Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    The Rise and Fall of Miguel Sano


    Nick Nelson

    I've never cared much about the Home Run Derby. In the past I might have watched it in passing, with Chris Berman's grating 'back-back-back' calls muted, but it's never been destination viewing for me.

    Last year, that changed. After running a baseball practice on a Monday evening in July, I raced home to catch the majority of the event. Following his breakout first half for the Twins, I needed to see Miguel Sano's majestic power on the national stage.

    Boy did he deliver. And boy, does that night – somehow less than one year ago – now feel like a distant memory, as Sano's ensuing regression has led him back-back-back to Single-A.

    Image courtesy of Rick Osentoski, USA Today

    Twins Video

    At Marlins Park, no one could keep up with Aaron Judge and his inhuman display of strength. But Sano came close. He edged Mike Moustakas and Gary Sanchez before facing off against Judge in the final round of the Derby, ultimately coming up a little short.

    The view from Minnesota was blindingly bright. As Sano leisurely slugged baseballs far beyond Miami's outfield walls, he grinned and reveled in the moment, looking as natural in the spotlight as he always had. Having carried into the All-Star break 21 homers and a .906 OPS, there he was, alongside Judge, two young stars of the game basking in their glory.

    The best part? It seemed as though we were only scratching the surface. Sano was a year younger than Judge – still just a 24-year-old gaining comfort and familiarity with major-league pitching.

    The sky was the limit. But instead, the sky has fallen.

    Sano's collapse has spanned three dimensions: his performance, his physical condition, and his attitude. While it's tough to know exactly how to weigh each individually, it seems clear that all three are problematic, which helps explains the organization's drastic reparative measure.

    PERFORMANCE

    Since the 2017 All-Star break, Sano has batted .206 and slugged .416, striking out at a 40% rate while watching his once-pristine walk rate drop to an utterly mediocre 7.9%. The power is still there, and occasionally evident when he manages to guess right and get a hold of one, but his approach at the plate has completely unraveled.

    Before his demotion, Sano was an immensely easy assignment for opposing pitchers, who were by then executing the "get ahead and spin it outside" formula so consistently it brought about deja vu. Defensive metrics rated his glove as terrible. He lumbered around the bases sluggishly.

    Overall, he was a sub-replacement level player.

    PHYSICAL CONDITION

    Sano's weight has been a subject of public scrutiny since at least March 2016, when Patrick Reusse called him out in the Star Tribune.

    "He is heavier this spring than last," Reusse wrote. "He is at 270-plus when the Twins were hoping to have him at 260-minus as they go forward with the plan to play him in right field."

    Oh yeah, that plan. That great, brilliantly conceived plan.

    Anyway, by the end of 2017, Sano's weight had reportedly risen to 290-plus, and he was in the same range this spring.

    Many factors have contributed to his burgeoning bulk – diet, downtime recovering from injuries, and natural genetics all likely play a role – but there's no denying the trend. Sano's size has unquestionably affected his play, and has very likely affected his ability to stay on the field.

    It's not unheard of for a player to miss six weeks due to a stress reaction (as Sano did late last year), or a month due to a hamstring injury of mysterious origin (as Sano did early this year). But for both to happen in such quick succession, for a player whose physical conditioning already had become a known issue, is conspicuous to say the least.

    When the Twins sent Sano down to Fort Myers, part of their rationale - according to Derek Falvey – was this: “We can do a lot of things with the facility we have there, around strength and conditioning and the work you can do from that side.”

    ATTITUDE

    When Reusse took Sano to task for showing up at camp larger than expected in 2016, he wasn't just reporting. He also included some insinuations and barbs, suggesting that a lack of commitment and maturity on the slugger's end were partially to blame.

    Fellow Strib columnist Jim Souhan followed suit in a similarly toned piece last August, asserting that a hefty Sano needed to show some dietary discipline.

    I'm not the only one who found these digs irksome. Never did I doubt the veracity of the reporting, in that Reusse and Souhan were relaying actual concerns that existed within the organization, but was it necessary reporting? Internal rumblings about perceived character weaknesses in the past have eventually led to some unfortunate narratives and very bad personnel decisions. It all felt very gossipy.

