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When the Twins moved on from Gio Urshela this offseason, it meant the hot corner was going to be handed over to Jose Miranda. Alex Kirilloff and Joey Gallo would handle the bulk of work at first base, and Carlos Correa was back to take over the shortstop role. At third, Miranda has been better defensively, but the production at the dish has left plenty to be desired.
Miranda finished 2022 with a 116 OPS+, which is more than fine in and of itself. However, the .651 OPS over his final 45 games as opponents adjusted to him too numbers down by a significant amount. Working on his body, and knowing the big-league level more, an offseason of preparation was expected to pay dividends.
We’re still early in the 2023 season, but Miranda’s .244/.301/.267 current line represents a brutal .568 OPS. In nearly 100 at-bats he has just two doubles to his name, and batting in the middle of the order, that simply isn’t going to get it done.
So what’s wrong?
From a high level overview, basically everything. Miranda’s Statcast profile shows more of what is happening rather than what part of the process needs reworking. When at his best, there are so many categories that can be red for the Twins third baseman, but right now there isn’t much of it to be seen.

A bit more under the hood we can find some answers. First, there is some bad luck happening. Miranda’s xwOBA sits at .286 while he has just a .247 wOBA through his first 21 games. He’s actually striking out less than last year, and drawing more walks, so it’s not exactly a discipline issue. His xBA is also .255, which checks in two points higher than it finished a year ago.
From an exit velocity standpoint, Miranda is generating a similar level of hard hit contact. That signifies he is making good contact when putting the bat on the ball. One of the first issues that jumps out though, is how he is putting the ball in play. With a 50% ground ball rate, he’s throwing away so much of how he generally finds success, and he’s giving opposing defenses more easy opportunities to convert batted balls into outs.
Nothing about how Miranda is being attacked suggests that opposing pitchers have made substantial changes. If anything, it’s in what Miranda is currently going after that is holding him back. He is chasing a bit less than last season which is a good thing, but he is making less contact both inside and outside of the zone. His whiff rate is only slightly elevated, but finding himself in negative counts means that Miranda is often faced with the need to hit out of a pitcher’s preferred sequence.
Hitting is difficult, and poor weather makes things that much more troublesome. Miranda is certainly aware of his results right now, and for a guy looking to surpass his power numbers from a season ago, he’ll dial things in as the season goes on. You’d certainly rather have a playing going through a rough patch than seem to have a broken process, and that’s where this situation stands at the moment.







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