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In early July, your 2025 Minnesota Twins traveled to South Florida to begin a three-game series against Peter Bendix's up-and-coming Miami Marlins. Minnesota ultimately lost the series two games to one, falling victim to incredible starts by hard-throwing budding stars in Edward Cabrera and Eury Pérez. Yet, something potentially more consequential arose from the club's disappointing three-game set in Miami: a shift in how manager Rocco Baldelli is approaching first base.
Entering the season, offseason addition Ty France projected to be the club's primary starting baseman. It's largely played out that way, with the 31-year-old netting 83 of the club's 96 starts at the position. Yet, since the beginning of the Miami series on Jul. 1, early-season addition Kody Clemens has started six games at first base, which is only one fewer than France.
Now, Clemens receiving more opportunities at first base than France could have merely been the product of Baldelli attempting to get the platoon advantage by deploying the left-handed hitting Clemens against right-handed starting pitchers, as the club faced only one left-handed starting pitcher (Shota Imanaga on Jul. 8). Yet, given the significant difference in the two veterans' recent performance at the plate, there is reason to believe Clemens has usurped France as the club's primary starting first baseman. Here is how the two bats have performed since Jul. 1:
- France - .080/.148/.120, 27 plate appearances, two hits, one double, zero home runs, one walk, 22.2% strikeout rate, -26 wRC+
- Clemens - .261/.261/.652, 23 plate appearances, six hits, zero doubles, three home runs, zero walks, 34.8% strikeout rate, 148 wRC+
Despite being a more disciplined hitter, France has been significantly outproduced since the beginning of July. Clemens outperforming France at the plate has been a consistent trend since the former Philadelphia Phillie made his first appearance as a Twin on Apr. 28. He has a 125 wRC+ over 163 plate appearances, compared to France's 87 wRC+ over 242 plate appearances during the same stretch.
An interesting statistic that distinguishes Clemens from France is his ability to perform significantly better than France in low- and medium-leverage situations, which typically occur during the first six to seven innings of games. Since joining Minnesota, Clemens has generated a 94 wRC+ over 80 low-leverage plate appearances, compared to France running a 59 wRC+ over 150 low-leverage plate appearances during that same stretch. France's performance improves during medium-leverage situations, to a 98 wRC+ over 111 plate appearances. Yet, Clemens again outperforms him, earning a 145 wRC+ over 68 plate appearances.
Now, what differentiates France from nearly every MLB batter is that he effectively turns into Cal Raleigh during high-leverage scenarios, generating a 200 wRC+ over 30 high-leverage plate appearances since the beginning of his 2025 campaign and an even more surprising 214 wRC+ in 18 high-leverage scenarios since Clemens joined the club. Interestingly, Clemens also essentially turns into Raleigh in high-leverage scenarios since joining Minnesota, netting a similarly improbable 203 wRC+ over 15 plate appearances. These samples are tiny and (on their own) meaningless, but this is something France has done throughout his career.
A player's ability to be clutch is largely random, and neither France nor Clemens (nor any MLB player for that matter) possesses a unique clutch gene, per se. Yet, both have been incredible in high-leverage scenarios for Minnesota. The separator between them is that Clemens has been solidly above-average the rest of the time, too, whereas France is quite poor unless the game is on the line.
Again, there is value in being able to produce in high-leverage scenarios. However, one's ability to produce in those scenarios is highly volatile. That being the case, with Clemens performing 41% better than France in low- and medium-leverage situations (the majority of every position player's plate appearances) while not being a significant dropoff defensively, there is reason to believe he could receive more playing time at first base than the former Mariner over the second half of the season. Clemens's versatility will enable Baldelli to still use him at second base and in the corner outfield as future platoon matchups, injuries, and performance concerns arise. Still, don't be surprised if he continues to receive more opportunities than France at first base as the club resumes play on July 18 against the Colorado Rockies.
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