    Unfortunately, no one can deny that the grievances aired through Reusse and Souhan appear valid in retrospect.

    Even as someone who has tried to give Sano the benefit of doubt at every turn, I can't ignore the insurmountable evidence of a man who just doesn't get it. Whether or not these should be perceived as "character issues" varies based on who you're listening to, but without question Sano's troubles are to some extent his own doing.

    Anecdotes like this one from Mike Berardino speak well enough to that. At best, Sano has been aloof and passive at a time where he needs to be working diligently to regain an edge.

    Hopefully the latter is now occurring in Fort Myers.

    It's so strange, this state of affairs: When he was last playing for the Miracle in 2013, Sano was a rising 20-year-old superstar, posting a 1.079 OPS during a brief 56-game stint en route to Double-A. Five years later he's back there, a broken and banished oddity. On Friday night, as the surrounding Fort Myers hitters teed off for 20 hits, five homers and 14 runs around him, Sano went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts as the cleanup hitter.

    It's one game, yes, but it seems to say a whole lot.

    Perhaps down the line we'll look at this current juncture as the rock-bottom point in his playing career, instead of looking at the fleeting memory of that All Star weekend last summer as the high point.

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

     

    Does this mean those of us that were suggesting Sano's efforts were less than disarable a few weeks ago can go back to doing so without getting warning messages from mods? 

     

    Not really sarcasm.

    I was one and it was months ago, nice to see some others come around. The Twins did with Sano exactly what they should have earlier. I just hope, it's not too late

    Cave is the replacement for Grossman.  He can play all 3 outfield positions addequately.  Grossman can not.

     

    Regarding Sano, when the coach stops yelling at you, that's when you are in trouble.  It means he's given up on you.  The fact that we sent Sano down to A ball should be a very loud scream to him, but it means we haven't given up on him.  He will come back stronger or he will not be back.  No point in trading him, the return would not outweigh the potential.

     

    I was one and it was months ago, nice to see some others come around. The Twins did with Sano exactly what they should have earlier. I just hope, it's not too late

     

    Anyone with two eyes and one serving of experience in life could have discerned this problem.  The idea that this issue had nothing to do with his hitting was a big time assumption.  There was an assumption that his conditioning was not the issue, but rather it was mechanics.  Well let me tell you, conditioning effects one's attitude and ability to execute the hitting mechanics necessary to be successful.  When we are talking about the hardest thing to do in sports it could mean only two clicks on the dial off kilter. To shut down conditioning as a possible root cause would be ignorant.  The Twins commented on this right away and they are belatedly doing something about it.  Oh well

    The fact that for a period of time Buxton and Sano were the #1 and #3 prospects in all of baseball, and that now #1 just can't hit Big League pitching and #3 just can't figure out how to be a pro is about the most maddening and unbelievable turn of events in what has been a long and mostly frustrating career as a Twins fan.

     

    I agree on Morrison and Grossman.  They should go first. I'm concerned d that keeping Kepler up now may retard his development because he is getting used by MLB pitching. He's .175/.267/.301 in the last 30 games so we're beyond the small sample size problem. He just isn't getting any better and I would still argue that he's regressing. There's nothing that's happening recently that suggest he's going to come out of this funk. 

     

    Let's cut to the real problem - replace any of these guys with who exactly?  No one at AAA is doing that great except for Astudillo (replacement for Wilson?) and Ryan LaMarre who we've already seen. Promoting Gordon and/or Wade would have to be based on their AA showing.  They both are having trouble at AAA.  Granite looks over matched at AAA, and looked over matched with the Twins last year, so he's not a realistic option. Carter is 31 and not hitting and even Vargas isn't hitting in Rochester. 

     

    Bottom line, I think we should send Kepler down because I think it would be good for HIM to work on things in a lower pressure environment, not because there's someone waiting in the wings that deserves a shot. I say we lose Motter when Polanco comes back and I'm 50/50 on replacing Morrison and Grossman with some combination of Astudillo, LaMarre, Wade, Vargas or Gordon. Frankly, all the options are pretty pathetic.    

