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Everything posted by twins_89

  1. Has the Falvey regime developed a starter (and by developed, I mean that the player was in the Twins farm system for more than one season) that has pitched 150 innings in the majors? I thought about it and wasn't able to come up with any starters who meet that criterion (Ober and Dobnak are both under 130 innings). Am I forgetting anybody?
  2. Bunday and Archer have been solid signings, but if things had gone better for the organization I think both would have been out of the rotation by July. Injuries to Paddack, Ober, and Winder have really hurt the team. In addition, having none of Balazovic, Woods Richardson, or Canterino pushing for a spot has been a big disappointment. Bundy/Archer have been fine as the 4/5 starters, I just wish that better options had made them expendable.
  3. My guess is that in the next couple of weeks the Twins will fall to 5+ games back in the standings at which point they will shut down Buxton. After that things will get worse, and they will finish 3rd in the AL Central (well out of the playoff picture with a record below .500).
  4. At this point, my guess would be that the Twins have 50/50 odds of making the playoffs. I'd rate the Twins as being roughly on par with the Blue Jays, Mariners, Orioles, Rays, Guardians, and White Sox. I view any 3-game playoff series against those teams as a toss-up. Unfortunately, when it comes to the top teams (Yankees, Astros, Dodgers, and Mets), I think the most likely outcome is the Twins getting swept (with a best case of winning 1 game in a series). To date during the regular season against the Yankees/Astros/Mets, the Twins are 1-8 with the majority of the losses being crushing blowouts.
  5. I think the judgement on Correa could still go either way. If Correa gets hot for the last 54 games and the Twins make the playoffs, his signing will look OK. If he struggles to hit and the team misses the postseason, he will land on the growing list of Twins free agent signings who have been significantly worse than expected.
  6. It's been really great to see Gordon go from being a DFA candidate to a legitimate major league player. If he can improve his outfield defense, he could have a lock on the utility role for the next 5 years with a chance at becoming an everyday player.
  7. I still look at the chances of Correa opting in as extremely remote, likely only happening if he suffers a significant injury before the end of the season. With that said, I would be perfectly happy for him to opt in for one more year where he knows he needs to improve his performance to get paid. I think the Twins are in a good position as long as they don't give him a huge long-term contract,
  8. I'm not sure why Moran is in the minors. It seems extremely likely he would do a better job than Pagan or Duffey.
  9. And won the game in the 11th. They are now 0.5 games back (or 0.0 if the Twins don't score).
  10. About the only way it would work is if Buxton hits for Sanchez, and then Hamilton replaces Byron and takes over catching (at which point there is no one left on the bench).
  11. Only 10 pitches for Duran, hopefully that means he can pitch the 10th if needed.
  12. The day before the trade deadline in a close game that matters for the standings, the Twins late inning outfield is Tim Beckham, Nick Gordon, and Mark Contreras. It's pretty clear that something has gone disasterously wrong.
  13. Coming into the year I strongly believed that the pitching pipeline would either boom or bust this season. Based on the lack of offseason moves, it seemed like the front office was betting heavily on the pipeline producing, unfortunately we ended up with the bust side of the equation. The only starting pitcher to have sustained success has been Joe Ryan, and he wasn't even developed by the organization. Every other starting pitcher prospect has eithert been hurt or terrible.
  14. One one hand, I really like Rodon and think he'd be a great addition. On the other hand, he can opt out after the season, so he is basically a rental. Another factor is that I believe Rodon would get a qualifying offer from the Giants (something a team acquiring him can't do), so any trade package will be increased to account for the lost draft capital. I suspect the rental price will just be to steep in a year where the playoffs are looking iffy at best.
  15. Calling the Twins an obvious playoff team seems like a stretch. There's a very real chance that on trade deadline day the Twins won't be a playoff team based on the current standings.
  16. I was talking about going the wrong direction during the current season. At the start of the year the Twins looked like a legitimate playoff team, but as the year has progressed they have very clearly been getting worse (mainly due to a severe lack of pitching).
  17. I've no idea what the Twins plan to do at the trade deadline, but the notion that the team has to buy because they are in first place is crumbling fast. As of tonight the Twins have a 1 game lead over Cleveland, and if they get passed they wouldn't even be in the lead for a wild card spot (they would be completely out of the playoffs based on the current standings). Looking at the team's trajectory there isn't a lot of cause for optimism since the franchise seems to be pretty clearly going in the wrong direction.
  18. If Duran appears in the 8th inning and throws over 30 pitches (so he won't be able to pitch the 9th), the Twins tend to be completely screwed.
  19. It's amazing how many games the Twins have lost due the need for at least one more competent late innings reliever.
  20. A sign that things are not going well is when after giving up a 4 run inning, the general consensus is that we were lucky it wasn't much worse.
  21. I think for Sano the decision that he won't be back next season is pretty much made. The only real question is whether he can hit enough to help the team win in the coming weeks. The most frustrating thing about Sano is that he has a history of being great at the plate for a couple of months at a time. I would expect they will give him at least a few weeks to see if he can get on one of his hot streaks and if not he's probably gone.
  22. Compared to past Falvey 1st round picks like Cavaco or Sabato, Brooks Lee is a home run. I have rarely been a fan of the current front office in terms of their 1st round picks, but this is a selection I'm extremely happy with. The last time I thought the team made a great 1st round pick was Larnach in 2018.
  23. They sent Kirilloff down to get on track, and at this point I think it's hard to argue that he hasn't earned a promotion. Over the last 30 days (plus his ABs so far in today's game), Kirilloff has hit 10 HR with a 1.236 OPS in 95 ABs. That's an extended stretch of pretty clearly being too good for the level.
  24. I think you are underestimating the trade value of Correa by quite a bit. Also, I'm skeptical that there would be any issues with players or fans since everyone knows Correa's time with the Twins was always destined to be very short.
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