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Loosey

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About Loosey

  • Birthday 08/08/1981

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  • Location:
    Eagan, MN
  • Occupation
    Financial Analyst

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    Baseball, Golf, Writing, Family, Friends, Beer

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    Loosey1981

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  1. Remember when the Twins drafted Tyler Jay 6th and Walker Buehler when 24th in 2015? Not really related to this thread but thought I would bring it up so we can stop arguing about where a prospect is ranked and complain about that. I hope Ryan and SWR end up be a sweet 1-2 starting combination in a few years. And realistically their prospect ranking will hav no bearing on that. That being said I am with Brock on this, Ryan is more MLB ready, but SWR probably has more upside due to age, etc and that is why he is ranked ahead.
  2. I think his fastball today would be around 140KPH. . .. So that that does indeed look faster.
  3. Michael Nakamura and forever minor leaguer James Beresford
  4. This is great they are developing lower round draft picks into MLB quality pitchers. The next step I want to see if they can develop the high draft picks into top of rotation starters. We will see soon if that happens.
  5. I agree with everything you said 100%. I tried to write something similar but you said it WAY better than me. The one other thing I wonder that I haven't seen mentioned is what if the Twins evaluators believe some of these players are better than Berrios and believe they can make a run at them? If that is the case in the eyes of the front office they potentially added two high-end prospects and upgraded on Berrios if they get one of these guys.
  6. If the Twins could pull off deals with any of these guys I would call that a win. That being said they have not done these types of free agent deals in the past history. However, I can't recall a time the team has been in a situation like it is in right now. 2011 was quite different in my opinion, the team basically got old all at the same time and their 10 year run stopped. This year seems like it may not be the end of a 2 year run, but instead a reset. A lot of pieces are in place and maybe the front office has runway now to make some moves to build it back up in a year. In the midst of winning sometimes it did feel like the team didn't want to pay free agents because they had in house options they were waiting for or other players they knew they needed to sign in a 2-3 years. With all that, I still think Buxton is my #1 priority. Then go from there. Sign a front-end starter, resign Pineda and bolster the pen. I think that puts the Twins in Wild Card territory again next year and positioned to take a bigger step in 2023.
  7. My guess is they want to re-sign/extend Pineda. If you trade him you can still sign him again but if him and his new team hit it off well and do well in the playoffs, that ship could sail as winning might bypass the good feelings he has for Minnesota and now the Twins are dumpster diving in Free Agency for their #2 starter next offseason.. I can see an extension before season is over now.
  8. Honestly I’m surprised they didn’t deal Pineda. There seems to be a mutual respect between the team and him and probably a decent chance they could re-sign him after next year. Obviously that isn’t guaranteed, I believe that was what people thought with Escobar a few years back too. Getting anything for Happ and Robles is a win. Scherf seems like a guy who could be a decent middle reliever in a year basically replacing Robles role. Overall I’d give the Twins a B at the deadline.
  9. I really do not want them to Trade Buxton. Sign him and build around him. I do like the Berrios deal. If SWR is as good as we hope could he be in the big league rotation next year?
  10. I think the team can put together a rotation that is better than this year even without Berrios. They likely will not have 1 guy as good as Berrios but depending on what they get back, who they sign and if even 1 or 2 minor league arms are competent at the Major League level this team could put together a rotation I believe is good enough to be wild card level competitive in 2022 and hopefully back to serious contention by 2023 assuming Maeda is closer to last year than this. Realistically, he's probably somewhere in the middle or what he has done over the last month. Assuming Berrios and Pineda are dealt would like to believe 1 MLB ready arm comes back. I also think/hope Pineda come back on a contract similar to what he has now in the $10-$12MM range. Maeda Pineda Prospect (Winder/Strotman/Ryan/guy who hasn't been traded for yet) Free Agent One of the guys we currently have as 5th/swingman starter (Ober/Dobnak) Definitely not going to make the Dodgers blush with that, but it eliminates Happ and Shoemaker with guys who are hopefully better next year and develop them for future years. Now about the bullpen....
  11. Implied the $200M figure? They haven’t directly. But by not paying guys their worth they imply that can’t afford to pay market and in turn make it seem like market value would make overall payroll too high. Just the way I read into it. Maybe I shouldn’t write my thoughts on what I think they are implying. Or write it in a different way.
  12. It seems Buxton’s side was fine with $80M base guarantee. It’s the escalators they disagreed on. Here is a snippet from The Athletic. If that’s true, the Twins should be able to either up the guarantee or the escalators. Even though talks broke off it seems they aren’t that far off.
  13. I had backed out Buxton and Berrios in my calculation because their arb #'s wouldn't be included if they were given new contracts. So if you remove their $16M it's $78M. I was still off by $13M. But you can find away to sign at least Buxton. A Donaldson trade and eat 50% of this contract adds back $10M, I could see Kepler being traded if Buxton is resigned, that's another $6.7M. What I was trying to say (poorly) is they can still build a very good team even with paying Buxton market value. If they hold Berrios next year and go for it they can add starters and BP help. The front office makes it seem like if we sign either one of them we are going to be a $200M payroll to be competitive and that is just not the case.
  14. Whether what he is saying is true or not Buxton says he wants to stay here. If true the Twins need to pay him what he is worth. Not 70 cents on the dollar. I like my job and want to stay here but if I had a contract that renewed every year and I was offered 60-70% of what I would get elsewhere, I would leave. Now the Pohlad/Falvine dynamic is something I think fans should keep an eye on. I get the impression Pohlad hasn't set a hard self-imposed salary cap for this team. So, Buxton could and should be offered a market value contract. And if Falvey and Levine are trying get a super star for cheap and end up losing him because they want to spend the savings on 3 mid-rotation starters Pohlad may fire them both. Even if there is a "soft" self-imposed salary cap is say $150MM, they only have around $50MM (pre-arb) committed to players in 2022 So closer to $65MM probably. That still leaves a huge chunk of money to fill out the roster with star players like Buxton and possibly Berrios. I guess I'm confused as to what/who they plan to spend payroll on if it isn't Buxton or Berrios.
  15. I honestly think Pohlad will step in at some point and force a Buxton signing. He says he normally stays out of the baseball business and let Falvine do what they have to do. But Buxton is the face of the franchise, a guy who is an MVP candidate when healthy. Falvey and Levine seem to try to overthink things when the obvious answer is the right one. Hopefully, they will be given their orders, sign Buxton and stop screwing around with him.
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