     

    30 games is absolutely still a small sample size. Also in that 30 day period his K rate and BB rate are nearly perfectly in line with career averages, but his BABIP is around .100 points lower

    Edited by alarp33

    Sano doesn't seem to care about his lack of performance or his weight. He's made enough money to go back to the DR and live like a king for the rest of his life. He seems satisfied with that. But the specter of David Ortiz hangs over him. Out-of-shape, oft-injured, under-performing guy gets dumped and comes back to haunt the team that dumped him. If the jolt of getting sent back to Class A doesn't change him maybe getting released or traded will.

     

    Buxton on the other hand seems to care too much. Lack of performance eats him up. If only their attitudes could be merged.

     

    THere was a lot of blowback about "questioning his character" when people made the observation that Sano was out of shape a few months ago.  Can that please stop?  YOu don't get out of shape working hard and being a go-getter.  I wasn't watching him this winter, but I will bet he lived a little too high on the hog this past winter and who can blame him?  He grew up with nothing and now he's enjoying the spoils of a life in the major leagues.  At least half of this is on the Twins.

     

    Remember when he got suspended for the home run trot back when he was in New Britain?  I always thought it was more about other things than him taking his time rounding the bases after a home run.  The Twins went out of their way to make a point to him for "not respecting the game" as an indirect way to send a message to him about other areas of his game.  Heaven forbid they call him out for his work ethic, or lack of a decent one.  You do that and you become someone with as much status as a Trump supporter.

     

    What is wrong with saying the kid needs to refocus and work harder?  What is wrong with telling the kid that he lost his way?  I was in my early 20s once and I needed some people to get in my face in order to keep me on the path.  No shame in that.

    We kind of go out of our way on this board of avoiding political talk.  Please respect that.

    Dump Sano and leave Buxton in the minors until such time (if ever) he can verify that in tearing it up over an established period of time he has absolutely earned another shot at major league pitching. If he doesn't, dump him, too.

    I can remember a time when with Sano, Buxton and (as a sort of after-thought) Eddie Rosario, they were considered the core of what many were calling the best minor league system in baseball--or at least one at the head of the class in potential. Twins fans patiently hung their hats on that promise. Now they're left with this.

    Miguel Sano is from a country where the average "worker" wage is about $200.00/month. He is given a signing bonus of $3mil+ and has been paid close to 5mil total counting low-mid 6 figure salary. As such he is already set for life in his home country and will always be a star there. So the real question is, what are his priorities and how much does desire does he have to excel in MLB if he actually has to work for it?

     

    No more complicated than that.

     

    Making the Twins great again lol.

    If it weren't for the Indians struggling earlier this year this year could already be "total system failure" part 2.  That being said the Indians have won 7 of their last 9 and the Twins are falling rapidly in the standings.  So by mid-July if things haven't changed this will be part 2.

     

     

     

    What is wrong with saying the kid needs to refocus and work harder?  What is wrong with telling the kid that he lost his way?  I was in my early 20s once and I needed some people to get in my face in order to keep me on the path.  No shame in that.

    Nothing at all. But that's not what was being said. What was being said was he needed to stop feeding at the buffet trough and he needed to stop being lazy and he needed to stop just expecting things to happen. Those types of character issues questions are out of bounds, because those are all speculative and disrespectful and, frankly, not helpful in finding solutions. But saying needs to refocus and figure it out and be in better condition ... absolutely. And that's what he's in Fort Myers to do. Maybe there are other issues at hand with his level of discipline, both in diet and workouts, that do feed into what he needs to change (no pun intended with the word 'feed') ... but I think those can be addressed without outright being disrespectful by saying things that I mentioned above without painting the most negative picture of his personal character.

    You are right; it can't possibly be stupid given the geniuses that run the Minnesota Twins. Only those with a true vision into the future and insight unknown to mere mortals does this move to A Ball where the competition will bring out his true ability appreciate this make sense.

     

    Unfortunately, if he hits .500 and 1 home run every 6 ABs, what does it prove? If he flops at A Ball, then what? If/when he comes back up what route does he take, straight back to the Majors or AA, AAA then majors? Then, how long of a leash once he gets back up? "Well, he has to get used to Major League pitching". (Paul Molitor or replacement. Aug. 10, 2018).

