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The Twins have seen several outfielders leave the organization since 2020, and in that time, they have kept a struggling and deep-declining Max Kepler. Who are these outfielders the Twins let go over the last three years, and how have their careers been over the last three seasons?
Jake Cave
The Twins put Cave on the waiver wire at the end of the 2022 season and after the Baltimore Orioles grabbed him and did the same, he ended up with the Philadelphia Phillies.
Cave saw some playing time with the Phillies early this season playing in 20 games for them but didn’t provide much offensive production as a fourth outfielder. His numbers at Triple-A have been an entirely different story as he’s torn up pitching at that level posting a triple slash of .374/.454/.728 and an OPS of 1.181 with 10 home runs and 38 runs batted in across 36 games.
While these are numbers from Cave’s production at Triple-A, they’re still better than any 36-game stretch Kepler has had since 2019, and his 20 games in the Majors are still that of a fourth outfielder. He hit .222/.286/.333 with a .619 OPS in 63 at-bats, and while Kepler has had better stretches of 20 games than this
Rob Refsnyder
Refsnyder became a full-time outfielder while he was with the Twins in 2021 after every other man who could play center field got hurt. Refsnyder parted ways with the Twins at the end of that season and has become a bench player for the Boston Red Sox in the two seasons since.
There he’s played the most games he has with any franchise in his career at 102 and has proven to be versatile in his role with the team. Refsnyder has accumulated a triple slash of .296/.399/.451 and a .849 OPS with seven home runs and 42 runs batted in 295 plate appearances with the Red Sox over the last season and a half.
In Kepler's last 102 games dating from June 18, 2022 to June 18, 2023, Kepler has had a .201/.278/.328 triple slash and a .605 OPS with 10 home runs and 33 runs batted in across 348 at-bats.
Brent Rooker
Rooker had a chance to show some of his talents with the Twins as their 2021 season crumbled in the latter half. He didn’t get anywhere near the same playing time in 2022 after being traded to the Padres a day before the season started, and later playing in 14 games with the Royals after the Padres designated him for assignment.
Rooker is now a member of the Oakland Athletics, has seen the majority of his games at DH, but has still played 25 of his 65 games in outfield. In the first month of the 2023 season, Rooker was a whole new ball player as he had a .353/.465/.779 (1.245), nine home runs, and 22 runs batted in. Rooker slumped at the plate after the month of May hitting only two home runs, driving in 10 and posting a .198./.290/.327 (.616).
Rooker has been hitting slightly better in June than he did in May and his numbers during the month of April top every month of a season Max Kepler has had since 2020 in those statistical categories. While trading Rooker away is starting to look bad now, the place where he is shining into his potential as a player is much more needed in Oakland with a fan base dealing with much worse circumstances.
Eddie Rosario
He may not have had the best strike-zone judgment, but his hitting abilities over the last three season has landed him an NLCS MVP and a World Series ring.
Rosario’s 2022 season was bad. He played in only 80 games and hit well below league average, .212/.259/.328 (.587). This season has been another story at least. In 61 games, he’s been back to his regular self posting a .256/.294/.479 (.773) with 11 home runs and 31 runs batted in.
The full season totals since 2021 though show a different picture as Rosario has a .246/.291/.423 triple slash and 91 wRC+ to Kepler's .214/.304/.379 triple slash with a 92 wRC+.
LaMonte Wade Jr.
When the Giants acquired LaMonte Wade Jr. from the Twins in 2021, he was coming in as a fourth outfielder on the roster. Three years later, he’s now their everyday first baseman and successor to Brandon Belt.
Wade Jr. is fulfilling the potential he showed as a prospect in the Twins farm system years ago. He ranks second in the big leagues this season in on-base-percentage (.416) to his old teammate, Luis Arraez (.440). His OPS+ this season is at 145, which is good enough to place him ninth-best in the National League.
Even with the positional change, Wade Jr. joins this group as showing much more production in 67 games at the plate this season than the Twins have seen from Kepler over the last three years.
Looking at it all now, the majority of these six players who have left the Twins outfield core over the last three years have had month-long or career-best stretches that eclipse any offensive production Kepler has shown in the last three years combined.
Over 281 games since 2021, Kepler has a .215 batting average, a .305 on-base percentage, a .380 slugging percentage, and a .685 OPS. That places him below average in all these categories. His highest OPS+ in the last three years hasn’t even reached the league average of 100, falling two points short at 98.
While many of these players provide positive what-ifs from their performances since leaving Minnesota. There’s no telling if they would have replicated the same results staying here. Either way, it may be safe to say that Refsnyder, Rooker, Rosario, and Wade Jr. would have been safe bets to keep than Kepler at this point.
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