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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    I get the upside. But he turned 18 yesterday. Given where the Twins are, it seems to me that the only way you can make a pick like this...is if you REALLY hated the college arms. Toolsy, might hit. Did we need another one of those?
  2. jkcarew
    Well, Cavaco turned 18 yesterday, and Miranda is OPS'ing .627 as a 21 year-old in a league that Sano OPS'd 1.079 as a 20 year-old. I'll be pulling for Sano to hang at 3rd for a few more years yet.
  3. jkcarew
    It's obvious they've literally told clubs to take 10 minutes between picks for the TV show. No trades to be made, etc....predictable start...just waiting for the TV scripts to play out. It's not working. Really horrible TV viewing. I'll be checking in on my phone from here on out .
  4. jkcarew
    Division rivals picking up next: 2, 3, and 5. The other 364 days of the year I enjoy how bad the division is.
  5. jkcarew
    Ugh. Bad memories. So bad, I had to go look. Know what's unbelievable? That McCarty appeared in 632 games. 632 games as a .676 OPS'ing first baseman (and horrific corner outfielder). That's what being drafted number 3 overall does for you. People will give you about 630 more changes than you deserve.
  6. jkcarew
    Nice to see Kirilloff heating up and Rooker back (and of course Cruz). No hits for Rortvedt today..but threw out the only attempted steal, AND picked a runner off first. Lewis’s slow start has given way...to a truly horrible middle. Last 16 games: slashing .167/.203/.333 (.536). 2/25 BB/K (36% K rate)
  7. jkcarew
    Win a game against a good team when things aren’t necessarily breaking your way. Nice. Good Jose showed up in the nick of time, and the offense scrapped and did just enough. Sano’s been robbed here before...he’ll have to figure out a way to get even.
  8. jkcarew
    I remember Cody having Diaz ranked WAY higher than anyone else (including me) early last winter in the prospect ratings. Big tip of the hat. Twins need to push him now. Have to see this year what he can do at the AA level, I would think. Rortvedt threw out another base stealer last night as well. Now thrown out 14 of 24 on the year.
  9. jkcarew
    I reject out of hand the author's narrative of... "Buxton was the guy who put in all the effort and had plenty of hurdles placed in his way. Sano was the talented slugger that looked to rely on that alone." So, Buxton is fit and fast, therefore he's a tireless worker who's faced a bunch of bad luck, he gets hurt because he's unlucky...Sano should be able to hit every pitch 800 feet, but he can't because he's overweight and doesn't work hard, he gets hurt because he's out of shape. It's a narrative that keeps popping up here from time-to-time. It's purely speculative, and as such, based on personal prejudices for/against the players. It's one of 1000 reasons/examples that demonstrate why I try to base conclusions based on the way the player plays the game...what I can see, not what I can't see or can't know.
  10. jkcarew
    Okay. That’s my favorite Twins game in years.
  11. jkcarew
    Good game. Best to separate from the Brewers before the 8th inning. After that, they're going to have the advantage in most games and against almost all opponents.
  12. jkcarew
    Very happy for Devin Smeltzer! It seems likely that the Pineda move was executed, in large part, to take advantage of the upcoming off days to push all starters back a day (not just Perez). It puts them in a position to go with 4 fresh starters for the next couple of weeks...and also gives Pineda time to work on whatever physical things he needs to. It's the type of move that can pay dividends down the line, and the type of decision made easier with the confidence of a 10-game lead heading into June.
  13. jkcarew
    Yeah. I won’t bite, either. Essentially asking how we think this team will project through the playoffs. After one-third of the season, we don’t know.
  14. jkcarew
    Wasn’t Rooker back for one game? Now out again?
  15. jkcarew
    The bullpen ERA is 16th in the league. You exclude names that have failed, including failed in leverage situations (e.g., Hildenberger) and include names that have barely pitched, and/or seen zero leverage. Thanks to a strong start to the season by the starters, the bullpen is basically the least used (or most rested, if you prefer). And thanks to the offense, the bullpen has seen less leverage than any in baseball. The Twins bullpen is among the lowest in in baseball for win-probability added, and among the best in least win-probability subtracted. Again, they've seen astonishingly low leverage situations. I'd go with an assessment of 'incomplete' rather than 'strong and sturdy'.
  16. jkcarew
    For about a month now, Gonzalez showing why I thought he might be a good signing at the time. Of course, the argument to 'simply' keep/extend Escobar is as strong as ever (he's having a great year)...but, once they didn't, seems Gonzalez was a good choice given how this roster has shaped up.
  17. jkcarew
    The baseball gods are clearly pissed at us for indulging in all that major-league glee.
  18. jkcarew
    Thanks for posting, Spy. The radio broadcast today had hinted at some injuries, but I hadn't got the details. Between the injuries and the performance, it's almost as if the baseball gods are punishing us for all the major-league glee. Ouch.
  19. jkcarew
    This seems very plausible. And my first reaction to Seth's comments above that he thinks Lewis still may be promoted to AA after the FSL all-star game...was how can they promote him as he's struggling so significantly at the A+ level? But, to your point, if he's still strong mentally/emotionally...it might be good for the overall development that he 'fails as hard/fast as possible', and begins making the necessary adjustments.
  20. jkcarew
    Refreshing to see how Littell finished the game. Good for him. Berrios is having a strange year, IMO. Giving up hits at a materially higher rate than last year...and striking out fewer hitter. But the extra hits must be mostly singles as the HR rate hasn't increased. And he's making up for the extra hits with a significantly lower BB rate. My take is, that he often hasn't had great control of his curve ball, and is determined to challenge hitters in the strike zone with fastballs rather than give up walks. He might be a small adjustment from being better than we've ever seen him. He strikes me as a bit of a throw-back...where he doesn't care what his numbers are or what he looks like, as long as his team gets the W. I like that.
  21. jkcarew
    I agree, his ability to get on base via the walk is a bit uncanny...especially when you consider he is slugging 299. Usually pitchers will do everything but lob the ball underhanded to avoid walking guys that slug 299. That’s slugging 40 points lower in the International League (a league with the juiced ball) than Ehire Adrianza is slugging in the majors this year.
  22. jkcarew
    At what point is it acceptable to acknowledge Lewis is having a disappointing season? He started slow. And now has hit .175 in his most recent 10 games, while striking out 13 times and walking twice. Has now played in about the same number of games at Fort Myers in 2019 as he did in 2018, and has regressed offensively across the board. Haven’t heard or read much on how the defense at short is coming along.
  23. jkcarew
    “(Graterol’s) been absurdly dominant in Double-A.” It’s a narrative that is getting kinda out of hand. Is he doing really well...great for a 20 year old? Yes. Meanwhile, Smeltzer, Poppen, Alcala all have better FIP and K/9 at Pensacola as starters. And then there’s Stashak. Graterol’s ERA benefiting from unsustainably low BABiP. So, if we’re going to continue with the Graterol is dominant in AA narrative we at least need to acknowledge the other ‘dominant’ performers there.
  24. jkcarew
    There really is no bite to this question without context of what you're getting in return. For the right return, I'd trade anybody. Generically, the best I can go with is that middle infield and corner outfield seem to be the areas of depth in the system. It would help if Gordon can sustain his health, Javier could get healthy, and Lewis could dig out of whatever it is that's happening with him at Fort Myers this year.
  25. jkcarew
    “On the league-leading average, he’s got just a .372 BABIP which also suggests that nothing is out of whack in that vein.” Maybe not completely out of whack, but 372 is a good margin higher than anything he’s been able to sustain before. Still, if teams continue to shift him, I think maybe he could sustain that.
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