     

    The fact that for a period of time Buxton and Sano were the #1 and #3 prospects in all of baseball, and that now #1 just can't hit Big League pitching and #3 just can't figure out how to be a pro is about the most maddening and unbelievable turn of events in what has been a long a mostly frustrating career as a Twins fan.

    Especially with all their hype before even in the MLB.

    All this talk about “speculation” about Sano’s character being out of line is correct. Let’s stick with facts. He’s a way, way over weight young man. That’s a very bad thing. It affects were, if anywhere, he’ll be able to play in the field. It’s been the situation for several years. He’s now suffered a major injury and has a metal rod in his leg. This exacerbates his weight issue.

     

    What’s Sano going to do about it? We don’t know, but the Twins have gotten him into the best possible situation in which he can get his life under control. Let’s hope he does so, but it will not take too much time to figure ou haw he’d doing.

     

    Bottom line a 325 lb DH’er that smacks 40 dingers a year with 100 rbi’s Isn’t a bad thing. But a 225 lb all star 3rd basemen with a rocket arm is a whole lot better. Both are better than a 375 lb 26 year old former MLB player living in this DR.

     

    Right now I have no idea which he will choose to be.

     

    Sano doesn't seem to care about his lack of performance or his weight. He's made enough money to go back to the DR and live like a king for the rest of his life. He seems satisfied with that. But the specter of David Ortiz hangs over him. Out-of-shape, oft-injured, under-performing guy gets dumped and comes back to haunt the team that dumped him. If the jolt of getting sent back to Class A doesn't change him maybe getting released or traded will.

     

    Buxton on the other hand seems to care too much. Lack of performance eats him up. If only their attitudes could be merged.

     

    You don't know any of this.  This is the kind of post about Sano that really bothers me.  Buxton too.

     

    You know nothing about them as young men, what they think, what they care about, and how they work.  Criticizing them as people like that is quite reprehensible IMO.

     

    The fact that for a period of time Buxton and Sano were the #1 and #3 prospects in all of baseball, and that now #1 just can't hit Big League pitching and #3 just can't figure out how to be a pro is about the most maddening and unbelievable turn of events in what has been a long and mostly frustrating career as a Twins fan.

     

    #1 can't handle AAA pitching so far this year, either. And #3 can't handle high A yet, either. Oh... but let us be kind...... it is a small sample size....  :banghead:

     

    Personally, I think they both just need better, more effective coaching at the MLB level. That is the pitching they need to learn to hit.

     

    Nothing at all. But that's not what was being said. What was being said was he needed to stop feeding at the buffet trough and he needed to stop being lazy and he needed to stop just expecting things to happen. Those types of character issues questions are out of bounds, because those are all speculative and disrespectful and, frankly, not helpful in finding solutions. But saying needs to refocus and figure it out and be in better condition ... absolutely. And that's what he's in Fort Myers to do. Maybe there are other issues at hand with his level of discipline, both in diet and workouts, that do feed into what he needs to change (no pun intended with the word 'feed') ... but I think those can be addressed without outright being disrespectful by saying things that I mentioned above without painting the most negative picture of his personal character.

     

    Two ways to virtually say the same thing. Respect is a judgement. One that doesn't focus.... is lazy. One way uses imagery, and the other seems to come from a suit and tie. But they both say the same thing.

     

    This forum isn't really the place for political jabs, all over there are high class decent people supporting Trump.  As someone who detested him when elected, I'm now a 100% supporter...make that 99% but still. 

     .... but let me (you) take this opportunity to be political? hmmm... especially when it is total pat on the back opinion.

     

    Perhaps The Sports Bar forum is the place to discuss this high class?

    http://twinsdaily.com/forum/12-the-sports-bar/

     

    Two ways to virtually say the same thing. Respect is a judgement. One that doesn't focus.... is lazy. One way uses imagery, and the other seems to come from a suit and tie. But they both say the same thing.

    If they say the same thing, then be respectful in your posting here and don't go the disrespectful route. That was the pushback.

