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Heading into the 2024 trade deadline, the Minnesota Twins had a glaring issue that needed addressing: their bullpen. This wasn't some minor flaw; it was a growing concern that everyone from the front office to the fans could see. Brock Stewart’s injury was a red flag waving in the wind. He got hurt, came back, and then got hurt again. Chris Paddack, a rotation member to that point but an obvious candidate to move back to the bullpen, as he did last year, had just gone through the same pattern of return and reinjury. And after the deadline passed, Stewart would undergo surgery, perhaps never to pitch another inning for the Twins. Even more alarming was the regression of Caleb Thielbar, a once-reliable lefty who no longer had the consistency the team needed.
But despite all these warning signs, the Twins sat on their hands. With a deep farm system at their disposal and clear bullpen needs, they opted to do... nothing. Well, almost nothing. Trevor Richards came aboard, but let’s be honest, he’s a name we’d all rather forget, memorable only the way a fall from a tree is if you break your ankle when it happens. The inactivity at the deadline wasn’t just about roster evaluation—it was about money. Ownership didn’t want to spend, and you could almost feel the hesitation stemming from past failures (looking at you, Jorge López).
However, this cautious, do-nothing approach has backfired spectacularly. Since the trade deadline, the Twins’ bullpen ranks 22nd in ERA and 27th in WPA, only faring better than the likes of the White Sox, Pirates, and Red Sox. Simply put, it’s been a disaster, and the team is feeling the effects in the standings, now fighting to even stay in the Wild Card race.
Now, let’s flip to the other side of the country and take a look at the San Diego Padres. At the deadline, they found themselves in a strikingly similar position. Their bullpen ranked 17th in ERA, just behind the Twins, who sat 14th at the time. The Padres were 59-51; the Twins, 59-48. Both teams were battling for playoff positioning. But here’s where the two clubs diverged.
The Padres didn’t hesitate—they got aggressive. They brought in two of the top relievers available, in Jason Adam and Tanner Scott. It wasn’t cheap, requiring prospect capital and the risk of a trade blowing up in their faces, but the Padres’ front office believed in their scouting. And since the deadline, their faith has paid off in massive proportion. Adam has posted an absurd 0.78 ERA across 23 innings, while Scott has been rock solid, with a 2.45 ERA over 22 innings. Together, they’ve anchored a bullpen that now ranks 5th in baseball since the trade deadline.
While the Twins are 21-25 post-deadline and their bullpen is bottom-five, the Padres have surged, posting the best record in the major leagues during that same span. The difference? One team decided to stand pat, and the other pushed all their chips in.
Sure, the Twins could point to their past mistakes and say, “We’ve been burned before,” but at some point, caution turns into cowardice. Look, we all remember the López trade in 2022 and how that turned out. But for every López, there’s a Jason Adam or a Tanner Scott waiting to be acquired. The Padres took that chance, and it’s paying off in real time.
What’s even more frustrating is that the Twins knew they had to build some depth in the bullpen, knowing Stewart wasn’t coming back and needing insurance in case other guys—like Kody Funderburk or Justin Topa—couldn’t hold up. But instead of anticipating those losses and preparing for the inevitable, they crossed their fingers and hoped things would just work out. Things didn’t.
And now, here we are. The Twins are in a dogfight to even make the postseason, while the Padres are cruising into October with a fortified bullpen and a team built for the playoffs. Ownership’s lack of willingness to invest in this roster at the deadline is directly responsible for the Twins' current predicament. The aggressive approach could’ve positioned this team for a playoff run, but instead, they missed the boat.
It’s not just about what could’ve been—it’s about what should’ve been. The Padres are the perfect case study in why aggression at the trade deadline matters. They believed in their scouting, made bold moves, and are now reaping the rewards. The Twins, on the other hand, played it safe. And now, they’re paying the price.
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