hurry to inhibit the HR trend...including materially 'correcting' the baseball.
  13. jkcarew
    'Raided' implies a scenario where another company/organization comes in and 'steals' the employee by overpaying to have that person perform the same job/responsibilities for the raiding organization. I think what is meant in the article...and what is more realistic in the real world...is that these people would receive new opportunities with added responsibilities...promotions...in new organizations. I see that in the case of the first two. But, what is the scenario for Rowson leaving? For a hitting coach to MLB manager promotion? I guess maybe a team could offer him an 'assistant manager - hitting' title with a hefty raise? Unlikely. I think hitting coach is a position you leave if you choose to change the direction of your career...or, more often, when you're fired.
  14. jkcarew
    Bingo. Molitor provided offense that easily justified being used as corner guy and/or a DH. It's possible, but certainly questionable, that Buxton would attain/sustain a sufficient level of offensive performance to keep him in the league (or at least make him valuable) in that scenario. The best bet for him is to 'simply' play as many games as a center-fielder as he can in the next handful of years. And therein lies the dilemma.
  15. jkcarew
    I think it's very meaningful that the Twins finally have fielded a team that can hit HR's at a rate at/near the top of the league. It's an important part of being able to consistently win games. Especially in this era, where opponents WILL hit HR's. Do I care about the record? Not in the least. Between the evolving approaches to hitting, and complicit acts of MLB (balls, new parks, etc.), the record was always destined to last about a day and a half.
  16. jkcarew
    Well, that was encouraging! And important, given the matchups aren't too friendly the next two games. I think I'd rather have rain than Strasburg and Corbin against this Twins lineup at this particular point in time. We'll see.
  17. jkcarew
    He's an example of how WAR can overvalue given extreme/questionable defensive data. His bWAR is within 0.5 of Cruz right now. No. Nevertheless, he COULD be special with relatively modest, but consistent improvement in his offensive game...and he showed real signs of moving in that direction this year. But, for 2020 and beyond, the Twins need to be coming up with 3 legitimate major-league outfielders not named Buxton. Does that mean you part ways? Not necessarily. Does it mean you're forced to show more patience/commitment with Rosario than you would otherwise? Maybe. But one way or the other, as a FO, you wouldn't be doing your job if you simply assumed he'd be your every-day center fielder moving forward.
  18. jkcarew
    He’ll be 31 next year with less than 900 career innings on his arm. I do think there are obvious questions regarding his conditioning and his body holding up...and those questions were there before this incident.
  19. jkcarew
    Why would age make a difference? And how does Pineda’s missed time due to injuries make this worse? They both made very bad decisions that hurt their team. The fact that this hurts worse than Polanco’s incident is incidental, IMO...and something that Polonco could not have known when he did his thing.
  20. jkcarew
    So Polanco gets a break because he calculated that the team probably wouldn’t be good, so it was worth the chance? (I know you aren’t necessarily making that argument.)
  21. jkcarew
    So, if you don’t want Pineda back in 2020 based on morals, you must really hate having Polanco on the team. And if you don’t want him back because you think his performance will collapse coming off the suspension, then you’ve ignored Polanco. I think you’re entitled to either opinion. But I don’t share either.
  22. jkcarew
    I think the rankings are influenced by the draft position...at least until the player does something that draws attention. Ober was a 12th-round pick out of a small college...but, he's now drawn attention. I speculate he'll start showing up in some top 20 lists this off-season. At age 23 (now 24), Pensacola was the first stop were Ober was younger than the competition. You like to see "top-ish" prospects succeed against the older guys at some point. Very encouraging.
  23. jkcarew
    Better, but less likely....get hot in the 5-game to knock off the Yankees...and the Astros somehow get upset on the other side. (Or if you like, get hot/lucky against the Astros in the ALDS, and the Yankees are upset on the other side.) Meanwhile, the Dodgers lose the NL pennant...to someone other than an experienced and hot Cubs club...and probably someone other than the Nations, as well. No team is simply going to walk through all three of Houston, the Yankees, and the Dodgers. In a theoretical world where all the ‘best of the rest’ (either league) had to face that gauntlet, I’d give the Twins and the Nationals the best chance...but, no.
  24. jkcarew
    Not really, right? They’re similar...except Yelich hits the ball harder...and significantly more consistently to all fields. Yelich was posting 120-130 wRC+ numbers as a 23 and 24 year old with modest (even very modest) HR rates. Meanwhile, Max is posting a 123 wRC+ at age 26...and it’s extremely dependent upon the ball flying over the fence at a high rate. Max is Max. Which is very good...especially considering his solid defense and team-friendly contract. And yes, he still seems to be getting better.
  25. jkcarew
    No question the Odorizzi and Pineda acquisitions have worked out very well. And I'm not expecting the good results this fast, I'm hoping. Given the situation the club is in, having one or two internal options emerge...and emerge soon...as a legitimate 1-4 (ok...2-4) might be 'required' for 2020-2022 to work out the way we want.
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