    I disagree, but OK , let's look at the season as a whole. 255 ABs, .220/.308/.400 (.708). Or go back to 2017, 511 ABs - .235/.309/.424 (.734). Or 2016, 396 ABs - .243/.312/.425 (.737). Or his career, 1169 ABS, .234/.309/.417 (.727). I wish/hope Max makes it as much as the next guy but the empirical evidence is that he was a below average and below replacement level hitter in 2016 and he has gotten Worse since then, not better. His defense is above average, which helps, but not a whole lot. He turned 25 in February so there's still a chance he'll become an average or better MLB player but he simply isn't close to that now.

     

    I wouldn't give up on Kepler but the question is where and how do you develop him so he improves. It's not happening at the MLB level. Makes one wonder if a trip to AAA or even AA (wherever the instruction is better) might be in order. Keeping him where he is hasn't worked for the last 2.5 seasons and seems unlikely to work in the future.

    I wish I could explain Kepler. He isn’t striking out at a rate anywhere close to Sano or Buxton. He’s hitting line drives at MLB average rate. His BABIP is horrendously low. This year and career wise. I suspect shifts, but I wish someone with more knowledge and who is better at interpreting data could confirm or offer another explanation. Not hitting into shifts I think would be fixable at the MLB level. He made tremendous strides hitting lhp at the MLB level.

     

    You don't know any of this.  This is the kind of post about Sano that really bothers me.  Buxton too.

     

    You know nothing about them as young men, what they think, what they care about, and how they work.  Criticizing them as people like that is quite reprehensible IMO.

    That's why I said "seem". I stated it as an opinion based on my observations, not as a fact. If   that isn't allowed please let me know.

    Edited by djvang

    Too much drama regarding the performance of a 25 year old in 37 games of an injury plagued season and , esp. since Golden Boy hit .234/.271/.332, .265 wOBA, 63 wRC+ in his age 25 season (much worse than Sano, FWIW)

     

    Same with Buxton btw.

     

    Too.Much.Drama.  And way too often regarding Sano.  Seems that there is a weekly let's ditch Sano article regurgitating the same things, as if Sano were all that is wrong with the Twins right now.

     

    Certain people must be auditioning to be the next Souhan or Reusse...

    Edited by Thrylos

    Too much drama regarding the performance of a 25 year old in 37 games of an injury plagued season and , esp. since Golden Boy hit .234/.271/.332, .265 wOBA, 63 wRC+ in his age 25 season (much worse than Sano, FWIW)

     

    Same with Buxton btw.

     

    Too.Much.Drama. And way too often regarding Sano. Seems that there is a weekly let's ditch Sano article regurgitating the same things, as if Sano were all that is wrong with the Twins right now.

     

    Certain people must be auditioning to be the next Souhan or Reusse...

    Where did the article suggest ditching Sano?

    Too much drama regarding the performance of a 25 year old in 37 games of an injury plagued season and , esp. since Golden Boy hit .234/.271/.332, .265 wOBA, 63 wRC+ in his age 25 season (much worse than Sano, FWIW)

     

    Same with Buxton btw.

     

    Too.Much.Drama. And way too often regarding Sano. Seems that there is a weekly let's ditch Sano article regurgitating the same things, as if Sano were all that is wrong with the Twins right now.

     

    Certain people must be auditioning to be the next Souhan or Reusse...

    Are you suggesting that his success or failure isn’t directly tied to the success or failure of the franchise as a whole? Perhaps the reason so much is written about him is because he is THAT important to this franchise.

     

    Are you suggesting that his success or failure isn’t directly tied to the success or failure of the franchise as a whole? Perhaps the reason so much is written about him is because he is THAT important to this franchise.

     

    Sure, but a lot of young players are THAT important to this franchise, because a single top player never made a team a winner.  Ask Mike Trout, if you don't believe me.  

     

    Matter of fact, Byron Buxton sucks more that Sano this season, and has been throughout his career, while rated as the top prospect in baseball by most of the pundits out there, unlike Sano.

     

    How come there is no biweekly venom against Buxton around here?

     

    As some point, one has to think that it might be personal and malicious, esp. in the light of events that happened the last off-season (allegedly) involving Sano and certain people's friends...

     

     

    Edited by Thrylos



    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...